Carotenoid Analysis of Several Dark-Green Leafy Vegetables Associated With a Lower Risk of Cancers

We have examined the carotenoid contents of several dark green vegetables found to be associated with a lower risk of various epithelial cancers in our epidemiological study and animal study. Samples of these vegetables were quantitatively examined by highperformance liquid chromatography (HPLC) on a C-18 reversed-phase column for individual carotenoid content. Pure reference compounds (alpha-carotene, beta-carotent, lycopene, canthaxanthin, and lutein) and internal standard (beta-Apo-8'-carotenal) were employed to quantify xanthophylls and carotenes in these vegetables. The results indicated that fresh, dark-green, leafy vegetables were high in beta-carotene (0.94-9.36 mg/100 g) and oxygenated carotenoids or xanthophylls, primarily lutein (0.94-7.39 mg/100 g),whereas lycopene and alpha-carotene were not prominent and canthaxanthin was non existent in these vegetables. These analyses suggest that consumption of carotenoids such as lutein in addition to beta-carotene may be associated with a lower risk of cancers

Flood Risk Assessment in the Lower Valley of Ouémé, Benin

In response to the increased frequency of flood events in recent years, it has become crucial to enhance preparedness and anticipation through precise flood risk assessments. To this end, this study aims to produce updated and precise flood risk maps for the Lower Valley of Ouémé River Basin, located in the South of Benin. The methodology used consisted of a combination of geographical information systems (GIS) and multi-criteria analysis, including Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) methods to define and quantify criteria for flood risk assessment. Seven hydro-geomorphological indicators (elevation, rainfall, slope, distance from rivers, flow accumulation, soil type, and drainage density), four socio-economic vulnerability indicators (female population density, literacy rate, poverty index, and road network density), and two exposure indicators (population density and land use) were integrated to generate risk maps. The results indicate that approximately 21.5% of the Lower Valley is under high and very high flood risk, mainly in the south between Dangbo, So-Ava, and Aguégués. The study findings align with the historical flood pattern in the region, which confirms the suitability of the used method. The novelty of this work lies in its comprehensive approach, the incorporation of AHP for weighting factors, and the use of remote sensing data, GIS technology, and spatial analysis techniques which adds precision to the mapping process. This work advances the scientific understanding of flood risk assessment and offers practical insights and solutions for flood-prone regions. The detailed flood risk indicator maps obtained stand out from previous studies and provide valuable information for effective flood risk management and mitigation efforts in the Lower Valley of Ouémé.

Risk Factors for Lower Extremity Amputation among Diabetic Patients with Diabetic Foot Gangrene in ATBUTH, Bauchi

Background: Diabetic mellitus was described as an evolving global epidemic of the twenty-first century, due to the exponential rise in the number of people with the condition. Lower extremity amputation is one of the common complications of diabetes. With increase in the number of people with diabetes there will also be increase in the number of diabetics going for lower extremity amputation, increasing both the financial as well as psychologic burden of treatment. Methodology: A prospective cross-sectional study of all diabetic patients going for lower extremity amputation will be done. All the patients with advanced diabetic foot syndrome needing lower extremity amputation are enrolled (Wagener stage IV and V), both through the clinic and emergency center. Informed consent is obtained from the patient after which data are collected using a structured questionnaire. All the investigation results of the patients were also documented. Data collected are analyzed using the SPSS version 29. Chi-square and student t-test were used to measure significant relationship between the variables at 95% confident interval. Results: Within the period of study, which extends from 1st January 2022 to 1st of January 2024, a total of 171 patients were recruited. All diabetic patients with diabetic foot Wagener grade IV and V who presented to the clinic or emergency department were enrolled in the study. We found a significant relationship between gender, previous procedure on the affected limb or amputation of the contralateral limb, knowledge of foot care among diabetics and risk of amputation. There was, however, no statistically significant relationship between. There is no statistically significance relationship between the level of education, occupation, presence of co-morbidity with the risk of amputation among diabetic patients with foot syndrome. Conclusion: Previous lower limb procedure/amputation, male gender, paucity of knowledge on foot care, prolonged duration of the disease and method of treatment are important risk factors for the risk of amputation among diabetic patients with diabetic foot syndrome.

Ecological and Human Health Risk Assessment of Toxic Metals in Water, Sediment and Fish from Lower Usuma Dam, Abuja, Nigeria

The study assessed the levels of some toxic metals (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni, Pb and Zn) with their potential ecological and human health risks in water, African Catfish (Clarias gariepinus), Tilapia (Oreochromis spilurus niger) and sediment samples from the Lower Usuma dam FCT, Nigeria during two major seasons in a year (rainy and dry seasons). Toxic metal concentrations were determined using Atomic Absorption spectrophotometry (Cd, Cr, Cu, Ni, Pb and Zn) and Atomic Emission Spectrophotometry (for As and Hg), and the results obtained were compared with national and international standards. The ecological and human health risk indices of the toxic metals present in the samples from the Dam were evaluated and interpreted. Tilapia from the dam posed the highest but medium ecological and human health risk due to Pb concentration of up to 7.11 mg/kg;ecological risk index of 35.55 and hazard quotient of 50.78. Overall ecological and human health risks were low due to the low concentrations of other toxic metals determined. As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni and Zn concentrations were all below WHO limits in the LUD water;Ni and Pb were above limits in the African Catfish and Tilapia samples. The data obtained were analyzed using one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and significant differences accepted at p ≤ 0.05. There was no statistical difference in the concentrations of toxic metals in water but there was significant difference between the concentrations of toxic metals in the fish and sediment samples. Correlation was found to exist between toxic metals in the water, fish and sediment analyzed from the dam. The ecological and human health risks of toxic metals in Lower Usuma dam require regular checks and monitoring hence, it was recommended by the researcher, that this and similar research work be carried out annually by NESREA and also, as research work by other students of Environmental and Analytical chemistry.

Dike Breach Risks of Different Flood Conditions in the Lower Yellow River

Based on the analysis of hanging rivers' actuality in the lower Yellow River and researches related to the evaluation of dike breach risks,it is put forward that the influencing factors of dike beach risks in the lower Yellow River should involve four aspects,the flow and sediment movement,the regional crustal stability,the variation of river regime and the stability of river dikes.With this,the evaluation indexes system of dike breach risks is established,and with the support of geographic information systems technology,the model of multi-hierarchical fuzzy comprehensive judgment is applied to estimate the dike beach risks of the hanging rivers in the lower Yellow River under different flood conditions.The evaluation results of dike breach risks show the following distributing regularities of dike breach risks in the lower Yellow River:(1) Dike breach risks increase with the increase of the flood.(2) Dike breach risks decrease with the changes of river patterns along the channel.(3) There are great risks of dike breach in the wandering reaches,and it is relatively higher in the south bank than in the north in wandering reaches.(4) There is a higher dike breach risk in the north bank than in the south in winding reaches.Simultaneously,the evaluation results manifest that the evaluation indexes system established from the flow and sediment movement,the regional crustal stability,the variation of river regime and the stability of river dikes can represent the actual situation of the lower Yellow River more comprehensively.The application of multihierarchical fuzzy comprehensive judgment can preferably resolve the problem of hanging river dike breach,which has numerous influencing factors and complicated functionary mechanisms.The applications of geographic information systems technology with powerful spatial analysis functions make dike beach risks quantificationally displayed in different spatial positions,and reflect the differences of dike beach risks in different spatial positions of the channel in the lower Yellow River.

股骨粗隆间骨折术后下肢深静脉血栓并发症影响因素分析及Nomogram模型建立

目的探讨股骨粗隆间骨折手术后早期发生下肢深静脉血栓的危险因素,并进行Nomogram模型构建。方法选取2018年1月—2020年12月于华北石油管理局总医院行股骨粗隆间骨折手术的120例患者,术后早期发生下肢深静脉血栓13例。按照术后住院期间是否发生下肢深静脉血栓分为并发症组和无并发症组。采用多因素Logistics分析术后发生并发症的风险并构建Nomogram模型。结果并发症组患者住院时长、术后住院时间、治疗总费用均高于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。单因素分析显示,骨折类型、合并慢性病种类、贫血输血、骨折发病时长是术后下肢深静脉血栓的潜在影响因素,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。将单因素有统计学差异的变量进行Logistics多因素分析,合并慢性病种类、贫血输血、骨折发病时长是股骨粗隆间骨折术后下肢深静脉血栓的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。采用内部数据进行验证,C-index为0.746(95%CI:0.596~0.935),该Nomogram模型预测与实际观测结果吻合度较好。结论术前合并慢性病≥3种、贫血输血、骨折发病时长>1 d是股骨粗隆间骨折术后下肢深静脉血栓的独立危险因素。本研究构建的Nomogram模型有助于指导医师完善个性化围手术期治疗方案。

基于诺莫图构建髋部骨折患者发生下肢深静脉血栓的预测模型

目的探讨髋部骨折患者发生下肢深静脉血栓(DVT)的独立危险因素,并构建和验证列线图模型。方法选择2020年1月至2023年6月佛山市中医院骨科收治的髋部骨折患者227例为研究对象,按照7∶3比例将患者分为建模组(n=159)和验证组(n=68)。收集患者的临床资料,采用LASSO回归和Logistic回归筛选髋部骨折患者发生DVT的独立危险因素,建立风险预测模型和列线图。采用一致性指数(C-index)、校准曲线、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线进行评价。结果建模组159例髋部骨折中发生DVT 33例,发生率为20.89%。LASSO回归结合多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄≥70岁、糖尿病、受伤至手术时间≥5 d、低蛋白血症、D-二聚体>0.5是髋部骨折患者发生DVT的独立危险因素。基于上述危险因素绘制列线图模型,将上述5个危险因素构建列线图模型,模型区分度良好(C-index=0.932);Hosmer-Lemeshow检验显示,列线图的拟合优度良好(χ^(2)=57.625,P=0.732)。建模组和验证组发生DVT的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.932、0.821,模型准确度高。结论年龄≥70岁、糖尿病、受伤至手术时间≥5 d、低蛋白血症、D-二聚体>0.5是髋部骨折患者发生DVT的独立危险因素,基于上述因子构建的列线图模型可有效预测髋部骨折患者发生DVT的风险。

退行性腰椎管狭窄患者椎间孔镜术后下腰痛的危险因素及风险预测模型构建

目的分析退行性腰椎管狭窄(DLSS)患者椎间孔镜术后下腰痛的危险因素及风险预测模型构建。方法本研究采用前瞻性分析,纳入2020年7月至2022年7月南阳市中心医院收治的86例行经皮椎间孔镜手术治疗的DLSS患者为研究对象,术后随访3个月,根据术后下腰痛发生情况,分为发生组和未发生组,分析两组患者临床资料,采用多因素logistic回归分析DLSS患者椎间孔镜术后下腰痛发生的影响因素,构建风险预测模型,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估风险模型的预测效能。结果随访3个月,86例DLSS患者行椎间孔镜术后发生下腰痛患者21例,发生率为24.42%(21/86);发生组骨质疏松、术中清理椎间隙、术后椎管内无菌性炎症、首次锻炼时间与未发生组比较,差异无统计学意义(P<0.05);经多因素logistic回归分析,结果显示,骨质疏松、术中清理椎间隙、术后椎管内无菌性炎症、首次接受锻炼时间均是DLSS患者椎间孔镜术后下腰痛发生的危险因素(P<0.05);构建风险模型,验证模型显示C-index值为0.870,具有良好区分度,绘制标准曲线显示,校准曲线和Y-X直线相近,模型准确度良好;对模型预测效能进行验证,结果显示,风险模型评估DLSS患者椎间孔镜术后下腰痛发生的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.870,95%CI为0.779~0.961,P<0.001。结论DLSS患者行椎间孔镜术后下腰痛发生率较高,合并骨质疏松、术中未清理椎间隙、有术后椎管内无菌性炎症、首次接受锻炼时间延长均是DLSS患者行椎间孔镜术后发生下腰痛的危险因素,基于以上因素构建的风险模型对DLSS患者行椎间孔镜术后是否发生下腰痛具有较高的评估价值。

Research and Application of Rainstorm Disaster Risk Assessment along the Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River

We explored and studied rainstorm disaster impact grade. Firstly,we selected average precipitation,precipitation intensity,coverage and duration during rainstorm process,and economic losses,the number of deaths and total casualties in rainstorm disaster situation as the pre-assessment indexes of rainstorm process impact grade along the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River. Then,normalized and dimensionless processing of each index was conducted. By using gray correlation method,we established rainstorm process grade and rainstorm disaster impact grade. At last,we conducted regression analysis of relevancy degree between rainstorm process grade and rainstorm disaster situation grade,and established a linear relationship between the two,thereby getting a rainstorm disaster pre-assessment method. On this basis,using rainstorm hazard factors in independent sample,we carried out pre-assessment test of disaster impact grade. The results show that this pre-assessment method is quick and easy,and the effect is better.

下肢动脉硬化闭塞病人介入术后并发DVT的风险预测列线图模型构建及验证

目的探讨下肢动脉硬化闭塞病人介入术后并发深静脉血栓(DVT)的风险因素,并构建DVT风险预测列线图模型及进行验证。方法回顾性分析2018年6月至2022年5月在漯河市中心医院进行经皮腔内介入术治疗的374例下肢动脉硬化闭塞病人的临床资料,根据术后是否并发DVT而将病人分为并发DVT组与未并发DVT组。对比两组一般资料,采用多因素logistic回归分析法分析下肢动脉硬化闭塞介入术后并发DVT的危险因素,并利用R软件与rms程序构建DVT风险预测列线图模型,且应用caret程序包通过Bootstrap法对其进行内部验证,计算模型一致性指数(C-index),并绘制受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评价该模型的预测效能。结果374例下肢动脉硬化闭塞病人介入术后3个月内,DVT并发率为9.63%(36/374);并发DVT组年龄≥60岁占比、完全闭塞占比、术后卧床时间≥3 d占比及总胆固醇(TC)、三酰甘油(TG)、低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDLC)、纤维蛋白原(FIB)、D-二聚体(D-D)、血小板计数(PLT)均高于未并发DVT组[69.44%(25/36)比50.59%(171/338)、41.67%(15/36)比25.44%(86/338)、58.33%(21/36)比22.19%(75/338)、(4.96±1.02)mmol/L比(4.63±0.94)mmol/L、(2.09±0.26)mmol/L比(1.81±0.31)mmol/L、(3.65±0.54)mmol/L比(3.47±0.51)mmol/L、(3.45±0.62)g/L比(3.11±0.54)g/L、(0.67±0.11)mg/L比(0.38±0.06)mg/L、(246.85±42.74)×10^(9)/L比(205.16±39.68)×10^(9)/L](P<0.05),凝血酶时间(TT)低于未并发DVT组[(15.16±3.11)s比(16.33±3.14)s](P<0.05);多因素logistic回归分析结果显示年龄≥60岁、术后卧床时间≥3 d、TG、FIB、D-D、PLT均是下肢动脉硬化闭塞介入术后并发DVT的危险因素(P<0.05);基于多因素logistic回归分析结果而构建下肢动脉硬化闭塞介入术后并发DVT的风险预测列线图模型,其校正曲线结果显示标准曲线与校准预测曲线具有良好的贴合度;该模型C-index为0.88(0.81~0.89),ROC曲线下面积为0.85[95%CI:(0.78,0.91),Z=9.54,P<0.001]。结论基于年龄、术后卧床时间、TG、FIB、D-D、PLT构建的下肢动脉硬化闭塞病人介入术后并发DVT风险预测列线图模型具有较好的预测能力与区分能力,对临床筛选高风险人群具有较高的指导价值。

起始联合降脂策略对心内科门诊“极高危ASCVD”患者疗效及安全性观察——真实世界的前瞻性队列研究

目的:在真实世界的前瞻性队列研究中观察心内科门诊“极高危ASCVD”患者在治疗起始阶段采用联合降脂策略的疗效与安全性。方法:连续入组2021年1月至6月在湘雅医院心内科高脂血症专病门诊就诊的“极高危ASCVD”患者,根据其实际降脂策略分为三组:阿托伐他汀单药组;阿托伐他汀联合依折麦布组;阿托伐他汀联合依洛尤单抗组。主要观察终点为治疗一个月后低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C)、脂蛋白a[Lp(a)]、非-HDL-C变化,次要终点为总胆固醇(TC)、甘油三酯(TG)、LDL-C、超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)变化及安全性指标。结果:无论哪种联合方式,在“极高危ASCVD”患者降脂起始阶段联合降脂治疗的疗效均显著优于阿托伐他汀单药组:LDL-C、Log[Lp(a)]、非-HDL-C、TC的降幅更大,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。在两种联合降脂方案中,阿托伐他汀联合依洛尤单抗与联合依折麦布相比,LDL-C、Log[Lp(a)]的降幅更大,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05),TC、TG有一定的降幅,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。以“LDL-C<1.4 mmol/L或<1.8 mmol/L”作为降脂达标的标准时,两组联合降脂治疗的LDL-C达标率均高于阿托伐他汀单药组,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05);阿托伐他汀联合依洛尤单抗组的LDL-C达标率高于阿托伐他汀联合依折麦布组,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。单独或联合“LDL下降超过50%”的降幅为达标标准,三组均无人能达标。治疗后三组间的肝脏转氨酶水平变化差异均无统计学意义(均P<0.05);三组间心肌酶同工酶(CK-MB)均下降,但差异无统计学意义(P<0.05)。与阿托伐他汀单药组相比,两联合降脂组治疗组的血糖均下降,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05);阿托伐他汀联合依折麦布组的血糖比阿托伐他汀联合依洛尤单抗组的降幅更大,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论:起始联合降脂治疗1个月对心内科门诊“极高危ASCVD”患者的降脂效果及LDL-C的达标率优于阿托伐他汀单药组。以LDL-C<1.4 mmol/L或<1.8 mmol/L为降脂达标目标时,阿托伐他汀联合依洛尤单抗组治疗1个月后LDL-C达标率高于联合依折麦布组;以“LDL下降超过50%”的降幅作为降脂达标标准时,1个月内很难达标。门诊“极高危ASCVD”患者采用起始联合的降脂治疗1个月无不良反应。起始联合降脂策略可用于心内科门诊“极高危ASCVD”患者中LDL-C数值需早期达标的人群,阿托伐他汀联合依洛尤单抗可用于需在1个月内LDL-C<1.4 mmol/L或<1.8 mmol/L的人群。

创伤性膝关节骨性关节炎患者行关节镜微骨折术效果及术后下肢静脉血栓形成危险因素分析

目的 分析创伤性膝关节骨性关节炎(TKOA)患者行关节镜微骨折术效果及术后下肢静脉血栓形成危险因素。方法 回顾性选取2020年3月至2023年3月佳木斯市中心医院收治的80例TKOA患者进行研究,按照治疗方法不同将其分为对照组(n=30)与观察组(n=50)。对照组行常规膝关节手术,观察组行关节镜微骨折术,分析两组的临床治疗效果和下肢静脉血栓发生率。另根据术后是否发生下肢静脉血栓将观察组患者分为有血栓组和无血栓组,分析两组患者的一般特征,并建立多因素Logistic模型分析分析影响关节镜微骨折术后下肢静脉血栓形成的独立危险因素。结果 观察组的总有效率为96.00%,高于对照组(80.00%),差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。观察组下肢静脉血栓发生率为24.00%,低于对照组(46.67%),差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。与无血栓组比较,有血栓组年龄≥60岁、高血脂症、止血带应用时间>90 min、术后卧床时间≥3 d、手术时间≥1 h率和Caprini评分较高(P<0.05)。单因素分析结果显示,年龄、高血脂症、止血带应用时间、术后卧床时间、手术时间、Caprini评分均是TKOA患者关节镜微骨折术后下肢静脉血栓形成的影响因素(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic分析结果显示,年龄≥60岁、高血脂症、止血带应用时间>90 min、术后卧床时间≥3 d、手术时间≥1 h、Caprini评分均是TKOA患者关节镜微骨折术后下肢静脉血栓形成的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。结论 关节镜微骨折术在TKOA治疗中效果较为显著,但受年龄过大、术后卧床时间和手术时间过长等因素影响极易引发下肢静脉血栓,只有加强对该类影响因素的预防干预,才能有效降低患儿的下肢静脉血栓形成风险。

脑卒中恢复期患者下肢深静脉血栓风险预测模型的构建及应用

目的 探究脑卒中恢复期患者下肢深静脉血栓(deep vein thrombosis, DVT)的发生率及其影响因素,构建此类患者DVT风险预测模型。方法 采用回顾性研究设计,选取收治的脑卒中恢复期患者431例,通过单因素和多因素logistic回归分析筛选出DVT发生的影响因素,构建风险预测模型并用列线图展示,应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积、敏感度、特异度评价模型的预测效果,使用Bootstrap法对模型进行内部验证。结果 431例患者中,有36例发生DVT,发生率为8.35%,建模组301例患者有26例发生DVT,发生率为8.64%,验证组130例患者有10例发生DVT,发生率为7.69%。Logistic回归分析显示MBI积分、Caprini血栓风险因素总分、平均血小板体积(MPV)、肌酐(Cr)、凝血酶时间(TT)、D-二聚体(D-Dimer)是脑卒中恢复期患者发生DVT的独立影响因素(OR值分别为0.978、1.186、0.662、0.979、1.043、1.766,均P<0.1)。以该6个因素为自变量构建列线图,建模组AUC为0.842,约登指数最大值为0.525,诊断值为0.115,敏感度为0.833,特异度为0.692;Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验χ^(2)=7.458,P=0.589。验证组AUC为0.720,约登指数最大值为0.425,诊断值为0.072,敏感度为0.675,特异度为0.700,Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验χ^(2)=11.414,P=0.248。结论 脑卒中恢复期患者DVT发生率较高,MBI积分、Caprini血栓风险因素总分、MPV、Cr、TT、D-Dimer是其重要的影响因素,构建的列线图可个性化预测脑卒中恢复期患者DVT发生风险,有助于医护人员制订相应的干预措施。

大众跑者跑步相关损伤危险因素的前瞻性研究

目的:通过前瞻性研究调查大众跑者跑步相关损伤(RRI)的危险因素,为RRI的预防和治疗提供理论依据。方法:采集95名健康大众跑者的生理和跑步训练等基本信息、人体测量学因素、身体能力因素和跑步生物力学因素,随后进行4个月的跟踪随访,依据观察期内的损伤情况将受试者分为损伤组和健康组。通过卡方检验或独立样本t检验确认两组间基线指标的差异,将有统计学意义(P<0.05)的变量纳入Logistic回归模型进行分析。结果:36名跑者在观察期内报告了46例RRI,损伤发生率为38%,其中膝关节损伤最为常见(26.7%);与健康组相比,损伤组存在较小的静态Q角(健康组7.42°±6.90°,损伤组11.03°±10.17°,P=0.042)、跑步着地时刻躯干前倾角(健康组94.24°±4.52°,损伤组91.89°±4.55°,P=0.016)和小腿地面夹角(健康组100.94°±3.44°,损伤组99.41°±3.33°,P=0.037),以及更大的跑步离地时刻小腿地面夹角(健康组53.23°±3.19°,损伤组54.70°±3.09°,P=0.031);Logistic回归分析显示跑步着地时刻小腿地面夹角减小(OR=0.853,P=0.039)和离地时刻小腿地面夹角增大(OR=1.222,P=0.014)可能增加RRI的损伤发生风险。结论:(1)在大众跑者中,RRI发生率较高,损伤部位以下肢膝、踝关节和足部为主。跑步着地时刻和离地时刻小腿更加垂直于地面可能是导致大众跑者RRI损伤风险增加的潜在因素;(2)静态Q角和跑步着地时刻躯干前倾角度在损伤组和健康组之间存在差异,但未发现其与损伤风险之间的关系,因此可能不是导致大众跑者RRI风险增加的潜在因素。

全麻患者术后麻醉重症监护室中新发下肢深静脉血栓的危险因素

目的筛选全麻术后转入麻醉重症监护室(AICU)的患者新发下肢深静脉血栓(DVT)的危险因素。方法回顾性收集2022年5—8月择期行全麻下手术后带气管插管转入AICU的患者192例,男105例,女87例,年龄18~85岁,BMI 18~31 kg/m^(2),ASAⅡ或Ⅲ级。收集患者基线资料、麻醉手术资料及实验室检查资料。根据入AICU 6 h内的超声结果是否有新发DVT将患者分为两组:DVT组和非DVT组。采用多因素Logistic回归分析筛选AICU中患者术后6 h内新发DVT的危险因素及其95%可信区间(CI)。结果全麻术后在AICU新发DVT的患者有64例(33.3%),均为小腿肌间静脉血栓(CMVT)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,术前心律失常(OR=2.236,95%CI 1.011~4.943,P=0.047)、术前血小板计数高(OR=1.006,95%CI 1.002~1.010,P=0.007)、术前D⁃二聚体浓度高(OR=1.203,95%CI 1.046~1.383,P=0.010)、术中低血压(OR=1.010,95%CI 1.002~1.019,P=0.020)和术中应用去甲肾上腺素(OR=3.796,95%CI 1.697~8.492,P=0.001)是全麻术后AICU中患者新发DVT的危险因素;阿司匹林规律服用史(OR=0.176,95%CI 0.060~0.518,P=0.002)是其保护因素。结论术前心律失常、术前血小板计数高、术前D⁃二聚体浓度高、术中低血压及术中应用去甲肾上腺素是全麻手术后AICU患者6 h内新发DVT的危险因素。

较低危骨髓增生异常综合征患者的预后因素研究进展

骨髓增生异常综合征(MDS)是一组起源于造血干细胞的异质性克隆性疾病,临床上表现为外周血细胞的减少,具有高风险向急性髓系白血病转化的特点。MDS患者的预期生存期差异很大,准确的预后评估尤为重要。目前,MDS患者通常根据临床预后评分系统分为较高危组(HR-MDS)和较低危组(LR-MDS),但这些评分系统具有一定的局限性。LR-MDS患者占MDS患者的2/3,拥有较低的疾病进展风险和较好的预后,治疗上主要依赖红细胞生成刺激剂、免疫抑制剂和成分输血,但仍有部分LR-MDS患者预后较差,现有的预后评分系统尚不能对其进行精准预后评估。本文依据MDS的异质性,主要对现有评估依据以外的潜在影响疾病预后的因素进行综述,以期为LR-MDS患者的预后评估和治疗提供参考。

变化条件下长江下游地区防洪问题与韧性提升对策

长江下游地区圩区广布、城镇众多、水网稠密,汛期受长江上中游来水、长江口及沿海高潮和本地暴雨共同威胁。目前,该地区形成了以江河湖海堤防为基本屏障,以水库、湖泊和蓄滞洪区为洪涝调蓄空间,以长江及区域主要河道为洪涝行泄通道,各类闸站相配套的防洪治涝工程体系。但近年来长江流域大洪水事件表明,长江下游防洪工程薄弱环节仍然明显,蓄泄矛盾突出,空间统筹治理和工程协同调度不足,灾害风险预防管控存在盲区,同时还面临着气候水文和经济社会条件双重变化的复杂形势。为强化长江下游地区洪涝灾害风险集成调控、提升应对大洪水的韧性,需在稳固长江干流防洪屏障和行洪主通道的基础上,科学优化各水系洪涝蓄泄格局、加快补齐防洪基础设施短板、促进洪涝治理空间均衡协调、加强洪涝灾害风险管控预防、提升防洪管理智慧化水平。同时,还应针对长江下游地区重大防洪科技问题开展系统深入研究。

黄河下游多因素耦合作用生态护坡破坏机制研究进展

黄河流域在中国经济社会发展中具有重要的战略地位,其下游河道水少沙多、水沙关系不协调,具有二级悬河、河势演变复杂等特点,岸坡破坏会严重威胁防洪安全和经济社会高质量发展,因此,保障岸坡稳定、开展黄河下游护坡治理与风险管控十分必要。生态护坡破坏涉及水、土、植被、结构等因素,机理复杂,传统河流动力学理论已不能完全适用,需进一步深入研究。本文总结分析了黄河下游岸坡破坏现状、岸坡失稳机理及其主要影响因素、生态护坡结构研究及应用和护坡工程风险评估及管控等方面现有研究成果及存在的不足,在此基础上探讨和梳理了黄河下游生态护坡未来的一些研究方向,包括揭示水-土-植被等多因素耦合作用下的生态护坡破坏机制、研发适用于强冲积特点的刚-柔协同新型生态护坡结构型式、建立考虑多要素多层次的生态护坡工程风险综合评价指标体系、形成岸坡监测-评估-处置/防护一体化的风险管控技术体系等。

下肢动脉血管重建术后并发淋巴漏的风险预测列线图模型建立及预防指导

目的探讨下肢动脉血管重建术后并发淋巴漏的影响因素,并以此构建风险预测列线图模型,同时提出相对应的预防指导建议。方法回顾性分析于2014年1月至2022年6月在徐州市中心医院行下肢动脉血管重建的879例下肢动脉硬化闭塞症(LEASO)病人的临床资料,根据病人术后有无并发淋巴漏将其分为并发组(31例)和未并发组(848例),比较两组病人的一般资料。采用多因素logistic回归分析法分析下肢动脉血管重建术后并发淋巴漏的影响因素,并基于此采用R 3.4.5软件包绘制列线图模型,且绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线对列线图模型的预测效能进行评估,绘制校准度曲线图并采用Bootstrap法检验预测列线图预测模型的一致性。结果单因素分析显示,两组身体质量指数(BMI)[(26.52±2.01)kg/m^(2)比(25.71±2.13)kg/m^(2)]及Fontaine分期[Ⅳ期38.71%比18.28%]、术中出血量[>100 mL 29.03%比11.20%]、术后血红蛋白(Hb)水平[(95.33±15.25)g/L比(104.57±22.38)g/L]、术后白蛋白(Alb)水平[(25.68±5.59)g/L比(28.28±6.17)g/L]、使用高频电刀(83.87%比55.54%)、腹股沟切口(80.65%比56.25%)差异有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。logistic回归分析可知,BMI[OR=2.52,95%CI:(1.18,3.86)]、Fontaine分期[OR=3.22,95%CI:(2.08,4.36)]、术中出血量>100 mL[OR=3.36,95%CI:(2.23,4.48)]、术后Hb水平[OR=2.97,95%CI:(1.75,4.20)]、术后Alb水平[OR=3.10,95%CI:(2.02,4.19)]、使用高频电刀[OR=3.39,95%CI:(2.20,4.59)]、腹股沟切口[OR=3.31,95%CI:(2.00,4.62)]均是影响LEASO病人下肢动脉血管重建术后并发淋巴漏的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。据此构建预测LEASO病人下肢动脉血管重建术后并发淋巴漏的列线图模型,预测值同实测值基本一致,一致性指数为0.836,模型具有良好的精准度和区分度。结论BMI、Fontaine分期、术中出血量>100 mL、术后Hb水平、术后Alb水平、使用高频电刀、腹股沟切口均为影响LEASO病人下肢动脉血管重建术后并发淋巴漏的影响因素,基于上述因素构建的列线图模型效能高。

老年脑出血患者术后下肢深静脉血栓风险模型的构建

目的探讨老年脑出血患者术后下肢深静脉血栓(DVT)发生的危险因素,构建DVT风险评估模型。方法选取2020年7月—2023年1月在江苏省人民医院接受手术治疗的95例老年脑出血患者作为研究对象,按照术后是否发生DVT分为DVT组(25例)和非DVT组(70例)。比较两组的一般资料、术前及术中相关因素,采用单因素分析和多因素logistic回归模型分析筛选DVT发生的危险因素,构建DVT风险评估模型。结果DVT组与非DVT组在年龄、吸烟史、高血压史、心脏病史、脑出血量及手术时间方面比较,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05);多因素logistic回归模型分析显示,年龄≥70岁、有吸烟史、有高血压史、有心脏病史、脑出血量≥30 mL、手术时间≥3 h是老年脑出血患者术后发生DVT的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。根据回归系数构建了DVT风险评估模型,模型的灵敏度为88.0%,特异度为85.7%,准确度为86.3%,曲线下面积为0.938(95%CI:0.901~0.975)。结论本研究构建了一种适用于老年脑出血患者术后DVT发生的风险评估模型,具有较高的准确性和可靠性,可为临床DVT的预防和干预提供依据。