Wind power volatility not only limits the large-scale grid connection but also poses many challenges to safe grid operation.Accurate wind power prediction can mitigate the adverse effects of wind power volatility on w...Wind power volatility not only limits the large-scale grid connection but also poses many challenges to safe grid operation.Accurate wind power prediction can mitigate the adverse effects of wind power volatility on wind power grid connections.For the characteristics of wind power antecedent data and precedent data jointly to determine the prediction accuracy of the prediction model,the short-term prediction of wind power based on a combined neural network is proposed.First,the Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory(BiLSTM)network prediction model is constructed,and the bi-directional nature of the BiLSTM network is used to deeply mine the wind power data information and find the correlation information within the data.Secondly,to avoid the limitation of a single prediction model when the wind power changes abruptly,the Wavelet Transform-Improved Adaptive Genetic Algorithm-Back Propagation(WT-IAGA-BP)neural network based on the combination of the WT-IAGA-BP neural network and BiLSTM network is constructed for the short-term prediction of wind power.Finally,comparing with LSTM,BiLSTM,WT-LSTM,WT-BiLSTM,WT-IAGA-BP,and WT-IAGA-BP&LSTM prediction models,it is verified that the wind power short-term prediction model based on the combination of WT-IAGA-BP neural network and BiLSTM network has higher prediction accuracy.展开更多
A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a force...A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a forced aligned Hidden Markov Model(HMM) state sequence obtained from the GMM-based acoustic model. Therefore, it requires a long computation time for training both the GMM-based acoustic model and a deep learning-based acoustic model. In order to solve this problem, an acoustic model using CTC algorithm is proposed. CTC algorithm does not require the GMM-based acoustic model because it does not use the forced aligned HMM state sequence. However, previous works on a LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC used a small-scale training corpus. In this paper, the LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC is trained on a large-scale training corpus and its performance is evaluated. The implemented acoustic model has a performance of 6.18% and 15.01% in terms of Word Error Rate(WER) for clean speech and noisy speech, respectively. This is similar to a performance of the acoustic model based on the hybrid method.展开更多
The unloading relaxation caused by excavation for construction of high arch dams is an important factor influencing the foundation’s integrity and strength.To evaluate the degree of unloading relaxation,the long-shor...The unloading relaxation caused by excavation for construction of high arch dams is an important factor influencing the foundation’s integrity and strength.To evaluate the degree of unloading relaxation,the long-short term memory(LSTM)network was used to estimate the depth of unloading relaxation zones on the left bank foundation of the Baihetan Arch Dam.Principal component analysis indicates that rock charac-teristics,the structural plane,the protection layer,lithology,and time are the main factors.The LSTM network results demonstrate the unloading relaxation characteristics of the left bank,and the relationships with the factors were also analyzed.The structural plane has the most significant influence on the distribution of unloading relaxation zones.Compared with massive basalt,the columnar jointed basalt experiences a more significant unloading relaxation phenomenon with a clear time effect,with the average unloading relaxation period being 50 d.The protection layer can effectively reduce the unloading relaxation depth by approximately 20%.展开更多
Aimed at the problem that the traditional ART-2 neural network can not recognize a gradually changing course, an eternal term memory (ETM) vector is introduced into ART-2 to simulate the function of human brain, i.e. ...Aimed at the problem that the traditional ART-2 neural network can not recognize a gradually changing course, an eternal term memory (ETM) vector is introduced into ART-2 to simulate the function of human brain, i.e. the deep remembrance for the initial impression.. The eternal term memory vector is determined only by the initial vector that establishes category neuron node and is used to keep the remembrance for this vector for ever. Two times of vigilance algorithm are put forward, and the posterior input vector must first pass the first vigilance of this eternal term memory vector, only succeeded has it the qualification to begin the second vigilance of long term memory vector. The long term memory vector can be revised only when both of the vigilances are passed. Results of recognition examples show that the improved ART-2 overcomes the defect of traditional ART-2 and can recognize a gradually changing course effectively.展开更多
Recent advancements have established machine learning's utility in predicting nonlinear fluid dynamics,with predictive accuracy being a central motivation for employing neural networks.However,the pattern recognit...Recent advancements have established machine learning's utility in predicting nonlinear fluid dynamics,with predictive accuracy being a central motivation for employing neural networks.However,the pattern recognition central to the networks function is equally valuable for enhancing our dynamical insight into the complex fluid dynamics.In this paper,a single-layer convolutional neural network(CNN)was trained to recognize three qualitatively different subsonic buffet flows(periodic,quasi-periodic and chaotic)over a high-incidence airfoil,and a near-perfect accuracy was obtained with only a small training dataset.The convolutional kernels and corresponding feature maps,developed by the model with no temporal information provided,identified large-scale coherent structures in agreement with those known to be associated with buffet flows.Sensitivity to hyperparameters including network architecture and convolutional kernel size was also explored.The coherent structures identified by these models enhance our dynamical understanding of subsonic buffet over high-incidence airfoils over a wide range of Reynolds numbers.展开更多
Traditional recurrent neural networks are composed of capacitors, inductors, resistors, and operational amplifiers.Memristive neural networks are constructed by replacing resistors with memristors. This paper focuses ...Traditional recurrent neural networks are composed of capacitors, inductors, resistors, and operational amplifiers.Memristive neural networks are constructed by replacing resistors with memristors. This paper focuses on the memory analysis,i.e. the initial value computation, of memristors. Firstly, we present the memory analysis for a single memristor based on memristors’ mathematical models with linear and nonlinear drift.Secondly, we present the memory analysis for two memristors in series and parallel. Thirdly, we point out the difference between traditional neural networks and those that are memristive. Based on the current and voltage relationship of memristors, we use mathematical analysis and SPICE simulations to demonstrate the validity of our methods.展开更多
Predicting wind speed accurately is essential to ensure the stability of the wind power system and improve the utilization rate of wind energy.However,owing to the stochastic and intermittent of wind speed,predicting ...Predicting wind speed accurately is essential to ensure the stability of the wind power system and improve the utilization rate of wind energy.However,owing to the stochastic and intermittent of wind speed,predicting wind speed accurately is difficult.A new hybrid deep learning model based on empirical wavelet transform,recurrent neural network and error correction for short-term wind speed prediction is proposed in this paper.The empirical wavelet transformation is applied to decompose the original wind speed series.The long short term memory network and the Elman neural network are adopted to predict low-frequency and high-frequency wind speed sub-layers respectively to balance the calculation efficiency and prediction accuracy.The error correction strategy based on deep long short term memory network is developed to modify the prediction errors.Four actual wind speed series are utilized to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model.The empirical results indicate that the method proposed in this paper has satisfactory performance in wind speed prediction.展开更多
Due to the increasing variety of information and services carried by optical networks, the survivability of network becomes an important problem in current research. The fault location of OTN is of great significance ...Due to the increasing variety of information and services carried by optical networks, the survivability of network becomes an important problem in current research. The fault location of OTN is of great significance for studying the survivability of optical networks. Firstly, a three-channel network model is established and analyzing common alarm data, the fault monitoring points and common fault points are carried out. The artificial neural network is introduced into the fault location field of OTN and it is used to judge whether the possible fault point exists or not. But one of the obvious limitations of general neural networks is that they receive a fixedsize vector as input and produce a fixed-size vector as the output. Not only that, these models is even fixed for mapping operations (for example, the number of layers in the model). The difference between the recurrent neural network and general neural networks is that it can operate on the sequence. In spite of the fact that the gradient disappears and the gradient explodes still exist in the neural network, the method of gradient shearing or weight regularization is adopted to solve this problem, and choose the LSTM (long-short term memory networks) to locate the fault. The output uses the concept of membership degree of fuzzy theory to express the possible fault point with the probability from 0 to 1. Priority is given to the treatment of fault points with high probability. The concept of F-Measure is also introduced, and the positioning effect is measured by using location time, MSE and F-Measure. The experiment shows that both LSTM and BP neural network can locate the fault of optical transport network well, but the overall effect of LSTM is better. The localization time of LSTM is shorter than that of BP neural network, and the F1-score of LSTM can reach 0.961566888396156 after 45 iterations, which meets the accuracy and real-time requirements of fault location. Therefore, it has good application prospect and practical value to introduce neural network into the fault location field of optical transport network.展开更多
Stocks that are fundamentally connected with each other tend to move together.Considering such common trends is believed to benefit stock movement forecasting tasks.However,such signals are not trivial to model becaus...Stocks that are fundamentally connected with each other tend to move together.Considering such common trends is believed to benefit stock movement forecasting tasks.However,such signals are not trivial to model because the connections among stocks are not physically presented and need to be estimated from volatile data.Motivated by this observation,we propose a framework that incorporates the inter-connection of firms to forecast stock prices.To effectively utilize a large set of fundamental features,we further design a novel pipeline.First,we use variational autoencoder(VAE)to reduce the dimension of stock fundamental information and then cluster stocks into a graph structure(fundamentally clustering).Second,a hybrid model of graph convolutional network and long-short term memory network(GCN-LSTM)with an adjacency graph matrix(learnt from VAE)is proposed for graph-structured stock market forecasting.Experiments on minute-level U.S.stock market data demonstrate that our model effectively captures both spatial and temporal signals and achieves superior improvement over baseline methods.The proposed model is promising for other applications in which there is a possible but hidden spatial dependency to improve time-series prediction.展开更多
To supplement missing logging information without increasing economic cost, a machine learning method to generate synthetic well logs from the existing log data was presented, and the experimental verification and app...To supplement missing logging information without increasing economic cost, a machine learning method to generate synthetic well logs from the existing log data was presented, and the experimental verification and application effect analysis were carried out. Since the traditional Fully Connected Neural Network(FCNN) is incapable of preserving spatial dependency, the Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) network, which is a kind of Recurrent Neural Network(RNN), was utilized to establish a method for log reconstruction. By this method, synthetic logs can be generated from series of input log data with consideration of variation trend and context information with depth. Besides, a cascaded LSTM was proposed by combining the standard LSTM with a cascade system. Testing through real well log data shows that: the results from the LSTM are of higher accuracy than the traditional FCNN; the cascaded LSTM is more suitable for the problem with multiple series data; the machine learning method proposed provides an accurate and cost effective way for synthetic well log generation.展开更多
Currently,Bitcoin is the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.The price of Bitcoin is extremely volatile,which can be described as high-benefit and high-risk.To minimize the risk involved,a means of more accurately pr...Currently,Bitcoin is the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.The price of Bitcoin is extremely volatile,which can be described as high-benefit and high-risk.To minimize the risk involved,a means of more accurately predicting the Bitcoin price is required.Most of the existing studies of Bitcoin prediction are based on historical(i.e.,benchmark)data,without considering the real-time(i.e.,live)data.To mitigate the issue of price volatility and achieve more precise outcomes,this study suggests using historical and real-time data to predict the Bitcoin candlestick—or open,high,low,and close(OHLC)—prices.Seeking a better prediction model,the present study proposes time series-based deep learning models.In particular,two deep learning algorithms were applied,namely,long short-term memory(LSTM)and gated recurrent unit(GRU).Using real-time data,the Bitcoin candlesticks were predicted for three intervals:the next 4 h,the next 12 h,and the next 24 h.The results showed that the best-performing model was the LSTM-based model with the 4-h interval.In particular,this model achieved a stellar performance with a mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of 0.63,a root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.0009,a mean square error(MSE)of 9e-07,a mean absolute error(MAE)of 0.0005,and an R-squared coefficient(R2)of 0.994.With these results,the proposed prediction model has demonstrated its efficiency over the models proposed in previous studies.The findings of this study have considerable implications in the business field,as the proposed model can assist investors and traders in precisely identifying Bitcoin sales and buying opportunities.展开更多
In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits...In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.展开更多
Multi-target tracking is facing the difficulties of modeling uncertain motion and observation noise.Traditional tracking algorithms are limited by specific models and priors that may mismatch a real-world scenario.In ...Multi-target tracking is facing the difficulties of modeling uncertain motion and observation noise.Traditional tracking algorithms are limited by specific models and priors that may mismatch a real-world scenario.In this paper,considering the model-free purpose,we present an online Multi-Target Intelligent Tracking(MTIT)algorithm based on a Deep Long-Short Term Memory(DLSTM)network for complex tracking requirements,named the MTIT-DLSTM algorithm.Firstly,to distinguish trajectories and concatenate the tracking task in a time sequence,we define a target tuple set that is the labeled Random Finite Set(RFS).Then,prediction and update blocks based on the DLSTM network are constructed to predict and estimate the state of targets,respectively.Further,the prediction block can learn the movement trend from the historical state sequence,while the update block can capture the noise characteristic from the historical measurement sequence.Finally,a data association scheme based on Hungarian algorithm and the heuristic track management strategy are employed to assign measurements to targets and adapt births and deaths.Experimental results manifest that,compared with the existing tracking algorithms,our proposed MTIT-DLSTM algorithm can improve effectively the accuracy and robustness in estimating the state of targets appearing at random positions,and be applied to linear and nonlinear multi-target tracking scenarios.展开更多
Current LTE networks are experiencing significant growth in the number of users worldwide. The use of data services for online browsing, e-learning, online meetings and initiatives such as smart cities means that subs...Current LTE networks are experiencing significant growth in the number of users worldwide. The use of data services for online browsing, e-learning, online meetings and initiatives such as smart cities means that subscribers stay connected for long periods, thereby saturating a number of signalling resources. One of such resources is the Radio Resource Connected (RRC) parameter, which is allocated to eNodeBs with the aim of limiting the number of connected simultaneously in the network. The fixed allocation of this parameter means that, depending on the traffic at different times of the day and the geographical position, some eNodeBs are saturated with RRC resources (overused) while others have unused RRC resources. However, as these resources are limited, there is the problem of their underutilization (non-optimal utilization of resources at the eNodeB level) due to static allocation (manual configuration of resources). The objective of this paper is to design an efficient machine learning model that will take as input some key performance indices (KPIs) like traffic data, RRC, simultaneous users, etc., for each eNodeB per hour and per day and accurately predict the number of needed RRC resources that will be dynamically allocated to them in order to avoid traffic and financial losses to the mobile network operator. To reach this target, three machine learning algorithms have been studied namely: linear regression, convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory (LSTM) to train three models and evaluate them. The model trained with the LSTM algorithm gave the best performance with 97% accuracy and was therefore implemented in the proposed solution for RRC resource allocation. An interconnection architecture is also proposed to embed the proposed solution into the Operation and maintenance network of a mobile network operator. In this way, the proposed solution can contribute to developing and expanding the concept of Self Organizing Network (SON) used in 4G and 5G networks.展开更多
基金support of national natural science foundation of China(No.52067021)natural science foundation of Xinjiang(2022D01C35)+1 种基金excellent youth scientific and technological talents plan of Xinjiang(No.2019Q012)major science&technology special project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region(2022A01002-2)。
文摘Wind power volatility not only limits the large-scale grid connection but also poses many challenges to safe grid operation.Accurate wind power prediction can mitigate the adverse effects of wind power volatility on wind power grid connections.For the characteristics of wind power antecedent data and precedent data jointly to determine the prediction accuracy of the prediction model,the short-term prediction of wind power based on a combined neural network is proposed.First,the Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory(BiLSTM)network prediction model is constructed,and the bi-directional nature of the BiLSTM network is used to deeply mine the wind power data information and find the correlation information within the data.Secondly,to avoid the limitation of a single prediction model when the wind power changes abruptly,the Wavelet Transform-Improved Adaptive Genetic Algorithm-Back Propagation(WT-IAGA-BP)neural network based on the combination of the WT-IAGA-BP neural network and BiLSTM network is constructed for the short-term prediction of wind power.Finally,comparing with LSTM,BiLSTM,WT-LSTM,WT-BiLSTM,WT-IAGA-BP,and WT-IAGA-BP&LSTM prediction models,it is verified that the wind power short-term prediction model based on the combination of WT-IAGA-BP neural network and BiLSTM network has higher prediction accuracy.
基金supported by the Ministry of Trade,Industry & Energy(MOTIE,Korea) under Industrial Technology Innovation Program (No.10063424,'development of distant speech recognition and multi-task dialog processing technologies for in-door conversational robots')
文摘A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a forced aligned Hidden Markov Model(HMM) state sequence obtained from the GMM-based acoustic model. Therefore, it requires a long computation time for training both the GMM-based acoustic model and a deep learning-based acoustic model. In order to solve this problem, an acoustic model using CTC algorithm is proposed. CTC algorithm does not require the GMM-based acoustic model because it does not use the forced aligned HMM state sequence. However, previous works on a LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC used a small-scale training corpus. In this paper, the LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC is trained on a large-scale training corpus and its performance is evaluated. The implemented acoustic model has a performance of 6.18% and 15.01% in terms of Word Error Rate(WER) for clean speech and noisy speech, respectively. This is similar to a performance of the acoustic model based on the hybrid method.
基金This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2018YFC0407004)the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants No.51939004 and 11772116).
文摘The unloading relaxation caused by excavation for construction of high arch dams is an important factor influencing the foundation’s integrity and strength.To evaluate the degree of unloading relaxation,the long-short term memory(LSTM)network was used to estimate the depth of unloading relaxation zones on the left bank foundation of the Baihetan Arch Dam.Principal component analysis indicates that rock charac-teristics,the structural plane,the protection layer,lithology,and time are the main factors.The LSTM network results demonstrate the unloading relaxation characteristics of the left bank,and the relationships with the factors were also analyzed.The structural plane has the most significant influence on the distribution of unloading relaxation zones.Compared with massive basalt,the columnar jointed basalt experiences a more significant unloading relaxation phenomenon with a clear time effect,with the average unloading relaxation period being 50 d.The protection layer can effectively reduce the unloading relaxation depth by approximately 20%.
基金Sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50305005)
文摘Aimed at the problem that the traditional ART-2 neural network can not recognize a gradually changing course, an eternal term memory (ETM) vector is introduced into ART-2 to simulate the function of human brain, i.e. the deep remembrance for the initial impression.. The eternal term memory vector is determined only by the initial vector that establishes category neuron node and is used to keep the remembrance for this vector for ever. Two times of vigilance algorithm are put forward, and the posterior input vector must first pass the first vigilance of this eternal term memory vector, only succeeded has it the qualification to begin the second vigilance of long term memory vector. The long term memory vector can be revised only when both of the vigilances are passed. Results of recognition examples show that the improved ART-2 overcomes the defect of traditional ART-2 and can recognize a gradually changing course effectively.
文摘Recent advancements have established machine learning's utility in predicting nonlinear fluid dynamics,with predictive accuracy being a central motivation for employing neural networks.However,the pattern recognition central to the networks function is equally valuable for enhancing our dynamical insight into the complex fluid dynamics.In this paper,a single-layer convolutional neural network(CNN)was trained to recognize three qualitatively different subsonic buffet flows(periodic,quasi-periodic and chaotic)over a high-incidence airfoil,and a near-perfect accuracy was obtained with only a small training dataset.The convolutional kernels and corresponding feature maps,developed by the model with no temporal information provided,identified large-scale coherent structures in agreement with those known to be associated with buffet flows.Sensitivity to hyperparameters including network architecture and convolutional kernel size was also explored.The coherent structures identified by these models enhance our dynamical understanding of subsonic buffet over high-incidence airfoils over a wide range of Reynolds numbers.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61876097,61673188,61761130081)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2016YFB0800402)+1 种基金the Foundation for Innovative Research Groups of Hubei Province of China(2017CFA005)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(2017KFXKJC002)
文摘Traditional recurrent neural networks are composed of capacitors, inductors, resistors, and operational amplifiers.Memristive neural networks are constructed by replacing resistors with memristors. This paper focuses on the memory analysis,i.e. the initial value computation, of memristors. Firstly, we present the memory analysis for a single memristor based on memristors’ mathematical models with linear and nonlinear drift.Secondly, we present the memory analysis for two memristors in series and parallel. Thirdly, we point out the difference between traditional neural networks and those that are memristive. Based on the current and voltage relationship of memristors, we use mathematical analysis and SPICE simulations to demonstrate the validity of our methods.
基金the Gansu Province Soft Scientific Research Projects(No.2015GS06516)the Funds for Distinguished Young Scientists of Lanzhou University of Technology,China(No.J201304)。
文摘Predicting wind speed accurately is essential to ensure the stability of the wind power system and improve the utilization rate of wind energy.However,owing to the stochastic and intermittent of wind speed,predicting wind speed accurately is difficult.A new hybrid deep learning model based on empirical wavelet transform,recurrent neural network and error correction for short-term wind speed prediction is proposed in this paper.The empirical wavelet transformation is applied to decompose the original wind speed series.The long short term memory network and the Elman neural network are adopted to predict low-frequency and high-frequency wind speed sub-layers respectively to balance the calculation efficiency and prediction accuracy.The error correction strategy based on deep long short term memory network is developed to modify the prediction errors.Four actual wind speed series are utilized to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model.The empirical results indicate that the method proposed in this paper has satisfactory performance in wind speed prediction.
文摘Due to the increasing variety of information and services carried by optical networks, the survivability of network becomes an important problem in current research. The fault location of OTN is of great significance for studying the survivability of optical networks. Firstly, a three-channel network model is established and analyzing common alarm data, the fault monitoring points and common fault points are carried out. The artificial neural network is introduced into the fault location field of OTN and it is used to judge whether the possible fault point exists or not. But one of the obvious limitations of general neural networks is that they receive a fixedsize vector as input and produce a fixed-size vector as the output. Not only that, these models is even fixed for mapping operations (for example, the number of layers in the model). The difference between the recurrent neural network and general neural networks is that it can operate on the sequence. In spite of the fact that the gradient disappears and the gradient explodes still exist in the neural network, the method of gradient shearing or weight regularization is adopted to solve this problem, and choose the LSTM (long-short term memory networks) to locate the fault. The output uses the concept of membership degree of fuzzy theory to express the possible fault point with the probability from 0 to 1. Priority is given to the treatment of fault points with high probability. The concept of F-Measure is also introduced, and the positioning effect is measured by using location time, MSE and F-Measure. The experiment shows that both LSTM and BP neural network can locate the fault of optical transport network well, but the overall effect of LSTM is better. The localization time of LSTM is shorter than that of BP neural network, and the F1-score of LSTM can reach 0.961566888396156 after 45 iterations, which meets the accuracy and real-time requirements of fault location. Therefore, it has good application prospect and practical value to introduce neural network into the fault location field of optical transport network.
文摘Stocks that are fundamentally connected with each other tend to move together.Considering such common trends is believed to benefit stock movement forecasting tasks.However,such signals are not trivial to model because the connections among stocks are not physically presented and need to be estimated from volatile data.Motivated by this observation,we propose a framework that incorporates the inter-connection of firms to forecast stock prices.To effectively utilize a large set of fundamental features,we further design a novel pipeline.First,we use variational autoencoder(VAE)to reduce the dimension of stock fundamental information and then cluster stocks into a graph structure(fundamentally clustering).Second,a hybrid model of graph convolutional network and long-short term memory network(GCN-LSTM)with an adjacency graph matrix(learnt from VAE)is proposed for graph-structured stock market forecasting.Experiments on minute-level U.S.stock market data demonstrate that our model effectively captures both spatial and temporal signals and achieves superior improvement over baseline methods.The proposed model is promising for other applications in which there is a possible but hidden spatial dependency to improve time-series prediction.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1663208,51520105005)the National Science and Technology Major Project of China(2017ZX05009-005,2016ZX05037-003)
文摘To supplement missing logging information without increasing economic cost, a machine learning method to generate synthetic well logs from the existing log data was presented, and the experimental verification and application effect analysis were carried out. Since the traditional Fully Connected Neural Network(FCNN) is incapable of preserving spatial dependency, the Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) network, which is a kind of Recurrent Neural Network(RNN), was utilized to establish a method for log reconstruction. By this method, synthetic logs can be generated from series of input log data with consideration of variation trend and context information with depth. Besides, a cascaded LSTM was proposed by combining the standard LSTM with a cascade system. Testing through real well log data shows that: the results from the LSTM are of higher accuracy than the traditional FCNN; the cascaded LSTM is more suitable for the problem with multiple series data; the machine learning method proposed provides an accurate and cost effective way for synthetic well log generation.
文摘Currently,Bitcoin is the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.The price of Bitcoin is extremely volatile,which can be described as high-benefit and high-risk.To minimize the risk involved,a means of more accurately predicting the Bitcoin price is required.Most of the existing studies of Bitcoin prediction are based on historical(i.e.,benchmark)data,without considering the real-time(i.e.,live)data.To mitigate the issue of price volatility and achieve more precise outcomes,this study suggests using historical and real-time data to predict the Bitcoin candlestick—or open,high,low,and close(OHLC)—prices.Seeking a better prediction model,the present study proposes time series-based deep learning models.In particular,two deep learning algorithms were applied,namely,long short-term memory(LSTM)and gated recurrent unit(GRU).Using real-time data,the Bitcoin candlesticks were predicted for three intervals:the next 4 h,the next 12 h,and the next 24 h.The results showed that the best-performing model was the LSTM-based model with the 4-h interval.In particular,this model achieved a stellar performance with a mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of 0.63,a root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.0009,a mean square error(MSE)of 9e-07,a mean absolute error(MAE)of 0.0005,and an R-squared coefficient(R2)of 0.994.With these results,the proposed prediction model has demonstrated its efficiency over the models proposed in previous studies.The findings of this study have considerable implications in the business field,as the proposed model can assist investors and traders in precisely identifying Bitcoin sales and buying opportunities.
基金supported by a State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co.,Ltd.Economic and Technical Research Institute Project(Key Technologies and Empirical Research of Diversified Integrated Operation of User-Side Energy Storage in Power Market Environment,No.5211JY19000W)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Research on Power Market Management to Promote Large-Scale New Energy Consumption,No.71804045).
文摘In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62276204)Open Foundation of Science and Technology on Electronic Information Control Laboratory,Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shanxi,China(Nos.2022JM-340 and 2023-JC-QN-0710)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Nos.2020T130494 and 2018M633470).
文摘Multi-target tracking is facing the difficulties of modeling uncertain motion and observation noise.Traditional tracking algorithms are limited by specific models and priors that may mismatch a real-world scenario.In this paper,considering the model-free purpose,we present an online Multi-Target Intelligent Tracking(MTIT)algorithm based on a Deep Long-Short Term Memory(DLSTM)network for complex tracking requirements,named the MTIT-DLSTM algorithm.Firstly,to distinguish trajectories and concatenate the tracking task in a time sequence,we define a target tuple set that is the labeled Random Finite Set(RFS).Then,prediction and update blocks based on the DLSTM network are constructed to predict and estimate the state of targets,respectively.Further,the prediction block can learn the movement trend from the historical state sequence,while the update block can capture the noise characteristic from the historical measurement sequence.Finally,a data association scheme based on Hungarian algorithm and the heuristic track management strategy are employed to assign measurements to targets and adapt births and deaths.Experimental results manifest that,compared with the existing tracking algorithms,our proposed MTIT-DLSTM algorithm can improve effectively the accuracy and robustness in estimating the state of targets appearing at random positions,and be applied to linear and nonlinear multi-target tracking scenarios.
文摘Current LTE networks are experiencing significant growth in the number of users worldwide. The use of data services for online browsing, e-learning, online meetings and initiatives such as smart cities means that subscribers stay connected for long periods, thereby saturating a number of signalling resources. One of such resources is the Radio Resource Connected (RRC) parameter, which is allocated to eNodeBs with the aim of limiting the number of connected simultaneously in the network. The fixed allocation of this parameter means that, depending on the traffic at different times of the day and the geographical position, some eNodeBs are saturated with RRC resources (overused) while others have unused RRC resources. However, as these resources are limited, there is the problem of their underutilization (non-optimal utilization of resources at the eNodeB level) due to static allocation (manual configuration of resources). The objective of this paper is to design an efficient machine learning model that will take as input some key performance indices (KPIs) like traffic data, RRC, simultaneous users, etc., for each eNodeB per hour and per day and accurately predict the number of needed RRC resources that will be dynamically allocated to them in order to avoid traffic and financial losses to the mobile network operator. To reach this target, three machine learning algorithms have been studied namely: linear regression, convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory (LSTM) to train three models and evaluate them. The model trained with the LSTM algorithm gave the best performance with 97% accuracy and was therefore implemented in the proposed solution for RRC resource allocation. An interconnection architecture is also proposed to embed the proposed solution into the Operation and maintenance network of a mobile network operator. In this way, the proposed solution can contribute to developing and expanding the concept of Self Organizing Network (SON) used in 4G and 5G networks.