To comprehensively investigate characteristics of summer droughts and floods in the Yangtze River valley, a meteorological and hydrological coupling index (MHCI) was developed using meteorological and hydro- logical...To comprehensively investigate characteristics of summer droughts and floods in the Yangtze River valley, a meteorological and hydrological coupling index (MHCI) was developed using meteorological and hydro- logical data. The results indicate that: (1) in representing drought/flood information for the Yangtze River valley, the MHCI can reflect composite features of precipitation and hydrological observations; (2) compre- hensive analysis of the interannual phase difference of the precipitation and hydrological indices is important to recognize and predict annual drought/flood events along the valley; the hydrological index contributes more strongly to nonlinear and continuity features that indicate transition from long-term drought to flood conditions; (3) time series of the MHCI from 1960-2009 are very effective and sensitive in reflecting annual drought/flood characteristics, i.e. there is more rainfall or typical flooding in the valley when the MHCI is positive, and vice versa; and (4) verification of the MHCI indicates that there is significant correlation between precipitation and hydrologic responses in the valley during summer; the correlation coefficient was found to reach 0.82, exceeding the 0.001 significance level.展开更多
The hydrographic eastern Mediterranean Basin of Turkey is a drought sensitive area.The basin is an important agricultural area and it is necessary to determine the extent of extreme regional climatic changes as they o...The hydrographic eastern Mediterranean Basin of Turkey is a drought sensitive area.The basin is an important agricultural area and it is necessary to determine the extent of extreme regional climatic changes as they occur in this basin.Pearson’s correlation coefficient was used to show the correlation between standardized precipitation index(SPI)and standardized streamflow index(SSI)values on different time scales.Data from five meteorological stations and seven stream gauging stations in four sub-basins of the eastern Mediterranean Basin were analyzed over the period from 1967 to 2017.The correlation between SSI and SPI indicated that in response to meteorological drought,hydrological drought experiences a one-year delay then occurs in the following year.This is more evident at all stations from the mid-1990 s.The main factor causing hydrological drought is prolonged low precipitation or the presence of a particularly dry year.Results showed that over a long period(12 months),hydrological drought is longer and more severe in the upper part than the lower part of the sub-basins.According to SPI-12 values,an uninterrupted drought period is observed from 2002–2003 to 2008–2009.Results indicated that among the drought events,moderate drought is the most common on all timescales in all sub-basins during the past 51 years.Long-term dry periods with moderate and severe droughts are observed for up to 10 years or more since the late 1990 s,especially in the upper part of the sub-basins.As precipitation increases in late autumn and early winter,the stream flow also increases and thus the highest and most positive correlation values(0.26–0.54)are found in January.Correlation values(ranging between–0.11 and–0.01)are weaker and negative in summer and autumn due to low rainfall.This is more evident at all stations in September.The relation between hydrological and meteorological droughts is more evident,with the correlation values above 0.50 on longer timescales(12-and 24-months).The results presented in this study allow an understanding of the characteristics of drought events and are instructive for overcoming drought.This will facilitate the development of strategies for the appropriate management of water resources in the eastern Mediterranean Basin,which has a high agricultural potential.展开更多
The management of water resources in watersheds has become increasingly difficult in recent years due to the frequency and intensity of drought sequences. The Lobo River catchment, like most tropical regions, has expe...The management of water resources in watersheds has become increasingly difficult in recent years due to the frequency and intensity of drought sequences. The Lobo River catchment, like most tropical regions, has experienced alternating wet and dry periods. These drought periods have a significant impact on the availability of water resources in the basin. The objective of this study is to analyse the impact of meteorological drought on flows in the Lobo River catchment. Therefore, using the Normalized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Drought Flow Index (SDI), the characteristics of droughts were studied. The results of this study show that meteorological droughts were more frequent than hydrological droughts in the Lobo River watershed. However, the hydrological drought was longer and more intense than the meteorological drought. The greater relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought was observed at the Daloa and Vavoua station (0.43 < r < 0.50) compared to the Zuenoula station (r < 0.5). In addition, there was a resumption of precipitation and runoff between 2007 and 2013 in the basin. The study of these climatic trends would be very useful in the choice of management and adaptation policies for water resources management.展开更多
基金supported by project GYHY201106050the National"973"Program of China under Grant No.2011CB403404,and Project No.2009Y002
文摘To comprehensively investigate characteristics of summer droughts and floods in the Yangtze River valley, a meteorological and hydrological coupling index (MHCI) was developed using meteorological and hydro- logical data. The results indicate that: (1) in representing drought/flood information for the Yangtze River valley, the MHCI can reflect composite features of precipitation and hydrological observations; (2) compre- hensive analysis of the interannual phase difference of the precipitation and hydrological indices is important to recognize and predict annual drought/flood events along the valley; the hydrological index contributes more strongly to nonlinear and continuity features that indicate transition from long-term drought to flood conditions; (3) time series of the MHCI from 1960-2009 are very effective and sensitive in reflecting annual drought/flood characteristics, i.e. there is more rainfall or typical flooding in the valley when the MHCI is positive, and vice versa; and (4) verification of the MHCI indicates that there is significant correlation between precipitation and hydrologic responses in the valley during summer; the correlation coefficient was found to reach 0.82, exceeding the 0.001 significance level.
文摘The hydrographic eastern Mediterranean Basin of Turkey is a drought sensitive area.The basin is an important agricultural area and it is necessary to determine the extent of extreme regional climatic changes as they occur in this basin.Pearson’s correlation coefficient was used to show the correlation between standardized precipitation index(SPI)and standardized streamflow index(SSI)values on different time scales.Data from five meteorological stations and seven stream gauging stations in four sub-basins of the eastern Mediterranean Basin were analyzed over the period from 1967 to 2017.The correlation between SSI and SPI indicated that in response to meteorological drought,hydrological drought experiences a one-year delay then occurs in the following year.This is more evident at all stations from the mid-1990 s.The main factor causing hydrological drought is prolonged low precipitation or the presence of a particularly dry year.Results showed that over a long period(12 months),hydrological drought is longer and more severe in the upper part than the lower part of the sub-basins.According to SPI-12 values,an uninterrupted drought period is observed from 2002–2003 to 2008–2009.Results indicated that among the drought events,moderate drought is the most common on all timescales in all sub-basins during the past 51 years.Long-term dry periods with moderate and severe droughts are observed for up to 10 years or more since the late 1990 s,especially in the upper part of the sub-basins.As precipitation increases in late autumn and early winter,the stream flow also increases and thus the highest and most positive correlation values(0.26–0.54)are found in January.Correlation values(ranging between–0.11 and–0.01)are weaker and negative in summer and autumn due to low rainfall.This is more evident at all stations in September.The relation between hydrological and meteorological droughts is more evident,with the correlation values above 0.50 on longer timescales(12-and 24-months).The results presented in this study allow an understanding of the characteristics of drought events and are instructive for overcoming drought.This will facilitate the development of strategies for the appropriate management of water resources in the eastern Mediterranean Basin,which has a high agricultural potential.
文摘The management of water resources in watersheds has become increasingly difficult in recent years due to the frequency and intensity of drought sequences. The Lobo River catchment, like most tropical regions, has experienced alternating wet and dry periods. These drought periods have a significant impact on the availability of water resources in the basin. The objective of this study is to analyse the impact of meteorological drought on flows in the Lobo River catchment. Therefore, using the Normalized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Drought Flow Index (SDI), the characteristics of droughts were studied. The results of this study show that meteorological droughts were more frequent than hydrological droughts in the Lobo River watershed. However, the hydrological drought was longer and more intense than the meteorological drought. The greater relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought was observed at the Daloa and Vavoua station (0.43 < r < 0.50) compared to the Zuenoula station (r < 0.5). In addition, there was a resumption of precipitation and runoff between 2007 and 2013 in the basin. The study of these climatic trends would be very useful in the choice of management and adaptation policies for water resources management.