Influencing Factors of Long-Term Residence Intention of Highly Educated Inter-Provincial and Intra-Provincial Floating Population From the Perspective of Social Integration:Take Guangdong Province for Example

Floating population plays an important role in the development of cities,regions,and countries.The economic growth path with Guangdong characteristics is inseparable from the support of highly educated groups.Studying the long-term residence intention of the highly educated floating population is helpful for the city to attract and retain talents.From the perspective of social integration,using CMDS 2017 data and taking Guangdong Province for example,this paper studies the influencing factors of long-term residence intention through SPSS logistic regression,taking intra-provincial and inter-provincial floating population with a bachelor’s degree or above as sample.The main conclusions are:(1)Marital and childbearing status is the primitive influencing factor of long-term residence intention among intra-provincial and inter-provincial floating population.Samples with high income,under social insurance system,being female and having non-agricultural hukou,are tend to prefer long-term residence.Samples who connect with the locals and participate in social public welfare are more likely to stay.(2)Personal age and city livability have a significant positive impact on the long-term residence intention of the inter-provincial highly educated floating population,but agricultural hukou and self-employed laborer status will weaken the long-term residence intention of this group.(3)Participation in townsmen/alumni association has a positive effect on the long-term residence intention of the intra-provincial highly educated floating population,and connection with outlanders also promotes the long-term residence intention of this group.(4)The long-term residence intention of inter-provincial highly educated floating population is usually based on reality,therefore they pay more attention to the development,changes,and livability of the destination city.However,the long-term residence intention of intra-provincial highly educated floating population is usually based on perception,so they pay more attention to whether they like the city.Compared with intra-provincial flows,inter-provincial flows have higher economic and emotional migration costs,more institutional barriers,and more life adaptation problems.Therefore,the government should introduce targeted measures to promote social integration and improve long-term residence intention.

高学历人口迁居决策:精神方面收益比较

为全面探究高学历人口的迁居动机和影响因素,基于中山大学劳动力动态调查数据(CLDS),对高学历人口迁居的影响因素进行理论与实证分析。研究表明:在高学历人口迁居影响因素中,精神收益呈现显著影响,说明精神收益对高学历人口迁居而言具有重要作用;相比较普通学历人口而言,高学历人口在精神收益方面的工作价值及生活满意度均显著,而前者仅表现为生活满意度显著;相比较于物质收益而言,高学历人口精神收益的影响依然小于物质收益,说明物质收益依然重要;精神收益对高学历人口迁居的作用具有城市和性别异质性,即在副省级以上城市和男性中精神收益对迁居的作用均大于中小城市和女性高学历人口迁居的作用。通过对精神收益的理论和实证分析,能够更加全面地揭示高学历人口迁居的影响因素,对于各城市合理的引才留才具有一定的政策启示意义。

新人口形势下的公共教育供给

第七次全国人口普查表明,中国经济社会发展既受到人口老龄化和低生育率的挑战,也面临改善人力资源配置和增进人力资本积累的机遇。加强并改善公共教育供给是应对挑战、把握机遇的内在要求。中国公共教育供给的症结既在于数量不足,也在于空间布局欠优,不适应人口迁移带来的教育需求变动,必须基于对中国空间经济演化的认识加以调整。一方面,由于人口不断向大城市集聚,大城市的教育资源亟待扩容,特别是要增加高中阶段教育的供给;另一方面,在人口流出地,随着人口逐步向市辖区收缩,教育供给需要通过集中来提质。在制度层面,顶层设计应着力转变地方政府治理方式并调整上下级财政安排,调动多方面积极因素,切实加强和改善公共教育供给。