Spatial Structure of China's E-commerce Express Logistics Network Based on Space of Flows

The intermediate link compression characteristics of e-commerce express logistics ne tworks influence the tradition al mode of circulation of goods and economic organization,and alter the city spatial pattern.Based on the theory of space of flows,this study adopts China Smart Logistics Network relational data to build China's e-commerce express logistics network and explore its spatial structure characteristics through social network analysis(SNA),the PageRank technique,and geospatial methods.The results are as follows:the network density is 0.9270,which is close to 1;hence,indicating that e-commerce express logistics lines between Chinese cities are nearly complete and they form a typical network structure,thereby eliminating fragmented spaces.Moreover,the average minimum number of edges is 1.1375,which indicates that the network has a small world effect and thus has a high flow efficiency of logistics elements.A significant hierarchical diffusion effect was observed in dominant flows with the highest edge weights.A diamond-structured network was formed with Shanghai,Guangzhou,Chongqing,and Beijing as the four core nodes.Other node cities with a large logistics scale and importance in the network are mainly located in the 19 city agglomerations of China,revealing the fact that the development of city agglomerations is essential for promoting the separation of experience space and changing the urban spatial pattern.This study enriches the theory of urban networks,reveals the flow laws of modern logistics elements,and encourages coordinated development of urban logistics.

MODELING AND ROBUST DESIGN OF REMANUFACTURING LOGISTICS NETWORKS BASED ON DESIGN OF EXPERIMENT

The uncertainty of time, quantity and quality of recycling products leads tothe bad stability and flexibility of remanufacturing logistics networks, and general design onlycovered the minimizing logistics cost, thus, robust design is presented here to solve theuncertainty. The mathematical model of remanufacturing logistics networks is built based onstochastic distribution of uncontrollable factors, and robust objectives are presented. Theintegration of mathematical simulation and design of experiment method is performed to do sensitiveanalysis. The influence of each factor and level on the system is investigated, and the main factorsand optimum combination are studied. The numbers of factors, level of each factor and designprocess of experiment are investigated as well. Finally, the process of robust design based ondesign of experiment is demonstrated by a detailed example.

Optimization Model of Cold-Chain Logistics Network for Fresh Agricultural Products —Taking Guangdong Province as an Example

Cold-chain demand of fresh agricultural products is increasing in China, while network layout of cold-chain logistics is in disorder and its cost is huge. To address this problem, this paper casts an optimal model of cold-chain logistics network and tackles it with genetic algorithms. This optimal model takes running total cost of logistics network as the objective, and embeds a nonlinear mixed integer programming including two assignment issues. The model determines optimal layout and logistics management for pre-cooling stations and logistics center for fresh agricultural products. Our main contribution is to consider construction cost and operation cost of cold chain logistics simultaneously. Case study illustrates the effectiveness of the model.

Application of Regularized Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network Model for Ozone Classification across El Paso County, Texas, United States

This paper focuses on ozone prediction in the atmosphere using a machine learning approach. We utilize air pollutant and meteorological variable datasets from the El Paso area to classify ozone levels as high or low. The LR and ANN algorithms are employed to train the datasets. The models demonstrate a remarkably high classification accuracy of 89.3% in predicting ozone levels on a given day. Evaluation metrics reveal that both the ANN and LR models exhibit accuracies of 89.3% and 88.4%, respectively. Additionally, the AUC values for both models are comparable, with the ANN achieving 95.4% and the LR obtaining 95.2%. The lower the cross-entropy loss (log loss), the higher the model’s accuracy or performance. Our ANN model yields a log loss of 3.74, while the LR model shows a log loss of 6.03. The prediction time for the ANN model is approximately 0.00 seconds, whereas the LR model takes 0.02 seconds. Our odds ratio analysis indicates that features such as “Solar radiation”, “Std. Dev. Wind Direction”, “outdoor temperature”, “dew point temperature”, and “PM10” contribute to high ozone levels in El Paso, Texas. Based on metrics such as accuracy, error rate, log loss, and prediction time, the ANN model proves to be faster and more suitable for ozone classification in the El Paso, Texas area.

Multi-Feature Fusion-Guided Multiscale Bidirectional Attention Networks for Logistics Pallet Segmentation

In the smart logistics industry,unmanned forklifts that intelligently identify logistics pallets can improve work efficiency in warehousing and transportation and are better than traditional manual forklifts driven by humans.Therefore,they play a critical role in smart warehousing,and semantics segmentation is an effective method to realize the intelligent identification of logistics pallets.However,most current recognition algorithms are ineffective due to the diverse types of pallets,their complex shapes,frequent blockades in production environments,and changing lighting conditions.This paper proposes a novel multi-feature fusion-guided multiscale bidirectional attention(MFMBA)neural network for logistics pallet segmentation.To better predict the foreground category(the pallet)and the background category(the cargo)of a pallet image,our approach extracts three types of features(grayscale,texture,and Hue,Saturation,Value features)and fuses them.The multiscale architecture deals with the problem that the size and shape of the pallet may appear different in the image in the actual,complex environment,which usually makes feature extraction difficult.Our study proposes a multiscale architecture that can extract additional semantic features.Also,since a traditional attention mechanism only assigns attention rights from a single direction,we designed a bidirectional attention mechanism that assigns cross-attention weights to each feature from two directions,horizontally and vertically,significantly improving segmentation.Finally,comparative experimental results show that the precision of the proposed algorithm is 0.53%–8.77%better than that of other methods we compared.

Discrete logistics network design model under interval hierarchical OD demand based on interval genetic algorithm

Aimed at the uncertain characteristics of discrete logistics network design,an interval hierarchical triangular uncertain OD demand model based on interval demand and network flow is presented.Under consideration of the system profit,the uncertain demand of logistics network is measured by interval variables and interval parameters,and an interval planning model of discrete logistics network is established.The risk coefficient and maximum constrained deviation are defined to realize the certain transformation of the model.By integrating interval algorithm and genetic algorithm,an interval hierarchical optimal genetic algorithm is proposed to solve the model.It is shown by a tested example that in the same scenario condition an interval solution[3275.3,3 603.7]can be obtained by the model and algorithm which is obviously better than the single precise optimal solution by stochastic or fuzzy algorithm,so it can be reflected that the model and algorithm have more stronger operability and the solution result has superiority to scenario decision.

基于Logistic映射的社交网络敏感信息加密算法

为保护多种社交网络敏感信息安全,研究基于Logistic映射的社交网络敏感信息加密算法.此算法采用基于经验模态分解的社交网络信息预处理方法,以经验模态分解的方式,对复杂的社交网络信息去冗后,通过基于演化超网络的社交网络敏感信息挖掘方法,提取去冗后社交网络信息中敏感信息;由基于Logistic映射分组加密算法,生成敏感信息二进制随机序列,将其分为两部分明文,一部分明文执行置乱处理,另一部分明文执行异或运算,构建社交网络敏感信息的密文,完成社交网络敏感信息加密.实验结果表明,所提算法加密性能良好,可以有效改变文本类、图像类社交网络敏感信息,原始敏感信息特征完全改变,可保护多种社交网络敏感信息安全.

Modeling of Robust Design of Remanufacturing Logistics Networks

The uncertainty of time, quantity and quality of recycling products leads to the bad stability and flexibility of remanufacturing logistics networks, while general design only covers the minimizing logistics cost, so robust design is presented to solve it. The mathematical model of remanufacturing logistics networks is built on the stochastic distribution of uncontrollable factors, and robust objectives are presented. The basic elements of robust design of remanufacturing logistics are redefined, and each part of mathematical model is explained in detail as well. Robust design of remanufacturing logistics networks is a problem of multi-objective optimization in essence.

Logistics Mode and Network Planning for Recycle of Crop Straw Resources

To realize the straw biomass industrialized development,it should speed up building crop straw resource recycle logistics network, increasing straw recycle efficiency,and reducing straw utilization cost. On the basis of studying straw recycle process,this paper presents innovative concept and property of straw recycle logistics network,analyses design thinking of straw recycle logistics network,and works out straw recycle logistics mode and network topological structure. Finally,it comes up with construction and operation strategies of the straw logistics network from infrastructure,organization network,and information platform.

Obtain the optimal of logistics delivery network with annealing algorithm

Simulated annealing(SA) algorithm is a heuristic algorithm,proposed one approximation algorithm of solving optimization combinatorial problems inspired by objects in the annealing process of heating crunch. The algorithm is superior to the traditional greedy algorithm,which avoids falling into local optimum and reaches global optimum. There are often some problems to find the shortest path,etc in the logistics and distribution network, and we need optimization for logistics and distribution path in order to achieve the shortest,best,most economical,and so on. The paper uses an example of SA algorithm validation to verify it,and the method is proved to be feasible.

Optimization of E-commerce Logistics Network in African Countries

The purpose of this research is to assist the Central African's logistics network authorities in making,evaluating,and realizing their decisions in regard to the development and management of e-commerce logistics network of companies・This article evaluated and used mathematical models which provided a descriptive analysis on the current situation of its'logistics network while applying the e-commerce logistics network optimization method in dealing with common issues of the logistics network in Central Africa,especially Chad.The suggested network in this study would promote the^from plant-to-from DC"ratio of 83%to 17%which conforms to the companies*objective in progressing towards direct plant shipments.In regard to that,it was proved that direct plant shipments could reduce the distribution costs from 12%to 3%of the net sales(approximately$135,000 in monthly savings).

Designing a Reverse Logistics Network Model for Waste Batteries

The logistics industry plays an important role in circular economy.Therefore,not only economic benefits,but also environmental protection factors have to be considered in reverse logistics.This paper uses the multi-objective 0-1 mixed integer programming to establish a reverse logistics network optimization model for waste batteries.The objective function is to minimize both,logistics costs and carbon dioxide emissions.The model considers the basic settings of reverse logistics(including recycling nodes,manufacturing,and processing nodes)and the material flow between different settings.In solving the model,Lingo 14.0 is used in this paper.An actual case of a waste battery reverse logistics enterprise verifies the effectiveness of the model in this paper.The results show that the application of this model can effectively improve the operating efficiency of waste battery reverse logistics enterprises.

基于Logistic回归和神经网络的甘肃省道路结冰预警模型研究

为更好地开展公路交通道路结冰预报预警服务工作,利用甘肃省道路结冰高发区路段(甘肃武威以东)的交通气象站逐小时观测资料,分析道路结冰空间分布特征,探讨道路结冰与气象要素的相关性,采用Logistic回归法和神经网络算法构建道路结冰预警模型。结果表明:甘肃省道路结冰主要集中在冬季(12月至次年2月),其中00:00—10:00和22:00—23:00(北京时)出现道路结冰的频率较高。Logistic回归模型和神经网络模型对未发生结冰事件的预测准确率较高,分别为91.9%和96.2%;针对发生结冰事件,Logistic回归模型的预测准确率较低,为31.6%,而神经网络模型的预测准确率可达44.6%,说明2种模型对道路结冰预警有一定指示意义,神经网络模型预测效果优于Logistic回归模型。

糖尿病足溃疡复发风险预测模型的构建:基于Logistic回归和支持向量机及BP神经网络模型

背景全球范围内糖尿病足溃疡(DFUs)首次复发与再次复发率逐年上升,且早期复发风险高于远期风险。导致DFUs复发的风险因素较多,目前缺乏系统的筛选,因此需要探索DFUs复发的危险因素,以便早期识别复发高危人群。目的探讨Logistic回归、支持向量机(SVM)和BP神经网络(BPNN)模型在DFUs复发风险中的预测价值。方法选取2020年1月—2021年10月在宁夏医科大学总医院烧伤整形美容科、内分泌科和伤口造口门诊就诊的DFUs患者390例作为开发模型的研究对象。根据患者出院后1年内DFUs是否复发分为复发组116例(29.7%)和非复发组274例(70.3%)。收集两组患者的一般资料包括社会人口学特征、病史评估和临床病例资料并进行比较,采用糖尿病足部自我管理行为量表(DFSBS)评估患者糖尿病足部自我管理行为,采用慢性病风险感知问卷评估患者DFUs风险感知水平。采用多因素Logistic回归分析探讨DFUs患者出院后1年内DFUs复发的影响因素;将患者按照7∶3划分为训练集和测试集,运用Logistic回归变量筛选策略,分别建立Logistic回归、SVM和BPNN模型;绘制各模型预测DFUs复发风险的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线。结果两组DFUs患者BMI、独居、糖尿病病程、吸烟史、饮酒史、受累足趾截肢史、足溃疡分级、踝肱指数、糖化血红蛋白、溃疡位置在脚底、足趾受累、足部存在行走障碍、骨髓炎、多重耐药菌感染、糖尿病周围神经病变、下肢动脉粥样硬化、足部自我管理行为、DFUs风险感知水平比较,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,BMI[OR=0.394,95%CI(0.285,0.546),P<0.001]、糖尿病病程[OR=1.635,95%CI(1.303,2.051),P<0.001]、吸烟史[OR=0.186,95%CI(0.080,0.434),P<0.001]、足溃疡分级[OR=2.139,95%CI(1.133,4.038),P=0.019]、糖化血红蛋白[OR=2.289,95%CI(1.485,3.528),P<0.001]、溃疡位置在脚底[OR=3.148,95%CI(1.344,7.373),P=0.008]、足部自我管理行为[OR=0.744,95%CI(0.673,0.822),P<0.001]和DFUs风险感知水平[OR=0.892,95%CI(0.845,0.942),P<0.001]是DFUs患者1年内DFUs复发的影响因素。Logistic回归、SVM和BPNN模型在测试集中预测DFUs复发风险的正确率分别82.43%、94.87%、87.17%,ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.843、0.937、0.820。Logistic回归、SVM和BPNN模型预测DFUs复发风险的ROC曲线AUC比较,差异有统计学意义(Z=2.741,P<0.05);SVM模型预测DFUs复发风险的ROC曲线AUC高于Logistic回归和BPNN模型(Z=5.937,P=0.013;Z=3.946,P<0.001)。结论SVM模型预测DFUs患者出院后1年内DFUs复发风险的正确率、灵敏度、特异度、AUC等指标均较好,为相对最优的模型,建议进一步推广应用以验证预测模型的效能。

Optimization of causative factors using logistic regression and artificial neural network models for landslide susceptibility assessment in Ujung Loe Watershed, South Sulawesi Indonesia

Landslide susceptibility maps(LSMs) play a vital role in assisting land use planning and risk mitigation. This study aims to optimize causative factors using logistic regression(LR) and an artificial neural network(ANN) to produce a LSM. The LSM is produced with 11 causative factors and then optimized using forward-stepwise LR(FSLR), ANN, and their combination(FSLR-ANN) until eight causative factors were found for each method. The ANN method produced superior validation results compared with LR. The ROC values for the training data set ranges between 0.8 and 0.9. On the other hand, validation with the percentage of landslide fall into LSM class high and very high, ANN method was higher(92.59%) than LR(82.12%). FSLR-ANN with nine causative factors gave the best validation results with respect to area under curve(AUC) values, and validation with the percentage of landslide fall into LSM class high and very high. In conclusion, ANN was found to be better than LR when producing LSMs. The best Optimization was combination of FSLR-ANN with nine causative factors and AUC success rate 0.847, predictive rate 0.844 and validation with landslide fall into high and very high class with 91.30%. It is an encouraging preliminary model towards a systematic introduction of FSLR-ANN model for optimization causative factors in landslide susceptibility assessment in the mountainous area of Ujung Loe Watershed.

基于改进Logistic-SSA-BP神经网络的地铁短时客流预测研究

地铁客流的变化规律存在着一定周期性和潮汐性,针对地铁客流的预测有助于提高城市轨道系统的运营效率,实现轨道交通智慧化运营。为提高地铁短时客流预测结果的准确度,提出了一种基于Logistic混沌映射麻雀算法(Logistic-SSA)优化BP神经网络的地铁客流短时预测模型。该模型通过Logistic混沌映射初始化麻雀算法种群,再利用改进后的麻雀算法优化BP神经网络,达到提高BP神经网络的全局搜索能力和收敛效率;以深圳地铁西乡站进、出站AFC刷卡数据为例,利用构建的预测模型开展客流预测实验,并通过3种准确性评价指标(MAE、RMSE、MAPE),评价改进前后模型预测的准确性。研究结果表明:改进的Logistic-SSA-BP预测模型平均绝对百分误差分别为14.96%和13.73%;与传统BP预测模型相比,其客流预测结果具有更高的准确性。

Knowledge-oriented modeling for influencing factors of battle damage in military industrial logistics:An integrated method

Modeling influencing factors of battle damage is one of essential works in implementing military industrial logistics simulation to explore battle damage laws knowledge.However,one of key challenges in designing the simulation system could be how to reasonably determine simulation model input and build a bridge to link battle damage model and battle damage laws knowledge.In this paper,we propose a novel knowledge-oriented modeling method for influencing factors of battle damage in military industrial logistics,integrating conceptual analysis,conceptual modeling,quantitative modeling and simulation implementation.We conceptualize influencing factors of battle damage by using the principle of hierarchical decomposition,thus classifying the related battle damage knowledge logically.Then,we construct the conceptual model of influencing factors of battle damage by using Entity-Relations hip approach,thus describing their interactions reasonably.Subsequently,we extract the important influencing factors by using social network analysis,thus evaluating their importance quantitatively and further clarifying the elements of simulation.Finally,we develop an agent-based military industry logistics simulation system by taking the modeling results on influencing factors of battle damage as simulation model input,and obtain simulation model output,i.e.,new battle damage laws knowledge,thus verifying feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.The results show that this method can be used to support human decision-making and action.

Risk factors and prediction of acute kidney injury after liver transplantation:Logistic regression and artificial neural network approaches

BACKGROUND Acute kidney injury(AKI)has serious consequences on the prognosis of patients undergoing liver transplantation.Recently,artificial neural network(ANN)was reported to have better predictive ability than the classical logistic regression(LR)for this postoperative outcome.AIM To identify the risk factors of AKI after deceased-donor liver transplantation(DDLT)and compare the prediction performance of ANN with that of LR for this complication.METHODS Adult patients with no evidence of end-stage kidney dysfunction(KD)who underwent the first DDLT according to model for end-stage liver disease(MELD)score allocation system was evaluated.AKI was defined according to the International Club of Ascites criteria,and potential predictors of postoperative AKI were identified by LR.The prediction performance of both ANN and LR was tested.RESULTS The incidence of AKI was 60.6%(n=88/145)and the following predictors were identified by LR:MELD score>25(odds ratio[OR]=1.999),preoperative kidney dysfunction(OR=1.279),extended criteria donors(OR=1.191),intraoperative arterial hypotension(OR=1.935),intraoperative massive blood transfusion(MBT)(OR=1.830),and postoperative serum lactate(SL)(OR=2.001).The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was best for ANN(0.81,95%confidence interval[CI]:0.75-0.83)than for LR(0.71,95%CI:0.67-0.76).The root-mean-square error and mean absolute error in the ANN model were 0.47 and 0.38,respectively.CONCLUSION The severity of liver disease,pre-existing kidney dysfunction,marginal grafts,hemodynamic instability,MBT,and SL are predictors of postoperative AKI,and ANN has better prediction performance than LR in this scenario.

An Early Warning Model of Financial Distress Prediction Based on Logistic-AHP-BP Neural Network Model

Ever since the appearance of"Implementation Measures for Suspending and Terminating the Listing of Loss-making Companies"in 2001,the delisting system has emerged.However,the proportion of delisted companies in China has never exceeded 1% each year.The number of delisted companies in the security market is far less than the number of companies with financial distress.The capital market lacks a good delisting system and investors lack risk identification capabilities.Financial risk is directly related to delisting risk.Therefore,an early warning model of financial distress prediction for China.s stock market can provide guidance to stakeholders such as listed companies and capital markets.This paper first explains the immature delisting system of China.s capital market and the overall high risk of listed companies.financial distress.Then,the paper further elaborates previous research on financial distress prediction model of listed companies and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of different models.This paper chooses the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)to screen out the main factors that affect the risk of financial distress.The main factors are included in Logistic regression model and BP neural network model for predicting financial distress of listed companies.The overall effect of two models are assessed and compared.Finally,this paper proposes policy implications according to empirical results.