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Modelling of Wage and Income Distributions Using the Method of L-Moments 被引量:1
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作者 Diana Bilkova 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2012年第1期13-19,共7页
关键词 工资分配 收入分配 矩法 统计程序 参数估计 建模 概率分布参数 参数分布
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Simulation of the Brownian coagulation of nanoparticles with initial bimodal size distribution via moment method 被引量:1
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作者 Jian-Zhong Lin Fu-Jun Gan 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第5期1227-1237,共11页
The Brownian coagulation of nanoparticles with initial bimodal size distribution, i.e., mode i and j, is numerically studied using the moment method. Evolutions of particle number concentration, geometric average diam... The Brownian coagulation of nanoparticles with initial bimodal size distribution, i.e., mode i and j, is numerically studied using the moment method. Evolutions of particle number concentration, geometric average diameter and geometric standard deviation are given in the free molecular regime, the continuum regime, the free molecular regime and transition regime, the free molecular regime and continuum regime, respectively. The results show that, both in the free molecular regime and the continuum regime, the num- ber concentration of mode i and j decreases with increasing time. The evolutions of particle geometric average diameter with different initial size distribution are quite different. Both intra-modal and inter-modal coagulation finally make the polydispersed size distribution become monodispersed. As time goes by, the size distribution with initial bimodal turns to be unimoda/and shifts to a larger particle size range. In the free molecular regime and transition regime, the inter- modal coagulation becomes dominant when the number concentrations of mode i and j are of the same order. The effects of the number concentration of mode i and mode j on the evolution of geometric average diameter of mode j are negligible, while the effects of the number concentration of mode j on the evolution of geometric average diameter of mode j is distinct. In the free molecular regime and continuum regime, the higher the initial number concentration of mode j, the more obvious the variation of the number concentration of mode i. 展开更多
关键词 Nanoparticles - Brownian coagulation. Bimodalsize distribution moment method
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A New Three-Parameter Inverse Weibull Distribution with Medical and Engineering Applications
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作者 Refah Alotaibi Hassan Okasha +1 位作者 Hoda Rezk Mazen Nassar 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第5期1255-1274,共20页
The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of... The objective of this article is to provide a novel extension of the conventional inverse Weibull distribution that adds an extra shape parameter to increase its flexibility.This addition is beneficial in a variety of fields,including reliability,economics,engineering,biomedical science,biological research,environmental studies,and finance.For modeling real data,several expanded classes of distributions have been established.The modified alpha power transformed approach is used to implement the new model.The datamatches the new inverseWeibull distribution better than the inverse Weibull distribution and several other competing models.It appears to be a distribution designed to support decreasing or unimodal shaped distributions based on its parameters.Precise expressions for quantiles,moments,incomplete moments,moment generating function,characteristic generating function,and entropy expression are among the determined attributes of the new distribution.The point and interval estimates are studied using the maximum likelihood method.Simulation research is conducted to illustrate the correctness of the theoretical results.Three applications to medical and engineering data are utilized to illustrate the model’s flexibility. 展开更多
关键词 Inverse weibull distribution modified alpha power transformation method momentS order statistics
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Seismic safety assessment with non-Gaussian random processes for train-bridge coupled systems
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作者 Zhao Han Gao Lei +4 位作者 Wei Biao Tan Jincheng Guo Peidong Jiang Lizhong Xiang Ping 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第1期241-260,共20页
Extensive high-speed railway(HSR)network resembled the intricate vascular system of the human body,crisscrossing mainlands.Seismic events,known for their unpredictability,pose a significant threat to both trains and b... Extensive high-speed railway(HSR)network resembled the intricate vascular system of the human body,crisscrossing mainlands.Seismic events,known for their unpredictability,pose a significant threat to both trains and bridges,given the HSR’s extended operational duration.Therefore,ensuring the running safety of train-bridge coupled(TBC)system,primarily composed of simply supported beam bridges,is paramount.Traditional methods like the Monte Carlo method fall short in analyzing this intricate system efficiently.Instead,efficient algorithm like the new point estimate method combined with moment expansion approximation(NPEM-MEA)is applied to study random responses of numerical simulation TBC systems.Validation of the NPEM-MEA’s feasibility is conducted using the Monte Carlo method.Comparative analysis confirms the accuracy and efficiency of the method,with a recommended truncation order of four to six for the NPEM-MEA.Additionally,the influences of seismic magnitude and epicentral distance are discussed based on the random dynamic responses in the TBC system.This methodology not only facilitates seismic safety assessments for TBC systems but also contributes to standard-setting for these systems under earthquake conditions. 展开更多
关键词 train-bridge coupled(TBC)system random vibration new point estimate method(NPEM) seismic safety assessment moment expansion approximation(MEA) non-Gaussian distributions
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Nonlinear Properties of the Rice Statistical Distribution: Theory and Applications in Stochastic Data Analysis
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作者 Tatiana Yakovleva 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2019年第11期2767-2779,共13页
The paper considers the theoretical basics and the specific mathematical techniques having been developed for solving the tasks of the stochastic data analysis within the Rice statistical model in which the output sig... The paper considers the theoretical basics and the specific mathematical techniques having been developed for solving the tasks of the stochastic data analysis within the Rice statistical model in which the output signal’s amplitude is composed as a sum of the sought-for initial value and a random Gaussian noise. The Rician signal’s characteristics such as the average value and the noise dispersion have been shown to depend upon the Rice distribution’s parameters nonlinearly what has become a prerequisite for the development of a new approach to the stochastic Rician data analysis implying the joint signal and noise accurate evaluation. The joint computing of the Rice distribution’s parameters allows efficient reconstruction of the signal’s in-formative component against the noise background. A meaningful advantage of the proposed approach consists in the absence of restrictions connected with any a priori suppositions inherent to the traditional techniques. The results of the numerical experiments are provided confirming the efficiency of the elaborated approach to stochastic data analysis within the Rice statistical model. 展开更多
关键词 STOCHASTIC Data RICE distribution PROBABILITY Density Function MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD Technique method of momentS Noise Dispersion
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Measurement of the g Factor of the 3.1232 MeV 19/2^(-) Level in ^(43)Sc by Perturbed Angular Distribution Method
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作者 Zhu Sheng-yun Li An-li +2 位作者 Gou Zheng-hui Zheng Sheng-nan Li Guang-sheng 《Chinese journal of nuclear physics》 1994年第3期239-242,共4页
The g-factor hence the magnetic moment,of the isomeric state <sup>43</sup>Sc(|9/2<sup>-</sup>,3.1232 MeV)has been measured by the time differential perturbed angular distributionmethod.The me... The g-factor hence the magnetic moment,of the isomeric state <sup>43</sup>Sc(|9/2<sup>-</sup>,3.1232 MeV)has been measured by the time differential perturbed angular distributionmethod.The measured values are g=0.3279(19)and μ=3.108(18)nm. 展开更多
关键词 G-FACTOR Magnetic moment Perturbed angular distribution method ^(43)Sc(19/2^(-))
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Statistical Inference for the Parameter of Rayleigh Distribution Based on Progressively Type-I Interval Censored Sample 被引量:1
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作者 Abdalroof M S Zhao Zhi-wen Wang De-hui 《Communications in Mathematical Research》 CSCD 2015年第2期108-118,共11页
In this paper, the estimation of parameters based on a progressively type-I interval censored sample from a Rayleigh distribution is studied. Different methods of estimation are discussed. They include mid-point appro... In this paper, the estimation of parameters based on a progressively type-I interval censored sample from a Rayleigh distribution is studied. Different methods of estimation are discussed. They include mid-point approximation estima- tor, the maximum likelihood estimator, moment estimator, Bayes estimator, sampling adjustment moment estimator, sampling adjustment maximum likelihood estimator and estimator based on percentile. The estimation procedures are discussed in details and compared via Monte Carlo simulations in terms of their biases. 展开更多
关键词 EM algorithm maximum likelihood estimation moment method Bayesestimation Rayleigh distribution
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Parametric and Non-Parametric Survival Analysis of Patients with Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML)
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作者 Aditya Chakraborty Chris P. Tsokos 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2021年第1期126-148,共23页
<strong>Background:</strong> Acute Myeloid leukemia (AML) is the most prominent acute leukemia in adults. In the United States, we experience over 20,000 cases per year. Over the past decade, improvements ... <strong>Background:</strong> Acute Myeloid leukemia (AML) is the most prominent acute leukemia in adults. In the United States, we experience over 20,000 cases per year. Over the past decade, improvements in the diagnosis of subtypes of AML and advances in therapeutic approaches have improved the outlook for patients with AML. However, despite these advancements, the survival rate among patients who are less than 65 years of age is only 40 percent. <strong>Purpose:</strong> The purpose of the paper is to study if there exists any significant difference in the survival probabilities of male and female AML patients. Also, we want to investigate if there is any parametric probability distribution that best fits the male and female patient survival and compare the survival probabilities with the non-parametric Kaplan-Meier (KM) method. <strong>Methods:</strong> We used both parametric and non-parametric statistical methods to perform the survival analysis to assess the survival probabilities of 2015 patients diagnosed with AML.<strong> Results:</strong> We found evidence of a statistically significant difference between the mean survival time of male and female patients diagnosed with AML. We performed parametric survival analysis and found a Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution best fitting the data of the survival time for male and female patients. We then estimated the survival probabilities and compared them with the frequently used non-parametric Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival method. <strong>Conclusion:</strong> The comparison between the survival probability estimates of the two methods revealed a better survival probability estimate by the parametric method than the Kaplan-Meier. We also compared the median survival time of male and female patients individually with descriptive, parametric, and non-parametric methods of analysis. The parametric survival analysis is more robust and efficient because it is based on a well-defined parametric probabilistic distribution, hence preferred over the non-parametric Kaplan-Meier estimate. This study offers therapeutic significance for further enhancement to treat patients with Acute Myeloid Leukemia. 展开更多
关键词 Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution Probability Weighted moment (PWM) method Kaplan-Meier (KM) Estimate
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基于CFD-PBE耦合的连续结晶过程数值模拟
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作者 潘立杰 刘伯潭 +1 位作者 赵文立 盖晓龙 《化学工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期41-47,共7页
通过CFD(计算流体力学)与PBE(粒数衡算方程)耦合对连续结晶过程进行数值模拟。采用QMOM(积分矩方法)求解PBE。在考虑成核、生长、聚并和破碎的情况下,通过网格独立性验证确定计算网格数量。在此基础上研究挡板设置、停留时间、搅拌转速... 通过CFD(计算流体力学)与PBE(粒数衡算方程)耦合对连续结晶过程进行数值模拟。采用QMOM(积分矩方法)求解PBE。在考虑成核、生长、聚并和破碎的情况下,通过网格独立性验证确定计算网格数量。在此基础上研究挡板设置、停留时间、搅拌转速以及搅拌桨类型等因素对CSD(晶体粒径分布)演变的影响,结果表明:挡板的设置增强了结晶器内湍流程度;高转速和低停留时间会获得平均粒径较小的颗粒。对比3种搅拌桨对CSD演变的影响,轴流式的螺旋桨功耗小,适用于大颗粒晶体结晶过程,而径流式的圆盘涡轮桨适用于微粒结晶过程。 展开更多
关键词 连续结晶 数值模拟 粒数衡算方程 积分矩方法 晶体粒径分布
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基于代谢理论的城市群水资源承载力综合评价
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作者 吴嘉伟 刘泓汐 +1 位作者 李春晖 易雨君 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2024年第6期58-71,共14页
【目的】随着中国城市群的可持续发展,水资源短缺和时空分布不均等问题日益突出,水资源承载力对城市群的可持续发展具有重要的理论和现实意义【方法】基于区域水资源代谢理论,构建综合考虑区域水资源特征、社会经济系统特征和可持续发... 【目的】随着中国城市群的可持续发展,水资源短缺和时空分布不均等问题日益突出,水资源承载力对城市群的可持续发展具有重要的理论和现实意义【方法】基于区域水资源代谢理论,构建综合考虑区域水资源特征、社会经济系统特征和可持续发展原则的评价指标体系,采用TOPSIS计算了2019年京津冀城市群(BTHUA)的水资源承载力(WRCC)指数。在综合分析区域水资源现状的基础上,提出了提高区域水资源承载力的建议。【结果】结果显示:2019年BTHUA的整体承载能力指数并不高,北京市(0.5612)、天津市(0.5306)和唐山市(0.4075)评分较高,WRCC处于中等水平,仍有进一步发展的潜力。石家庄市(0.3843)、秦皇岛市(0.3165)、衡水市(0.2952)、承德市(0.2935)和邢台市(0.2674)评分中等,WRCC达到了临界值,并且发展潜力有限。而廊坊市(0.2214)、邯郸市(0.2188)、张家口市(0.2115)、保定市(0.2086)、沧州市(0.2026)评分偏低,WRCC达到上限,进一步发展的潜力非常有限。【结论】根据物质流分析,(1)水资源系统上,京津冀地区整体水资源生产能力不容乐观,水资源开发潜力不足;(2)社会经济上,BTHUA社会规模已经超过了水资源的承载能力,未来还将继续扩大;(3)生态系统上,除北京、天津、秦皇岛市,其余城市生态用水占比皆达不到标准。该研究考虑整个用水系统,可以得到比其他方法更全面、更准确的水资源承载力状况,可以为制定科学、可持续的水资源发展战略提供参考,并提供水资源利用政策和未来社会经济发展的建议。 展开更多
关键词 水资源承载力 京津冀城市群 综合评价 代谢理论 TOPSIS方法 水资源 时空分布 可持续发展
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基于最小间隔法的单线铁路车站分布优化
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作者 马强 《铁道运输与经济》 北大核心 2024年第3期29-35,56,共8页
单线铁路车站分布优化是单线铁路工程设计中的重要内容,在研究线路站点数量较多情况下,存在人工调整效率低、调整结果无统一评价标准等问题。基于此,研究通过考虑平均列车间隔时间,以保证一定铁路运输质量标准为前提,将沿线衔接客货运... 单线铁路车站分布优化是单线铁路工程设计中的重要内容,在研究线路站点数量较多情况下,存在人工调整效率低、调整结果无统一评价标准等问题。基于此,研究通过考虑平均列车间隔时间,以保证一定铁路运输质量标准为前提,将沿线衔接客货运站点必须开站和区间能力必须满足运输需求作为紧性约束条件,单线铁路沿线站点分布作为决策变量,构建了以单线铁路线路开站数量最小和通过能力最大为目标函数的非线性整数多目标模型。针对模型特点,设计基于Pareto概念的NSGA-Ⅱ求解算法。算例分析结果表明:研究所构建的模型科学合理,设计的算法有效;算例运行结果仅需8 s,可显著提高工程设计人员的工作效率;运用最小间隔法计算通过能力,对铁路运行图铺画亦具有一定的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 最小间隔法 通过能力 车站分布 非线性整数多目标 NSGA-Ⅱ算法
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Matlab与实验相结合测量载流圆线圈磁场的新方法探究
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作者 徐林超 邓明 向文丽 《物理通报》 CAS 2024年第1期116-121,共6页
通过搭建RLC串联谐振与电磁感应法测量载流圆线圈磁场的理想化模型,利用Matlab编程仿真,模拟不同电容与载流圆线圈串联达到谐振时,具有串联电容C越小,感应电动势U_(m)越大的分布规律.Matlab仿真结果说明RLC串联谐振改进电磁感应法测量... 通过搭建RLC串联谐振与电磁感应法测量载流圆线圈磁场的理想化模型,利用Matlab编程仿真,模拟不同电容与载流圆线圈串联达到谐振时,具有串联电容C越小,感应电动势U_(m)越大的分布规律.Matlab仿真结果说明RLC串联谐振改进电磁感应法测量载流圆线圈磁场科学可行,并对实际实验提供指导.实际实验效果最佳的3种电容即0.099μF、0.100μF、0.11μF中,U_(m)实测结果符合Matlab仿真规律.最小电容即电容为0.099μF时,圆线圈中心磁场测量误差仅为2.23%,精确度最高,远远高于传统电磁感应法测量误差15.67%.基于Matlab与实验相结合设计了一种测量载流圆线圈磁场的新方法,操作简便,现象明显,精确可靠,可推广到其他不同类型的线圈激发的弱磁场测量. 展开更多
关键词 载流圆线圈 电磁感应法 磁场分布 MATLAB仿真
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力矩分配法两种平衡方法的一致性证明
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作者 张年文 薛志成 《广东石油化工学院学报》 2024年第1期91-95,101,共6页
同时节点平衡法和先后节点平衡法是力矩分配法的两种节点弯矩平衡方法,基于矩阵位移法的节点弯矩平衡方程组构建了这两种平衡方法的加权转角迭代式,结合两种平衡方法的求解过程,证明了:(1)两种平衡方法求解的方程组与节点弯矩平衡方程... 同时节点平衡法和先后节点平衡法是力矩分配法的两种节点弯矩平衡方法,基于矩阵位移法的节点弯矩平衡方程组构建了这两种平衡方法的加权转角迭代式,结合两种平衡方法的求解过程,证明了:(1)两种平衡方法求解的方程组与节点弯矩平衡方程组相同;(2)同时节点平衡法和先后节点平衡法分别采用增量雅可比迭代法和增量高斯-赛德尔迭代法求解节点弯矩平衡方程组,增量雅可比迭代法、增量高斯-赛德尔迭代法分别与雅可比迭代法、高斯-赛德尔迭代法是一致的;(3)两种平衡方法计算的杆端弯矩与转角位移方程计算的杆端弯矩相同。分析结果表明,力矩分配法求解的变量是加权节点转角,权值为杆件在该节点的转动刚度之和,符号相反;加权节点转角大小等于迭代的节点不平衡弯矩之和。 展开更多
关键词 力矩分配法 雅可比法 高斯-赛德尔法 矩阵位移法
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基于Microsoft Excel的刚架弯矩分配计算
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作者 赵贵明 《五邑大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2005年第1期63-66,共4页
为解决课程设计过程中时间紧、工作量大的矛盾,论文将Excel 规划的求解功能移植到框架结构计算中以替代烦琐的弯矩分配计算,使结构专业的学生和工程技术人员在缺少专用程序的情况下也可以轻松地完成框架分析.
关键词 绝对引用 相对引用 弯矩分配法
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NUMERICAL ANALYSIS OF CENTERED-INCLINED COUPLING SLOTS IN RECTANGULAR WAVEGUIDES
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作者 Wang Xucun Zhou Yiguo Wang Yanfei 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2014年第4期334-340,共7页
Numerical analysis is presented for the characteristic parameters of centered-inclined coupling slot in rectangular waveguides, taking into account the transverse distribution of the electric field across the slot ape... Numerical analysis is presented for the characteristic parameters of centered-inclined coupling slot in rectangular waveguides, taking into account the transverse distribution of the electric field across the slot aperture. Integral equations are formulated based on dyadic Green's function theories and solved using the method of moments. Trigonometric basis functions are adopted. It is found that the method will converge with up to ten basis functions. The characteristic parameters can be easily obtained for different slot sizes. Resonant length and resonant resistance of the coupling slots are calculated. It is shown that the calculated results have very high accuracy, compared with simulated results obtained from commercial software. Therefore, it can be effectively applied in the synthesis of antenna arrays. Effects of the transverse distribution on calculating resonant parameters of the coupling slot are also analyzed. The results show that if the transverse distribution of the electric field is neglected, the calculated error tends to become larger when the slot gets wider or thinner. 展开更多
关键词 Rectangular waveguide Centered-inclined coupling slot moment method Transverse distribution
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Power Hamza Distribution with Application to Lifetime Data
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作者 Samuel U. Enogwe Chike H. Nwankwo Eric U. Oti 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2022年第1期31-48,共18页
In this paper, a three-parameter lifetime distribution named power Hamza distribution (PH) is proposed. The PH distribution is a useful generalization of the Hamza distribution which accommodates heavy-tailed, upside-... In this paper, a three-parameter lifetime distribution named power Hamza distribution (PH) is proposed. The PH distribution is a useful generalization of the Hamza distribution which accommodates heavy-tailed, upside-down bathtub and J-shaped hazard rates making it more flexible than the Hamza distribution for modelling various kinds of lifetime data. A comprehensive account of the properties of this distribution is presented. The maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown model parameters are discussed. Finally, a real-life data is analyzed for illustrative purpose proving that the PH outperforms the Hamza distribution and several other lifetime distributions. 展开更多
关键词 Hamza distribution Hazard Rate Function Conditional moments Stochastic Ordering Maximum Likelihood method
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基于最大熵的新型冠状病毒代际间隔分布估计
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作者 高远东 李华龙 +5 位作者 王小华 陈端兵 梁义娟 温涛 周涛 陶勇 《复杂系统与复杂性科学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第2期20-28,37,共10页
传染病代际间隔τ对于探究病毒传播规律具有重要的理论与实用价值,而通常其概率分布函数是未知的。因此,尝试利用最大熵方法推断代际间隔分布函数的最概然形式,详细分析了全球20个国家4986个新型冠状病毒病例信息,在充分考虑样本多样性... 传染病代际间隔τ对于探究病毒传播规律具有重要的理论与实用价值,而通常其概率分布函数是未知的。因此,尝试利用最大熵方法推断代际间隔分布函数的最概然形式,详细分析了全球20个国家4986个新型冠状病毒病例信息,在充分考虑样本多样性的基础上估计了该病毒代际间隔的总体均值和方差,然后基于此方法推定了全球新型冠状病毒代际间隔分布函数并以此计算了中国的基本再生数。研究结论有助于进一步客观地分析病毒传播特征,为制定常态化疫情防控对策和相关领域研究提供重要的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 新型冠状病毒 最大熵原理 代际间隔 分布函数 阶矩信息
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多结点力矩分配法精确计算研究
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作者 吴昊 《力学与实践》 北大核心 2023年第6期1414-1419,共6页
针对多结点力矩分配法轮流放松结点只能获得渐近解的不足,提出了一种将分配结点分层并按顺序放松、相邻结点不同时放松、放松后不重新固定的放松策略,即从远端只与基础相连的结点开始将其划分为若干层,按照同层相邻分配结点逐个或间隔... 针对多结点力矩分配法轮流放松结点只能获得渐近解的不足,提出了一种将分配结点分层并按顺序放松、相邻结点不同时放松、放松后不重新固定的放松策略,即从远端只与基础相连的结点开始将其划分为若干层,按照同层相邻分配结点逐个或间隔放松的原则由外层向内层逐层移除结点约束,引入弹性支座模拟相邻杆件的转动约束作用,通过推导远端转动弹性支承等直杆弯矩形常数,确保结点放松时转动刚度和传递系数已知或可计算,结果表明,按顺序逐层移除约束的放松约束方式一方面各分配弯矩能够直接或通过已放松结点向支座传递,其中,向放松结点传递的弯矩通过结点协调变形依次向远端传递直至支座,而不产生新的不平衡力矩,从而快速消除结点不平衡力矩,结果精确;另一方面各分配结点只经历一轮完整力矩分配与连续传递过程即恢复至最终变形位置,计算量小。 展开更多
关键词 力矩分配法 放松策略 弹性支座 约束刚度 精确解
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10kV线路首端负荷安全域边界的估算方法
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作者 竺炜 高琪 +1 位作者 李爱元 周彦尧 《电力科学与技术学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第1期114-121,共8页
10 kV线路的主线具有单端注入的母线功能,其末端容易出现低电压问题。将主线压降约束转变为出线负荷约束,可为安全运行与规划提供极大便利,故提出首端负荷安全域边界的估算方法。首先针对沿线众多的台区负荷,基于分段压降特征,提出主线... 10 kV线路的主线具有单端注入的母线功能,其末端容易出现低电压问题。将主线压降约束转变为出线负荷约束,可为安全运行与规划提供极大便利,故提出首端负荷安全域边界的估算方法。首先针对沿线众多的台区负荷,基于分段压降特征,提出主线压降快速估算的力矩法;然后将实际台区负荷分布,等效为沿线均衡分布附加若干重载点的特征形式,更加符合实际情况;最后基于力矩法得到线路首端负荷与压降的关系,进而得到首端负荷安全域边界的线性化方程。算例结果表明,力矩法的压降分析和安全域边界分析都能满足工程精度要求。基于首端负荷安全域边界可得到10 kV线路的承载裕度,便于负荷控制和配网滚动规划,具有较好的工程应用价值。 展开更多
关键词 10 kV线路负荷分布 主线压降 力矩法 首端负荷安全域 线性化边界方程
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基于矩估计-TOPSIS-RSR昆明市水资源承载力综合评价 被引量:1
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作者 周齐彬 邹进 +3 位作者 容祎 刘安友 李阳 何潇 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2023年第2期73-84,共12页
【目的】水资源承载力是区域经济社会可持续发展的重要参考因素。随着经济社会的快速发展,昆明市水资源严重匮乏且过度开发,水资源供需矛盾日益突出。因此,定量分析昆明市水资源承载力,可以为昆明合理优化配置水资源提供理论依据与参考... 【目的】水资源承载力是区域经济社会可持续发展的重要参考因素。随着经济社会的快速发展,昆明市水资源严重匮乏且过度开发,水资源供需矛盾日益突出。因此,定量分析昆明市水资源承载力,可以为昆明合理优化配置水资源提供理论依据与参考。【方法】从水资源、生态环境、社会和经济4个子系统中选定20个评价指标构建水资源承载力综合评价体系,并采用矩估计法确定各个指标组合权重。通过建立TOPSIS-RSR模型对昆明市2008—2020年水资源承载力进行了合理分级、灵敏度分析及综合评价。【结果】结果表明:2008—2020年昆明市水资源承载力整体呈现上升趋势,贴近度从0.413提高到0.679,增长率为64.4%,承载力水平从一般水平提升到较好水平。影响昆明市水资源承载力的主要因素为水资源开发利用率、生态环境用水率、工业废水中COD排放量、森林覆盖率、人口自然增长率、人均GDP。在2009—2011年期间,昆明市水资源承载力受大旱影响有小幅波动的情况。对于其他子系统,除了水资源子系统较脆弱,受气候波动影响较大外,生态环境、社会和经济子系统承载力总体稳步增长。【结论】根据评价结果,昆明市水资源压力依然巨大,可通过优化升级产业结构,逐步淘汰高耗能、高耗水工业;优化配置水资源,保障水量、水质;加强生态文明建设等措施,提升昆明市水资源承载力,保障经济社会可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 水资源承载力 权重 矩估计 TOPSIS模型 RSR法 水资源 经济社会可持续发展 水资源供需矛盾
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