Objective:To compare the prognostic factors of mortality among melioidosis patients between lognormal accelerated failure time(AFT),Cox proportional hazards(PH),and Cox PH with time-varying coefficient(TVC)models.Meth...Objective:To compare the prognostic factors of mortality among melioidosis patients between lognormal accelerated failure time(AFT),Cox proportional hazards(PH),and Cox PH with time-varying coefficient(TVC)models.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted from 2014 to 2019 among 453 patients who were admitted to Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah,Kedah and Hospital Tuanku Fauziah,Perlis in Northern Malaysia due to confirmed-cultured melioidosis.The prognostic factors of mortality from melioidosis were obtained from AFT survival analysis,and Cox’s models and the findings were compared by using the goodness of fit methods.The analyses were done by using Stata SE version 14.0.Results:A total of 242 patients(53.4%)survived.In this study,the median survival time of melioidosis patients was 30.0 days(95%CI 0.0-60.9).Six significant prognostic factors were identified in the Cox PH model and Cox PH-TVC model.In AFT survival analysis,a total of seven significant prognostic factors were identified.The results were found to be only a slight difference between the identified prognostic factors among the models.AFT survival showed better results compared to Cox's models,with the lowest Akaike information criteria and best fitted Cox-snell residuals.Conclusions:AFT survival analysis provides more reliable results and can be used as an alternative statistical analysis for determining the prognostic factors of mortality in melioidosis patients in certain situations.展开更多
The statistical distribution of natural phenomena is of great significance in studying the laws of nature.In order to study the statistical characteristics of a random pulse signal,a random process model is proposed t...The statistical distribution of natural phenomena is of great significance in studying the laws of nature.In order to study the statistical characteristics of a random pulse signal,a random process model is proposed theoretically for better studying of the random law of measured results.Moreover,a simple random pulse signal generation and testing system is designed for studying the counting distributions of three typical objects including particles suspended in the air,standard particles,and background noise.Both normal and lognormal distribution fittings are used for analyzing the experimental results and testified by chi-square distribution fit test and correlation coefficient for comparison.In addition,the statistical laws of three typical objects and the relations between them are discussed in detail.The relation is also the non-integral dimension fractal relation of statistical distributions of different random laser scattering pulse signal groups.展开更多
The two-parameter lognormal distribution is a variant of the normal distribution and the three-parameter lognormal distribution is an extension of the two-parameter lognormal distribution by introducing a location par...The two-parameter lognormal distribution is a variant of the normal distribution and the three-parameter lognormal distribution is an extension of the two-parameter lognormal distribution by introducing a location parameter. The Q-Q plot of the three-parameter lognormal distribution is widely used. To obtain the Q-Q plot one needs to iteratively try different values of the shape parameter and subjectively judge the linearity of the Q-Q plot. In this paper,a mathematical method was proposed to determine the value of the shape parameter so as to simplify the generation of the Q-Q plot. Then a new probability plot was proposed,which was more easily obtained and provided more accurate parameter estimates than the Q-Q plot. These are illustrated by three realworld examples.展开更多
We propose a software reliability growth model with testing-effort based on a continuous-state space stochastic process, such as a lognormal process, and conduct its goodness-of-fit evaluation. We also discuss a param...We propose a software reliability growth model with testing-effort based on a continuous-state space stochastic process, such as a lognormal process, and conduct its goodness-of-fit evaluation. We also discuss a parameter estimation method of our model. Then, we derive several software reliability assessment measures by the probability distribution of its solution process, and compare our model with existing continuous-state space software reliability growth models in terms of the mean square error and the Akaike’s information criterion by using actual fault count data.展开更多
The calculation of the mean difference for the lognormal distribution involves several hard integrals featuring the error function. In this paper, considering two particular cases of an integral of the exponential fun...The calculation of the mean difference for the lognormal distribution involves several hard integrals featuring the error function. In this paper, considering two particular cases of an integral of the exponential function for the complement to one of the error functions, and using various symmetries, we have achieved the result of an extremely simple and useful formula of the mean difference for the lognormal distribution.展开更多
Received signal strength(RSS)based positioning schemes ignore the actual environmental feature that the volatility of RSS increases as signal propagation distance grows.Therefore,RSS over long distance generally has r...Received signal strength(RSS)based positioning schemes ignore the actual environmental feature that the volatility of RSS increases as signal propagation distance grows.Therefore,RSS over long distance generally has relatively large measurement error and degrades the positioning performance.To reduce the negative impact of these RSSs over long distances,a weighted semidefinite programming(WSDP)positioning scheme was proposed.The WSDP positioning scheme first assesses the signal propagation quality using the average variance of all RSS sets.Then appropriate weighting factors are set based on the variance of each RSS set,and a weighted semidefinite programming optimizer is formulated to estimate the positions of target nodes.Simulation results show that the WSDP positioning scheme can effectively improve the positioning performance.展开更多
Let X1,X2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and let X(1),X(2),... be the associatedrecord value sequence. We focus on the asymptotic distributions of sums of records, Tn=∑nk=1X(k), forX1 ∈ LN(γ). In this...Let X1,X2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and let X(1),X(2),... be the associatedrecord value sequence. We focus on the asymptotic distributions of sums of records, Tn=∑nk=1X(k), forX1 ∈ LN(γ). In this case, we find that 2 is a strange point for parameter γ. When γ＞ 2, Tn is asymptoticallynormal, while for 2 ＞γ＞ 1, we prove that Tn cannot converge in distribution to any non-degenerate lawthrough common centralizing and normalizing and log Tn is asymptotically normal.展开更多
Quantum Monte Carlo data are often afflicted with distributions that resemble lognormal probability distributions and consequently their statistical analysis cannot be based on simple Gaussian assumptions.To this exte...Quantum Monte Carlo data are often afflicted with distributions that resemble lognormal probability distributions and consequently their statistical analysis cannot be based on simple Gaussian assumptions.To this extent a method is introduced to estimate these distributions and thus give better estimates to errors associated with them.This method entails reconstructing the probability distribution of a set of data,with given mean and variance,that has been assumed to be lognormal prior to undergoing a blocking or renormalization transformation.In doing so,we perform a numerical evaluation of the renormalized sum of lognormal random variables.This technique is applied to a simple quantum model utilizing the single-thread Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate the ground state energy or dominant eigenvalue of a Hamiltonian matrix.展开更多
A probabilistic seismic loss assessment of RC high-rise(RCHR)buildings designed according to Eurocode 8 and located in the Southern Euro-Mediterranean zone is presented herein.The loss assessment methodology is based ...A probabilistic seismic loss assessment of RC high-rise(RCHR)buildings designed according to Eurocode 8 and located in the Southern Euro-Mediterranean zone is presented herein.The loss assessment methodology is based on a comprehensive simulation approach which takes into account ground motion(GM)uncertainty,and the random effects in seismic demand,as well as in predicting the damage states(DSs).The methodology is implemented on three RCHR buildings of 20-story,30-story and 40-story with a core wall structural system.The loss functions described by a cumulative lognormal probability distribution are obtained for two intensity levels for a large set of simulations(NLTHAs)based on 60 GM records with a wide range of magnitude(M),distance to source(R)and different site soil conditions(SS).The losses expressed in percent of building replacement cost for RCHR buildings are obtained.In the estimation of losses,both structural(S)and nonstructural(NS)damage for four DSs are considered.The effect of different GM characteristics(M,R and SS)on the obtained losses are investigated.Finally,the estimated performance of the RCHR buildings are checked to ensure that they fulfill limit state requirements according to Eurocode 8.展开更多
This paper deals with the effect of layer height randomness on the seismic response of a layered soil. These parameters are assumed to be lognormal random variables. The analysis is carried out via Monte Carlo simulat...This paper deals with the effect of layer height randomness on the seismic response of a layered soil. These parameters are assumed to be lognormal random variables. The analysis is carried out via Monte Carlo simulations coupled with the stiffness matrix method. A parametric study is conducted to derive the stochastic behavior of the peak ground acceleration and its response spectrum,the transfer function and the amplification factors. The input soil characteristics correspond to a site in Mexico City and the input seismic accelerations correspond to the Loma Prieta earthquake. It is found that the layer height heterogeneity causes a widening of the frequency content and a slight increase in the fundamental frequency of the soil profile,indicating that the resonance phenomenon is a concern for a large number of structures. Variation of the layer height randomness acts as a variation of the incident angle,i.e.,a decrease of the amplitude and a shift of the resonant frequencies.展开更多
Several types of mixed distribution are proposed and tested in order to determine the best model in describing daily rainfall amount in Peninsular Malaysia for the time period of 33 years. A mixed distribution is a mi...Several types of mixed distribution are proposed and tested in order to determine the best model in describing daily rainfall amount in Peninsular Malaysia for the time period of 33 years. A mixed distribution is a mixture of discrete and continuous daily rainfall which included the dry days. The mixed distributions tested in this study were exponential distribution, gamma distribution, weibull distribution and lognormal distribution. The model will be selected based on the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). In general, the mixed lognormal distribution has been selected as the best model for most of the rain gauge stations in Peninsular Malaysia. However, these results are greatly influenced by the topographical, geographical and climatic changes of the rain gauge stations.展开更多
Concrete carbonation relates to the diffusion of CO2 inthe atmosphere through the concrete pores and to the dissolution of the hydrates. A great deal of uncertainty still remains in this subject as a result of the ran...Concrete carbonation relates to the diffusion of CO2 inthe atmosphere through the concrete pores and to the dissolution of the hydrates. A great deal of uncertainty still remains in this subject as a result of the random nature of the infiltration of these aggressive agents as well as the material and structural properties of reinforced concrete. Consequently, in order to determine the degradation of these structures with time, it is necessary to approach the subject from a probabilistic point of view that it considers the uncertainties involved with the geometrical dimensions of these structures, with the material characteristics and with the environment and the subsequent deterioration that it provokes. The aim of this paper is the evaluation of carbonation depth (Xc) from a probabilistic analysis, focusing specifically on the study of the randomness of the most influential parameters on the reinforced concrete carbonation.展开更多
The paper searched for raw data about wild-caught fish, where a sigmoidal growth function described the mass growth significantly better than non-sigmoidal functions. Specifically, von Bertalanffy’s sigmoidal growth ...The paper searched for raw data about wild-caught fish, where a sigmoidal growth function described the mass growth significantly better than non-sigmoidal functions. Specifically, von Bertalanffy’s sigmoidal growth function (metabolic exponent-pair a = 2/3, b = 1) was compared with unbounded linear growth and with bounded exponential growth using the Akaike information criterion. Thereby the maximum likelihood fits were compared, assuming a lognormal distribution of mass (i.e. a higher variance for heavier animals). Starting from 70+ size-at-age data, the paper focused on 15 data coming from large datasets. Of them, six data with 400 - 20,000 data-points were suitable for sigmoidal growth modeling. For these, a custom-made optimization tool identified the best fitting growth function from the general von Bertalanffy-Pütter class of models. This class generalizes the well-known models of Verhulst (logistic growth), Gompertz and von Bertalanffy. Whereas the best-fitting models varied widely, their exponent-pairs displayed a remarkable pattern, as their difference was close to 1/3 (example: von Bertalanffy exponent-pair). This defined a new class of models, for which the paper provided a biological motivation that relates growth to food consumption.展开更多
文摘Objective:To compare the prognostic factors of mortality among melioidosis patients between lognormal accelerated failure time(AFT),Cox proportional hazards(PH),and Cox PH with time-varying coefficient(TVC)models.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted from 2014 to 2019 among 453 patients who were admitted to Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah,Kedah and Hospital Tuanku Fauziah,Perlis in Northern Malaysia due to confirmed-cultured melioidosis.The prognostic factors of mortality from melioidosis were obtained from AFT survival analysis,and Cox’s models and the findings were compared by using the goodness of fit methods.The analyses were done by using Stata SE version 14.0.Results:A total of 242 patients(53.4%)survived.In this study,the median survival time of melioidosis patients was 30.0 days(95%CI 0.0-60.9).Six significant prognostic factors were identified in the Cox PH model and Cox PH-TVC model.In AFT survival analysis,a total of seven significant prognostic factors were identified.The results were found to be only a slight difference between the identified prognostic factors among the models.AFT survival showed better results compared to Cox's models,with the lowest Akaike information criteria and best fitted Cox-snell residuals.Conclusions:AFT survival analysis provides more reliable results and can be used as an alternative statistical analysis for determining the prognostic factors of mortality in melioidosis patients in certain situations.
文摘The statistical distribution of natural phenomena is of great significance in studying the laws of nature.In order to study the statistical characteristics of a random pulse signal,a random process model is proposed theoretically for better studying of the random law of measured results.Moreover,a simple random pulse signal generation and testing system is designed for studying the counting distributions of three typical objects including particles suspended in the air,standard particles,and background noise.Both normal and lognormal distribution fittings are used for analyzing the experimental results and testified by chi-square distribution fit test and correlation coefficient for comparison.In addition,the statistical laws of three typical objects and the relations between them are discussed in detail.The relation is also the non-integral dimension fractal relation of statistical distributions of different random laser scattering pulse signal groups.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71371035)
文摘The two-parameter lognormal distribution is a variant of the normal distribution and the three-parameter lognormal distribution is an extension of the two-parameter lognormal distribution by introducing a location parameter. The Q-Q plot of the three-parameter lognormal distribution is widely used. To obtain the Q-Q plot one needs to iteratively try different values of the shape parameter and subjectively judge the linearity of the Q-Q plot. In this paper,a mathematical method was proposed to determine the value of the shape parameter so as to simplify the generation of the Q-Q plot. Then a new probability plot was proposed,which was more easily obtained and provided more accurate parameter estimates than the Q-Q plot. These are illustrated by three realworld examples.
文摘We propose a software reliability growth model with testing-effort based on a continuous-state space stochastic process, such as a lognormal process, and conduct its goodness-of-fit evaluation. We also discuss a parameter estimation method of our model. Then, we derive several software reliability assessment measures by the probability distribution of its solution process, and compare our model with existing continuous-state space software reliability growth models in terms of the mean square error and the Akaike’s information criterion by using actual fault count data.
文摘The calculation of the mean difference for the lognormal distribution involves several hard integrals featuring the error function. In this paper, considering two particular cases of an integral of the exponential function for the complement to one of the error functions, and using various symmetries, we have achieved the result of an extremely simple and useful formula of the mean difference for the lognormal distribution.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61871050)。
文摘Received signal strength(RSS)based positioning schemes ignore the actual environmental feature that the volatility of RSS increases as signal propagation distance grows.Therefore,RSS over long distance generally has relatively large measurement error and degrades the positioning performance.To reduce the negative impact of these RSSs over long distances,a weighted semidefinite programming(WSDP)positioning scheme was proposed.The WSDP positioning scheme first assesses the signal propagation quality using the average variance of all RSS sets.Then appropriate weighting factors are set based on the variance of each RSS set,and a weighted semidefinite programming optimizer is formulated to estimate the positions of target nodes.Simulation results show that the WSDP positioning scheme can effectively improve the positioning performance.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10071081), and by Special Foundation of USTC.
文摘Let X1,X2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and let X(1),X(2),... be the associatedrecord value sequence. We focus on the asymptotic distributions of sums of records, Tn=∑nk=1X(k), forX1 ∈ LN(γ). In this case, we find that 2 is a strange point for parameter γ. When γ＞ 2, Tn is asymptoticallynormal, while for 2 ＞γ＞ 1, we prove that Tn cannot converge in distribution to any non-degenerate lawthrough common centralizing and normalizing and log Tn is asymptotically normal.
基金supported by the University of KwaZulu-Natal Competitive Grant.
文摘Quantum Monte Carlo data are often afflicted with distributions that resemble lognormal probability distributions and consequently their statistical analysis cannot be based on simple Gaussian assumptions.To this extent a method is introduced to estimate these distributions and thus give better estimates to errors associated with them.This method entails reconstructing the probability distribution of a set of data,with given mean and variance,that has been assumed to be lognormal prior to undergoing a blocking or renormalization transformation.In doing so,we perform a numerical evaluation of the renormalized sum of lognormal random variables.This technique is applied to a simple quantum model utilizing the single-thread Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate the ground state energy or dominant eigenvalue of a Hamiltonian matrix.
文摘A probabilistic seismic loss assessment of RC high-rise(RCHR)buildings designed according to Eurocode 8 and located in the Southern Euro-Mediterranean zone is presented herein.The loss assessment methodology is based on a comprehensive simulation approach which takes into account ground motion(GM)uncertainty,and the random effects in seismic demand,as well as in predicting the damage states(DSs).The methodology is implemented on three RCHR buildings of 20-story,30-story and 40-story with a core wall structural system.The loss functions described by a cumulative lognormal probability distribution are obtained for two intensity levels for a large set of simulations(NLTHAs)based on 60 GM records with a wide range of magnitude(M),distance to source(R)and different site soil conditions(SS).The losses expressed in percent of building replacement cost for RCHR buildings are obtained.In the estimation of losses,both structural(S)and nonstructural(NS)damage for four DSs are considered.The effect of different GM characteristics(M,R and SS)on the obtained losses are investigated.Finally,the estimated performance of the RCHR buildings are checked to ensure that they fulfill limit state requirements according to Eurocode 8.
文摘This paper deals with the effect of layer height randomness on the seismic response of a layered soil. These parameters are assumed to be lognormal random variables. The analysis is carried out via Monte Carlo simulations coupled with the stiffness matrix method. A parametric study is conducted to derive the stochastic behavior of the peak ground acceleration and its response spectrum,the transfer function and the amplification factors. The input soil characteristics correspond to a site in Mexico City and the input seismic accelerations correspond to the Loma Prieta earthquake. It is found that the layer height heterogeneity causes a widening of the frequency content and a slight increase in the fundamental frequency of the soil profile,indicating that the resonance phenomenon is a concern for a large number of structures. Variation of the layer height randomness acts as a variation of the incident angle,i.e.,a decrease of the amplitude and a shift of the resonant frequencies.
文摘Several types of mixed distribution are proposed and tested in order to determine the best model in describing daily rainfall amount in Peninsular Malaysia for the time period of 33 years. A mixed distribution is a mixture of discrete and continuous daily rainfall which included the dry days. The mixed distributions tested in this study were exponential distribution, gamma distribution, weibull distribution and lognormal distribution. The model will be selected based on the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). In general, the mixed lognormal distribution has been selected as the best model for most of the rain gauge stations in Peninsular Malaysia. However, these results are greatly influenced by the topographical, geographical and climatic changes of the rain gauge stations.
文摘Concrete carbonation relates to the diffusion of CO2 inthe atmosphere through the concrete pores and to the dissolution of the hydrates. A great deal of uncertainty still remains in this subject as a result of the random nature of the infiltration of these aggressive agents as well as the material and structural properties of reinforced concrete. Consequently, in order to determine the degradation of these structures with time, it is necessary to approach the subject from a probabilistic point of view that it considers the uncertainties involved with the geometrical dimensions of these structures, with the material characteristics and with the environment and the subsequent deterioration that it provokes. The aim of this paper is the evaluation of carbonation depth (Xc) from a probabilistic analysis, focusing specifically on the study of the randomness of the most influential parameters on the reinforced concrete carbonation.
文摘The paper searched for raw data about wild-caught fish, where a sigmoidal growth function described the mass growth significantly better than non-sigmoidal functions. Specifically, von Bertalanffy’s sigmoidal growth function (metabolic exponent-pair a = 2/3, b = 1) was compared with unbounded linear growth and with bounded exponential growth using the Akaike information criterion. Thereby the maximum likelihood fits were compared, assuming a lognormal distribution of mass (i.e. a higher variance for heavier animals). Starting from 70+ size-at-age data, the paper focused on 15 data coming from large datasets. Of them, six data with 400 - 20,000 data-points were suitable for sigmoidal growth modeling. For these, a custom-made optimization tool identified the best fitting growth function from the general von Bertalanffy-Pütter class of models. This class generalizes the well-known models of Verhulst (logistic growth), Gompertz and von Bertalanffy. Whereas the best-fitting models varied widely, their exponent-pairs displayed a remarkable pattern, as their difference was close to 1/3 (example: von Bertalanffy exponent-pair). This defined a new class of models, for which the paper provided a biological motivation that relates growth to food consumption.
