The final product quality is determined by cumulation, coupling and propagation of product quality variations from all stations in multi-stage manufacturing systems (MMSs). Modeling and control of variation propagat...The final product quality is determined by cumulation, coupling and propagation of product quality variations from all stations in multi-stage manufacturing systems (MMSs). Modeling and control of variation propagation is essential to improve product quality. However, the current stream of variations (SOV) theory can only solve the problem that a single SOV affects the product quality. Due to the existence of multiple variation streams, limited research has been done on the quality control in serial-parallel hybrid multi-stage manufacturing systems (SPH-MMSs). A state space model and its modeling strategies are developed to describe the multiple variation streams stack-up in an SPH-MMS. The SOV theory is extended to SPH-MMS. The dimensions of system model are reduced to the production-reality level, and the effect and feasibility of the model is validated by a machining case.展开更多
The aerospace community widely uses difficult-to-cut materials,such as titanium alloys,high-temperature alloys,metal/ceramic/polymer matrix composites,hard and brittle materials,and geometrically complex components,su...The aerospace community widely uses difficult-to-cut materials,such as titanium alloys,high-temperature alloys,metal/ceramic/polymer matrix composites,hard and brittle materials,and geometrically complex components,such as thin-walled structures,microchannels,and complex surfaces.Mechanical machining is the main material removal process for the vast majority of aerospace components.However,many problems exist,including severe and rapid tool wear,low machining efficiency,and poor surface integrity.Nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining is a hybrid process that uses nontraditional energies(vibration,laser,electricity,etc)to improve the machinability of local materials and decrease the burden of mechanical machining.This provides a feasible and promising method to improve the material removal rate and surface quality,reduce process forces,and prolong tool life.However,systematic reviews of this technology are lacking with respect to the current research status and development direction.This paper reviews the recent progress in the nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining of difficult-to-cut materials and components in the aerospace community.In addition,this paper focuses on the processing principles,material responses under nontraditional energy,resultant forces and temperatures,material removal mechanisms,and applications of these processes,including vibration-,laser-,electric-,magnetic-,chemical-,advanced coolant-,and hybrid nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining.Finally,a comprehensive summary of the principles,advantages,and limitations of each hybrid process is provided,and future perspectives on forward design,device development,and sustainability of nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining processes are discussed.展开更多
Traditional 3Ni weathering steel cannot completely meet the requirements for offshore engineering development,resulting in the design of novel 3Ni steel with the addition of microalloy elements such as Mn or Nb for st...Traditional 3Ni weathering steel cannot completely meet the requirements for offshore engineering development,resulting in the design of novel 3Ni steel with the addition of microalloy elements such as Mn or Nb for strength enhancement becoming a trend.The stress-assisted corrosion behavior of a novel designed high-strength 3Ni steel was investigated in the current study using the corrosion big data method.The information on the corrosion process was recorded using the galvanic corrosion current monitoring method.The gradi-ent boosting decision tree(GBDT)machine learning method was used to mine the corrosion mechanism,and the importance of the struc-ture factor was investigated.Field exposure tests were conducted to verify the calculated results using the GBDT method.Results indic-ated that the GBDT method can be effectively used to study the influence of structural factors on the corrosion process of 3Ni steel.Dif-ferent mechanisms for the addition of Mn and Cu to the stress-assisted corrosion of 3Ni steel suggested that Mn and Cu have no obvious effect on the corrosion rate of non-stressed 3Ni steel during the early stage of corrosion.When the corrosion reached a stable state,the in-crease in Mn element content increased the corrosion rate of 3Ni steel,while Cu reduced this rate.In the presence of stress,the increase in Mn element content and Cu addition can inhibit the corrosion process.The corrosion law of outdoor-exposed 3Ni steel is consistent with the law based on corrosion big data technology,verifying the reliability of the big data evaluation method and data prediction model selection.展开更多
Ingredient optimization plays a pivotal role in the copper industry,for which it is closely related to the concentrate utilization rate,stability of furnace conditions,and the quality of copper production.To acquire a...Ingredient optimization plays a pivotal role in the copper industry,for which it is closely related to the concentrate utilization rate,stability of furnace conditions,and the quality of copper production.To acquire a practical ingredient plan,which should exhibit long duration time with sufficient utilization and feeding stability for real applications,an ingredient plan optimization model is proposed in this study to effectively guarantee continuous production and stable furnace conditions.To address the complex challenges posed by this integer programming model,including multiple coupling feeding stages,intricate constraints,and significant non-linearity,a multi-stage differential-multifactorial evolution algorithm is developed.In the proposed algorithm,the differential evolutionary(DE)algorithm is improved in three aspects to efficiently tackle challenges when optimizing the proposed model.First,unlike traditional time-consuming serial approaches,the multifactorial evolutionary algorithm is utilized to optimize multiple complex models contained in the population of evolutionary algorithm caused by the feeding stability in a parallel manner.Second,a repair algorithm is employed to adjust infeasible ingredient lists in a timely manner.In addition,a local search strategy taking feedback from the current optima and considering the different positions of global optimum is developed to avoiding premature convergence of the differential evolutionary algorithm.Finally,the simulation experiments considering different planning horizons using real data from the copper industry in China are conducted,which demonstrates the superiority of the proposed method on feeding duration and stability compared with other commonly deployed approaches.It is practically helpful for reducing material cost as well as increasing production profit for the copper industry.展开更多
To enhance the comprehensive performance of artillery internal ballistics—encompassing power,accuracy,and service life—this study proposed a multi-stage multidisciplinary design optimization(MS-MDO)method.First,the ...To enhance the comprehensive performance of artillery internal ballistics—encompassing power,accuracy,and service life—this study proposed a multi-stage multidisciplinary design optimization(MS-MDO)method.First,the comprehensive artillery internal ballistic dynamics(AIBD)model,based on propellant combustion,rotation band engraving,projectile axial motion,and rifling wear models,was established and validated.This model was systematically decomposed into subsystems from a system engineering perspective.The study then detailed the MS-MDO methodology,which included Stage I(MDO stage)employing an improved collaborative optimization method for consistent design variables,and Stage II(Performance Optimization)focusing on the independent optimization of local design variables and performance metrics.The methodology was applied to the AIBD problem.Results demonstrated that the MS-MDO method in Stage I effectively reduced iteration and evaluation counts,thereby accelerating system-level convergence.Meanwhile,Stage II optimization markedly enhanced overall performance.These comprehensive evaluation results affirmed the effectiveness of the MS-MDO method.展开更多
To address the scheduling problem involving energy storage systems and uncertain energy,we propose a method based on multi-stage robust optimization.This approach aims to regulate the energy storage system by using a ...To address the scheduling problem involving energy storage systems and uncertain energy,we propose a method based on multi-stage robust optimization.This approach aims to regulate the energy storage system by using a multi-stage robust optimal control method,which helps overcome the limitations of traditional methods in terms of time scale.The goal is to effectively utilize the energy storage power station system to address issues caused by unpredictable variations in environmental energy and fluctuating load throughout the day.To achieve this,a mathematical model is constructed to represent uncertain energy sources such as photovoltaic and wind power.The generalized Benders Decomposition method is then employed to solve the multi-stage objective optimization problem.By decomposing the problem into a series of sub-objectives,the system scale is effectively reduced,and the algorithm’s convergence ability is improved.Compared with other algorithms,the multi-stage robust optimization model has better economy and convergence ability and can be used to guide the power dispatching of uncertain energy and energy storage systems.展开更多
Magnesium alloys have many advantages as lightweight materials for engineering applications,especially in the fields of automotive and aerospace.They undergo extensive cutting or machining while making products out of...Magnesium alloys have many advantages as lightweight materials for engineering applications,especially in the fields of automotive and aerospace.They undergo extensive cutting or machining while making products out of them.Dry cutting,a sustainable machining method,causes more friction and adhesion at the tool-chip interface.One of the promising solutions to this problem is cutting tool surface texturing,which can reduce tool wear and friction in dry cutting and improve machining performance.This paper aims to investigate the impact of dimple textures(made on the flank face of cutting inserts)on tool wear and chip morphology in the dry machining of AZ31B magnesium alloy.The results show that the cutting speed was the most significant factor affecting tool flank wear,followed by feed rate and cutting depth.The tool wear mechanism was examined using scanning electron microscope(SEM)images and energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy(EDS)analysis reports,which showed that at low cutting speed,the main wear mechanism was abrasion,while at high speed,it was adhesion.The chips are discontinuous at low cutting speeds,while continuous at high cutting speeds.The dimple textured flank face cutting tools facilitate the dry machining of AZ31B magnesium alloy and contribute to ecological benefits.展开更多
Difficult-to-machine materials (DMMs) are extensively applied in critical fields such as aviation,semiconductor,biomedicine,and other key fields due to their excellent material properties.However,traditional machining...Difficult-to-machine materials (DMMs) are extensively applied in critical fields such as aviation,semiconductor,biomedicine,and other key fields due to their excellent material properties.However,traditional machining technologies often struggle to achieve ultra-precision with DMMs resulting from poor surface quality and low processing efficiency.In recent years,field-assisted machining (FAM) technology has emerged as a new generation of machining technology based on innovative principles such as laser heating,tool vibration,magnetic magnetization,and plasma modification,providing a new solution for improving the machinability of DMMs.This technology not only addresses these limitations of traditional machining methods,but also has become a hot topic of research in the domain of ultra-precision machining of DMMs.Many new methods and principles have been introduced and investigated one after another,yet few studies have presented a comprehensive analysis and summarization.To fill this gap and understand the development trend of FAM,this study provides an important overview of FAM,covering different assisted machining methods,application effects,mechanism analysis,and equipment design.The current deficiencies and future challenges of FAM are summarized to lay the foundation for the further development of multi-field hybrid assisted and intelligent FAM technologies.展开更多
Diagnosing multi-stage diseases typically requires doctors to consider multiple data sources,including clinical symptoms,physical signs,biochemical test results,imaging findings,pathological examination data,and even ...Diagnosing multi-stage diseases typically requires doctors to consider multiple data sources,including clinical symptoms,physical signs,biochemical test results,imaging findings,pathological examination data,and even genetic data.When applying machine learning modeling to predict and diagnose multi-stage diseases,several challenges need to be addressed.Firstly,the model needs to handle multimodal data,as the data used by doctors for diagnosis includes image data,natural language data,and structured data.Secondly,privacy of patients’data needs to be protected,as these data contain the most sensitive and private information.Lastly,considering the practicality of the model,the computational requirements should not be too high.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a privacy-preserving federated deep learning diagnostic method for multi-stage diseases.This method improves the forward and backward propagation processes of deep neural network modeling algorithms and introduces a homomorphic encryption step to design a federated modeling algorithm without the need for an arbiter.It also utilizes dedicated integrated circuits to implement the hardware Paillier algorithm,providing accelerated support for homomorphic encryption in modeling.Finally,this paper designs and conducts experiments to evaluate the proposed solution.The experimental results show that in privacy-preserving federated deep learning diagnostic modeling,the method in this paper achieves the same modeling performance as ordinary modeling without privacy protection,and has higher modeling speed compared to similar algorithms.展开更多
This research concentrates to model an efficient thyroid prediction approach,which is considered a baseline for significant problems faced by the women community.The major research problem is the lack of automated mod...This research concentrates to model an efficient thyroid prediction approach,which is considered a baseline for significant problems faced by the women community.The major research problem is the lack of automated model to attain earlier prediction.Some existing model fails to give better prediction accuracy.Here,a novel clinical decision support system is framed to make the proper decision during a time of complexity.Multiple stages are followed in the proposed framework,which plays a substantial role in thyroid prediction.These steps include i)data acquisition,ii)outlier prediction,and iii)multi-stage weight-based ensemble learning process(MS-WEL).The weighted analysis of the base classifier and other classifier models helps bridge the gap encountered in one single classifier model.Various classifiers aremerged to handle the issues identified in others and intend to enhance the prediction rate.The proposed model provides superior outcomes and gives good quality prediction rate.The simulation is done in the MATLAB 2020a environment and establishes a better trade-off than various existing approaches.The model gives a prediction accuracy of 97.28%accuracy compared to other models and shows a better trade than others.展开更多
In engineering practice,it is often necessary to determine functional relationships between dependent and independent variables.These relationships can be highly nonlinear,and classical regression approaches cannot al...In engineering practice,it is often necessary to determine functional relationships between dependent and independent variables.These relationships can be highly nonlinear,and classical regression approaches cannot always provide sufficiently reliable solutions.Nevertheless,Machine Learning(ML)techniques,which offer advanced regression tools to address complicated engineering issues,have been developed and widely explored.This study investigates the selected ML techniques to evaluate their suitability for application in the hot deformation behavior of metallic materials.The ML-based regression methods of Artificial Neural Networks(ANNs),Support Vector Machine(SVM),Decision Tree Regression(DTR),and Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)are applied to mathematically describe hot flow stress curve datasets acquired experimentally for a medium-carbon steel.Although the GPR method has not been used for such a regression task before,the results showed that its performance is the most favorable and practically unrivaled;neither the ANN method nor the other studied ML techniques provide such precise results of the solved regression analysis.展开更多
Determination of Shear Bond strength(SBS)at interlayer of double-layer asphalt concrete is crucial in flexible pavement structures.The study used three Machine Learning(ML)models,including K-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Ext...Determination of Shear Bond strength(SBS)at interlayer of double-layer asphalt concrete is crucial in flexible pavement structures.The study used three Machine Learning(ML)models,including K-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Extra Trees(ET),and Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LGBM),to predict SBS based on easily determinable input parameters.Also,the Grid Search technique was employed for hyper-parameter tuning of the ML models,and cross-validation and learning curve analysis were used for training the models.The models were built on a database of 240 experimental results and three input variables:temperature,normal pressure,and tack coat rate.Model validation was performed using three statistical criteria:the coefficient of determination(R2),the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),and the mean absolute error(MAE).Additionally,SHAP analysis was also used to validate the importance of the input variables in the prediction of the SBS.Results show that these models accurately predict SBS,with LGBM providing outstanding performance.SHAP(Shapley Additive explanation)analysis for LGBM indicates that temperature is the most influential factor on SBS.Consequently,the proposed ML models can quickly and accurately predict SBS between two layers of asphalt concrete,serving practical applications in flexible pavement structure design.展开更多
The high porosity and tunable chemical functionality of metal-organic frameworks(MOFs)make it a promising catalyst design platform.High-throughput screening of catalytic performance is feasible since the large MOF str...The high porosity and tunable chemical functionality of metal-organic frameworks(MOFs)make it a promising catalyst design platform.High-throughput screening of catalytic performance is feasible since the large MOF structure database is available.In this study,we report a machine learning model for high-throughput screening of MOF catalysts for the CO_(2) cycloaddition reaction.The descriptors for model training were judiciously chosen according to the reaction mechanism,which leads to high accuracy up to 97%for the 75%quantile of the training set as the classification criterion.The feature contribution was further evaluated with SHAP and PDP analysis to provide a certain physical understanding.12,415 hypothetical MOF structures and 100 reported MOFs were evaluated under 100℃ and 1 bar within one day using the model,and 239 potentially efficient catalysts were discovered.Among them,MOF-76(Y)achieved the top performance experimentally among reported MOFs,in good agreement with the prediction.展开更多
Machine learning(ML)is increasingly applied for medical image processing with appropriate learning paradigms.These applications include analyzing images of various organs,such as the brain,lung,eye,etc.,to identify sp...Machine learning(ML)is increasingly applied for medical image processing with appropriate learning paradigms.These applications include analyzing images of various organs,such as the brain,lung,eye,etc.,to identify specific flaws/diseases for diagnosis.The primary concern of ML applications is the precise selection of flexible image features for pattern detection and region classification.Most of the extracted image features are irrelevant and lead to an increase in computation time.Therefore,this article uses an analytical learning paradigm to design a Congruent Feature Selection Method to select the most relevant image features.This process trains the learning paradigm using similarity and correlation-based features over different textural intensities and pixel distributions.The similarity between the pixels over the various distribution patterns with high indexes is recommended for disease diagnosis.Later,the correlation based on intensity and distribution is analyzed to improve the feature selection congruency.Therefore,the more congruent pixels are sorted in the descending order of the selection,which identifies better regions than the distribution.Now,the learning paradigm is trained using intensity and region-based similarity to maximize the chances of selection.Therefore,the probability of feature selection,regardless of the textures and medical image patterns,is improved.This process enhances the performance of ML applications for different medical image processing.The proposed method improves the accuracy,precision,and training rate by 13.19%,10.69%,and 11.06%,respectively,compared to other models for the selected dataset.The mean error and selection time is also reduced by 12.56%and 13.56%,respectively,compared to the same models and dataset.展开更多
Machine learning(ML)is a type of artificial intelligence that assists computers in the acquisition of knowledge through data analysis,thus creating machines that can complete tasks otherwise requiring human intelligen...Machine learning(ML)is a type of artificial intelligence that assists computers in the acquisition of knowledge through data analysis,thus creating machines that can complete tasks otherwise requiring human intelligence.Among its various applications,it has proven groundbreaking in healthcare as well,both in clinical practice and research.In this editorial,we succinctly introduce ML applications and present a study,featured in the latest issue of the World Journal of Clinical Cases.The authors of this study conducted an analysis using both multiple linear regression(MLR)and ML methods to investigate the significant factors that may impact the estimated glomerular filtration rate in healthy women with and without non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD).Their results implicated age as the most important determining factor in both groups,followed by lactic dehydrogenase,uric acid,forced expiratory volume in one second,and albumin.In addition,for the NAFLD-group,the 5th and 6th most important impact factors were thyroid-stimulating hormone and systolic blood pressure,as compared to plasma calcium and body fat for the NAFLD+group.However,the study's distinctive contribution lies in its adoption of ML methodologies,showcasing their superiority over traditional statistical approaches(herein MLR),thereby highlighting the potential of ML to represent an invaluable advanced adjunct tool in clinical practice and research.展开更多
Anastomotic leakage(AL)is a significant complication following rectal cancer surgery,adversely affecting both quality of life and oncological outcomes.Recent advancements in artificial intelligence(AI),particularly ma...Anastomotic leakage(AL)is a significant complication following rectal cancer surgery,adversely affecting both quality of life and oncological outcomes.Recent advancements in artificial intelligence(AI),particularly machine learning and deep learning,offer promising avenues for predicting and preventing AL.These technologies can analyze extensive clinical datasets to identify preoperative and perioperative risk factors such as malnutrition,body composition,and radiological features.AI-based models have demonstrated superior predictive power compared to traditional statistical methods,potentially guiding clinical decisionmaking and improving patient outcomes.Additionally,AI can provide surgeons with intraoperative feedback on blood supply and anatomical dissection planes,minimizing the risk of intraoperative complications and reducing the likelihood of AL development.展开更多
Seasonal precipitation has always been a key focus of climate prediction.As a dynamic-statistical combined method,the existing observational constraint correction establishes a regression relationship between the nume...Seasonal precipitation has always been a key focus of climate prediction.As a dynamic-statistical combined method,the existing observational constraint correction establishes a regression relationship between the numerical model outputs and historical observations,which can partly predict seasonal precipitation.However,solving a nonlinear problem through linear regression is significantly biased.This study implements a nonlinear optimization of an existing observational constrained correction model using a Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LightGBM)machine learning algorithm based on output from the Beijing National Climate Center Climate System Model(BCC-CSM)and station observations to improve the prediction of summer precipitation in China.The model was trained using a rolling approach,and LightGBM outperformed Linear Regression(LR),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Categorical Boosting(CatBoost).Using parameter tuning to optimize the machine learning model and predict future summer precipitation using eight different predictors in BCC-CSM,the mean Anomaly Correlation Coefficient(ACC)score in the 2019–22 summer precipitation predictions was 0.17,and the mean Prediction Score(PS)reached 74.The PS score was improved by 7.87%and 6.63%compared with the BCC-CSM and the linear observational constraint approach,respectively.The observational constraint correction prediction strategy with LightGBM significantly and stably improved the prediction of summer precipitation in China compared to the previous linear observational constraint solution,providing a reference for flood control and drought relief during the flood season(summer)in China.展开更多
BACKGROUND Patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)generally have good survival rates following surgical resection.However,a subset of these patients experience recurrence within five years post-surgery...BACKGROUND Patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)generally have good survival rates following surgical resection.However,a subset of these patients experience recurrence within five years post-surgery.AIM To develop predictive models utilizing machine learning(ML)methods to detect early-stage patients at a high risk of mortality.METHODS Eight hundred and eight patients with HCC at Beijing Ditan Hospital were randomly allocated to training and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio.Prognostic models were generated using random survival forests and artificial neural networks(ANNs).These ML models were compared with other classic HCC scoring systems.A decision-tree model was established to validate the contri-bution of immune-inflammatory indicators to the long-term outlook of patients with early-stage HCC.RESULTS Immune-inflammatory markers,albumin-bilirubin scores,alpha-fetoprotein,tumor size,and International Normalized Ratio were closely associated with the 5-year survival rates.Among various predictive models,the ANN model gene-rated using these indicators through ML algorithms exhibited superior perfor-mance,with a 5-year area under the curve(AUC)of 0.85(95%CI:0.82-0.88).In the validation cohort,the 5-year AUC was 0.82(95%CI:0.74-0.85).According to the ANN model,patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups,with an overall survival hazard ratio of 7.98(95%CI:5.85-10.93,P<0.0001)between the two cohorts.INTRODUCTION Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)is one of the six most prevalent cancers[1]and the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality[2].China has some of the highest incidence and mortality rates for liver cancer,accounting for half of global cases[3,4].The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer(BCLC)Staging System is the most widely used framework for diagnosing and treating HCC[5].The optimal candidates for surgical treatment are those with early-stage HCC,classified as BCLC stage 0 or A.Patients with early-stage liver cancer typically have a better prognosis after surgical resection,achieving a 5-year survival rate of 60%-70%[6].However,the high postoperative recurrence rates of HCC remain a major obstacle to long-term efficacy.To improve the prognosis of patients with early-stage HCC,it is necessary to develop models that can identify those with poor prognoses,enabling stratified and personalized treatment and follow-up strategies.Chronic inflammation is linked to the development and advancement of tumors[7].Recently,peripheral blood immune indicators,such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio(LMR),have garnered extensive attention and have been used to predict survival in various tumors and inflammation-related diseases[8-10].However,the relationship between these combinations of immune markers and the outcomes in patients with early-stage HCC require further investigation.Machine learning(ML)algorithms are capable of handling large and complex datasets,generating more accurate and personalized predictions through unique training algorithms that better manage nonlinear statistical relationships than traditional analytical methods.Commonly used ML models include artificial neural networks(ANNs)and random survival forests(RSFs),which have shown satisfactory accuracy in prognostic predictions across various cancers and other diseases[11-13].ANNs have performed well in identifying the progression from liver cirrhosis to HCC and predicting overall survival(OS)in patients with HCC[14,15].However,no studies have confirmed the ability of ML models to predict post-surgical survival in patients with early-stage HCC.Through ML,a better understanding of the risk factors for early-stage HCC prognosis can be achieved.This aids in surgical decision-making,identifying patients at a high risk of mortality,and selecting subsequent treatment strategies.In this study,we aimed to establish a 5-year prognostic model for patients with early-stage HCC after surgical resection,based on ML and systemic immune-inflammatory indicators.This model seeks to improve the early monitoring of high-risk patients and provide personalized treatment plans.展开更多
Seismic fragility analysis(SFA)is known as an effective probabilistic-based approach used to evaluate seismic fragility.There are various sources of uncertainties associated with this approach.A nuclear power plant(NP...Seismic fragility analysis(SFA)is known as an effective probabilistic-based approach used to evaluate seismic fragility.There are various sources of uncertainties associated with this approach.A nuclear power plant(NPP)system is an extremely important infrastructure and contains many structural uncertainties due to construction issues or structural deterioration during service.Simulation of structural uncertainties effects is a costly and time-consuming endeavor.A novel approach to SFA for the NPP considering structural uncertainties based on the damage state is proposed and examined.The results suggest that considering the structural uncertainties is essential in assessing the fragility of the NPP structure,and the impact of structural uncertainties tends to increase with the state of damage.Subsequently,machine learning(ML)is found to be superior in high-precision damage state identification of the NPP for reducing the time of nonlinear time-history analysis(NLTHA)and could be applied in the damage state-based SFA.Also,the impact of various sources of uncertainties is investigated through sensitivity analysis.The Sobol and Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)method can be complementary to each other and able to solve the problem of quantifying seismic and structural uncertainties simultaneously and the interaction effect of each parameter.展开更多
BACKGROUND Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)is an effective intervention for managing complications of portal hypertension,particularly acute variceal bleeding(AVB).While effective in reducing portal...BACKGROUND Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)is an effective intervention for managing complications of portal hypertension,particularly acute variceal bleeding(AVB).While effective in reducing portal pressure and preventing rebleeding,TIPS is associated with a considerable risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy(OHE),a complication that significantly elevates mortality rates.AIM To develop a machine learning(ML)model to predict OHE occurrence post-TIPS in patients with AVB using a 5-year dataset.METHODS This retrospective single-center study included 218 patients with AVB who underwent TIPS.The dataset was divided into training(70%)and testing(30%)sets.Critical features were identified using embedded methods and recursive feature elimination.Three ML algorithms-random forest,extreme gradient boosting,and logistic regression-were validated via 10-fold cross-validation.SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis was employed to interpret the model’s predictions.Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier curves and stepwise Cox regression analysis to compare overall survival(OS)between patients with and without OHE.RESULTS The median OS of the study cohort was 47.83±22.95 months.Among the models evaluated,logistic regression demonstrated the highest performance with an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.825.Key predictors identified were Child-Pugh score,age,and portal vein thrombosis.Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients without OHE had a significantly longer OS(P=0.005).The 5-year survival rate was 78.4%,with an OHE incidence of 15.1%.Both actual OHE status and predicted OHE value were significant predictors in each Cox model,with model-predicted OHE achieving an AUC of 88.1 in survival prediction.CONCLUSION The ML model accurately predicts post-TIPS OHE and outperforms traditional models,supporting its use in improving outcomes in patients with AVB.展开更多
基金This project is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50675137).
文摘The final product quality is determined by cumulation, coupling and propagation of product quality variations from all stations in multi-stage manufacturing systems (MMSs). Modeling and control of variation propagation is essential to improve product quality. However, the current stream of variations (SOV) theory can only solve the problem that a single SOV affects the product quality. Due to the existence of multiple variation streams, limited research has been done on the quality control in serial-parallel hybrid multi-stage manufacturing systems (SPH-MMSs). A state space model and its modeling strategies are developed to describe the multiple variation streams stack-up in an SPH-MMS. The SOV theory is extended to SPH-MMS. The dimensions of system model are reduced to the production-reality level, and the effect and feasibility of the model is validated by a machining case.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52075255,92160301,52175415,52205475,and 92060203)。
文摘The aerospace community widely uses difficult-to-cut materials,such as titanium alloys,high-temperature alloys,metal/ceramic/polymer matrix composites,hard and brittle materials,and geometrically complex components,such as thin-walled structures,microchannels,and complex surfaces.Mechanical machining is the main material removal process for the vast majority of aerospace components.However,many problems exist,including severe and rapid tool wear,low machining efficiency,and poor surface integrity.Nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining is a hybrid process that uses nontraditional energies(vibration,laser,electricity,etc)to improve the machinability of local materials and decrease the burden of mechanical machining.This provides a feasible and promising method to improve the material removal rate and surface quality,reduce process forces,and prolong tool life.However,systematic reviews of this technology are lacking with respect to the current research status and development direction.This paper reviews the recent progress in the nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining of difficult-to-cut materials and components in the aerospace community.In addition,this paper focuses on the processing principles,material responses under nontraditional energy,resultant forces and temperatures,material removal mechanisms,and applications of these processes,including vibration-,laser-,electric-,magnetic-,chemical-,advanced coolant-,and hybrid nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining.Finally,a comprehensive summary of the principles,advantages,and limitations of each hybrid process is provided,and future perspectives on forward design,device development,and sustainability of nontraditional energy-assisted mechanical machining processes are discussed.
基金supported by the National Nat-ural Science Foundation of China(No.52203376)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2023YFB3813200).
文摘Traditional 3Ni weathering steel cannot completely meet the requirements for offshore engineering development,resulting in the design of novel 3Ni steel with the addition of microalloy elements such as Mn or Nb for strength enhancement becoming a trend.The stress-assisted corrosion behavior of a novel designed high-strength 3Ni steel was investigated in the current study using the corrosion big data method.The information on the corrosion process was recorded using the galvanic corrosion current monitoring method.The gradi-ent boosting decision tree(GBDT)machine learning method was used to mine the corrosion mechanism,and the importance of the struc-ture factor was investigated.Field exposure tests were conducted to verify the calculated results using the GBDT method.Results indic-ated that the GBDT method can be effectively used to study the influence of structural factors on the corrosion process of 3Ni steel.Dif-ferent mechanisms for the addition of Mn and Cu to the stress-assisted corrosion of 3Ni steel suggested that Mn and Cu have no obvious effect on the corrosion rate of non-stressed 3Ni steel during the early stage of corrosion.When the corrosion reached a stable state,the in-crease in Mn element content increased the corrosion rate of 3Ni steel,while Cu reduced this rate.In the presence of stress,the increase in Mn element content and Cu addition can inhibit the corrosion process.The corrosion law of outdoor-exposed 3Ni steel is consistent with the law based on corrosion big data technology,verifying the reliability of the big data evaluation method and data prediction model selection.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation(61833003,62125302,U1908218).
文摘Ingredient optimization plays a pivotal role in the copper industry,for which it is closely related to the concentrate utilization rate,stability of furnace conditions,and the quality of copper production.To acquire a practical ingredient plan,which should exhibit long duration time with sufficient utilization and feeding stability for real applications,an ingredient plan optimization model is proposed in this study to effectively guarantee continuous production and stable furnace conditions.To address the complex challenges posed by this integer programming model,including multiple coupling feeding stages,intricate constraints,and significant non-linearity,a multi-stage differential-multifactorial evolution algorithm is developed.In the proposed algorithm,the differential evolutionary(DE)algorithm is improved in three aspects to efficiently tackle challenges when optimizing the proposed model.First,unlike traditional time-consuming serial approaches,the multifactorial evolutionary algorithm is utilized to optimize multiple complex models contained in the population of evolutionary algorithm caused by the feeding stability in a parallel manner.Second,a repair algorithm is employed to adjust infeasible ingredient lists in a timely manner.In addition,a local search strategy taking feedback from the current optima and considering the different positions of global optimum is developed to avoiding premature convergence of the differential evolutionary algorithm.Finally,the simulation experiments considering different planning horizons using real data from the copper industry in China are conducted,which demonstrates the superiority of the proposed method on feeding duration and stability compared with other commonly deployed approaches.It is practically helpful for reducing material cost as well as increasing production profit for the copper industry.
基金supported by the“National Natural Science Foundation of China”(Grant Nos.52105106,52305155)the“Jiangsu Province Natural Science Foundation”(Grant Nos.BK20210342,BK20230904)the“Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Programby CAST”(Grant No.2023JCJQQT061).
文摘To enhance the comprehensive performance of artillery internal ballistics—encompassing power,accuracy,and service life—this study proposed a multi-stage multidisciplinary design optimization(MS-MDO)method.First,the comprehensive artillery internal ballistic dynamics(AIBD)model,based on propellant combustion,rotation band engraving,projectile axial motion,and rifling wear models,was established and validated.This model was systematically decomposed into subsystems from a system engineering perspective.The study then detailed the MS-MDO methodology,which included Stage I(MDO stage)employing an improved collaborative optimization method for consistent design variables,and Stage II(Performance Optimization)focusing on the independent optimization of local design variables and performance metrics.The methodology was applied to the AIBD problem.Results demonstrated that the MS-MDO method in Stage I effectively reduced iteration and evaluation counts,thereby accelerating system-level convergence.Meanwhile,Stage II optimization markedly enhanced overall performance.These comprehensive evaluation results affirmed the effectiveness of the MS-MDO method.
文摘To address the scheduling problem involving energy storage systems and uncertain energy,we propose a method based on multi-stage robust optimization.This approach aims to regulate the energy storage system by using a multi-stage robust optimal control method,which helps overcome the limitations of traditional methods in terms of time scale.The goal is to effectively utilize the energy storage power station system to address issues caused by unpredictable variations in environmental energy and fluctuating load throughout the day.To achieve this,a mathematical model is constructed to represent uncertain energy sources such as photovoltaic and wind power.The generalized Benders Decomposition method is then employed to solve the multi-stage objective optimization problem.By decomposing the problem into a series of sub-objectives,the system scale is effectively reduced,and the algorithm’s convergence ability is improved.Compared with other algorithms,the multi-stage robust optimization model has better economy and convergence ability and can be used to guide the power dispatching of uncertain energy and energy storage systems.
文摘Magnesium alloys have many advantages as lightweight materials for engineering applications,especially in the fields of automotive and aerospace.They undergo extensive cutting or machining while making products out of them.Dry cutting,a sustainable machining method,causes more friction and adhesion at the tool-chip interface.One of the promising solutions to this problem is cutting tool surface texturing,which can reduce tool wear and friction in dry cutting and improve machining performance.This paper aims to investigate the impact of dimple textures(made on the flank face of cutting inserts)on tool wear and chip morphology in the dry machining of AZ31B magnesium alloy.The results show that the cutting speed was the most significant factor affecting tool flank wear,followed by feed rate and cutting depth.The tool wear mechanism was examined using scanning electron microscope(SEM)images and energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy(EDS)analysis reports,which showed that at low cutting speed,the main wear mechanism was abrasion,while at high speed,it was adhesion.The chips are discontinuous at low cutting speeds,while continuous at high cutting speeds.The dimple textured flank face cutting tools facilitate the dry machining of AZ31B magnesium alloy and contribute to ecological benefits.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Project of China (Grant No.2023YFB3407200)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.52225506,52375430,and 52188102)the Program for HUST Academic Frontier Youth Team (Grant No.2019QYTD12)。
文摘Difficult-to-machine materials (DMMs) are extensively applied in critical fields such as aviation,semiconductor,biomedicine,and other key fields due to their excellent material properties.However,traditional machining technologies often struggle to achieve ultra-precision with DMMs resulting from poor surface quality and low processing efficiency.In recent years,field-assisted machining (FAM) technology has emerged as a new generation of machining technology based on innovative principles such as laser heating,tool vibration,magnetic magnetization,and plasma modification,providing a new solution for improving the machinability of DMMs.This technology not only addresses these limitations of traditional machining methods,but also has become a hot topic of research in the domain of ultra-precision machining of DMMs.Many new methods and principles have been introduced and investigated one after another,yet few studies have presented a comprehensive analysis and summarization.To fill this gap and understand the development trend of FAM,this study provides an important overview of FAM,covering different assisted machining methods,application effects,mechanism analysis,and equipment design.The current deficiencies and future challenges of FAM are summarized to lay the foundation for the further development of multi-field hybrid assisted and intelligent FAM technologies.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation,China(No.62172123)the Key Research and Development Program of Heilongjiang(Grant No.2022ZX01A36)+1 种基金the Special Projects for the Central Government to Guide the Development of Local Science and Technology,China(No.ZY20B11)the Harbin Manufacturing Technology Innovation Talent Project(No.CXRC20221104236).
文摘Diagnosing multi-stage diseases typically requires doctors to consider multiple data sources,including clinical symptoms,physical signs,biochemical test results,imaging findings,pathological examination data,and even genetic data.When applying machine learning modeling to predict and diagnose multi-stage diseases,several challenges need to be addressed.Firstly,the model needs to handle multimodal data,as the data used by doctors for diagnosis includes image data,natural language data,and structured data.Secondly,privacy of patients’data needs to be protected,as these data contain the most sensitive and private information.Lastly,considering the practicality of the model,the computational requirements should not be too high.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a privacy-preserving federated deep learning diagnostic method for multi-stage diseases.This method improves the forward and backward propagation processes of deep neural network modeling algorithms and introduces a homomorphic encryption step to design a federated modeling algorithm without the need for an arbiter.It also utilizes dedicated integrated circuits to implement the hardware Paillier algorithm,providing accelerated support for homomorphic encryption in modeling.Finally,this paper designs and conducts experiments to evaluate the proposed solution.The experimental results show that in privacy-preserving federated deep learning diagnostic modeling,the method in this paper achieves the same modeling performance as ordinary modeling without privacy protection,and has higher modeling speed compared to similar algorithms.
文摘This research concentrates to model an efficient thyroid prediction approach,which is considered a baseline for significant problems faced by the women community.The major research problem is the lack of automated model to attain earlier prediction.Some existing model fails to give better prediction accuracy.Here,a novel clinical decision support system is framed to make the proper decision during a time of complexity.Multiple stages are followed in the proposed framework,which plays a substantial role in thyroid prediction.These steps include i)data acquisition,ii)outlier prediction,and iii)multi-stage weight-based ensemble learning process(MS-WEL).The weighted analysis of the base classifier and other classifier models helps bridge the gap encountered in one single classifier model.Various classifiers aremerged to handle the issues identified in others and intend to enhance the prediction rate.The proposed model provides superior outcomes and gives good quality prediction rate.The simulation is done in the MATLAB 2020a environment and establishes a better trade-off than various existing approaches.The model gives a prediction accuracy of 97.28%accuracy compared to other models and shows a better trade than others.
基金supported by the SP2024/089 Project by the Faculty of Materials Science and Technology,VˇSB-Technical University of Ostrava.
文摘In engineering practice,it is often necessary to determine functional relationships between dependent and independent variables.These relationships can be highly nonlinear,and classical regression approaches cannot always provide sufficiently reliable solutions.Nevertheless,Machine Learning(ML)techniques,which offer advanced regression tools to address complicated engineering issues,have been developed and widely explored.This study investigates the selected ML techniques to evaluate their suitability for application in the hot deformation behavior of metallic materials.The ML-based regression methods of Artificial Neural Networks(ANNs),Support Vector Machine(SVM),Decision Tree Regression(DTR),and Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)are applied to mathematically describe hot flow stress curve datasets acquired experimentally for a medium-carbon steel.Although the GPR method has not been used for such a regression task before,the results showed that its performance is the most favorable and practically unrivaled;neither the ANN method nor the other studied ML techniques provide such precise results of the solved regression analysis.
基金the University of Transport Technology under grant number DTTD2022-12.
文摘Determination of Shear Bond strength(SBS)at interlayer of double-layer asphalt concrete is crucial in flexible pavement structures.The study used three Machine Learning(ML)models,including K-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Extra Trees(ET),and Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LGBM),to predict SBS based on easily determinable input parameters.Also,the Grid Search technique was employed for hyper-parameter tuning of the ML models,and cross-validation and learning curve analysis were used for training the models.The models were built on a database of 240 experimental results and three input variables:temperature,normal pressure,and tack coat rate.Model validation was performed using three statistical criteria:the coefficient of determination(R2),the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),and the mean absolute error(MAE).Additionally,SHAP analysis was also used to validate the importance of the input variables in the prediction of the SBS.Results show that these models accurately predict SBS,with LGBM providing outstanding performance.SHAP(Shapley Additive explanation)analysis for LGBM indicates that temperature is the most influential factor on SBS.Consequently,the proposed ML models can quickly and accurately predict SBS between two layers of asphalt concrete,serving practical applications in flexible pavement structure design.
基金financial support from the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFB 3501501)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.22225803,22038001,22108007 and 22278011)+1 种基金Beijing Natural Science Foundation(No.Z230023)Beijing Science and Technology Commission(No.Z211100004321001).
文摘The high porosity and tunable chemical functionality of metal-organic frameworks(MOFs)make it a promising catalyst design platform.High-throughput screening of catalytic performance is feasible since the large MOF structure database is available.In this study,we report a machine learning model for high-throughput screening of MOF catalysts for the CO_(2) cycloaddition reaction.The descriptors for model training were judiciously chosen according to the reaction mechanism,which leads to high accuracy up to 97%for the 75%quantile of the training set as the classification criterion.The feature contribution was further evaluated with SHAP and PDP analysis to provide a certain physical understanding.12,415 hypothetical MOF structures and 100 reported MOFs were evaluated under 100℃ and 1 bar within one day using the model,and 239 potentially efficient catalysts were discovered.Among them,MOF-76(Y)achieved the top performance experimentally among reported MOFs,in good agreement with the prediction.
基金the Deanship of Scientifc Research at King Khalid University for funding this work through large group Research Project under grant number RGP2/421/45supported via funding from Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University project number(PSAU/2024/R/1446)+1 种基金supported by theResearchers Supporting Project Number(UM-DSR-IG-2023-07)Almaarefa University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.supported by the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)funded by the Ministry of Education(No.2021R1F1A1055408).
文摘Machine learning(ML)is increasingly applied for medical image processing with appropriate learning paradigms.These applications include analyzing images of various organs,such as the brain,lung,eye,etc.,to identify specific flaws/diseases for diagnosis.The primary concern of ML applications is the precise selection of flexible image features for pattern detection and region classification.Most of the extracted image features are irrelevant and lead to an increase in computation time.Therefore,this article uses an analytical learning paradigm to design a Congruent Feature Selection Method to select the most relevant image features.This process trains the learning paradigm using similarity and correlation-based features over different textural intensities and pixel distributions.The similarity between the pixels over the various distribution patterns with high indexes is recommended for disease diagnosis.Later,the correlation based on intensity and distribution is analyzed to improve the feature selection congruency.Therefore,the more congruent pixels are sorted in the descending order of the selection,which identifies better regions than the distribution.Now,the learning paradigm is trained using intensity and region-based similarity to maximize the chances of selection.Therefore,the probability of feature selection,regardless of the textures and medical image patterns,is improved.This process enhances the performance of ML applications for different medical image processing.The proposed method improves the accuracy,precision,and training rate by 13.19%,10.69%,and 11.06%,respectively,compared to other models for the selected dataset.The mean error and selection time is also reduced by 12.56%and 13.56%,respectively,compared to the same models and dataset.
文摘Machine learning(ML)is a type of artificial intelligence that assists computers in the acquisition of knowledge through data analysis,thus creating machines that can complete tasks otherwise requiring human intelligence.Among its various applications,it has proven groundbreaking in healthcare as well,both in clinical practice and research.In this editorial,we succinctly introduce ML applications and present a study,featured in the latest issue of the World Journal of Clinical Cases.The authors of this study conducted an analysis using both multiple linear regression(MLR)and ML methods to investigate the significant factors that may impact the estimated glomerular filtration rate in healthy women with and without non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD).Their results implicated age as the most important determining factor in both groups,followed by lactic dehydrogenase,uric acid,forced expiratory volume in one second,and albumin.In addition,for the NAFLD-group,the 5th and 6th most important impact factors were thyroid-stimulating hormone and systolic blood pressure,as compared to plasma calcium and body fat for the NAFLD+group.However,the study's distinctive contribution lies in its adoption of ML methodologies,showcasing their superiority over traditional statistical approaches(herein MLR),thereby highlighting the potential of ML to represent an invaluable advanced adjunct tool in clinical practice and research.
文摘Anastomotic leakage(AL)is a significant complication following rectal cancer surgery,adversely affecting both quality of life and oncological outcomes.Recent advancements in artificial intelligence(AI),particularly machine learning and deep learning,offer promising avenues for predicting and preventing AL.These technologies can analyze extensive clinical datasets to identify preoperative and perioperative risk factors such as malnutrition,body composition,and radiological features.AI-based models have demonstrated superior predictive power compared to traditional statistical methods,potentially guiding clinical decisionmaking and improving patient outcomes.Additionally,AI can provide surgeons with intraoperative feedback on blood supply and anatomical dissection planes,minimizing the risk of intraoperative complications and reducing the likelihood of AL development.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42122034,42075043,42330609)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research program(2019QZKK0103)+2 种基金Key Talent Project in Gansu and Central Guidance Fund for Local Science and Technology Development Projects in Gansu(No.24ZYQA031)the Youth Innovation Promotion Association of Chinese Academy of Sciences(2021427)West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(xbzg-zdsys-202215)。
文摘Seasonal precipitation has always been a key focus of climate prediction.As a dynamic-statistical combined method,the existing observational constraint correction establishes a regression relationship between the numerical model outputs and historical observations,which can partly predict seasonal precipitation.However,solving a nonlinear problem through linear regression is significantly biased.This study implements a nonlinear optimization of an existing observational constrained correction model using a Light Gradient Boosting Machine(LightGBM)machine learning algorithm based on output from the Beijing National Climate Center Climate System Model(BCC-CSM)and station observations to improve the prediction of summer precipitation in China.The model was trained using a rolling approach,and LightGBM outperformed Linear Regression(LR),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Categorical Boosting(CatBoost).Using parameter tuning to optimize the machine learning model and predict future summer precipitation using eight different predictors in BCC-CSM,the mean Anomaly Correlation Coefficient(ACC)score in the 2019–22 summer precipitation predictions was 0.17,and the mean Prediction Score(PS)reached 74.The PS score was improved by 7.87%and 6.63%compared with the BCC-CSM and the linear observational constraint approach,respectively.The observational constraint correction prediction strategy with LightGBM significantly and stably improved the prediction of summer precipitation in China compared to the previous linear observational constraint solution,providing a reference for flood control and drought relief during the flood season(summer)in China.
基金Supported by High-Level Chinese Medicine Key Discipline Construction Project,No.zyyzdxk-2023005Capital Health Development Research Project,No.2024-1-2173the National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.82474426 and No.82474419。
文摘BACKGROUND Patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)generally have good survival rates following surgical resection.However,a subset of these patients experience recurrence within five years post-surgery.AIM To develop predictive models utilizing machine learning(ML)methods to detect early-stage patients at a high risk of mortality.METHODS Eight hundred and eight patients with HCC at Beijing Ditan Hospital were randomly allocated to training and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio.Prognostic models were generated using random survival forests and artificial neural networks(ANNs).These ML models were compared with other classic HCC scoring systems.A decision-tree model was established to validate the contri-bution of immune-inflammatory indicators to the long-term outlook of patients with early-stage HCC.RESULTS Immune-inflammatory markers,albumin-bilirubin scores,alpha-fetoprotein,tumor size,and International Normalized Ratio were closely associated with the 5-year survival rates.Among various predictive models,the ANN model gene-rated using these indicators through ML algorithms exhibited superior perfor-mance,with a 5-year area under the curve(AUC)of 0.85(95%CI:0.82-0.88).In the validation cohort,the 5-year AUC was 0.82(95%CI:0.74-0.85).According to the ANN model,patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups,with an overall survival hazard ratio of 7.98(95%CI:5.85-10.93,P<0.0001)between the two cohorts.INTRODUCTION Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)is one of the six most prevalent cancers[1]and the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality[2].China has some of the highest incidence and mortality rates for liver cancer,accounting for half of global cases[3,4].The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer(BCLC)Staging System is the most widely used framework for diagnosing and treating HCC[5].The optimal candidates for surgical treatment are those with early-stage HCC,classified as BCLC stage 0 or A.Patients with early-stage liver cancer typically have a better prognosis after surgical resection,achieving a 5-year survival rate of 60%-70%[6].However,the high postoperative recurrence rates of HCC remain a major obstacle to long-term efficacy.To improve the prognosis of patients with early-stage HCC,it is necessary to develop models that can identify those with poor prognoses,enabling stratified and personalized treatment and follow-up strategies.Chronic inflammation is linked to the development and advancement of tumors[7].Recently,peripheral blood immune indicators,such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio(LMR),have garnered extensive attention and have been used to predict survival in various tumors and inflammation-related diseases[8-10].However,the relationship between these combinations of immune markers and the outcomes in patients with early-stage HCC require further investigation.Machine learning(ML)algorithms are capable of handling large and complex datasets,generating more accurate and personalized predictions through unique training algorithms that better manage nonlinear statistical relationships than traditional analytical methods.Commonly used ML models include artificial neural networks(ANNs)and random survival forests(RSFs),which have shown satisfactory accuracy in prognostic predictions across various cancers and other diseases[11-13].ANNs have performed well in identifying the progression from liver cirrhosis to HCC and predicting overall survival(OS)in patients with HCC[14,15].However,no studies have confirmed the ability of ML models to predict post-surgical survival in patients with early-stage HCC.Through ML,a better understanding of the risk factors for early-stage HCC prognosis can be achieved.This aids in surgical decision-making,identifying patients at a high risk of mortality,and selecting subsequent treatment strategies.In this study,we aimed to establish a 5-year prognostic model for patients with early-stage HCC after surgical resection,based on ML and systemic immune-inflammatory indicators.This model seeks to improve the early monitoring of high-risk patients and provide personalized treatment plans.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos.52208191 and 51908397Shanxi Province Science Foundation for Youths under Grant No.201901D211025China Postdoctoral Science Foundation under Grant No.2020M670695。
文摘Seismic fragility analysis(SFA)is known as an effective probabilistic-based approach used to evaluate seismic fragility.There are various sources of uncertainties associated with this approach.A nuclear power plant(NPP)system is an extremely important infrastructure and contains many structural uncertainties due to construction issues or structural deterioration during service.Simulation of structural uncertainties effects is a costly and time-consuming endeavor.A novel approach to SFA for the NPP considering structural uncertainties based on the damage state is proposed and examined.The results suggest that considering the structural uncertainties is essential in assessing the fragility of the NPP structure,and the impact of structural uncertainties tends to increase with the state of damage.Subsequently,machine learning(ML)is found to be superior in high-precision damage state identification of the NPP for reducing the time of nonlinear time-history analysis(NLTHA)and could be applied in the damage state-based SFA.Also,the impact of various sources of uncertainties is investigated through sensitivity analysis.The Sobol and Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)method can be complementary to each other and able to solve the problem of quantifying seismic and structural uncertainties simultaneously and the interaction effect of each parameter.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province,No.2024A1515013069.
文摘BACKGROUND Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)is an effective intervention for managing complications of portal hypertension,particularly acute variceal bleeding(AVB).While effective in reducing portal pressure and preventing rebleeding,TIPS is associated with a considerable risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy(OHE),a complication that significantly elevates mortality rates.AIM To develop a machine learning(ML)model to predict OHE occurrence post-TIPS in patients with AVB using a 5-year dataset.METHODS This retrospective single-center study included 218 patients with AVB who underwent TIPS.The dataset was divided into training(70%)and testing(30%)sets.Critical features were identified using embedded methods and recursive feature elimination.Three ML algorithms-random forest,extreme gradient boosting,and logistic regression-were validated via 10-fold cross-validation.SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis was employed to interpret the model’s predictions.Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier curves and stepwise Cox regression analysis to compare overall survival(OS)between patients with and without OHE.RESULTS The median OS of the study cohort was 47.83±22.95 months.Among the models evaluated,logistic regression demonstrated the highest performance with an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.825.Key predictors identified were Child-Pugh score,age,and portal vein thrombosis.Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients without OHE had a significantly longer OS(P=0.005).The 5-year survival rate was 78.4%,with an OHE incidence of 15.1%.Both actual OHE status and predicted OHE value were significant predictors in each Cox model,with model-predicted OHE achieving an AUC of 88.1 in survival prediction.CONCLUSION The ML model accurately predicts post-TIPS OHE and outperforms traditional models,supporting its use in improving outcomes in patients with AVB.