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Modeling Analysis of Factors Influencing Wind-Borne Seed Dispersal: A Case Study on Dandelion
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作者 Kemeng Xue 《American Journal of Plant Sciences》 CAS 2024年第4期252-267,共16页
A weed is a plant that thrives in areas of human disturbance, such as gardens, fields, pastures, waysides, and waste places where it is not intentionally cultivated. Dispersal affects community dynamics and vegetation... A weed is a plant that thrives in areas of human disturbance, such as gardens, fields, pastures, waysides, and waste places where it is not intentionally cultivated. Dispersal affects community dynamics and vegetation response to global change. The process of seed disposal is influenced by wind, which plays a crucial role in determining the distance and probability of seed dispersal. Existing models of seed dispersal consider wind direction but fail to incorporate wind intensity. In this paper, a novel seed disposal model was proposed in this paper, incorporating wind intensity based on relevant references. According to various climatic conditions, including temperate, arid, and tropical regions, three specific regions were selected to establish a wind dispersal model that accurately reflects the density function distribution of dispersal distance. Additionally, dandelions growth is influenced by a multitude of factors, encompassing temperature, humidity, climate, and various environmental variables that necessitate meticulous consideration. Based on Factor Analysis model, which completely considers temperature, precipitation, solar radiation, wind, and land carrying capacity, a conclusion is presented, indicating that the growth of seeds is primarily influenced by plant attributes and climate conditions, with the former exerting a relatively stronger impact. Subsequently, the remaining two plants were chosen based on seed weight, yielding consistent conclusion. 展开更多
关键词 Seed Dispersal Wind Intensity Climatic Effect Factor analysis Model
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Transient pressure analysis of polymer flooding fractured wells with oil-water two-phase flow
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作者 WANG Yang YU Haiyang +2 位作者 ZHANG Jia FENG Naichao CHENG Shiqing 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 2023年第1期175-182,共8页
The oil-water two-phase flow pressure-transient analysis model for polymer flooding fractured well is established by considering the comprehensive effects of polymer shear thinning,shear thickening,convection,diffusio... The oil-water two-phase flow pressure-transient analysis model for polymer flooding fractured well is established by considering the comprehensive effects of polymer shear thinning,shear thickening,convection,diffusion,adsorption retention,inaccessible pore volume and effective permeability reduction.The finite volume difference and Newton iteration methods are applied to solve the model,and the effects of fracture conductivity coefficient,injected polymer mass concentration,initial polymer mass concentration and water saturation on the well-test type curves of polymer flooding fractured wells are discussed.The results show that with the increase of fracture conductivity coefficient,the pressure conduction becomes faster and the pressure drop becomes smaller,so the pressure curve of transitional flow goes downward,the duration of bilinear flow becomes shorter,and the linear flow appears earlier and lasts longer.As the injected polymer mass concentration increases,the effective water phase viscosity increases,and the pressure loss increases,so the pressure and pressure derivative curves go upward,and the bilinear flow segment becomes shorter.As the initial polymer mass concentration increases,the effective water phase viscosity increases,so the pressure curve after the wellbore storage segment moves upward as a whole.As the water saturation increases,the relative permeability of water increases,the relative permeability of oil decreases,the total oil-water two-phase mobility becomes larger,and the pressure loss is reduced,so the pressure curve after the wellbore storage segment moves downward as a whole.The reliability and practicability of this new model are verified by the comparison of the results from simplified model and commercial well test software,and the actual well test data. 展开更多
关键词 fractured vertical well polymer flooding two-phase flow well test analysis model type curve influence factor
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An Application of Machine Learning to Thalassemia Diagnosis
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作者 Sitan Liu 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2024年第2期211-230,共20页
Mediterranean anemia is a genetic disease that currently relies heavily on expert clinical experience to determine whether patients are affected. This method is overly reliant on expert experience and is not precise e... Mediterranean anemia is a genetic disease that currently relies heavily on expert clinical experience to determine whether patients are affected. This method is overly reliant on expert experience and is not precise enough. This paper proposes two modeling methods to predict whether patients have Mediterranean anemia. The first method involves using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of the data, followed by logistic regression modeling (PCA-LR) on the reduced dataset. The second method involves building a Partial Least Squares Regression (PLS) model. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the PCA-LR model is 87.5% (degree = 2, λ=4), and the prediction accuracy of the PLS model is 92.5% (ncomp = 4), indicating good predictive performance of the models. 展开更多
关键词 MULTICOLLINEARITY Statistical analysis Models Data Mining PCA-LR PLS
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Modeling of Economic Cost Distribution in Screw Thread
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作者 Run Xu 《Journal of Economic Science Research》 2020年第3期21-24,共4页
The screw threading produce is a important process course.The economics modeling is established in this paper so this process will be investigated.In this paper modeling of process is analyzed.The Q and cost decreases... The screw threading produce is a important process course.The economics modeling is established in this paper so this process will be investigated.In this paper modeling of process is analyzed.The Q and cost decreases with the increasing quantity while the same turn as AC>AFC>MC is found.AC and AFC is main factors to affect quantity then MC do.It fits to concept of them well.The cost AC and AFC is higher upon L=4 than L=6 while MC is higher upon L=6 than L=4.Meantime the TC and VC is higher upon L=6 than that upon L=4,is the near parallel line.The TC>VC is turn to affect cost.There is a difference for them.TC and VC is main effective costs to compare with AC,AFC&MC.The TC and VC become bigger upon K=5 than K=7. 展开更多
关键词 modeling analysis SCREW THREAD ECONOMICS Cost distribution AC TC VC AFC MC
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Comprehensive security risk factor identification for small reservoirs with heterogeneous data based on grey relational analysis model 被引量:6
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作者 Jing-chun Feng Hua-ai Huang +1 位作者 Yao Yin Ke Zhang 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2019年第4期330-338,共9页
Identification of security risk factors for small reservoirs is the basis for implementation of early warning systems.The manner of identification of the factors for small reservoirs is of practical significance when ... Identification of security risk factors for small reservoirs is the basis for implementation of early warning systems.The manner of identification of the factors for small reservoirs is of practical significance when data are incomplete.The existing grey relational models have some disadvantages in measuring the correlation between categorical data sequences.To this end,this paper introduces a new grey relational model to analyze heterogeneous data.In this study,a set of security risk factors for small reservoirs was first constructed based on theoretical analysis,and heterogeneous data of these factors were recorded as sequences.The sequences were regarded as random variables,and the information entropy and conditional entropy between sequences were measured to analyze the relational degree between risk factors.Then,a new grey relational analysis model for heterogeneous data was constructed,and a comprehensive security risk factor identification method was developed.A case study of small reservoirs in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in China shows that the model constructed in this study is applicable to security risk factor identification for small reservoirs with heterogeneous and sparse data. 展开更多
关键词 Security risk factor identification Heterogeneous data Grey relational analysis model Relational degree Information entropy Conditional entropy Small reservoir GUANGXI
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An Emotion Analysis Method Using Multi-Channel Convolution Neural Network in Social Networks 被引量:1
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作者 Xinxin Lu Hong Zhang 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2020年第10期281-297,共17页
As an interdisciplinary comprehensive subject involving multidisciplinary knowledge,emotional analysis has become a hot topic in psychology,health medicine and computer science.It has a high comprehensive and practica... As an interdisciplinary comprehensive subject involving multidisciplinary knowledge,emotional analysis has become a hot topic in psychology,health medicine and computer science.It has a high comprehensive and practical application value.Emotion research based on the social network is a relatively new topic in the field of psychology and medical health research.The text emotion analysis of college students also has an important research significance for the emotional state of students at a certain time or a certain period,so as to understand their normal state,abnormal state and the reason of state change from the information they wrote.In view of the fact that convolutional neural network cannot make full use of the unique emotional information in sentences,and the need to label a large number of highquality training sets for emotional analysis to improve the accuracy of the model,an emotional analysismodel using the emotional dictionary andmultichannel convolutional neural network is proposed in this paper.Firstly,the input matrix of emotion dictionary is constructed according to the emotion information,and the different feature information of sentences is combined to form different network input channels,so that the model can learn the emotion information of input sentences from various feature representations in the training process.Then,the loss function is reconstructed to realize the semi supervised learning of the network.Finally,experiments are carried on COAE 2014 and self-built data sets.The proposed model can not only extract more semantic information in emotional text,but also learn the hidden emotional information in emotional text.The experimental results show that the proposed emotion analysis model can achieve a better classification performance.Compared with the best benchmark model gram-CNN,the F1 value can be increased by 0.026 in the self-built data set,and it can be increased by 0.032 in the COAE 2014 data set. 展开更多
关键词 Emotion analysis model emotion dictionary convolution neural network semi supervised learning deep learning pooling feature feature mapping
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An empirical analysis on community residents' perception and major influencing factors of rural tourism development 被引量:1
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作者 WEI Lang-jie YAN Zhao-nan +1 位作者 LI Kai-li GU Ya-qing 《Ecological Economy》 2021年第3期176-185,共10页
With the rapid development of rural tourism in China,community residents,as important stakeholders in the development of rural tourism,their perceptions and attitudes directly affect the sustainable and healthy develo... With the rapid development of rural tourism in China,community residents,as important stakeholders in the development of rural tourism,their perceptions and attitudes directly affect the sustainable and healthy development of local rural tourism.Taking the community residents of Xiaogucheng Village in Hangzhou as the research object,using the methods of field interviews and questionnaires,a multiple regression model was established to conduct an empirical analysis on the perception and main factors affecting the development of rural tourism of community residents.The results show that the development of rural tourism in villages with better economic development is not as popular as expected;Where community residents have made ideological progress and are willing to participate in tourism development,the development effect of rural tourism is remarkable;In addition,community residents also hope that their personal abilities can be combined with rural tourism for common development;The destruction of community environment has a slight impact on the development of rural tourism,which shows that the attention is not enough.Finally,based on the analysis conclusion,it provides new ideas and inspiration for the sustainable development of rural tourism:improving the community residents’participation in rural tourism system,establishing the guidance mechanism of community residents’tourism vocational education,and consolidating the achievements of community ecological environment management. 展开更多
关键词 rural tourism community residents’perception multiple regression analysis model
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Analysis of static structural mechanics of vertical axis wind turbine with lift-drag combined starting structures
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作者 QU Chunming FENG Fang +2 位作者 LI Yan BAI Yuedi ZHAO Bin 《排灌机械工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第9期923-928,共6页
The finite element analysis was carried out for a composite vertical axis wind turbine with lift-drag combined starting structures to ensure the structure safety of a vertical axis wind turbine(VAWT).The static and mo... The finite element analysis was carried out for a composite vertical axis wind turbine with lift-drag combined starting structures to ensure the structure safety of a vertical axis wind turbine(VAWT).The static and modal analysis of rotor of a composite vertical axis wind turbine was conducted by using ANSYS software.The relevant contour sketch of stress and deformation was obtained.The analysis was made for static structural mechanics,modal analysis of rotor and the total deformation and vibration profile to evaluate the influence on the working capability of the rotor.The analysis results show that the various structure parameters lie in the safety range of structural mechanics in the relative standards.The analysis showing the design safe to operate the rotor of a vertical axis wind turbine.The methods used in this study can be used as a good reference for the structural mechanics′analysis of VAWTs. 展开更多
关键词 vertical axis wind turbine finite element analysis static structural mechanics lift-drag combined starting structure model analysis
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2D Finite Element Analysis of Asynchronous Machine Influenced Under Power Quality Perturbations
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作者 Jasmin Pamela S R.Saranya +5 位作者 V.Indragandhi R.Raja Singh V.Subramaniyaswamy Yuvaraja Teekaraman Shabana Urooj Norah Alwadai 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第3期5745-5763,共19页
Asynchronous machines are predominantly preferred in industrial sectors for its reliability.Power quality perturbations have a greater impact on industries;among the different power quality events,voltage fluctuations... Asynchronous machines are predominantly preferred in industrial sectors for its reliability.Power quality perturbations have a greater impact on industries;among the different power quality events,voltage fluctuations are the most common and that may cause adverse effect on machine’s operation since they are longer enduring.The article discusses a numerical technique for evaluating asynchronous motors while taking into account magnetic saturation,losses,leakage flux,and voltage drop.A 2D linear analysis involving a multi-slice time stepping finite element model is used to predict the end effects.As an outcome,the magnetic saturation and losses are estimated using amodified 2D nonlinear time-stepping finite element formulation.The method takes the electromagnetic fields at the ends of the motor into account using limited computer resources.The proposed method will greatly reduce computation timewith limited computer resources for analyzing themachine’s performance with high precision.The analyzed findings assist in preventing voltage variance issues in the power network system and provide suggestions for developing a robust system. 展开更多
关键词 Asynchronous machine finite element model analysis voltage variations power quality multi-slice model
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Longitudinal genetic analysis of growth-related traits in red swamp crayfish Procambarus clarkii (Girard)
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作者 Hui WANG Yi ZHANG +3 位作者 Guoliang CHANG Nan WU Zhiqiang XU Jianqing TANG 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第2期775-785,共11页
The red swamp crayfish,Procambarus clarkii,is an economically important species especially in China.Their exoskeleton places serious constraints on growth and culture management.Their growth is achieved through interm... The red swamp crayfish,Procambarus clarkii,is an economically important species especially in China.Their exoskeleton places serious constraints on growth and culture management.Their growth is achieved through intermittent molting/ecdysis.The longitudinal genetic dynamics for growth-related traits at different ecdysial points in P.clarkii has been unclear to date.In this study,conditional genetic analysis was carried out for growth-related traits(body weight,body length,chela length,and cephalothorax length)based upon a mixed genetic model with conditional additive,dominance,and genotype by environment effects in P.clarkii.A complete diallel cross was made among three geographic populations of P.clarkii for the genetic mating design.Results of the conditional genetic analysis showed that from 4 th molt to 9 th molt the conditional additive variations were increased significantly whereas the conditional non-additive genetic variations(dominance and genotype by environment interaction)were decreased significantly for these growth-related traits.This indicated that lots of new expression of additive effect genes for body weight,body length,chela length,and cephalothorax length occurred during ontogeny,and environment played a signifi cant role in the expression of genes affecting these growth-related traits.Growth of the four traits was mainly affected by non-additive genetic effects in early developmental stage(prior to 4 th molt).The cumulative conditional additive variation for the growth-related traits from 4 th molt to 9 th molt accounted for a large majority of the total conditional additive variations from 2 nd molt to 9 th molt,indicating that this period was very important for the growth of this species.Using the conditional analysis method,dynamics of growth-related traits during an important ontogenetic phase of red swamp crayfish was uncovered.Our results provide valuable insights into refining production of this species. 展开更多
关键词 mating design conditional genetic analysis model Procambarus clarkii genetic effect conditional variance component longitudinal genetic analysis
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HYDROLOGIC/HYDRAULIC MODELLING AND FLOOD RISK ANALYSIS FOR THE WEST TIAOXI CATCHMENT, TAIHU LAKE REGION, CHINA
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《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2000年第4期22-31,共10页
关键词 FLOOD MAP TAIHU LAKE REGION CHINA HYDROLOGIC/HYDRAULIC MODELLING AND FLOOD RISK analysis FOR THE WEST TIAOXI CATCHMENT
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Fifth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Nonlinear Systems (5th-CASAM-N): II. Paradigm Application to a Bernoulli Model Comprising Uncertain Parameters 被引量:1
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作者 Dan Gabriel Cacuci 《American Journal of Computational Mathematics》 2022年第1期119-161,共43页
This work presents the application of the recently developed “Fifth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Nonlinear Systems (5<sup>th</sup>-CASAM-N)” to a simplified Bernoulli ... This work presents the application of the recently developed “Fifth-Order Comprehensive Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis Methodology for Nonlinear Systems (5<sup>th</sup>-CASAM-N)” to a simplified Bernoulli model. The 5<sup>th</sup>-CASAM-N builds upon and incorporates all of the lower-order (i.e., the first-, second-, third-, and fourth-order) adjoint sensitivities analysis methodologies. The Bernoulli model comprises a nonlinear model response, uncertain model parameters, uncertain model domain boundaries and uncertain model boundary conditions, admitting closed-form explicit expressions for the response sensitivities of all orders. Illustrating the specific mechanisms and advantages of applying the 5<sup>th</sup>-CASAM-N for the computation of the response sensitivities with respect to the uncertain parameters and boundaries reveals that the 5<sup>th</sup>-CASAM-N provides a fundamental step towards overcoming the curse of dimensionality in sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Fifth-Order Sensitivity analysis of Bernoulli Model Uncertain Model Parameters Uncertain Model Domain Boundaries Uncertain Model Boundary Conditions
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Modeling and Simulation of ΔH in Solid State Synthesis of Nanocomposites Al-Cu-Zr
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作者 Ali H.Alomari M.Aboelsoud 《材料科学与工程(中英文A版)》 2021年第1期26-34,共9页
Amorphous structure generated by high-energy ball miller(BM)is often used as a precursor for generating nanocomposites through controlled devitrification.The amorphous forming composition range of ternary Al-Cu-Zr sys... Amorphous structure generated by high-energy ball miller(BM)is often used as a precursor for generating nanocomposites through controlled devitrification.The amorphous forming composition range of ternary Al-Cu-Zr system was calculated using the extended Miedema’s semiempirical model.Eleven compositions of Al-Cu-Zr system showed a wide range of negative enthalpy of mixing(-ΔH^(mix))and amorphization(-ΔH^(amor))among the constituent elements was selected for synthesis by BM.They yielded either nanocomposites of partial amorphous and crystalline structure or no amorphous phase at all in the as-milled condition.The Al_(88)Cu_(6)Zr_(6) alloy with relatively small negativeΔH^(mix)(-0.4 kJ/mol)andΔH^(amor)(-14.8 kJ/mol)became completely amorphous after 120 h of milling. 展开更多
关键词 Al-Cu-Zr nanocomposite materials high-energy BM X-ray diffraction(XRD)and transmission electron microscope(TEM) Miedema model analysis
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Impairment of Continuous Insulin Delivery Therapy and Analysis from Graeco-Latin Square Design Model
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作者 Norou Diawara Ayodeji Demuren Eric Gyuricsko 《Journal of Biosciences and Medicines》 2016年第8期40-51,共12页
The desire to deliver measured amount of insulin continuously to patients with type I diabetes, for glycemic control, has attracted a lot of attention. Continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion has seen some success in... The desire to deliver measured amount of insulin continuously to patients with type I diabetes, for glycemic control, has attracted a lot of attention. Continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion has seen some success in recent years. However, occlusion of insulin delivery may prevent the patient from receiving the prescribed dosage, with adverse consequence. An in vitro study of insulin delivery is performed, using different insulin pumps, insulin analogs and operating conditions. The aim is to identify incidences of occlusion due to bubble formation in the infusion line. A detailed statistical analysis was performed on the data collected to determine any significant differences and deviations in insulin delivery rates that might be due to factors such as: pump type, the set basal flow rate, insulin type, vibration, and possible insulin occlusion due to air bubble formation within the infusion line. Our findings from the Graeco-Latin Square design model show that there are statistical differences due to the devices, and statistical identifiable clusters are used to distinguish the devices. Such hierarchical models used to describe the analyses, include the flow rate, the pump types, and the activity level. 展开更多
关键词 Graeco-Latin Square Design Insulin Delivery Model Based Cluster analysis OCCLUSION
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Research on the Land Consolidation Strategy of Dalian City Based on PESTEL Analysis Model
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作者 Hongcheng WANG Junchao CHEN 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2020年第4期1-5,13,共6页
Standing at the starting point of the"13 th Five-Year Plan",the general situation of Dalian City,the current status and characteristics of land use,and the strategy of land consolidation planning during the&... Standing at the starting point of the"13 th Five-Year Plan",the general situation of Dalian City,the current status and characteristics of land use,and the strategy of land consolidation planning during the"12 th Five-Year Plan"period are analyzed,and then the political,economic,social,technological,environmental and legal factors that influence the land consolidation of Dalian City are analyzed based on the PESTEL model.Afterwards,measures of land consolidation in Dalian City during the"13 th Five-Year Plan"period are proposed,such as transforming the concept of land consolidation,coordinating opinions of agricultural departments and making scientific decisions,reasonably arranging agricultural space,optimizing the layout of rural residential areas and encouraging moderate scale management of land,broadening the content of land consolidation,and implementing soil testing fertilization. 展开更多
关键词 Land management Land consolidation strategy PESTEL analysis model Dalian City
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Security Risk Analysis Model for Identification and Resolution System of Industrial Internet
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作者 MA Baoluo CHEN Wenqu CHI Cheng 《ZTE Communications》 2020年第1期49-54,共6页
Identification and resolution system of the industrial Internet is the“neural hub”of the industrial Internet for coordination.Catastrophic damage to the whole industrial Internet industry ecology may be caused if th... Identification and resolution system of the industrial Internet is the“neural hub”of the industrial Internet for coordination.Catastrophic damage to the whole industrial Internet industry ecology may be caused if the identification and resolution system is attacked.Moreover,it may become a threat to national security.Therefore,security plays an important role in identification and resolution system of the industrial Internet.In this paper,an innovative security risk analysis model is proposed for the first time,which can help control risks from the root at the initial stage of industrial Internet construction,provide guidance for related enterprises in the early design stage of identification and resolution system of the industrial Internet,and promote the healthy and sustainable development of the industrial identification and resolution system. 展开更多
关键词 industrial Internet identification and resolution system security risk analysis model
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A 3-DOF Musculoskeletal model of lower extremity for swing phase analysis 被引量:2
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作者 Dewen Jin Ruthong Zhang +2 位作者 Jichuan Zhang Caiqin Bai Changhong Zhu(Department of Precision Instruments, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China) 《Chinese Journal of Biomedical Engineering(English Edition)》 1999年第3期7-8,共2页
关键词 A 3-DOF Musculoskeletal model of lower extremity for swing phase analysis
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Investigation for Smartfood’s Market Ability Based on Regression Analysis
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作者 LI Runshi SHEN Tzuying TING Tzuyun 《Management Studies》 2022年第3期147-154,共8页
Product Development at Smartfood is considering adding a new low-carbohydrate food product labeled K-Pack to their product line.Hence,the company needs to estimate the product’s profit potential and choose the best m... Product Development at Smartfood is considering adding a new low-carbohydrate food product labeled K-Pack to their product line.Hence,the company needs to estimate the product’s profit potential and choose the best marketing strategy.In order to investigate the different factors’impact on sales,we establish a multiple regression model.In our model,we consider selling price,advertisement payment,and selling location as independent variables and the sale is a dependent variable.Based on the empirical test,we found that the sales of the product increase as the selling price and the ads investment increase,and locations near bakery sections lead to higher sales.We also found that the final profits increase as the selling price and the ads investment increase.As a result of the analysis made with the model,we provide the company with a full-scale estimation of sales and suggestions on their marketing strategy:higher price,higher advertisement payment,and selling locations near the stores’bakery sections.Compared with the original prediction made by the company’s staff,the methods followed are more accurate and provide suggestions more specifically. 展开更多
关键词 multiple regression analysis model marketing strategy advertisement payment
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Service Quality Measurement and Competition Strategy Analysis of Online Shopping
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作者 Chia-Huei Wu 《Macro Management & Public Policies》 2020年第1期28-32,共5页
E-Commerce refers to such business behavior as conducting trades on a virtual network through the Internet.The core elements contributing to the success of online stores include not only the web-based presentation and... E-Commerce refers to such business behavior as conducting trades on a virtual network through the Internet.The core elements contributing to the success of online stores include not only the web-based presentation and the low-price strategy but the quality of online service as well.Importance-Performance Analysis is a method frequently used to evaluate performance and analyze competition strategies.Using IPA,this study analyzed and investigated the service quality of the online shopping of a case company and proposed 10 indexes to measure the service quality of online shopping.a number of suggestions on competition strategies were provided for the case company to improve its competition strategies. 展开更多
关键词 Online shopping Importance-Performance analysis Model Service quality Competition strategy
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Spatial Analysis and Modelling of Wind Farm Site Suitability in Nasarawa State, North-Central Nigeria
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作者 Chukwunonso Emmanuel Ozim Anita Odionyenfe Nweke +3 位作者 Salamatu Abraham Ekpo Olufemi Stephen Oladeinde Haruna Kuje Ayuba Udochukwu Michael Mbanaso 《Journal of Geographic Information System》 2021年第5期603-630,共28页
There has been an increasing global and local interest in developing renewable, clean, and cheap energy towards achieving Goal number 7 of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). However, decisions involving suitable... There has been an increasing global and local interest in developing renewable, clean, and cheap energy towards achieving Goal number 7 of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). However, decisions involving suitable and sustainable locations for renewable energy projects remain an important task. This study employed Geographic Information System (GIS) and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to spatially analyze and model wind farm site suitability in Nasarawa State. The aim is to integrate the environmental, social, and economic aspects of decision-making for identifying sustainable wind farm sites. The study distinguished between two sets of decision criteria: decision constraints and decision factors. The former defined the exclusion zones while the latter were standardized based on fuzzy logic to depict varying degrees of suitability across the State. The MCDA applied the weighted linear combination method, with relative weights generated through pairwise comparisons of the analytic hierarchy process to analyze three policy scenarios: equal weights, environmental/social priority, and economic priority scenario. A combination of resulting composite maps from the constraints and the factors gave the final suitability maps. The resulting suitability index (SI) for the respective policy scenario describes the degrees of suitability: Ideal locations were denoted by one (1) and the not suitable locations by zero (0), with values in-between depicting varying degrees of wind farm site suitability. Based on the SI, priority locations indicating areas with good prospects, in addition to the most suitable parcels of land, were identified and delineated. The composite decision constraint revealed that wind farm projects would not be viable in more than half (57.58%) of the State. Wind speed was the major constraint and accounted for the exclusion of 46.25%, with a mean fuzzy membership value of 0.2008 indicating low suitability across the State. Also, the average acceptable wind farm location for the three-policy scenario was 33.33% of the entire study area. Lafia, Obi, Keana, Awe, Nasarawa-Eggon, Wamba and Kokona LGAs were the identified priority Local Government Areas (LGAs). However, only Lafia, Obi, and Nasarawa-Eggon were consistent with changes in the policy objectives. All the priority LGAs have one or more of the most suitable parcels within their administrative boundaries except for Wamba. Despite the severe limitations of wind speed, substantial parts of Nasarawa State still provide great development potentials for wind energy. The “most suitable” locations in Lafia, Nasarawa-Eggon, and Obi LGAs should have first consideration for the development of wind energy in the State. 展开更多
关键词 GIS Multi-Criteria Spatial analysis and Modelling Wind Energy Farm Site Suitability Nasarawa State Nigeria
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