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The Relationship between Interest Rates and Inflation:Examining the Fisher Effect in China
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作者 Serdar Ongan Ismet Gocer 《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》 2020年第2期247-256,共10页
This study revisits the Fisher effect using a different empirical method that considers a potential nonlinear relationship between interest rates(treasury bond rates)and inflation in China.The rising uncertainty and a... This study revisits the Fisher effect using a different empirical method that considers a potential nonlinear relationship between interest rates(treasury bond rates)and inflation in China.The rising uncertainty and asymmetric information in financial markets between bond holders and bond issuers suggest such a potential nonlinear relationship.To this aim,we apply Shin et al.'s(2014)nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag(NARDL)model with asymmetric dynamic multipliers for the sample period 2002M7-2018M4.The empirical findings reveal symmetric and asymmetric partial Fisher effects for all sample bond rates in China.Furthermore,we find that 20-year bond rates experience the lowest partial Fisher effect. 展开更多
关键词 Fisher effect nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag(NARDL)model asymmetric dynamic multipliers China treasury bonds INFLATION interest rates
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