The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth’s rotation and solar radiation intensity.On the one hand,its output sequence has daily periodicity;on the other hand,it has discrete ra...The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth’s rotation and solar radiation intensity.On the one hand,its output sequence has daily periodicity;on the other hand,it has discrete randomness.With the development of new energy economy,the proportion of photovoltaic energy increased accordingly.In order to solve the problem of improving the energy conversion efficiency in the grid-connected optical network and ensure the stability of photovoltaic power generation,this paper proposes the short-termprediction of photovoltaic power generation based on the improvedmulti-scale permutation entropy,localmean decomposition and singular spectrum analysis algorithm.Firstly,taking the power output per unit day as the research object,the multi-scale permutation entropy is used to calculate the eigenvectors under different weather conditions,and the cluster analysis is used to reconstruct the historical power generation under typical weather rainy and snowy,sunny,abrupt,cloudy.Then,local mean decomposition(LMD)is used to decompose the output sequence,so as to extract more detail components of the reconstructed output sequence.Finally,combined with the weather forecast of the Meteorological Bureau for the next day,the singular spectrumanalysis algorithm is used to predict the photovoltaic classification of the recombination decomposition sequence under typical weather.Through the verification and analysis of examples,the hierarchical prediction experiments of reconstructed and non-reconstructed output sequences are compared.The results show that the algorithm proposed in this paper is effective in realizing the short-term prediction of photovoltaic generator,and has the advantages of simple structure and high prediction accuracy.展开更多
传统的振动控制技术将初始辨识的系统频率响应函数贯穿使用于振动控制的过程中;针对液压振动台系统的时变特性,提出使用基于最小均方误差(least mean square,简称LMS)的自适应算法在线辨识系统的频响函数。平滑周期图功率谱估计法相对...传统的振动控制技术将初始辨识的系统频率响应函数贯穿使用于振动控制的过程中;针对液压振动台系统的时变特性,提出使用基于最小均方误差(least mean square,简称LMS)的自适应算法在线辨识系统的频响函数。平滑周期图功率谱估计法相对现代谱估计法分辨率较低,提出自回归(auto-regressive,简称AR)模型法对振动系统响应信号进行功率谱估计,利用尤利-沃克(Yule-Walker)方程求解AR模型参数,并给出AR模型阶次确定的方法。利用自行开发的基于DSP和ARM多处理器信号处理系统对功率谱复现进行软硬件仿真。结果表明,此方法对振动台功率谱进行复现,复现精度优于传统功率谱复现算法。展开更多
文摘The power output state of photovoltaic power generation is affected by the earth’s rotation and solar radiation intensity.On the one hand,its output sequence has daily periodicity;on the other hand,it has discrete randomness.With the development of new energy economy,the proportion of photovoltaic energy increased accordingly.In order to solve the problem of improving the energy conversion efficiency in the grid-connected optical network and ensure the stability of photovoltaic power generation,this paper proposes the short-termprediction of photovoltaic power generation based on the improvedmulti-scale permutation entropy,localmean decomposition and singular spectrum analysis algorithm.Firstly,taking the power output per unit day as the research object,the multi-scale permutation entropy is used to calculate the eigenvectors under different weather conditions,and the cluster analysis is used to reconstruct the historical power generation under typical weather rainy and snowy,sunny,abrupt,cloudy.Then,local mean decomposition(LMD)is used to decompose the output sequence,so as to extract more detail components of the reconstructed output sequence.Finally,combined with the weather forecast of the Meteorological Bureau for the next day,the singular spectrumanalysis algorithm is used to predict the photovoltaic classification of the recombination decomposition sequence under typical weather.Through the verification and analysis of examples,the hierarchical prediction experiments of reconstructed and non-reconstructed output sequences are compared.The results show that the algorithm proposed in this paper is effective in realizing the short-term prediction of photovoltaic generator,and has the advantages of simple structure and high prediction accuracy.
文摘传统的振动控制技术将初始辨识的系统频率响应函数贯穿使用于振动控制的过程中;针对液压振动台系统的时变特性,提出使用基于最小均方误差(least mean square,简称LMS)的自适应算法在线辨识系统的频响函数。平滑周期图功率谱估计法相对现代谱估计法分辨率较低,提出自回归(auto-regressive,简称AR)模型法对振动系统响应信号进行功率谱估计,利用尤利-沃克(Yule-Walker)方程求解AR模型参数,并给出AR模型阶次确定的方法。利用自行开发的基于DSP和ARM多处理器信号处理系统对功率谱复现进行软硬件仿真。结果表明,此方法对振动台功率谱进行复现,复现精度优于传统功率谱复现算法。
