Air Quality Estimation Using Nonhomogeneous Markov Chains: A Case Study Comparing Two Rules Applied to Mexico City Data

A nonhomogeneous Markov chain is applied to the study of the air quality classification in Mexico City when the so-called criterion pollutants are used. We consider the indices associated with air quality using two regulations where different ways of classification are taken into account. Parameters of the model are the initial and transition probabilities of the chain. They are estimated under the Bayesian point of view through samples generated directly from the corresponding posterior distributions. Using the estimated parameters, the probability of having an air quality index in a given hour of the day is obtained.

THE CONVERGENCE OF NONHOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN GENERAL STATE SPACES BY THE COUPLING METHOD

We investigate the convergence of nonhomogeneous Markov chains in general state space by using the f norm and the coupling method,and thus,a sufficient condition for the convergence of nonhomogeneous Markov chains in general state space is obtained.

SOME LIMIT PROPERTIES AND THE GENERALIZED AEP THEOREM FOR NONHOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS

Let(ξ_n)_(n=0)~∞ be a Markov chain with the state space X = {1, 2, · · ·, b},(g_n(x, y))_(n=1)~∞ be functions defined on X × X, and F_(m_n,b_n)(ω) =1 /b_n sum from k=m_n+1 to m_n+b_n g_k(ξ_(k-1), ξ_k).In this paper the limit properties of F_(m_n,b_n)(ω) and the generalized relative entropy density f_(m_n,b_n)(ω) =-(1/b_n) log p(ξ_(m_n,m_n+b_n)) are discussed, and some theorems on a.s. convergence for(ξ_n)_n=0~∞ and the generalized Shannon-McMillan(AEP) theorem on finite nonhomogeneous Markov chains are obtained.

Rate Function of Large Deviation for a Class of Nonhomogeneous Markov Chains on Supercritical Percolation Network

We model an epidemic with a class of nonhomogeneous Markov chains on the supercritical percolation network on Zd. The large deviations law for the Markov chain is given. Explicit expression of the rate function for large deviation is obtained.