Flood risk control of dams and dykes in middle reach of Huaihe River

Three stochastic mathematical models for calculation of the reservoir flood regulation process, river course flood release, and flood risk rate under flood control were established based on the theory of stochastic differential equations and features of flood control systems in the middle reach of the Huaihe River from Xixian to the Bengbu floodgate, comprehensively considering uncertain factors of hydrology, hydraulics, and engineering control. They were used to calculate the flood risk rate with flood regulation of five key reservoirs, including the Meishan, Xianghongdian, Nianyushan, Mozitan, and Foziling reservoirs in the middle reach of the Huaihe River under different flood frequencies, the flood risk rate with river course flood release under design and check floods for the trunk of the Huaihe River in conjunction with relevant flood storage areas, and the flood risk rate with operation of the Linhuaigang Project under design and check floods. The calculated results show that （l） the five reservoirs can withstand design floods, but the Xianghongdian and Foziling reservoirs will suffer overtopping accidents under check floods; （2） considering the service of flood storage areas under the design flood conditions of the Huaihe River, the mean flood risk rate with flood regulation of dykes and dams from Xixian to the Bengbu floodgate is about 0.2, and the trunk of the Huaihe River can generally withstand design floods; and （3） under a check flood with the flood return period of 1 000 years, the risk rate of overtopping accidents of the Linhuaigang Project is not larger than 0.15, indicating that it has a high flood regulation capacity. Through regulation and application of the flood control system of the Linhuigang Project, the Huaihe River Basin can withstand large floods, and the safety of the protected area can be ensured.

A New Precipitation Index for the Spatiotemporal Distribution of Drought and Flooding in the Reaches of the Yangtze and Huaihe Rivers and Related Characteristics of Atmospheric Circulation

Characteristics of the spatiotemporal distributions of precipitation anomalies in the reaches of the Yangtze River and Huaihe River （YHR） were studied using EOF method. Four main precipitation pat-terns for the YHR in summer identified by the first two modes： a region-wide flood over the entire YHR （RWF）; a region-wide drought over the entire YHR （RWD）; a flood in the south with a drought in the northern region of the Yangtze River （FS-DN）; and a drought in the south with a flood in the northern region of the Yangtze River （DS-FN）. Based on the first two modes and the actual precipitation departure percentage, a new precipitation index is defined in this paper. The typical flood/drought years associated with the various rainfall patterns defined by this precipitation index are more representative and closer to reality compared to some existing precipitation indexes which just use the area-mean precipitation or the EOF time components individually. The characteristics of atmospheric circulation in summer corresponding to the four main precipitation patterns over the YHR in summer show the features of atmospheric circulation differ in different precipitation pattern years. Although the different patterns share a common main influential circulation system, such as the blocking high over northeastern Asia, the low trough of westerly flows in the mid latitudes, the West Pacific Subtropical High （WPSH）, and the high ridge over the Tibet Plateau, the difference in location and intensity of these systems can lead to different distributions of precipitation anomalies.

Dust source of the Holocene loess-soil and pedogenic environmental changes in the upper Huaihe River

Based on field surveys,soil samples were collected at the YPC site,Yuzhou City,Henan Province for analysis of contents of major and trace elements and their variations with XRF and comparison with the curves of magnetic susceptibility,pH value distribution,loss on ignition and particle-size distribution.It was concluded that the dust source of loess in the upper reaches of the Huaihe River Basin was different from that in the Loess Plateau.And the Holocene pedogenic environmental changes in the upper reaches of the Huaihe River Basin were revealed.

GEOGRAPHIC ENVIRONMENT CHANGE AND FLOOD CATASTROPHE IN HUAIHE RIVER BASIN DURING LAST 2000 YEARS

During the last 2000 years,flood and waterlogging catastrophes took place quite frequently in the Huaihe River Basin.In the authors’opinion,these natural calamities have a very close relation to the evolution of Hongze Lake.Formed initially within a man-made dyke that was built in the Han Dynasty about 2000 years ago, Hongze Lake brought out headward accumulation developing in the middle reaches of the Huaihe River, with its continuous aggravation on lake-bottom and consequent water-level rise. It was estimated that,on an average,there were 3400×104t sediment per kilometre per year deposited on the river bed from Lutaizi to Bengbu.Therefore,the rising of water-level and the drainage difficulty in the middle reaches of the Huaihe River aggravated local flood and waterlogging catastrophe here.

Holocene loess and its deposition dynamics in the upper reaches of the Huaihe River

The dust source and transporting system are two indispensable aspects in the process of Ioess-palaeosol accumulation. It has been proved that the dust of the Loess Plateau mainly comes from the northwestern inland gobi and desert, transported by the East Asia monsoon systems and westerlies. However, there are little researches with respect to the dust source and deposition dynamics of the upper reaches of the Huaihe River. In the present study, we investigated and collected the YPC section with high resolution in the upper reaches of the Huaihe River. The chronological frame was reconstructed by optically stimulated luminescence （QSL） dating and correlated with the published loess time series. By comparison of the magnetic susceptibility （MS） and grain size （GS） of loess-soil profile among YPC profile, XJN profile （western Loess Plateau） and the JYC profile （southern Loess Plateau）, we find similar climate change and pedogenic process between the upper reaches of the Huaihe River and the Loess Plateau, both experienced an extreme dry and the weakest pedogenesis during the last glacial, followed by a transitional episodes from the cold-dry last glacial to the warm-humid mid-Holocene and increased pedogenesis in the early Holocene, then a most humid-warm and strong pedogenesis in the mid-Holocene, and climate deterioration and decreased pedogenesis occurred during the late Holocene. But the MS of loess-soil profile sequences in the upper reaches of the Huaihe River was much lower than those in the Loess Plateau, and the GS was much coarser than those in the Loess Plateau. Comparison of GS for these three profiles revealed that there were different dust sources, which belonged to different aeolian transporting systems. The loess in the upper reaches of the Huaihe River was a wind blown deposition of near source, while the coarser dust mainly came from loose alluvial deposits of alluvial and proluvial fans of the Yellow River. The yield- ing and carrying dynamics of the dust in the Huaihe River is the northeast wind prevails in the winter half year.

Analysis of stable components for extended-range (10-30 days) weather forecast:A case study of continuous overcast-rainy process in early 2009 over the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River

A continuous overcast-rainy weather(CORW) process occurred over the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River(MLRYR) in China from February 14 to March 9 in 2009,with a large stretch and long duration that was rarely seen in historical records.Using the empirical orthogonal function(EOF),we analyzed the geopotential height anomaly field of the NCEP-DOE Reanalysis II in the same period,and defined the stable components of extended-range(10-30 days) weather forecast(ERWF).Furthermore,we defined anomalous and climatic stable components based on the variation characteristics of the variance contribution ratio of EOF components.The climatic stable components were able to explain the impact of climatically averaged information on the ERWF,and the anomalous stable components revealed the abnormal characteristics of the continuous overcast-rainy days.Our results show that the stable components,especially the anomalous stable components,can maintain the stability for a longer time(more than 10 days) and manifest as monthly scale low-frequency variation and ultra-long-wave activities.They also behave as ultra-long waves of planetary scale with a stable and vertically coherent structure,reflect the variation of general circulation in mid-high latitudes,display the cycle of the zonal circulation and the movement and adjustment of the ultra-long waves,and are closely linked to the surface CORW process.

淮河流域江苏段浮游植物优势种时空生态位

为了探究淮河流域江苏段浮游植物时空不同维度上的物种间关系及其对环境资源的利用程度,文章选取淮河流域江苏段的5条河流为研究对象,设置18个采样点,于2019—2022年丰水期进行调查。共鉴定出浮游植物8门89属238种,通过计算优势度指数、生态位宽度、生态位重叠值和生态响应速率,分析时间、空间和时空3个维度浮游植物优势种生态位特征。结果表明:研究期间共鉴定出浮游植物优势种12种,其中,给水颤藻Oscillatoria irriguum、浮游席藻Phormidium planctonica和铜绿微囊藻Microcystis aeruginosa是四年共有的优势种,均为蓝藻门。优势种生态位宽度表明,时间生态位宽度值最大,为0.406—0.945,空间次之,为0.175—0.647,时空宽度值最小,为0.054—0.396,各维度上宽度值最小的均为点形平裂藻Merismopedia punctata,时间、时空生态位宽度值最大的均为近细微丝藻Ulothrix subtillissima,表现出较强的生态适应性。生态位重叠值在时间、空间和时空三个维度上O_(ik)>0.6的分别占57.58%、27.27%和15.15%,分别以高度、中度和低度重叠为主。生态响应速率之和在时间、空间维度上均为正数,时空维度上为负数,表明群落结构在时空维度上较时间和空间维度更加稳定。综合而言,淮河流域江苏段浮游植物时间变化较小、优势种较为重叠;空间变化较大、优势种差异较大;总体浮游植物群落生态位分化程度较高,种间竞争较弱,群落结构较为稳定。

Relationship Between an Abrupt Drought-Flood Transition over Mid-Low Reaches of the Yangtze River in 2011 and the Intraseasonal Oscillation over Mid-High Latitudes of East Asia

NCEP/NCAR daily reanalysis data and Chinese daily gridded precipitation data are used to study the relationship between an aprupt drought-flood transition over the mid-low reaches of the Yangtze River in 2011 and the intraseasonal oscillation （ISO; 30-60 days） in the mid-high latitude meridional circulation of the upper troposphere over East Asia. The abrupt transition from drought to flood occurs in early June. The first two recovered fields of the complex empirical orthogonal function show that northward-propagating westerlies from low latitudes converge with southward-propagating westerlies from high latitudes over the mid-low reaches of the Yangtze River （MLRYR） in mid late May. The timing of this convergence corresponds to the flood period in early-mid June. The ISO index is significantly and positively correlated with rainfall over the MLRYR. During the dry phase （before the transition）, the upper troposphere over the MLRYR is characterized by cyclonic flow, easterly winds, and convergence. The regional circulation is dominated by a wave train with a cyclone over east of Lake Baikal, an anticyclone over northern China, and a cyclone over the MLRYR. During the wet phase, the situation is reversed. The configuration of the wave train during the dry phase favors the southward propagation of westerly wind disturbances, while the configuration of the wave train during the wet phase favors the development and maintenance of a pumping effect and sustained ascending motions over the MLRYR.

淮河流域颍河上游河谷沉积物物源分析

通过详细的野外考察,在淮河流域颍河上游的河谷地段见到具有典型代表性的完整沉积剖面,进一步对其进行野外宏观分层描述并每隔2 cm进行高分辨率采样,带回实验室进行分析。采用粒度端元分析手段,分析了地层剖面的物源问题。分析结果表明:本区黄土物源和黄土高原典型黄土有所不同,区域东北风作用下近源的风沙流沉积物占了相当份额;依据粒度端元分析,沉积动力组分主要由3部分组成,分别代表了风化成壤改造作用下的产物、东亚冬季风作用下从西北荒漠搬运而来的粉尘物质以及东北风作用下从近源搬运而来的黄泛沉积物;在不同的时期,沉积作用动力强弱有明显的变化,表明了全新世以来区域季风气候对全球气候变化的响应过程。研究对淮河流域颍河上游局部河谷沉积物物源组成特点进行了量化分析,这对于深入理解淮河上游沉积物物源及全新世以来其季风作用下的地表过程演变特征具有重要的科学意义。

淮河中上游地区新石器时代中期文化影响研究

淮河中、上游地区处于我国地理单元上的过渡中心,也是史前文化交流碰撞的“漩涡地带”。新石器时代中期两区域以淮河及其支流为纽带开启了文化上的互动交流,并逐步增强。两者之间的文化交流互动直接促进了淮系文化的形成与发展,并对淮河上游所在中原地区文化传播与扩散及早期中国各地考古学文化由分散、孤立走向交流、融合形成相对的文化共同体产生了积极的影响。

淮河上游全新世黄土-古土壤序列元素地球化学特性研究

在野外考察研究的基础上,对河南禹州全新世风成黄土-古土壤剖面系统采样,利用X-荧光光谱仪测定了常量元素和微量元素的含量及其变化,并与磁化率曲线、粒度变化曲线对比分析发现:常量元素氧化物比值钾钠比、残积系数和以Rb为代表的微量元素含量等随剖面层次呈规律性变化,即在古土壤层(S0)中含量最高,表土层(MS)中次之,在黄土层(L1、Lt、L0)中最低。硅铝率和Sr的含量表现出相反的变化规律。表明在全新世古土壤层和表土层形成时期,气候温暖湿润,成壤作用和次生粘化作用较强;在黄土堆积时期,气候比较干旱,沙尘暴频繁,成壤作用微弱。这些化学参数与磁化率曲线可以进行对比,表明成土过程中元素的迁移变化受全新世以来气候变化和成壤环境变化的控制。与黄土高原腹地的洛川剖面相比,淮河上游禹州剖面中绝大多数常量元素的含量较高,而绝大多数微量元素的含量偏低,磁化率也显著偏低,绝对值差别很大,粒度组成当中细沙成分含量很高,这说明淮河上游黄土物质来源与黄土高原地区明显不同。联系全新世时期黄河频繁泛滥、改道、沉积与黄淮平原盛行东北风形成流沙地的事实,认为淮河上游的黄土是黄河泛滥沉积物质经过风沙活动改造,由东北风力系统搬运而来的近源粉尘堆积,再经过就地风化或者成土改造而形成。

土地利用及景观格局演变对生态系统服务价值的影响

基于1990—2013年土地利用数据和统计年鉴数据,构建CPI指数修订生态系统服务价值(ESV)系数,并进行淮河上游土地利用结构及空间格局的时空演变特征分析和ESV评价研究,探讨ESV对土地利用结构和格局变化的响应关系。结果表明:(1)淮河上游区域ESV整体呈上升趋势,1995—2005年ESV出现波动下降,在2010年前后明显上升,2010—2013年ESV增值高于其他时段;(2)ESV增量呈现山地>丘陵区>平原区的地形梯度效应,且其生态增值主要来源于林地和水域贡献;(3)ESV与土地利用时空变化和土地景观格局丰度和聚集度变化存在明显相关,说明了合理的土地利用开发方式及适当的开发速度将有助于改善生态系统服务,开发过程要兼顾地类优势,避免地类斑块过度破碎化;(4)CPI指数修订ESV系数方法,能够消除时间序列内物价变动因素,使得计算结果更贴近实际ESV,提高了多个时期生态系统服务评价的准确性和可比性。

淮河上游全新世黄土-土壤剖面重金属元素分布与环境变化

在野外考察研究的基础上利用X-射线荧光光谱仪测定了河南禹州全新世YPC黄土-土壤剖面Zn、Cu、Co、Ni、Nb、Pb、V、Cr、Mn、Ti重金属元素的含量及其变化,研究表明在黄土堆积期,重金属元素的含量都很低,变化幅度也很小,可作为衡量古土壤层成壤改造的背景值.在全新世古土壤和现代表土中这些元素含量却大大增加,说明在温暖湿润的时期,成壤改造使易溶易迁移元素的淋失导致重金属元素的相对富集.而Pb含量从8cm深度处向上急剧增加,增幅达60%,这是大气污染物沉降积累的客观记录.

淮河上游全新世风成黄土与成壤环境变化研究

在野外考察研究的基础上,在河南禹州全新世黄土-古土壤剖面系统采样,利用X-荧光光谱仪测定了常量元素的含量,并与磁化率、粘粒含量及碳酸钙含量变化曲线对比发现:常量元素氧化物(Al2O3、Fe2O3、K2O、MgO)含量随土壤地层呈现有规律变化,即在古土壤层(S0)中含量最高,表土层(MS)中次之,在黄土层(L1、Lt、L0)中最低;Na2O在古土壤层淋失,在黄土层相对富集。深入分析表明,淮河上游全新世黄土为风力沉积物,来源于黄河下游泛滥平原的风沙活动和沙尘暴沉积。在古土壤层和表土层形成时期,气候温暖湿润,虽然仍然有沙尘暴发生,但是成壤作用和次生粘化作用较强;在黄土层堆积时期,气候干旱寒冷,黄河下游泛滥平原植被稀疏,风沙活动和沙尘暴强烈,风化成壤作用极其微弱。这些化学成分含量与磁化率相关性很强,表明它们主要受全新世气候与成壤环境变化的控制。

基于空间信息平台的土地利用方式变化径流响应模拟

以淮河上游息县水文站以上为研究区域,基于研究区域3期（20世纪80年代2、0世纪90年代、2000年以后）土地利用图模拟分析土地利用变化对流域产水的影响.利用流域附近8个气象站1980-2005年的资料,内插得到流域内的气象资料,应用P-M法耦合植物生长模型（EPIC）计算流域潜在蒸散发;利用息县以上集水区域1980-2005年63个雨量站资料及尺度为1∶200000土壤类型图,选用SWAT模型模拟流域的径流过程,并分析了产水特性参数时空变化.结果表明：降雨量的大小弱化了流域下垫面条件对产水的影响;在降雨和土壤质地相同的情况下,产水能力旱地大于水田大于草地大于林地;旱地增加后流域产水量也会增加,林地不易于流域的产流.

淮河上游全新世风成黄土—土壤物质来源研究

通过对淮河上游地区河南新郑全新世黄土—古土壤剖面磁化率和粒度的测量分析,揭示了淮河上游地区沙质黄土和古土壤的物质来源。该区黄土—古土壤磁化率明显低于黄土高原区,而粒度明显比黄土高原区粗,属于沙质黄土。通过两地区粒度分布的对比,揭示了它们有不同的粉尘源区,分属于不同的风成系统。淮河上游地区黄土是近源风尘沉积物,粉尘主要来源于孟津以东黄河冲积、洪积扇的松散河流沉积粉沙,实质是黄土高原水土流失的产物。黄河的频繁决口、改道、泛滥沉积为其提供了丰富的物源,其粗颗粒粉尘产生和搬运堆积的动力是东北风。淮河上游地区全新世早期粉尘是近源粗颗粒堆积,堆积速率可达18 6cm/ka,是黄土高原南部地区的2 3倍。

利用累积湿润指数分析江淮地区农业旱涝时空变化

提出了一个农业旱涝气象指标一一累积湿润指数。该指标以相对湿润度指数为基础，通过确定不同区域综合农田作物系数对参考作物蒸散量进行订正，并考虑前期旱涝程度对当前旱涝状况的累积影响，从而具有农业意义。用土壤墒情指标对该指标进行分区域旬旱涝等级的确定和检验，其定量符合率为60％-70％，定性符合率为80％．90％。利用该指标分析近30年江淮地区农业旱涝时空变化的结果表明，从多年平均意义上江淮地区农田水分状况能满足作物需求，湿润程度湿润区高于半湿润区。农业旱涝年际变化大，变异率北部大于南部。北部旱涝并存，春旱、夏秋和秋冬连旱频率高，夏季洪涝严重；南部总体湿润，以涝居多，但夏秋干旱频发。在气候变化导致江淮地区降水格局发生变化的条件下，近年来北部夏季洪涝，南部夏秋旱问题突出，值得关注。

基于SWAT模型分析淮河流域中上游水量平衡要素对气候变化的响应

本研究在对SWAT模型进行参数化的基础上,采用淮河干流吴家渡和鲁台子水文控制站1971—1990年和1991—2014年的月径流观测数据对SWAT模型进行了率定和验证。模拟效果评估结果显示:不论是率定期还是验证期,NashSutcliffe系数Ens和确定系数R^2均>0.8,相对误差R_e<1%,模型能够较好地再现月尺度的降雨~径流过程。淮河中上游年径流深线性变化趋势不明显,但子流域空间差异显著,径流深上游及南部呈线性减小趋势,其他子流域呈增大趋势。从年水量平衡要素来看,蒸散量和渗漏量对水量平衡贡献最大。主成分分析表明,平均气温、降水量及蒸散量是淮河中上游水文要素变化的关键因子。剔除人为因素的影响,1971—2014年淮河中上游地区水资源量呈减少趋势,这可能是年平均气温升高、年降水量略有减少以及年蒸散量减少综合作用的结果。本文研究成果可为准河中上游水资源管理和相关政策的制定提供技术支撑。

淮河上游生态需水量计算分析

为分析计算淮河上游河流生态需水量,提出了丰水期、枯水期、平水期保证率分别为45%,75%,50%的淮河上游适宜生态径流计算方法,选用淮河上游干流息县、长台关以及大坡岭3个主要控制站1960-2005年历年天然来水量资料,计算了淮河上游最小生态径流和适宜生态径流,并运用Tennant法进行评价.结果表明,最小生态径流在很大程度上有损于河流生态系统稳定与健康;总体而言,3站适宜生态径流均可以使淮河上游河流生态环境状况达到最佳,但在某些年份各站实测月均流量小于其适宜生态径流量,而且丰水期适宜生态径流破坏率较枯水期的要高.因此,在某些年份为满足淮河上游适宜生态需水要求,还应增加河道内生态用水量.

淮河中游新石器时代遗址出土石器的演变所反映的人地关系--以双墩和尉迟寺遗址为例

本文以淮河中游新石器早期的双墩遗址和中晚期的尉迟寺遗址的出土石器为主线,辅以其他遗存和遗址地层剖面的环境磁学、元素地球化学证据,探讨了石器工具的演变所反映的人地关系。研究表明:双墩古人最主要的生产活动是砍伐树木和狩猎,而尉迟寺则是谷物生产和狩猎。双墩古人使用投掷和其他多种狩猎方式,在猎物充足的全新世大暖期获取了大量的肉食资源。尉迟寺时期狩猎水平虽有所提高,但剧烈波动的气候和迅速增加的人口,使猎获量下降。双墩时期人们砍伐的树木较为细小,木料之间的结合以捆绑为主。而尉迟寺时期人们砍伐的树木比较粗大,木器和房屋已使用卯榫结构。双墩时期已有了水稻种植,但采集农业占有较大比重。尉迟寺时期的农业以种植为主,采集农业为有益的补充,该时期的出土石器和农业类型与环境演变有明显的相关性。