Using T106 numerical products, MM5 simulations in conjunction of Q-vector scheme-computed NCEP results, observations and satellite cloud images, study is undertaken for an exceptionally intense rainstorm event afflict...Using T106 numerical products, MM5 simulations in conjunction of Q-vector scheme-computed NCEP results, observations and satellite cloud images, study is undertaken for an exceptionally intense rainstorm event afflicting the Wenzhou region of Zhejiang province far away from the tropical storm center happening early on the morning of September 4, 1999 (TS9909 hereinafter). Evidence suggests that, like previously-studied typhoons landing in autumn south of Xiamen to the eastern part of Guangdong, TS9909 has an inverted trough in the central south of the coastal belt of Zhejiang province that produces the rainstorm from the meso convective complex (MCC) on the warm, moist shear inside; the time and order of the magnitude of the rainfall are bound up with the development of the pattern of strong Q-vector divergence gradients during the event for the study area; the NE - SW coastline and the unique topography of the Yandang mountains inside the region are favorable for air lifting are the major contributors to the torrential rains.展开更多
A heavy-rainfall event that occurred in North China during 19–20 July 2016,resulting in severe flooding,was investigated in this study.In this event,high-value total deformation overlapped the precipitation region,im...A heavy-rainfall event that occurred in North China during 19–20 July 2016,resulting in severe flooding,was investigated in this study.In this event,high-value total deformation overlapped the precipitation region,implying a close relationship between them.By deriving the nongeostrophicωequation in a non-uniformly saturated moist atmosphere,the relation between vertical velocity and deformation was diagnosed.The Q-vector divergence on the right-hand side of the newωequation was divided into three compositions,associated with horizontal divergence,vertical vorticity,and horizontal-wind deformation,respectively.It was found that the deformation component of Q-vector divergence contributed most to the negative Q-vector divergence in the precipitation region,implying an important role of deformation forcing in facilitating the vertical motion.In order to track the precipitation on the basis of deformation,potential deformation was proposed by virtue of the generalized potential temperature.The high-value potential deformation and precipitation were always overlapping,and shared an analogous temporal trend.This means that potential deformation can reflect the variation of heavy precipitation to a certain extent,and can serve as a tracker of the precipitation region.展开更多
The present work provides a novel method for calculating vertical velocity based on continuity equations in a pressure coordinate system.The method overcomes the disadvantage of accumulation of calculating errors of h...The present work provides a novel method for calculating vertical velocity based on continuity equations in a pressure coordinate system.The method overcomes the disadvantage of accumulation of calculating errors of horizontal divergence in current kinematics methods during the integration for calculating vertical velocity,and consequently avoids its subsequent correction.In addition,through modifications of the continuity equations,it shows that the vorticity of the vertical shear vector(VVSV) is proportional to-ω,the vertical velocity in p coordinates.Furthermore,if the change of ω in the horizontal direction is neglected,the vorticity of the horizontal vorticity vector is proportional to-ω.When ω is under a fluctuating state in the vertical direction,the updraft occurs when the vector of horizontal vorticity rotates counterclockwise;the downdraft occurs when rotating clockwise.The validation result indicates that the present method is generally better than the vertical velocity calculated by the ω equation using the wet Q-vector divergence as a forcing term,and the vertical velocity calculated by utilizing the kinematics method is followed by the O'Brien method for correction.The plus-minus sign of the vertical velocity obtained with this method is not correlated with the intensity of d BZ,but the absolute error increases when d BZ is >=40.This method demonstrates that it is a good reflection of the direction of the vertical velocity.展开更多
This paper demonstrates that,for a moist baroclinic frontal system,the large-value deformation belt in the low-level atmosphere overlaps with precipitation.To precisely describe the relationship between deformation an...This paper demonstrates that,for a moist baroclinic frontal system,the large-value deformation belt in the low-level atmosphere overlaps with precipitation.To precisely describe the relationship between deformation and heavy precipitation,deformation is introduced into the nongeostrophic Q^#-vector.Q^#is then decomposed into three parts:the divergence-related term,the vorticity-related term,and the deformation-related term.By calculating the divergence of Q#and its components,it is found that in strong ascending areas within precipitation regions the nongeostrophic Q^#-vector divergence shows strong negative values.Its deformational component can contribute about 68%to these negative values.This verifies that strong deformation in a precipitating atmosphere is favorable for the development of convection and precipitation.In addition,by calculating the correlation coefficients between the Q^#-vector(including its components)divergence and vertical motions,it is also found that the Q^#-vector divergence shows higher correlation with vertical motion within the precipitation belt and lower correlation in the non-precipitation areas,which indicates a larger contribution of Q^#to vertical motion when precipitation occurs and implies an effect of Q^#to the precipitation distribution or spatial variability.Among the three components of the Q^#-vector,the correlation coefficients between the deformational component and vertical motion are the most similar in pattern to that of the correlation coefficients between the Q#-vector and vertical motion,which further reflects the important contribution of deformation to the large spatial variability of precipitation.展开更多
A snow burst event characterized by brief heavy snowfall affected Northeast China and caused serious social impact on 26 January 2017,with the snowband generally aligned with a northeast–southwest-oriented cold front...A snow burst event characterized by brief heavy snowfall affected Northeast China and caused serious social impact on 26 January 2017,with the snowband generally aligned with a northeast–southwest-oriented cold front.ECMWF reanalysis data were used to diagnose the possible trigger mechanism.Results showed there were two stages:(a)an initial stage far away from the Changbai Mountains,and(b)an enhancement stage under the influence of high terrain.During the initial stage,the coupling of low-level frontogenesis and a favorable convergence pattern caused strong upward motion,contributing to the release of instability.When the snowband approached the high terrain during the enhancement stage,the various instabilities were triggered by the low-level frontogenesis,terrain circulation,and strong wind shear associated with the low-level jet.Further,a modified Q-vector divergence including generalized potential temperature was calculated to diagnose the vertical motion.It showed that the frontogenesis terms contributed greatly to the negative Q-vector divergence along the moist isentropes,while the pseudo-vorticity terms played a role in the regions with strong wind shear associated with the low-level jet in the warm section,suggesting both were important in stimulating the ascending motion.The regions with negative Q-vector divergence had a close relationship with the vertical structure of convection,indicating the potential to track the development of the snowband in the next few hours.展开更多
Based on NCEP/NCAR 1°×1°reanalysis data,according to the non-geostrophic wet Q vector,a rainstorm weather process in Ulanqab from July 24 to 25,2016 was diagnosed and analyzed.The results show that the ...Based on NCEP/NCAR 1°×1°reanalysis data,according to the non-geostrophic wet Q vector,a rainstorm weather process in Ulanqab from July 24 to 25,2016 was diagnosed and analyzed.The results show that the rainstorm area in Ulanqab City had a good corresponding relationship with the convergence area of non-geostrophic wet Q vector and the rising motion area.The rainstorm occurred in the convergence area of non-geostrophic wet Q vector divergence,and the secondary circulation excited by the non-geostrophic wet Q vector was conducive to the maintenance and development of rainstorm.The falling area of rainstorm was located on the side of the ascending branch of the secondary circulation.The non-geostrophic wet Q vector provides a new idea for the forecast of rainstorm and its falling area in Ulanqab.展开更多
The No.10 tropical cyclone “Damrey” in 2012 is the first landing typhoon on the north of the Yangtze River after 1949. After its landing, Damrey showed an obvious asymmetric structure and precipitation. Using the ER...The No.10 tropical cyclone “Damrey” in 2012 is the first landing typhoon on the north of the Yangtze River after 1949. After its landing, Damrey showed an obvious asymmetric structure and precipitation. Using the ERA-interim reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), the study simulated the whole process of Damrey from pre-landing to extinct by using WRF model. Based on the model result and FY-2E satellite data and observation data, the study analysis the causes of the asymmetric structure of Damrey. It is found that the descending motion is strong on the west and south sides of the typhoon, they blocked the southwest water vapor transport. So the development of convective cloud system was hindered, and the wind shear on the west and south sides on the typhoon was stronger than on the east and north. It caused the result of the precipitation on the east and north sides of typhoon much more than on the west and south. Q-vector, upper level jets and other factors are also analyzed in this study.展开更多
基金sponsored jointly by the Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant 4040950009402050084)the Project of Planned National Key Basic Research/Development (2004CB418301)
文摘Using T106 numerical products, MM5 simulations in conjunction of Q-vector scheme-computed NCEP results, observations and satellite cloud images, study is undertaken for an exceptionally intense rainstorm event afflicting the Wenzhou region of Zhejiang province far away from the tropical storm center happening early on the morning of September 4, 1999 (TS9909 hereinafter). Evidence suggests that, like previously-studied typhoons landing in autumn south of Xiamen to the eastern part of Guangdong, TS9909 has an inverted trough in the central south of the coastal belt of Zhejiang province that produces the rainstorm from the meso convective complex (MCC) on the warm, moist shear inside; the time and order of the magnitude of the rainfall are bound up with the development of the pattern of strong Q-vector divergence gradients during the event for the study area; the NE - SW coastline and the unique topography of the Yandang mountains inside the region are favorable for air lifting are the major contributors to the torrential rains.
基金supported by the Strategic Pilot Science and Technology Special Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA17010105)the Special Scientific Research Fund of the Meteorological Public Welfare of the Ministry of Sciences and Technology(GYHY201406002)+2 种基金the Science and Technology Project of Guangzhou(201604020069)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41505040,41575065,and 4177510)the Open Projects of the Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province(PAEKL-2015-K2)
文摘A heavy-rainfall event that occurred in North China during 19–20 July 2016,resulting in severe flooding,was investigated in this study.In this event,high-value total deformation overlapped the precipitation region,implying a close relationship between them.By deriving the nongeostrophicωequation in a non-uniformly saturated moist atmosphere,the relation between vertical velocity and deformation was diagnosed.The Q-vector divergence on the right-hand side of the newωequation was divided into three compositions,associated with horizontal divergence,vertical vorticity,and horizontal-wind deformation,respectively.It was found that the deformation component of Q-vector divergence contributed most to the negative Q-vector divergence in the precipitation region,implying an important role of deformation forcing in facilitating the vertical motion.In order to track the precipitation on the basis of deformation,potential deformation was proposed by virtue of the generalized potential temperature.The high-value potential deformation and precipitation were always overlapping,and shared an analogous temporal trend.This means that potential deformation can reflect the variation of heavy precipitation to a certain extent,and can serve as a tracker of the precipitation region.
基金National Key Basic Research Development Program"973"(2013CB430103,2009CB421503)National Natural Science Funding(41375058,41530427)State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather,Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences(2015LASW-A07)
文摘The present work provides a novel method for calculating vertical velocity based on continuity equations in a pressure coordinate system.The method overcomes the disadvantage of accumulation of calculating errors of horizontal divergence in current kinematics methods during the integration for calculating vertical velocity,and consequently avoids its subsequent correction.In addition,through modifications of the continuity equations,it shows that the vorticity of the vertical shear vector(VVSV) is proportional to-ω,the vertical velocity in p coordinates.Furthermore,if the change of ω in the horizontal direction is neglected,the vorticity of the horizontal vorticity vector is proportional to-ω.When ω is under a fluctuating state in the vertical direction,the updraft occurs when the vector of horizontal vorticity rotates counterclockwise;the downdraft occurs when rotating clockwise.The validation result indicates that the present method is generally better than the vertical velocity calculated by the ω equation using the wet Q-vector divergence as a forcing term,and the vertical velocity calculated by utilizing the kinematics method is followed by the O'Brien method for correction.The plus-minus sign of the vertical velocity obtained with this method is not correlated with the intensity of d BZ,but the absolute error increases when d BZ is >=40.This method demonstrates that it is a good reflection of the direction of the vertical velocity.
基金supported by the National Basic Key Research Program of China(Grant No.2015CB452804)the National Key Technology Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2015BAC03B04)+2 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41505040,91437215,41575047,41575065,4177510)the Open Projects of the Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province(Grant No.PAEKL-2015-K2)the Guangzhou Science and Technology Planning Project(201604020069)
文摘This paper demonstrates that,for a moist baroclinic frontal system,the large-value deformation belt in the low-level atmosphere overlaps with precipitation.To precisely describe the relationship between deformation and heavy precipitation,deformation is introduced into the nongeostrophic Q^#-vector.Q^#is then decomposed into three parts:the divergence-related term,the vorticity-related term,and the deformation-related term.By calculating the divergence of Q#and its components,it is found that in strong ascending areas within precipitation regions the nongeostrophic Q^#-vector divergence shows strong negative values.Its deformational component can contribute about 68%to these negative values.This verifies that strong deformation in a precipitating atmosphere is favorable for the development of convection and precipitation.In addition,by calculating the correlation coefficients between the Q^#-vector(including its components)divergence and vertical motions,it is also found that the Q^#-vector divergence shows higher correlation with vertical motion within the precipitation belt and lower correlation in the non-precipitation areas,which indicates a larger contribution of Q^#to vertical motion when precipitation occurs and implies an effect of Q^#to the precipitation distribution or spatial variability.Among the three components of the Q^#-vector,the correlation coefficients between the deformational component and vertical motion are the most similar in pattern to that of the correlation coefficients between the Q#-vector and vertical motion,which further reflects the important contribution of deformation to the large spatial variability of precipitation.
基金supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences grant numbers XDA17010105and XDA20100304the National Key Research and Development Program grant numbers 2018YFC1507104 and 2019YFC1510400+1 种基金the Key Projects of Jilin Province Science and Technology Development Plan grant numbers 20180201035SFthe National Natural Science Foundation of China grant numbers 41775140 and 41790471。
文摘A snow burst event characterized by brief heavy snowfall affected Northeast China and caused serious social impact on 26 January 2017,with the snowband generally aligned with a northeast–southwest-oriented cold front.ECMWF reanalysis data were used to diagnose the possible trigger mechanism.Results showed there were two stages:(a)an initial stage far away from the Changbai Mountains,and(b)an enhancement stage under the influence of high terrain.During the initial stage,the coupling of low-level frontogenesis and a favorable convergence pattern caused strong upward motion,contributing to the release of instability.When the snowband approached the high terrain during the enhancement stage,the various instabilities were triggered by the low-level frontogenesis,terrain circulation,and strong wind shear associated with the low-level jet.Further,a modified Q-vector divergence including generalized potential temperature was calculated to diagnose the vertical motion.It showed that the frontogenesis terms contributed greatly to the negative Q-vector divergence along the moist isentropes,while the pseudo-vorticity terms played a role in the regions with strong wind shear associated with the low-level jet in the warm section,suggesting both were important in stimulating the ascending motion.The regions with negative Q-vector divergence had a close relationship with the vertical structure of convection,indicating the potential to track the development of the snowband in the next few hours.
文摘Based on NCEP/NCAR 1°×1°reanalysis data,according to the non-geostrophic wet Q vector,a rainstorm weather process in Ulanqab from July 24 to 25,2016 was diagnosed and analyzed.The results show that the rainstorm area in Ulanqab City had a good corresponding relationship with the convergence area of non-geostrophic wet Q vector and the rising motion area.The rainstorm occurred in the convergence area of non-geostrophic wet Q vector divergence,and the secondary circulation excited by the non-geostrophic wet Q vector was conducive to the maintenance and development of rainstorm.The falling area of rainstorm was located on the side of the ascending branch of the secondary circulation.The non-geostrophic wet Q vector provides a new idea for the forecast of rainstorm and its falling area in Ulanqab.
文摘The No.10 tropical cyclone “Damrey” in 2012 is the first landing typhoon on the north of the Yangtze River after 1949. After its landing, Damrey showed an obvious asymmetric structure and precipitation. Using the ERA-interim reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), the study simulated the whole process of Damrey from pre-landing to extinct by using WRF model. Based on the model result and FY-2E satellite data and observation data, the study analysis the causes of the asymmetric structure of Damrey. It is found that the descending motion is strong on the west and south sides of the typhoon, they blocked the southwest water vapor transport. So the development of convective cloud system was hindered, and the wind shear on the west and south sides on the typhoon was stronger than on the east and north. It caused the result of the precipitation on the east and north sides of typhoon much more than on the west and south. Q-vector, upper level jets and other factors are also analyzed in this study.