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Multi-scenario Simulation of the Impact of Land Use Change on the Ecosystem Service Value in the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou Metropolitan Area,China
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作者 WANG Bin HU Chunguang ZHANG Yushuo 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期79-92,共14页
As the most economically developed metropolitan area in China’s Yangtze River Delta,the rapid changing land use patterns of Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou(Su-Xi-Chang) metropolitan area have profound impacts on the ecosystem ... As the most economically developed metropolitan area in China’s Yangtze River Delta,the rapid changing land use patterns of Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou(Su-Xi-Chang) metropolitan area have profound impacts on the ecosystem service value(ESV).Based on the patterns of land use change and the ESV change in Su-Xi-Chang metropolitan area from 2000 to 2020,we set up four scenarios:natural development scenario,urban development scenario,arable land protection scenario and ecological protection scenario,and simulated the impact of land use changes on the ESV in these scenarios.The results showed that:1) the area of built-up land in the Su-XiChang metropolitan area increased significantly from 2000 to 2020,and the area of other types of land decreased.Arable land underwent the highest transfer-out area,and was primarily converted into built-up land.The total ESV of Su-Xi-Chang metropolitan area increased initially then declined from 2000–2020,and the value of almost all individual ecosystem services decreased.2) Population density,GDP per area,night lighting intensity,and road network density can negatively impact the ESV.3) The total ESV loss under the natural development and urban development scenarios was high,and the expansion of the built-up land and the drastic shrinkage of the arable land contributed to the ESV decline under both scenarios.The total ESV under arable land protection and ecological protection scenarios increases,and therefore these scenarios are suitable for future land use optimization in Su-Xi-Chang.This study could provide a certain reference for land use planning and allocation,and offer guidance for the rational allocation of land resources. 展开更多
关键词 multiple scenarios land use simulation ecosystem service value(ESV) Patch-Generating Land Use simulation(PLUS)model Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou(Su-Xi-Chang)metropolitan area
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Multi-scenario Simulation and Spatial-temporal Analysis of LUCC in China's Coastal Zone Based on Coupled SD-FLUS Model
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作者 HOU Xiyong SONG Baiyuan +2 位作者 ZHANG Xueying WANG Xiaoli LI Dong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第4期579-598,共20页
Increased human activities in China's coastal zone have resulted in the depletion of ecological land resources.Thus,conducting current and future multi-scenario simulation research on land use and land cover chang... Increased human activities in China's coastal zone have resulted in the depletion of ecological land resources.Thus,conducting current and future multi-scenario simulation research on land use and land cover change(LUCC)is crucial for guiding the healthy and sustainable development of coastal zones.System dynamic(SD)-future land use simulation(FLUS)model,a coupled simulation model,was developed to analyze land use dynamics in China's coastal zone.This model encompasses five scenarios,namely,SSP1-RCP2.6(A),SSP2-RCP4.5(B),SSP3-RCP4.5(C),SSP4-RCP4.5(D),and SSP5-RCP8.5(E).The SD model simulates land use demand on an annual basis up to the year 2100.Subsequently,the FLUS model determines the spatial distribution of land use for the near term(2035),medium term(2050),and long term(2100).Results reveal a slowing trend in land use changes in China's coastal zone from 2000–2020.Among these changes,the expansion rate of construction land was the highest and exhibited an annual decrease.By 2100,land use predictions exhibit high accuracy,and notable differences are observed in trends across scenarios.In summary,the expansion of production,living,and ecological spaces toward the sea remains prominent.Scenario A emphasizes reduced land resource dependence,benefiting ecological land protection.Scenario B witnesses an intensified expansion of artificial wetlands.Scenario C sees substantial land needs for living and production,while Scenario D shows coastal forest and grassland shrinkage.Lastly,in Scenario E,the conflict between humans and land intensifies.This study presents pertinent recommendations for the future development,utilization,and management of coastal areas in China.The research contributes valuable scientific support for informed,long-term strategic decision making within coastal regions. 展开更多
关键词 land use and land cover change(LUCC) multi-scenario simulation system dynamic-future land use simulation(SD-FLUS)model SSP-RCP scenarios model coupling China's coastal zone
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Application of Patient Simulators Combined with Internet plus Scenario Simulation Teaching Models on Intravenous Infusion Nursing Education in China
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作者 Ying Wu Yun Chen +5 位作者 Liuyan Zhang Guohua Huang Jinai He Yutong Li Yuzhen Renqing Zhijuan Zhan 《Journal of Biosciences and Medicines》 2024年第1期64-71,共8页
Objective: To explore the effectiveness of applying patient simulators combined with Internet Plus scenario simulation teaching models on intravenous (IV) infusion nursing education, and to provide scientific evidence... Objective: To explore the effectiveness of applying patient simulators combined with Internet Plus scenario simulation teaching models on intravenous (IV) infusion nursing education, and to provide scientific evidence for the implementation of advanced teaching models in future nursing education. Methods: Enrolled 60 nurses who took the IV infusion therapy training program in our hospital from January 2022 to December 2023 for research. 30 nurses who were trained in traditional teaching models from January to December 2022 were selected as the control group, and 30 nurses who were trained with simulation-based teaching models with methods including simulated patients, internet, online meetings which can be replayed and scenario simulation, etc. from January to December 2023 were selected as the experimental group. Evaluated the learning outcomes based on the Competency Inventory for Nursing Students (CINS), Problem-Solving Inventory (PSI), comprehensive learning ability, scientific research ability, and proficiency in the theoretical knowledge and practical skills of IV infusion therapy. Nursing quality, the incidence of IV infusion therapy complications and nurse satisfaction with different teaching models were also measured. Results: The scientific research ability, PSI scores, CINS scores, and comprehensive learning ability of the experimental group were better than those of the control group (P 0.05), and their assessment results of practical skills, nursing quality of IV infusion therapy during training, and satisfaction with teaching models were all better than those of the control group with statistical significance (P < 0.05). The incidence of IV infusion therapy complications in the experimental group was lower than that in the control group, indicating statistical significance (P < 0.05). Conclusions: Teaching models based on patient simulators combined with Internet Plus scenario simulation enable nursing students to learn more directly and practice at any time and in any place, and can improve their proficiency in IV infusion theoretical knowledge and skills (e.g. PICC catheterization), core competencies, problem-solving ability, comprehensive learning ability, scientific research ability and the ability to deal with complicated cases. Also, it helps provide high-quality nursing education, improve the nursing quality of IV therapy, reduce the incidence of related complications, and ensure the safety of patients with IV therapy. 展开更多
关键词 Specialty of Intravenous Infusion Therapy Nursing Education Patient simulators Internet Plus scenario simulation Teaching Model
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Historical Changes and Multi-scenario Prediction of Land Use and Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage in China
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作者 AN Yue TAN Xuelan +2 位作者 REN Hui LI Yinqi ZHOU Zhou 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期487-503,共17页
Terrestrial carbon storage(CS)plays a crucial role in achieving carbon balance and mitigating global climate change.This study employs the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways(SSPs-R... Terrestrial carbon storage(CS)plays a crucial role in achieving carbon balance and mitigating global climate change.This study employs the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways(SSPs-RCPs)published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)and incorporates the Policy Control Scenario(PCS)regulated by China’s land management policies.The Future Land Use Simulation(FLUS)model is employed to generate a 1 km resolution land use/cover change(LUCC)dataset for China in 2030 and 2060.Based on the carbon density dataset of China’s terrestrial ecosystems,the study analyses CS changes and their relationship with land use changes spanning from 1990 to 2060.The findings indicate that the quantitative changes in land use in China from 1990 to 2020 are characterised by a reduction in the area proportion of cropland and grassland,along with an increase in the impervious surface and forest area.This changing trend is projected to continue under the PCS from 2020 to 2060.Under the SSPs-RCPs scenario,the proportion of cropland and impervious surface predominantly increases,while the proportions of forest and grassland continuously decrease.Carbon loss in China’s carbon storage from 1990 to 2020 amounted to 0.53×10^(12)kg,primarily due to the reduced area of cropland and grassland.In the SSPs-RCPs scenario,more significant carbon loss occurs,reaching a peak of8.07×10^(12)kg in the SSP4-RCP3.4 scenario.Carbon loss is mainly concentrated in the southeastern coastal area and the Beijing-TianjinHebei(BTH)region of China,with urbanisation and deforestation identified as the primary drivers.In the future,it is advisable to enhance the protection of forests and grassland while stabilising cropland areas and improving the intensity of urban land.These research findings offer valuable data support for China’s land management policy,land space optimisation,and the achievement of dual-carbon targets. 展开更多
关键词 land use change Future Land Use simulation(FLUS)model carbon storage carbon density dataset land use scenario China
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Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Future Scenario Simulation of the Trade-offs and Synergies of Mountain Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of the Dabie Mountains Area, China 被引量:3
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作者 FANG Lin LIU Yanxiao +1 位作者 LI Canfeng CAI Jun 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第1期144-160,共17页
Mountain ecosystems play an essential role in supporting regional sustainable development and improving local ecological environments. However, economic development in mountainous areas has long been lagging, and mult... Mountain ecosystems play an essential role in supporting regional sustainable development and improving local ecological environments. However, economic development in mountainous areas has long been lagging, and multiple conflicts related to resource assurance, ecological protection, and economic development have emerged. An accurate grasp of the current status and evolutionary trends of mountain ecosystems is essential to enhance the overall benefits of ecosystem services and maintain regional ecological security. Based on the In VEST(Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs) model, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and the trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services(ES) in the Dabie Mountains Area(DMA) of eastern China. The Markov-PLUS(Patch-generating Land Use Simulation) model was used to conduct a multi-scenario simulation of the area's future development. Water yield(WY) and soil conservation(SC) had overall increasing trends during 2000-2020, carbon storage(CS)decreased overall but slowed with time, and habitat quality(HQ) increased and then decreased. The ecological protection scenario is the best scenario for improving ES in the DMA by 2030;compared to 2020, the total WY would decrease by 3.77 × 10^(8) m^(3), SC would increase by 0.65 × 10^(6) t, CS would increase by 1.33 × 10^(6) t, and HQ would increase by 0.06%. The comprehensive development scenario is the second-most effective scenario for ecological improvement, while the natural development scenario did not have a significant effect. However, as the comprehensive development scenario considers both environmental protection and economic development, which are both vital for the sustainable development of the mountainous areas, this scenario is considered the most suitable path for future development. There are trade-offs between WY, CS, and HQ, while there are synergies between SC, CS, and HQ. Spatially, the DMA's central core district is the main strong synergistic area, the marginal zone is the weak synergistic area, and trade-offs are mainly distributed in the transition zone. 展开更多
关键词 ecosystem services trade-offs InVEST(Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs)model PLUS(Patchgenerating Land Use simulation)model scenario projection Dabie Mountains China
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A Rigorous Analysis of Vehicle-to-Vehicle Range Performance in a Rural Channel Propagation Scenario as a Function of Antenna Type and Location via Simulation and Field Trails
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作者 Ran Liu Daniel N.Aloi 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第11期131-141,共11页
Vehicle-to-Everything(V2X) communications will be an essential part of the technology in future autonomous drive decision systems.A fundamental procedure is to establish a robust communication channel between end-to-e... Vehicle-to-Everything(V2X) communications will be an essential part of the technology in future autonomous drive decision systems.A fundamental procedure is to establish a robust communication channel between end-to-end devices.Due to the antenna placed at different positions on vehicles,the existing cellular electro-magnetic(EM) wave propagation modelling does not fit properly for V2X direct communication application.In order to figure out a feasible understanding of this problem,this paper focuses on the propagation channel analysis in a rural Vehicle-to-Vehicle(V2V) scenario for vehicular communication with antenna position experiments at different heights.By adopting the ray-tracing algorithm,a rural scenario simulation model is built up via the use of a commercial-off-the-shelf(COTS) EM modelling software package,that computes the path loss received power and delay spread for a given propagation channel.Next,a real-world vehicle measurement campaign was performed to verify the simulation results.The simulated and measured receiver power was in good agreement with each other,and the results of this study considered two antenna types located at three different relative heights between the two vehicles.This research provides constructive guidance for the V2V antenna characteristics,antenna placement and vehicle communication channel analysis. 展开更多
关键词 antenna simulation and measurement propagation channel modeling ray-tracing simula-tion V2V scenario propagation
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Multi-agent Based Hierarchy Simulation Models of Carrier-based Aircraft Catapult Launch 被引量:18
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作者 王维军 屈香菊 郭林亮 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第3期223-231,共9页
With the aid of multi-agent based modeling approach to complex systems, the hierarchy simulation models of carrier-based aircraft catapult launch are developed. Ocean, carrier, aircraft, and atmosphere are treated as ... With the aid of multi-agent based modeling approach to complex systems, the hierarchy simulation models of carrier-based aircraft catapult launch are developed. Ocean, carrier, aircraft, and atmosphere are treated as aggregation agents, the detailed components like catapult, landing gears, and disturbances are considered as meta-agents, which belong to their aggregation agent. Thus, the model with two layers is formed i.e. the aggregation agent layer and the meta-agent layer. The information communication among all agents is described. The meta-agents within one aggregation agent communicate with each other directly by information sharing, but the meta-agents, which belong to different aggregation agents exchange their information through the aggregation layer first, and then perceive it from the sharing environment, that is the aggregation agent. Thus, not only the hierarchy model is built, but also the environment perceived by each agent is specified. Meanwhile, the problem of balancing the independency of agent and the resource consumption brought by real-time communication within multi-agent system (MAS) is resolved. Each agent involved in carrier-based aircraft catapult launch is depicted, with considering the interaction within disturbed atmospheric environment and multiple motion bodies including carrier, aircraft, and landing gears. The models of reactive agents among them are derived based on tensors, and the perceived messages and inner frameworks of each agent are characterized. Finally, some results of a simulation instance are given. The simulation and modeling of dynamic system based on multi-agent system is of benefit to express physical concepts and logical hierarchy clearly and precisely. The system model can easily draw in kinds of other agents to achieve a precise simulation of more complex system. This modeling technique makes the complex integral dynamic equations of multibodies decompose into parallel operations of single agent, and it is convenient to expand, maintain, and reuse the program codes. 展开更多
关键词 multi-agent system (MAS) multi-agent based modeling (MABM) TENSOR carrier-based aircraft catapult launch hierarchy simulation model
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MULTI-GRANULE IMPACT MODEL OF NOPD AND ITS NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS
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作者 徐志伟 陶宝祺 黄协清 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2000年第2期124-129,共6页
Aiming at the impaction among granules of non obstructive particle damping(NOPD), the vibration absorption model for vertical impact of granules is established by adopting Hertz contact theory. The numerical simulati... Aiming at the impaction among granules of non obstructive particle damping(NOPD), the vibration absorption model for vertical impact of granules is established by adopting Hertz contact theory. The numerical simulation of the granules movement process is proceeded, and the vibration response of a free free uniform beam is obtained for the case when all granules act on it. Through this method, the effect on vibration absorption of impaction is investigated. The simulational data show that multi gra nule vertical impaction is not sensitive to the movement clearance. The vibration absorption is also very well when the clearance changes within a large range. Therefore, the phenomenon that the vibration magnitude may increase if the clearance in a single impact body is improperly selected will not happen. The effect of vibration suppression in the range of middle and high frequencies(2 500~6 000 Hz) is better than that in the range of low frequency(<2 500 Hz). It indicates that the effect on vibration absorption of multi granule can well restrain the vibration of middle and high frequencies. 展开更多
关键词 impact damping vibration absorption numerical simulation multi granule impact
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Quantitative Simulation of Dynamic Changes in Cultivated Land in Areas of Reclamation and Returning Cultivated Land to Forest or Pastures under RCPs Climate Scenarios 被引量:1
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作者 刘唯清 齐元静 +1 位作者 姜群鸥 聂承静 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2016年第1期178-187,共10页
Northeast China as one of important agricultural production bases is an area under reclamation and returning cultivated land to forests or pastures. Therefore, it is of great practical significance in guaranteeing the... Northeast China as one of important agricultural production bases is an area under reclamation and returning cultivated land to forests or pastures. Therefore, it is of great practical significance in guaranteeing the sustainable development and national food security to study the spatial and temporal variation of cultivated land in Northeast China under future climate scenarios. In this study, based on data of land use, natural environment and social-economy, dynamics of land system(DLS) model was used to to simulate the spatial distribution and changing trends of cultivated land in the typical areas of reclamation and returning cultivated land to forest or pastures in Northeast China during 2010-2030 under land use planning scenario and representative concentration pathways(RCPs) scenarios quantitatively.The results showed that the area of cultivated land had an overall decreasing trend under the land use planning scenario, but the area of upland field increased slightly from 2000 to 2010 and then declined greatly, while the area of paddy field continuously declined from 2000 to 2030. Under the Asia-Pacific Integrated model(AIM)scenario, the total area of cultivated land had a tendency to increase considerably,with the upland field expanding more obviously and the paddy field declining slightly.In addition, the cultivated land showed a greater decreasing trend under the model for energy supply strategy alternatives and their general environmental impact(MESSAGE) scenario compared to the land use planning scenario. Moreover, analysis on the conversion between different land use types indicated that the reclamation and returning cultivated land to forests or pastures was likely to continue under future scenarios, but the frequency of occurrence could decrease as the time goes by. The conclusions can provide significant decision-making information for the rational agricultural planning and cultivated land protection in Northeast China to adapt to the climate change. 展开更多
关键词 Land use Climate change Planning Cultivated land change Quantitative simulation scenario Areas of reclamation and returning cultivated land to forest or pastures
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Simulation of Land-use Scenarios for Beijing Using CLUE-S and Markov Composite Models 被引量:25
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作者 HU Yecui ZHENG Yunmei ZHENG Xinqi 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第1期92-100,共9页
This study investigated and simulated land use patterns in Beijing for the year 2000 and the year 2005 from the actual land use data for the year 1995 and the year 2000,respectively,by combining spatial land allocatio... This study investigated and simulated land use patterns in Beijing for the year 2000 and the year 2005 from the actual land use data for the year 1995 and the year 2000,respectively,by combining spatial land allocation simulation using the CLUE-S model,and numerical land demand prediction using the Markov model.The simulations for 2000 and 2005 were confirmed to be generally accurate using Kappa indices.Then the land-use scenarios for Beijing in 2015 were simulated assuming two modes of development:1) urban development following existing trends;and 2) under a strict farmland control.The simulations suggested that under either mode,urbanized areas would expand at the expense of land for other uses.This expansion was predicted to dominate the land-use conversions between 2005 and 2015,and was expected to be accompanied by an extensive loss of farmland.The key susceptible to land-use changes were found to be located at the central urban Beijing and the surrounding regions including Yanqing County,Changping District and Fangshan District.Also,the simulations predicted a considerable expansion of urban/suburban areas in the mountainous regions of Beijing,suggesting a need for priority monitoring and protection. 展开更多
关键词 CLUE-S model land use Markov model scenario simulation BEIJING
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Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model 被引量:4
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作者 CHENG Lin-lin LIU Mei ZHAN Jia-qi 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期289-303,共15页
Mountainous area makes up 22% of global land, and rational land use in this area is important for sustainable development. Mentougou district has been positioned as an ecological conservation development zone of Beiji... Mountainous area makes up 22% of global land, and rational land use in this area is important for sustainable development. Mentougou district has been positioned as an ecological conservation development zone of Beijing and significant land use changes have taken place since 2004. With the combination of GIS and Dinamica EGO(Environment for Geoprocessing Objects) model, the quantitative structure and spatial distribution of land use in Mentougou from 2006 to 2014 are analyzed in this paper. Considering topography has influence on the action mode of driving factors, the research area is divided into two parts based on elevation, mountainous area above 300 m, plain and shallow mountainous area below 300 m. Based on cellular automata theory, the probability of land use change is calculated by Weights of Evidence method and the spatial distribution of land use is simulated by means of two complementary spatial transition functions: Expander and Patcher. Land use pattern of Menougou in 2030 for three kinds of scenarios: trend development, rapid development and ecological protection are simulated. The comparison shows that the trend development scenario is more reasonable based on social, economic and environmental considerations and other scenarios provide a reference for improving irrational land use. 展开更多
关键词 Land use change Mountainous districts Dinamica EGO model scenarios simulation Mentougou district
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Robot soccer simulation competition platform based on multi-agent 被引量:4
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作者 洪炳熔 高全胜 褚海涛 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2001年第3期203-206,共4页
Presents the robot soccer software simulation platform to be firstly used at FIRA Robot World Cup China 2001, introduces the system’s purpose and design plan; discusses the system core server configuration and workin... Presents the robot soccer software simulation platform to be firstly used at FIRA Robot World Cup China 2001, introduces the system’s purpose and design plan; discusses the system core server configuration and working principle; describes the operating method and how to develop competition strategy, and refers to the teams to take part in FIRA Robot World Cup China 2001 and investigators who are interested in the distributed multi agent system. 展开更多
关键词 multi agent system simulation competition SERVER client.
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Scenario simulation of water security in China 被引量:1
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作者 OUYANGZhi-yun ZHAOTong-qian +2 位作者 WANGRu-song LeifSODERLUND ZHANGQiao-xian 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2004年第5期765-769,共5页
Limited water resources, increasing demand, low use efficiency, and serious pollution result in severe water resource difficult in China. The evaluation of addressing water problems and the search for effective counte... Limited water resources, increasing demand, low use efficiency, and serious pollution result in severe water resource difficult in China. The evaluation of addressing water problems and the search for effective countermeasures that ensure sustainable water use are key to China's sustainable development. The “compound water security” consists of food security, life security, environmental security, and economic security. By establishing a conceptual model, the water security of China has been simulated in terms of four scenarios called BAU(the business-as-usual scenario), TEC(the technology and economics scenario), IVL(the institution, values, and lifestyles scenario) and TSD(toward sustainable development) in this paper. The results indicated that water crises, especially water shortages, are being experienced now and will continue to do so for a relatively long time in China and that it is possible to reach a basic balance between supply and demand of water and grain under the TSD developing pattern by a series of approaches including technological innovation, policy adjustments, and behaviour inducement. 展开更多
关键词 water resource water security scenarios simulation China
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Steric Sea Level Change in Twentieth Century Historical Climate Simulation and IPCC-RCP8.5 Scenario Projection: A Comparison of Two Versions of FGOALS Model 被引量:1
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作者 董璐 周天军 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第3期841-854,共14页
To reveal the steric sea level change in 20th century historical climate simulations and future climate change projections under the IPCC's Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario, the results of... To reveal the steric sea level change in 20th century historical climate simulations and future climate change projections under the IPCC's Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario, the results of two versions of LASG/IAP's Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model (FGOALS) are analyzed. Both models reasonably reproduce the mean dynamic sea level features, with a spatial pattern correlation coefficient of 0.97 with the observation. Characteristics of steric sea level changes in the 20th century historical climate simulations and RCPS.5 scenario projections are investigated. The results show that, in the 20th century, negative trends covered most parts of the global ocean. Under the RCPS.5 scenario, global-averaged steric sea level exhibits a pronounced rising trend throughout the 21st century and the general rising trend appears in most parts of the global ocean. The magnitude of the changes in the 21st century is much larger than that in the 20th century. By the year 2100, the global-averaged steric sea level anomaly is 18 cm and 10 cm relative to the year 1850 in the second spectral version of FGOALS (FGOALS-s2) and the second grid-point version of FGOALS (FGOALS-g2), respectively. The separate contribution of the thermosteric and halosteric components from various ocean layers is further evaluated. In the 20th century, the steric sea level changes in FGOALS-s2 (FGOALS-g2) are largely attributed to the thermosteric (halosteric) component relative to the pre-industrial control run. In contrast, in the 21st century, the thermosteric component, mainly from the upper 1000 m, dominates the steric sea level change in both models under the RCPS.5 scenario. In addition, the steric sea level change in the marginal sea of China is attributed to the thermosteric component. 展开更多
关键词 steric sea level historical climate simulation RCP8.5 scenario FGOALS model
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Measurement and Scenario Simulation of Effect of Urbanisation on Regional CO_2 Emissions Based on UEC-SD Model:A Case Study in Liaoning Province,China 被引量:2
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作者 LI Fujia DONG Suocheng +2 位作者 LI Shantong LI Zehong LI Yu 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第3期350-360,共11页
Based on the logical causal relationship and taking Liaoning Province, China, which is the Chinese traditional industrial base and is in the stage of accelerated urbanisation, as a case study, this study builds the '... Based on the logical causal relationship and taking Liaoning Province, China, which is the Chinese traditional industrial base and is in the stage of accelerated urbanisation, as a case study, this study builds the 'Urbanisation-Energy Consumption-COn Emissions System Dynamics (UEC-SD)' model using a system dynamics method. The UEC-SD model is applied to analyse the effect of the ar- banisation process on the regional energy structure and CO2 emissions, followed by simulation of future production and living energy consumption structure as well as the evolutionary trend of CO2 emissions of three urbanisation scenarios (low speed, intermediate speed and high speed) under the assumed boundary conditions in urban and rural areas of Liaoning Province, China. The results show that the urbanisation process can alter production and the living energy consumption structure and thereby change regional CO2 emissions. An increase in the urbanisation rate in case area will lead to regional COz emissions rising in the short term, but when the urbanisation rate approaches 80%, CO2 emissions will reach a peak value and then decrease. Comparison of different urbanisation rates showed that pro- duction and living energy consumption exhibit different directions of change and rules in urban and rural areas. The effect of urbanisa- tion on CO2 emissions and energy structure is not direct, and urbanisation can increase the differences in energy and CO2 emissions between urban and rural areas caused by the industrial structure, technical level and other factors. 展开更多
关键词 urbanisation CO2 emissions scenario simulation Urbanisation-Energy Consumption-CO2 Emissions System Dynamics (UEC-SD) model Liaoning Province China
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Potential assessment of CO_(2)geological storage based on injection scenario simulation:A case study in eastern Junggar Basin 被引量:3
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作者 Xin Ma Dong-guang Wen +6 位作者 Guo-dong Yang Xu-feng Li Yu-jie Diao Hai-hai Dong Wei Cao Shu-guo Yin Yan-mei Zhang 《Journal of Groundwater Science and Engineering》 2021年第4期279-291,共13页
Carbon Capture and Storage(CCS)is one of the effective means to deal with global warming,and saline aquifer storage is considered to be the most promising storage method.Junggar Basin,located in the northern part of X... Carbon Capture and Storage(CCS)is one of the effective means to deal with global warming,and saline aquifer storage is considered to be the most promising storage method.Junggar Basin,located in the northern part of Xinjiang and with a large distribution area of saline aquifer,is an effective carbon storage site.Based on well logging data and 2D seismic data,a 3D heterogeneous geological model of the Cretaceous Donggou Formation reservoir near D7 well was constructed,and dynamic simulations under two scenarios of single-well injection and multi-well injection were carried out to explore the storage potential and CO2 storage mechanism of deep saline aquifer with real geological conditions in this study.The results show that within 100 km^(2)of the saline aquifer of Donggou Formation in the vicinity of D7 well,the theoretical static CO_(2)storage is 71.967×106 tons(P50)①,and the maximum dynamic CO_(2)storage is 145.295×106 tons(Case2).The heterogeneity of saline aquifer has a great influence on the spatial distribution of CO_(2)in the reservoir.The multi-well injection scenario is conducive to the efficient utilization of reservoir space and safer for storage.Based on the results from theoretical static calculation and the dynamic simulation,the effective coefficient of CO_(2)storage in deep saline aquifer in the eastern part of Xinjiang is recommended to be 4.9%.This study can be applied to the engineering practice of CO_(2)sequestration in the deep saline aquifer in Xinjiang. 展开更多
关键词 CO_(2)geological storage Deep saline aquifer Potential assessment Injection scenarios Numerical simulation Junggar Basin
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Numerical simulation of complex multi-phase fluid of casting process and its applications 被引量:5
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作者 C. Beckermann 《China Foundry》 SCIE CAS 2006年第2期83-86,共4页
The fluid of casting process is a typical kind of multi-phase flow. Actually, many casting phenomena have close relationship with the multi-phase flow, such as molten metal filling process, air entrapment, slag moveme... The fluid of casting process is a typical kind of multi-phase flow. Actually, many casting phenomena have close relationship with the multi-phase flow, such as molten metal filling process, air entrapment, slag movement, venting process of die casting, gas escaping of lost foam casting and so on. Obviously, in order to analyze these phenomena accurately, numerical simulation of the multi-phase fluid is necessary. Unfortunately, so far, most of the commercial casting simulation systems do not have the ability of multi-phase flow modeling due to the difficulty in the multi-phase flow calculation. In the paper, Finite Different Method (FDM) technique was adopt to solve the multi-phase fluid model. And a simple object of the muiti-phase fluid was analyzed to obtain the fluid rates of the liquid phase and the entrapped air phase. 展开更多
关键词 CASTING multi-PHASE FLOW NUMERICAL simulation
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Ensemble Simulation of Land Evapotranspiration in China Based on a Multi-Forcing and Multi-Model Approach 被引量:6
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作者 Jianguo LIU Binghao JIA +1 位作者 Zhenghui XIE Chunxiang SHI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第6期673-684,共12页
In order to reduce the uncertainty of offline land surface model (LSM) simulations of land evapotranspiration (ET), we used ensemble simulations based on three meteorological forcing datasets [Princeton, ITPCAS (... In order to reduce the uncertainty of offline land surface model (LSM) simulations of land evapotranspiration (ET), we used ensemble simulations based on three meteorological forcing datasets [Princeton, ITPCAS (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences), Qian] and four LSMs (BATS, VIC, CLM3.0 and CLM3.5), to explore the trends and spatiotemporal characteristics of ET, as well as the spatiotemporal pattern of ET in response to climate factors over China's Mainland during 1982-2007. The results showed that various simulations of each member and their arithmetic mean (EnsAVlean) could capture the spatial distribution and seasonal pattern of ET sufficiently well, where they exhibited more significant spatial and seasonal variation in the ET compared with observation-based ET estimates (Obs_MTE). For the mean annual ET, we found that the BATS forced by Princeton forcing overestimated the annual mean ET compared with Obs_MTE for most of the basins in China, whereas the VIC forced by Princeton forcing showed underestimations. By contrast, the Ens_Mean was closer to Obs_MTE, although the results were underestimated over Southeast China. Furthermore, both the Obs_MTE and Ens_Mean exhibited a significant increasing trend during 1982-98; whereas after 1998, when the last big EI Nifio event occurred, the Ens_Mean tended to decrease significantly between 1999 and 2007, although the change was not significant for Obs_MTE. Changes in air temperature and shortwave radiation played key roles in the long-term variation in ET over the humid area of China, but precipitation mainly controlled the long-term variation in ET in arid and semi-arid areas of China. 展开更多
关键词 land evapotranspiration ensemble simulations multi-forcing and multi-model approach spatiotemporal varia-tion uncertainty
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Stabilized Multi-domain Simulation Algorithms and Their Application in Simulation Platform for Forging Manipulator 被引量:3
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作者 HUANG Shunzhou ZHAO Yong +1 位作者 WANG Hao LIN Zhongqin 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第1期92-102,共11页
Most researches focused on the analytical stabilized algorithm for the modular simulation of single domain, e.g., pure mechanical systems. Only little work has been performed on the problem of multi-domain simulation ... Most researches focused on the analytical stabilized algorithm for the modular simulation of single domain, e.g., pure mechanical systems. Only little work has been performed on the problem of multi-domain simulation stability influenced by algebraic loops. In this paper, the algebraic loop problem is studied by a composite simulation method to reveal the internal relationship between simulation stability and system topologies and simulation unit models. A stability criterion of multi-domain composite simulation is established, and two algebraic loop compensation algorithms are proposed using numerical iteration and approximate function in multi-domain simulation. The numerical stabilized algorithm is the Newton method for the solution of the set of nonlinear equations, and it is used here in simulation of the system composed of mechanical system and hydraulic system. The approximate stabilized algorithm is the construction of response surface for inputs and outputs of unknown unit model, and it is utilized here in simulation of the system composed of forging system, mechanical and hydraulic system. The effectiveness of the algorithms is verified by a case study of multi-domain simulation for forging system composed of thermoplastic deformation of workpieces, mechanical system and hydraulic system of a manipulator. The system dynamics simulation results show that curves of motion and force are continuous and convergent. This paper presents two algorithms, which are applied to virtual reality simulation of forging process in a simulation platform for a manipulator, and play a key role in simulation efficiency and stability. 展开更多
关键词 DYNAMICS multi-domain simulation STABILITY algebraic loop
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Simulation on damage effectiveness of hexagonal prism aimable warhead with multi-point synchronous initiations 被引量:10
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作者 李元 温玉全 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2014年第1期1-7,共7页
In order to study the impacts of warhead geometry and initiation pattern on the lethality of aimable warhead, multi-point synchronous initiated hexagonal prism and cylindrical warheads were compared through numerical ... In order to study the impacts of warhead geometry and initiation pattern on the lethality of aimable warhead, multi-point synchronous initiated hexagonal prism and cylindrical warheads were compared through numerical simulation, combined with theoretical formulas of fragment decelera- tion and target plugging. Enhancements of fragment velocity, kinetic energy and density toward the target and target destructions were analyzed. The results show that hexagonal prism warhead can produce dense fragment beams and enhance average velocity and kinetic energy with asymmetric eight-point initiation by 24. 13% and 54. 52% respectively, which are higher than those of the isomet- ric or same weight cylindrical warhead. The effective fragments are still relatively concentrated in an area of 8 m × 2 m for the hexagonal prism warhead when the distance between warhead and target is 40 m. 展开更多
关键词 aimable warhead hexagonal prism warhead multi-point initiation numerical simulation
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