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The Impact of Development of Rural Finance in Jiangxi Province on the Agricultural Economy and Farmers’ Income 被引量:2
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作者 HUANG Yu-ting WENG Zhen-lin 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2012年第10期86-88,92,共4页
Based on the rural economic data pertaining to the development of rural finance, the growth of agricultural economy and farmers' income in Jiangxi Province during the period 1990-2009, we conduct empirical researc... Based on the rural economic data pertaining to the development of rural finance, the growth of agricultural economy and farmers' income in Jiangxi Province during the period 1990-2009, we conduct empirical research on the impact of development of rural finance on the growth of agricultural economy and farmers' income, using the ADF test method, the Granger causality test, and regression analysis. The results show that the development of rural finance in Jiangxi Province has a significant positive effect on the growth of rural economy and farmers' income. When the ending balance of agricultural loans increases by 1 unit, the agricultural added value will increase by 0.367 1 units; when the ending balance of agricultural loans increases by 1 unit, farmers' income will increase by 0.597 5 units, indicating that the development of rural finance plays a significant role in promoting the per capita net income of farmers.Finally we propose to increase agricultural credit efforts in the financial institutions, establish and improve the agricultural credit management system. 展开更多
关键词 RURAL finance RURAL ECONOMY Farmers’ income
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Rural-urban Migration, Rural Household Income and Local Geographical Contexts——A Case of Northwestern Guangxi, China 被引量:2
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作者 YANG Chunyue LU Qi XIE Lishuang 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2008年第1期17-23,共7页
This paper aims to examine New Economics of Labor Migration (NELM) in the northwestern Guangxi, China and investigate the relationships among rural-urban migration, rural household income and local geographical contex... This paper aims to examine New Economics of Labor Migration (NELM) in the northwestern Guangxi, China and investigate the relationships among rural-urban migration, rural household income and local geographical contexts. Stratified sampling and typical case study were adopted and 236 questionnaires were collected from four vil- lages, Daxin, Lixin, Longhe and Yongchang. We analyzed the rural-urban migration rate, household income and local geographical factors, focusing on the ratio of remittance income to total household income. Data descriptions and sta- tistical methods, such as Pearson Chi-square test, Contingency coefficient, Eta, Pearson correlation coefficient, t-test, multiple comparisons (LSD test, Tamhane T2, Dunnett T3 and Dunnet C test) were used. The results are as follows. Rural households’ income is diversified in survey villages so the motivation of rural-urban migration in the study area can be partly explained by NELM. The migration rate of households (the percentage of households with migrants in survey households) in survey villages varies from 50% to 86%, while the proportion of remittance income to house- hold income is in the range of 30% to 80%. In the village of Yongchang, with the least average arable land area per household, the remittance income plays a vital role in household income (80%). And the statistical findings show that the proportion is significantly and negatively correlated with arable land area per household. The conclusion is that di- rect effect of migration, i.e., the contribution of remittance to household income, is negatively correlated with the con- tribution of resources to local income. 展开更多
关键词 rural-urban migration household income local geographical contexts northwestern Guangxi
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Inclusive Finance,Income Gaps and Common Prosperity
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作者 Yin Zhichao Wen Xiaomei Li Chuanzheng 《China Economist》 2023年第5期34-53,共20页
According to the Report to the 20^(th) CPC National Congress,delivering common prosperity for all the people is an intrinsic requirement of Chinese modernization.Based on China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)data from ... According to the Report to the 20^(th) CPC National Congress,delivering common prosperity for all the people is an intrinsic requirement of Chinese modernization.Based on China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)data from 2015 to 2019,this study examines the effects of inclusive finance on China’s household income disparities and demonstrates how inclusive finance contributes to shared prosperity.Our empirical research reveals that inclusive finance has significantly decreased the income disparities between Chinese households.Inclusive finance has significantly increased the income levels of households below the 40^(th) percentile,making it more likely for them to move above the 40^(th) percentile of incomes,which is conducive to delivering common prosperity.Our analysis indicates that inclusive finance will reduce income disparities by assisting low-income households in starting a business and by promoting rural household employment.Reflecting its inclusive nature,further investigation reveals that inclusive finance has a greater positive impact on the income level of vulnerable households.Our research offers new evidence for comprehending the role of inclusive finance and a new interpretation of income disparities,with policy implications for accelerating Chinese modernization. 展开更多
关键词 Inclusive finance common prosperity income disparity ENTREPRENEURSHIP non-farm employment
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Sources of Income and Financial Autonomy of Local Self-government
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作者 Krzysztof Surowka 《Economics World》 2018年第1期22-33,共12页
An important feature of local self-government which differs from other public authorities should be the independence of its organs from the government system of administration. The empowerment of local communities, wh... An important feature of local self-government which differs from other public authorities should be the independence of its organs from the government system of administration. The empowerment of local communities, which takes place in all democratic states, has been achieved by giving the guarantee of autonomy to local self-government, including financial autonomy. These are fundamental assumptions of local self-government functioning. The subject of this paper is to present self-government, in the field of shaping the basic sources of public tasks. issues relating to the financial autonomy of loca of its financial supply in cash, enabling the performance 展开更多
关键词 local self-government (SGU) financial autonomy public tasks local and central taxes income fromproperty state transfers
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Preferential Policy and Tax Regulations Income Tax of Enterprises and Local Income Tax
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《China's Foreign Trade》 1997年第5期23-23,共1页
*Newly-built joint ventures engaged in new and high technological enterprises shall enjoy a 15 percent reduction of income tax for two years, or a 24 percent reduction for two years and a 50 percent reduction in the f... *Newly-built joint ventures engaged in new and high technological enterprises shall enjoy a 15 percent reduction of income tax for two years, or a 24 percent reduction for two years and a 50 percent reduction in the following three years. A choice between the two may be decided by the said enterprises. **Service industry, those enterprises with a foreign capital of more than US$5 million shall be exempt from the tax 展开更多
关键词 THAN Preferential Policy and Tax Regulations income Tax of Enterprises and local income Tax
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Impacts of formal credit on rural household income:Evidence from deprived areas in western China 被引量:5
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作者 CHEN Si LUO Er-ga +2 位作者 Lita ALITA HAN Xiao NIE Feng-ying 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第4期927-942,共16页
Financial support is a crucial part of China's poverty alleviation effort.Thus,it is vital to understand how formal credit impacts income growth in rural households.In 2012,2015,and 2018,a survey was conducted to ... Financial support is a crucial part of China's poverty alleviation effort.Thus,it is vital to understand how formal credit impacts income growth in rural households.In 2012,2015,and 2018,a survey was conducted to obtain a panel dataset of 592 rural households from 6 poverty-stricken counties in western China,including counties in Guizhou,Yunnan,and Shaanxi provinces.We use the data to examine the effect of formal credit on rural household income and the mechanism that underlies this effect.We find that formal credit can significantly increase rural households'income in deprived areas in western China.Furthermore,formal credit promotes the reallocation of household labor from the agricultural sector to the non-agricultural sector and changes rural households'decisions about investment-consumption behavior.These are the drivers of changes in the amount and structure of household income.Further analyses show that formal credit may widen income inequality among rural households in western China's deprived areas.The individual characteristics of rural households,such as different levels of material capital,human capital,and social capital,bring about differences in the effects of formal credit on income growth.This study emphasizes that the implementation of formal credit is an essential strategy for poverty alleviation in underdeveloped areas,but policymakers should not excessively interfere with the financial market. 展开更多
关键词 formal credit rural household income rural finance poverty-stricken areas in western China
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An Empirical Analysis on the Impact of Rural Financial Development on the Income Gap between Urban and Rural Residents in Heilongjiang Province 被引量:1
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作者 Guanghe HAN Jiayu ZHOU +1 位作者 Siqi LI Zhiming SHEN 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2020年第2期1-7,10,共8页
The high-quality development of rural finance is an important support for rural revitalization.In recent years,it continuously expands the investment in rural finance in Heilongjiang Province,and optimizes the rural f... The high-quality development of rural finance is an important support for rural revitalization.In recent years,it continuously expands the investment in rural finance in Heilongjiang Province,and optimizes the rural financial service system and mechanism.The overall income level and living conditions of rural residents have been significantly improved,but there still exists income gap between urban and rural residents.Therefore,based on analyzing and combing current situation and problems of rural financial development and urban-rural income gap in Heilongjiang Province,multiple linear regression model is used to study the impact of rural financial development on the income gap between urban and rural residents in Heilongjiang Province.The research results show that the scale of rural financial development in Heilongjiang Province will enlarge the income gap between urban and rural residents,while rural financial development efficiency and urbanization level reduce income gap between urban and rural residents in Heilongjiang Province.Based on the above conclusions,some policy suggestions to promote the equalization of urban and rural income in Heilongjiang Province are puts forward in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 RURAL finance income GAP between urban and RURAL areas DEVELOPMENT scale DEVELOPMENT efficiency
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Research on Farmers' Property Income in Jiangsu Province
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作者 ZHOU Lu-hong MA Wei-peng +1 位作者 WANG Xiao-feng KONG Xiao-teng 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2012年第2期47-49,54,共4页
Relying on the statistics,the property income status of Jiangsu Province is expounded.In the first place,farmers' property income takes a low proportion to the total income for its small cardinal number;in the sec... Relying on the statistics,the property income status of Jiangsu Province is expounded.In the first place,farmers' property income takes a low proportion to the total income for its small cardinal number;in the second place,although farmers' property income has increased continuously,the growth fluctuates;in the third place,the growth tempo of farmers' property income is faster than the growth tempo of net income;in the fourth place,per capita property income of farmers is obviously lower than that of urban residents.The reasons that affect the property income of farmers in Jiangsu Province are analyzed,which cover low income level of rural residents,imperfect land system,imperfect rural financial system,imperfect rural housing system and imperfect rural social security system.On the basis of the above analysis,the targeted measures on improving the property income of farmers in Jiangsu Province are put forward.Firstly,the government should improve farmers' income and lay solid foundation for property income;secondly,the government should clarify land property rights and explore the land transfer situation;thirdly,the government should accelerate rural financial system reform and perfect rural financial system;fourthly,the government should vigorously implement the transfer of houses in rural collective residents and perfect rural housing rent market;fifthly,the government should promote the reform of rural social security system and solve farmers' worries. 展开更多
关键词 Property income FARMERS LAND finance HOMESTEAD
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Why Are Risk-Pooling and Risk-Sharing Arrangements Necessary for Financing Healthcare and Improving Health Outcomes in Low and Lower Middle-Income Countries
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作者 Ali Ahangar Ali Mohammad Ahmadi +1 位作者 Amir Hossein Mozayani Mozayani Sajjad Faraji Dizaji 《Health》 2018年第1期122-131,共10页
Health is important to economic development, and economic development has an important impact on health outcomes. Health Expenditure makes up a substantial part of the global economy. In the world, the costs of health... Health is important to economic development, and economic development has an important impact on health outcomes. Health Expenditure makes up a substantial part of the global economy. In the world, the costs of healthcare are increasing;patients are compelled to pay more for treatment, and that makes a lot of people faced to Catastrophic Health Expenditures (CHE) and in long run fall below the poverty line. One of the most urgent and vexing challenges faced by many low- and middle-income countries is how to provide health care for the more than two billion poor people who live in these areas (developing countries). As much as more than 65% (in 2014) of total private health care expenditure in low-income countries comes from out-of-pocket payment by patients. In addition, according to World Bank report (2007), in low and lower middle-income countries was speared nearly 13% of global health spending with 87% the global disease burden. The WHO considers health financing models with high risk pooled, such as health insurance and prepaid schemes, a promising means for achieving universal health-care coverage and promotion health care. A crucial concept in health financing is that of pooling. The WHO defines risk-pooling as the “accumulation and management of revenues in such a way as to ensure that the risk of having to pay for health care is borne by all members of the pool and not by each contributor individually”. The larger degree of pooling, the less people will have to bear the health financial risks. Furthermore, adopting and operating financing policies based on greeter risk pooling/sharing (prepayments) are recommended to all countries (especially in low and lower-middle income countries). It means risk sharing/pooling plays a key role in all financing systems for achieving effectiveness and efficiency health systems. 展开更多
关键词 RISK Pooling RISK Sharing HEALTH Care FINANCING HEALTH Economics LOW and Middle income
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Local Development Fee in Slovak Republic
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作者 Jarmila Hudakova 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2017年第3期128-133,共6页
With the advent of tax and expenditure limitations, state and local governments have been searching for new sources of revenue to maintain or expand public services. The need for new sources of revenue has been partic... With the advent of tax and expenditure limitations, state and local governments have been searching for new sources of revenue to maintain or expand public services. The need for new sources of revenue has been particularly acute in localities that have experienced rapid growth. The new act No. 447 of November 20, 2015 on Local Development Fee was approved in Slovakia. The Act comes into force on November 1, 2016. The paper points out possible problems associated with the introduction of the local development fee abroad and discribes the situation in Slovakia. 展开更多
关键词 local development fee tax incidence local government local policy infrastructure financing
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数字金融对居民收入分配的影响及传导机制研究——来自我国287个地级市的证据 被引量:1
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作者 贤成毅 吴泽强 何鑫 《金融经济》 2024年第5期77-88,共12页
本文使用我国2013—2020年287个地级市的面板数据,实证检验了数字金融对居民收入分配的优化效应。研究发现,数字金融能够优化居民的收入分配状况,该结果经一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;机制分析表明,数字金融通过缓解融资约束、吸引外资... 本文使用我国2013—2020年287个地级市的面板数据,实证检验了数字金融对居民收入分配的优化效应。研究发现,数字金融能够优化居民的收入分配状况,该结果经一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;机制分析表明,数字金融通过缓解融资约束、吸引外资流入和改善就业结构来优化居民收入分配。异质性分析表明,新质生产力、市场化水平和居民受教育程度会影响数字金融对居民收入分配的优化效应,具体表现为,新质生产力发展水平越高的地区,数字金融对居民收入分配的优化作用更强;市场化水平越高,数字金融对居民收入分配的优化效应越强;而居民受教育程度差距越大,数字鸿沟越大,越会抑制居民收入分配的改善。本文结论表明数字金融有望成为优化居民收入分配的重要工具,但数字金融是一把“双刃剑”,未来应加强对数字金融的监管与规范,缩小居民间的数字鸿沟,加快完善数字基础设施。 展开更多
关键词 共同富裕 数字金融 收入分配 融资约束 就业结构 数字鸿沟
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Financial Coordination and Income Distribution of Agricultural Supply Chain
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作者 Leilei Zhang Honglian Guo 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2021年第3期6-13,共8页
The agriculture field is a fundamental industry which supports the rapid development of the nation?s economy.However,credit constraints faced by farmers have restricted the modernization in the agricultural industry.T... The agriculture field is a fundamental industry which supports the rapid development of the nation?s economy.However,credit constraints faced by farmers have restricted the modernization in the agricultural industry.The agricultural supply chain finance is effective in promoting rural industrial revitalization and agricultural modernization,which is of great significance to the transformation and development of rural economy and agriculture in China.In this paper,the financial coordination model in agricultural supply chain is constructed,and the income distribution model of Shapley value method is introduced.The results showed that the agricultural supply chain finance can significantly improve the income of the participants in the agricultural industrial chain and verify the economic feasibility of agricultural supply chain finance. 展开更多
关键词 AGRICULTURE Supply chain finance income distribution
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数字金融对地方政府债务的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的实证检验 被引量:1
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作者 王春雷 林根仕 黄素心 《国土资源科技管理》 2024年第4期135-146,共12页
本文基于2015—2021年中国省级面板数据实证研究数字金融对地方政府债务的影响,发现两者呈现出显著为负的非线性关系,数字金融的发展对地方政府优化自身债务、降低系统性金融风险具有积极作用。采用系统聚类将31个省(区、市)分为发展中... 本文基于2015—2021年中国省级面板数据实证研究数字金融对地方政府债务的影响,发现两者呈现出显著为负的非线性关系,数字金融的发展对地方政府优化自身债务、降低系统性金融风险具有积极作用。采用系统聚类将31个省(区、市)分为发展中、次发达、发达地区三大组别,发现数字金融对地方政府债务的抑制作用在发展中地区表现得最为显著。市场化水平在数字金融抑制地方政府债务过程中具有正向调节作用,特别是当市场化水平跨越一定的门槛值以后,数字金融对地方政府债务的影响显著增强。在此基础上,提出了数字金融背景下分类施策缓解各级地方政府债务问题的相关建议。 展开更多
关键词 数字金融 地方政府债务 市场化 门槛效应
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土地流转、数字普惠金融和城乡收入差距 被引量:1
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作者 巩艳红 肖昱玲 庞洪伟 《山西农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2024年第2期71-81,共11页
在土地大规模流转和城乡收入差距居高不下的双重背景下,农村土地流转能否缩小城乡收入差距,以及数字普惠金融在农村土地流转对城乡收入差距的影响中发挥的作用都是亟待深入研究的问题,但是现有研究较少涉及。基于我国2011—2021年30个... 在土地大规模流转和城乡收入差距居高不下的双重背景下,农村土地流转能否缩小城乡收入差距,以及数字普惠金融在农村土地流转对城乡收入差距的影响中发挥的作用都是亟待深入研究的问题,但是现有研究较少涉及。基于我国2011—2021年30个省级行政区的面板数据,采用门槛回归模型,分析土地流转对城乡收入差距的非线性影响,以及数字普惠金融在其中的作用机理。结果表明:在数字普惠金融的门槛作用下土地流转能够有效缩小城乡收入差距。在以数字普惠金融为门槛的不同门槛区间,随着土地流转程度的提高城乡收入差距均显著缩小,与数字普惠金融指数低于门槛值时相比,当数字普惠金融指数高于门槛值时土地流转对城乡收入差距的减小作用有所加强。基于此,在促进土地流转、拓宽农民增收致富渠道的同时,建议加强数字普惠金融的城乡发展、提高普通农户的农业生产效率,让数字普惠金融的普惠性落实到农村的建设和发展,为助力土地流转和缩小城乡差距发挥作用。 展开更多
关键词 土地流转 数字普惠金融 城乡收入差距
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Looking Into Local Financing
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《ChinAfrica》 2012年第8期11-11,共1页
Debt problems at China's local level have been prevalent for years. With increasing concerns over local govern- ment debt risks, calls are increasingly becoming stronger to reform tax poli- cies and regulations. Rese... Debt problems at China's local level have been prevalent for years. With increasing concerns over local govern- ment debt risks, calls are increasingly becoming stronger to reform tax poli- cies and regulations. Researchers and bankers spoke out about the issue at the three-day Lujiazui Forum which opened recently in Shanghai. Edited excerpts follow: 展开更多
关键词 GDP Looking Into local Financing
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土地出让收入支持乡村振兴动力来源及机理分析 被引量:1
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作者 王玉波 王柳佳 《山西农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2024年第2期61-70,共10页
为更好支持乡村振兴战略实施,从马克思地租理论出发阐释土地出让收入的双重属性和本质内涵,描述激励约束机制下土地出让收入用于农业农村发展的情况。结合《乡村振兴战略规划(2018—2022)》和《关于调整完善土地出让收入使用范围优先支... 为更好支持乡村振兴战略实施,从马克思地租理论出发阐释土地出让收入的双重属性和本质内涵,描述激励约束机制下土地出让收入用于农业农村发展的情况。结合《乡村振兴战略规划(2018—2022)》和《关于调整完善土地出让收入使用范围优先支持乡村振兴的意见》说明土地出让收入支持乡村振兴的应然领域。采用规范分析法,选取2010—2019年国有土地出让面积、土地出让收入和用于农业农村的支出的相关数据,分析土地出让收入对乡村发展的影响。土地出让收入用于农业农村发展的支出在总额上逐年增加,但相较于城市支出比例偏低,且存在收益分配不均的问题。通过对土地出让收入的制度属性的分析,发现分税财政体制、政绩考核制度和低土地财政依赖度三方面是土地出让收入支持乡村振兴的外生动力,为可持续内生动力的产生创造外部环境;土地出让收入的合理分配格局、精准投入、政策引导人才流向乡村三方面是内生动力。厘清土地出让收入支持乡村振兴内在和外生动力来源及其机理,有助于形成土地出让收入合理分配格局,减少对土地财政的依赖度,缩小城乡发展差异。 展开更多
关键词 土地出让收入 土地财政 乡村振兴 动力来源 机理分析
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数字普惠金融与收入差距——基于城市人力资本和数字鸿沟视角的分析 被引量:1
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作者 陈清华 杨卫平 李瑞宁 《当代金融研究》 2024年第1期27-44,共18页
解决收入差距问题是推进共同富裕的关键。运用数字普惠金融指数和中国劳动力动态调查数据(CLDS),基于城市层面研究数字普惠金融对收入差距的影响。研究发现:(1)数字普惠金融能够缓解收入差距,而数字鸿沟中的数字接入沟和使用沟抑制数字... 解决收入差距问题是推进共同富裕的关键。运用数字普惠金融指数和中国劳动力动态调查数据(CLDS),基于城市层面研究数字普惠金融对收入差距的影响。研究发现:(1)数字普惠金融能够缓解收入差距,而数字鸿沟中的数字接入沟和使用沟抑制数字普惠金融对收入差距的作用;(2)数字普惠金融通过缓解信贷约束、促进教育机会和创业机会的均等化提高城市人力资本水平,进而降低城市层面的收入差距程度;(3)数字普惠金融缓解收入差距的作用在地区间、收入水平和金融城市等方面存在异质性。相关研究结果为促进数字普惠金融的普惠效应研究提供了新的研究视角。 展开更多
关键词 数字普惠金融 收入差距 人力资本 数字鸿沟
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数字普惠金融、横向税收竞争与城乡收入差距 被引量:1
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作者 田时中 蔡雅冰 《山东财经大学学报》 2024年第1期41-55,共15页
缩小城乡收入差距是实现全体人民共同富裕的重要途径。基于2011—2020年中国内地31个省份的面板数据,运用面板Tobit模型和调节效应模型,揭示数字普惠金融和横向税收竞争对城乡收入差距的多重影响。研究发现:样本考察期内,中国城乡收入... 缩小城乡收入差距是实现全体人民共同富裕的重要途径。基于2011—2020年中国内地31个省份的面板数据,运用面板Tobit模型和调节效应模型,揭示数字普惠金融和横向税收竞争对城乡收入差距的多重影响。研究发现:样本考察期内,中国城乡收入差距整体呈“逐年下降”的时序特征,中西部城乡收入差距自“高—中高水平”向“中低—低水平”的格局演变,四种分项收入对城乡收入差距影响各异;基准回归表明,数字普惠金融和合理的横向税收竞争均显著缩小了城乡收入差距;调节效应显示,横向税收竞争在数字普惠金融缩小城乡收入差距中具有逆向调节作用。基于此,提出引导数字普惠金融向农村下沉、倡导合理税收竞争、破除城乡市场壁垒、完善公共服务普惠共享机制等政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 中国式现代化 数字金融 税收竞争 城乡收入差距 共同富裕
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中国社会医疗保险制度未来发展的挑战与创新建议 被引量:2
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作者 于保荣 《卫生经济研究》 北大核心 2024年第1期20-22,28,共4页
中国社会医疗保险制度发展至今,已覆盖了95%以上的人口,筹资和报销待遇都达到了与国民经济所处的中等收入国家地位相称的水平,但也存在不同人群待遇相差悬殊、医保基金使用效率不高的问题。未来需要从实现公平的国民待遇、进行科学的医... 中国社会医疗保险制度发展至今,已覆盖了95%以上的人口,筹资和报销待遇都达到了与国民经济所处的中等收入国家地位相称的水平,但也存在不同人群待遇相差悬殊、医保基金使用效率不高的问题。未来需要从实现公平的国民待遇、进行科学的医保筹资规划、制定统一的医疗服务价格、设计合理的医保报销政策、明确划分中央与地方政府的职责等方面,正视挑战,创新发展,避免医保制度发展的中等收入陷阱。 展开更多
关键词 社会医疗保险制度 医保筹资规划 医保报销政策 医疗服务价格 中等收入陷阱
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地方政府债务对城镇化的影响机制及中介效应 被引量:1
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作者 郭力 魏家琛 《决策与信息》 2024年第8期67-76,共10页
地方政府债务扩张是我国政府主导、投资驱动型传统城镇化模式的重要动能和必然表现。然而,当前地方债问题日益显现,地方城投平台高杠杆主导城镇化模式亟待转型。基于2002-2020年全国31个省份数据,运用个体固定效应与工具变量模型,实证... 地方政府债务扩张是我国政府主导、投资驱动型传统城镇化模式的重要动能和必然表现。然而,当前地方债问题日益显现,地方城投平台高杠杆主导城镇化模式亟待转型。基于2002-2020年全国31个省份数据,运用个体固定效应与工具变量模型,实证分析地方政府债务对新型城镇化的影响机制及中介效应和调节效应后发现:地方债扩张对城镇化产生先促进再抑制的非线性影响,债务扩张初期有利于完善城市基础设施和促进就业,但后期资本效率下降和对私人投资的挤出凸显;地方债通过抬高房价-收入比、刺激固定资产投资进而促进城镇化;老龄化程度越高的地方政府越倾向通过债务扩张拉动城镇化;但是服务业就业会减缓地方债对城镇化的促进效果。因此,高城镇化水平区域要更加严控地方政府债务规模,约束地方城投公司行为,地方财政支出更多偏向养老支持、住房保障等普惠性公共服务,发挥第三产业就业对城镇化作用。 展开更多
关键词 城镇化 地方政府债务 房价收入比 老龄化
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