A new method of calculating crown projection area and its comparative accuracy with conventional calculations for asymmetric tree crowns

This paper introduces a new method of calculating crown projection area(CPA),the area of level ground covered by a vertical projection of a tree crown from measured crown radii through numerical interpolation and integration.This novel method and other four existing methods of calculating CPA were compared using detailed crown radius measurements from 30 tall trees of Eucalyptus pilularis variable in crown size,shape,and asymmetry.The four existing methods included the polygonal approach and three ways of calculating CPA as the area of a circle using the arithmetic,geometric and quadratic mean radius.Comparisons were made across a sequence of eight non-consecutive numbers(from 2 to 16)of measured crown radii for each tree over the range of crown asymmetry of the 30 trees through generalized linear models and multiple comparisons of means.The sequence covered the range of the number of crown radii measured for calculating the CPA of a tree in the literature.A crown asymmetry index within the unit interval was calculated for each tree to serve as a normative measure.With a slight overestimation of 2.2%on average and an overall mean error size of 7.9%across the numbers of crown radii that were compared,our new method was the least biased and most accurate.Calculating CPA as a circle using the quadratic mean crown radius was the second best,which had an average overestimation of 4.5%and overall mean error size of 8.8%.These two methods remained by and large unbiased as crown asymmetry increased,while the other three methods showed larger bias of underestimation.For the conventional method of using the arithmetic mean crown radius to calculate CPA as a circle,bias correction factors were developed as a function of crown asymmetry index to delineate the increasing magnitude of bias associated with greater degrees of crown asymmetry.This study reveals and demonstrates such relationships between the accuracy of CPA calculations and crown asymmetry and will help increase awareness among researchers and practitioners on the existence of bias in their CPA calculations and for the need to use an unbiased method in the future.Our new method is recommended for calculating CPA where at least four crown radius measurements per tree are available because that is the minimum number required for its use.

Application of Multiple Mean Generational Function Method to Typhoon Prediction over the Western North Pacific

[ Objective] The multiple mean generational function （MMGF） method was applied to forecast the annual number of typhoons （TYs） over the Western North Pacific （WNP）. [Method]The method yields a number of predictors by mean generational function based on the rolling 50- year data of TYs frequency and sunspot number, and was repeated to generate forecasts year after year by optimal subset regression. [ Result] The results showed a reasonably high predictive ability dudng period 2000 -2010, with an average root mean square （RMSE） value of 1.92 and a mean absolute error （MAE） value of 1.64. [ Conclusion] Although the MMGF method needs further validation in the practical operation, it already has strong potential for the improvement of skill at forecasting annual frequency of TYs in the WNP.

RATE OF CONVERGENCE FOR MULTIPLE CHANGEPOINTS ESTIMATION OF MOVING-AVERAGE PROCESSES

In this paper, the least square estimator in the problem of multiple change points estimation is studied. Here, the moving-average processes of ALNQD sequence in the mean shifts are discussed. When the number of change points is known, the rate of convergence of change-points estimation is derived. The result is also true for p-mixing, φ-mixing, a-mixing, associated and negatively associated sequences under suitable conditions.

APPROXIMATION OF SPHERICAL MEANS OF MULTIPLE FOURIER INTEGRALS AND FOURIER SERIES ON SET OF FULL MEASURE

In this paper we consider the approximation for functions in some subspaces of L^2 by spherical means of their Fourier integrals and Fourier series on set of full measure. Two main theorems are obtained.

ON THE LOCALIZATION AND CONVERGENCE OF MULTIPLE FOURIER INTEGRAL BY BOCHNER-RIESZ MEANS

In this paper we consider lim _(R-) B_R^(f,x_0), in one case that f_x_0 (t) is a ABMV function on [0, ∞], and in another case that f∈L_(m-1)~1(R~) and x^k/~kf∈BV(R) when |k| = m-1 and f(x) = 0 when |x -x_0|<δ for some δ>0. Our theormes improve the results of Pan Wenjie ([1]).

Statistical-mechanical analysis of multiuser channel capacity with imperfect channel state information

In this paper, the effect of imperfect channel state information at the receiver, which is caused by noise and other interference, on the multi-access channel capacity is analysed through a statistical-mechanical approach. Replica analyses focus on analytically studying how the minimum mean square error （MMSE） channel estimation error appears in a multiuser channel capacity formula. And the relevant mathematical expressions are derived. At the same time, numerical simulation results are demonstrated to validate the Replica analyses. The simulation results show how the system parameters, such as channel estimation error, system load and signal-to-noise ratio, affect the channel capacity.

Two-dimensional Langevin modeling of fission dynamics of the excited compound nuclei ^(188)Pt,^(227)Pa and ^(251)Es

A stochastic approach based on one-and two-dimensional Langevin equations is applied to calculate the pre-scission neutron multiplicity,fission probability,anisotropy of fission fragment angular distribution,fission cross section and the evaporation cross section for the compound nuclei ^188Pt,^227Pa and ^251Es in an intermediate range of excitation energies.The chaos weighted wall and window friction formula are used in the Langevin equations.The elongation parameter,c,is used as the first dimension and projection of the total spin of the compound nucleus onto the symmetry axis,K,considered as the second dimension in Langevin dynamical calculations.A constant dissipation coefficient of K,γk=0.077（MeV zs）^-1/2）,is used in two-dimensional calculations to reproduce the above mentioned experimental data.Comparison of the theoretical results of the pre-scission neutron multiplicity,fission probability,fission cross section and the evaporation cross section with the experimental data shows that the results of two-dimensional calculations are in better agreement with the experimental data.Furthermore,it is shown that the two-dimensional Langevin equations together with a dissipation coefficient of K,γk=0.077（MeV zs）^-1/2,can satisfactorily reproduce the anisotropy of fission fragment angular distribution for the heavy compound nucleus^251Es.However,a larger value of γk=0.250（MeV zs）^-1/2is needed to reproduce the anisotropy of fission fragment angular distribution for the lighter compound nucleus^227Pa.