The increasingly large number of electric vehicles(EVs)has resulted in a growing concern for EV charging station load prediction for the purpose of comprehensively evaluating the influence of the charging load on dist...The increasingly large number of electric vehicles(EVs)has resulted in a growing concern for EV charging station load prediction for the purpose of comprehensively evaluating the influence of the charging load on distribution networks.To address this issue,an EV charging station load predictionmethod is proposed in coupled urban transportation and distribution networks.Firstly,a finer dynamic urban transportation network model is formulated considering both nodal and path resistance.Then,a finer EV power consumption model is proposed by considering the influence of traffic congestion and ambient temperature.Thirdly,the Monte Carlo method is applied to predict the distribution of EVcharging station load based on the proposed dynamic urban transportation network model and finer EV power consumption model.Moreover,a dynamic charging pricing scheme for EVs is devised based on the EV charging station load requirements and the maximum thresholds to ensure the security operation of distribution networks.Finally,the validity of the proposed dynamic urban transportation model was verified by accurately estimating five sets of test data on travel time by contrast with the BPR model.The five groups of travel time prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors could be improved from 32.87%to 37.21%compared to the BPR model.Additionally,the effectiveness of the proposed EV charging station load prediction method was demonstrated by four case studies in which the prediction of EV charging load was improved from27.2 to 31.49MWh by considering the influence of ambient temperature and speed on power energy consumption.展开更多
A dynamic pricing model was established based on forecasting the demand for container handling of a specific shipping company to maximize terminal profits to solve terminal handling charges under the changing market e...A dynamic pricing model was established based on forecasting the demand for container handling of a specific shipping company to maximize terminal profits to solve terminal handling charges under the changing market environment.It assumes that container handling demand depends on the price and the unknown parameters in the demand model.The maximum quasi-likelihood estimation(MQLE)method is used to estimate the unknown parameters.Then an adaptive dynamic pricing policy algorithm is proposed.At the beginning of each period,through dynamic pricing,determining the optimal price relative to the estimation value of the current parameter and attach a constraint of differential price decision.Meanwhile,the accuracy of demand estimation and the optimality of price decisions are balanced.Finally,a case study is given based on the real data of Shanghai port.The results show that this pricing policy can make the handling price converge to the stable price and significantly increase this shipping company’s handling profit compared with the original“contractual pricing”mechanism.展开更多
With proper power scheduling and dynamic pricing,a unidirectional charger can provide benefits and regulation services to the electricity grid,at a level approaching that of bidirectional charging.Power scheduling and...With proper power scheduling and dynamic pricing,a unidirectional charger can provide benefits and regulation services to the electricity grid,at a level approaching that of bidirectional charging.Power scheduling and schedule flexibility of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles are addressed.The use of electric vehicles(EVs)as flexibility resources and associated unidirectional vehicle-to-grid benefits are investigated.Power can be scheduled with the EV charger in control of charging or via control by a utility or an aggregator.Charging cost functions suitable for charger-and utility-controlled power scheduling are presented.Ancillary service levels possible with unidirectional vehicle-to-grid are quantified using sample charging scenarios from published data.Impacts of various power schedules and vehicle participation as a flexibility resource on electricity locational prices are evaluated.These include benefits to both owners and load-serving entities.Frequency regulation is considered in the context of unidirectional charging.展开更多
随着电动汽车(electric vehicle,EV)普及度的不断提高,工业园区内的EV用户日益增多,其充放电行为给园区综合能源系统(park integrated energy system,PIES)的规划运行带来极大挑战。文中提出考虑EV充放电意愿的PIES双层优化调度。首先,...随着电动汽车(electric vehicle,EV)普及度的不断提高,工业园区内的EV用户日益增多,其充放电行为给园区综合能源系统(park integrated energy system,PIES)的规划运行带来极大挑战。文中提出考虑EV充放电意愿的PIES双层优化调度。首先,基于动态实时电价、电池荷电量、电池损耗补偿、额外参与激励等因素建立充放电意愿模型,在此基础上得到改进的EV充放电模型;然后,以PIES总成本最小和EV充电费用最小为目标建立双层优化调度模型,通过Karush-Kuhn-Tucker(KKT)条件将内层模型转化为外层模型的约束条件,从而快速稳定地实现单层模型的求解;最后,进行仿真求解,设置3种不同场景,对比所提模型与一般充放电意愿模型,验证了文中所提引入EV充放电意愿模型的PIES双层优化调度的有效性和可行性。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U22B20105).
文摘The increasingly large number of electric vehicles(EVs)has resulted in a growing concern for EV charging station load prediction for the purpose of comprehensively evaluating the influence of the charging load on distribution networks.To address this issue,an EV charging station load predictionmethod is proposed in coupled urban transportation and distribution networks.Firstly,a finer dynamic urban transportation network model is formulated considering both nodal and path resistance.Then,a finer EV power consumption model is proposed by considering the influence of traffic congestion and ambient temperature.Thirdly,the Monte Carlo method is applied to predict the distribution of EVcharging station load based on the proposed dynamic urban transportation network model and finer EV power consumption model.Moreover,a dynamic charging pricing scheme for EVs is devised based on the EV charging station load requirements and the maximum thresholds to ensure the security operation of distribution networks.Finally,the validity of the proposed dynamic urban transportation model was verified by accurately estimating five sets of test data on travel time by contrast with the BPR model.The five groups of travel time prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors could be improved from 32.87%to 37.21%compared to the BPR model.Additionally,the effectiveness of the proposed EV charging station load prediction method was demonstrated by four case studies in which the prediction of EV charging load was improved from27.2 to 31.49MWh by considering the influence of ambient temperature and speed on power energy consumption.
文摘A dynamic pricing model was established based on forecasting the demand for container handling of a specific shipping company to maximize terminal profits to solve terminal handling charges under the changing market environment.It assumes that container handling demand depends on the price and the unknown parameters in the demand model.The maximum quasi-likelihood estimation(MQLE)method is used to estimate the unknown parameters.Then an adaptive dynamic pricing policy algorithm is proposed.At the beginning of each period,through dynamic pricing,determining the optimal price relative to the estimation value of the current parameter and attach a constraint of differential price decision.Meanwhile,the accuracy of demand estimation and the optimality of price decisions are balanced.Finally,a case study is given based on the real data of Shanghai port.The results show that this pricing policy can make the handling price converge to the stable price and significantly increase this shipping company’s handling profit compared with the original“contractual pricing”mechanism.
文摘With proper power scheduling and dynamic pricing,a unidirectional charger can provide benefits and regulation services to the electricity grid,at a level approaching that of bidirectional charging.Power scheduling and schedule flexibility of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles are addressed.The use of electric vehicles(EVs)as flexibility resources and associated unidirectional vehicle-to-grid benefits are investigated.Power can be scheduled with the EV charger in control of charging or via control by a utility or an aggregator.Charging cost functions suitable for charger-and utility-controlled power scheduling are presented.Ancillary service levels possible with unidirectional vehicle-to-grid are quantified using sample charging scenarios from published data.Impacts of various power schedules and vehicle participation as a flexibility resource on electricity locational prices are evaluated.These include benefits to both owners and load-serving entities.Frequency regulation is considered in the context of unidirectional charging.
文摘随着电动汽车(electric vehicle,EV)普及度的不断提高,工业园区内的EV用户日益增多,其充放电行为给园区综合能源系统(park integrated energy system,PIES)的规划运行带来极大挑战。文中提出考虑EV充放电意愿的PIES双层优化调度。首先,基于动态实时电价、电池荷电量、电池损耗补偿、额外参与激励等因素建立充放电意愿模型,在此基础上得到改进的EV充放电模型;然后,以PIES总成本最小和EV充电费用最小为目标建立双层优化调度模型,通过Karush-Kuhn-Tucker(KKT)条件将内层模型转化为外层模型的约束条件,从而快速稳定地实现单层模型的求解;最后,进行仿真求解,设置3种不同场景,对比所提模型与一般充放电意愿模型,验证了文中所提引入EV充放电意愿模型的PIES双层优化调度的有效性和可行性。
