Stability and optimal control for delayed rumor-spreading model with nonlinear incidence over heterogeneous networks

On the multilingual online social networks of global information sharing,the wanton spread of rumors has an enormous negative impact on people's lives.Thus,it is essential to explore the rumor-spreading rules in multilingual environment and formulate corresponding control strategies to reduce the harm caused by rumor propagation.In this paper,considering the multilingual environment and intervention mechanism in the rumor-spreading process,an improved ignorants–spreaders-1–spreaders-2–removers(I2SR)rumor-spreading model with time delay and the nonlinear incidence is established in heterogeneous networks.Firstly,based on the mean-field equations corresponding to the model,the basic reproduction number is derived to ensure the existence of rumor-spreading equilibrium.Secondly,by applying Lyapunov stability theory and graph theory,the global stability of rumor-spreading equilibrium is analyzed in detail.In particular,aiming at the lowest control cost,the optimal control scheme is designed to optimize the intervention mechanism,and the optimal control conditions are derived using the Pontryagin's minimum principle.Finally,some illustrative examples are provided to verify the effectiveness of the theoretical results.The results show that optimizing the intervention mechanism can effectively reduce the densities of spreaders-1 and spreaders-2 within the expected time,which provides guiding insights for public opinion managers to control rumors.

GLOBAL STABILITY OF SIRS EPIDEMIC MODELS WITH A CLASS OF NONLINEAR INCIDENCE RATES AND DISTRIBUTED DELAYS

In this article, we establish the global asymptotic stability of a disease-free equilibrium and an endemic equilibrium of an SIRS epidemic model with a class of nonlin- ear incidence rates and distributed delays. By using strict monotonicity of the incidence function and constructing a Lyapunov functional, we obtain sufficient conditions under which the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. When the nonlinear inci- dence rate is a saturated incidence rate, our result provides a new global stability condition for a small rate of immunity loss.

GLOBAL ASYMPTOTICAL PROPERTIES FOR A DIFFUSED HBV INFECTION MODEL WITH CTL IMMUNE RESPONSE AND NONLINEAR INCIDENCE

This article proposes a diffused hepatitis B virus （HBV） model with CTL immune response and nonlinear incidence for the control of viral infections. By means of different Lyapunov functions, the global asymptotical properties of the viral-free equilibrium and immune-free equilibrium of the model are obtained. Global stability of the positive equilibrium of the model is also considered. The results show that the free diffusion of the virus has no effect on the global stability of such HBV infection problem with Neumann homogeneous boundary conditions.

TWO DIFFERENTIAL INFECTIVITY EPIDEMIC MODELS WITH NONLINEAR INCIDENCE RATE

This paper considers two differential infectivity（DI） epidemic models with a nonlinear incidence rate and constant or varying population size. The models exhibits two equilibria, namely., a disease-free equilibrium O and a unique endemic equilibrium. If the basic reproductive number σ is below unity,O is globally stable and the disease always dies out. If σ〉1, O is unstable and the sufficient conditions for global stability of endemic equilibrium are derived. Moreover,when σ〈 1 ,the local or global asymptotical stability of endemic equilibrium for DI model with constant population size in n-dimensional or two-dimensional space is obtained.

Dynamics of a Nonautonomous SIR Model with Time-Varying Impulsive Release and General Nonlinear Incidence Rate in a Polluted Environment

In a polluted environment, considering the biological population infected with a kind of disease and hunted by human beings, we formulate a nonautonomous SIR population-epidemic model with time-varying impulsive release and general nonlinear incidence rate and investigate dynamical behaviors of the model. Under the reasonable assumptions, the sufficient conditions which guarantee the globally attractive of the disease-free periodic solution and the permanence of the infected fish are established, that is, the infected fish dies out if , whereas the disease persists if . To substantiate our theoretical results, extensive numerical simulations are performed for a hypothetical set of parameter values.

Global Analysis of an SEIR Epidemic Model with Nonlinear Incidence Rates

In this paper,an SEIR model with nonlinear incidence rates are studied.The basic reproduction number R_0 characterizes the disease transmission dynamics: if R_0≤ 1,the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease always dies out,if R_0> 1 then there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists.

Pulse Roguing Strategy in a Pine Wilt Disease Epidemic Model with General Nonlinear Incidence Rate

In this study, we investigate a pine wilt transmission model with general nonlinear incidence rates and time-varying pulse roguing. Using the stroboscopic map and comparison theorem, we proved that the disease-free equilibrium is global attractive determined by the basic reproduction number R1 < 1, and in such a case, the endemic equilibrium does not exist. The disease uniformly persists only if R2 > 1.

A mathematical model for a disease outbreak considering waningimmunity class with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates

In the spread of infectious diseases,intervention levels play a crucial role in shaping interactions between healthy and infected individuals,leading to a nonlinear transmission process.Additionally,the availability of medical resources limits the recovery rate of infected patients,adding further nonlinear dynamics to the healing process.Our research introduces novelty by combining nonlinear incidence and recovery rates alongside waning immunity in an epidemic model.We present a modified SIRW-type model,examining the epidemic problem with these factors.Through analysis,we explore conditions for non-endemic and co-existing cases based on the basic reproduction ratio.The local stability of equilibria is verified using the Routh-Hurwitz criteria,while global stability is assessed using Lyapunov functions for each equilibrium.Furthermore,we investigate bifurcations around both non-endemic and co-existing equilibria.Numerically,we give some simulations to support our analytical findings.

Traveling wave solutions in a nonlocal dispersal SIR epidemic model with nonlocal time-delay and general nonlinear incidences

This paper investigates a nonlocal dispersal epidemic model under the multiple nonlocal distributed delays and nonlinear incidence effects.First,the minimal wave speed c*and the basic reproduction number Ro are defined,which determine the existence of traveling wave solutions.Second,with the help of the upper and lower solutions,Schauder's fixed point theorem,and limiting techniques,the traveling waves satisfying some asymptotic boundary conditions are discussed.Specifically,when Ro>1,for every speed c>c^(*) there exists a traveling wave solution satisfying the boundary conditions,and there is no such traveling wave solution for any 0<c<c^(*) when R_(0)>1 or c>0 when R_(0)<1.Finally,we analyze the effects of nonlocal time delay on the minimum wave speed.

Qualitative analysis of a reaction-diffusion SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and partial immunity

In this paper,a reaction-diffusion SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and partial immunity in a spatially heterogeneous environment is proposed.The well-posedness of the solution is firstly established.Then the basic reproduction number R0 is defined and a threshold dynamics is obtained.That is,when R_(0)<1,the disease-free steady state is locally stable,which implies that the disease is extinct,when R_(0)>1,the disease is permanent,and there exists at least one positive steady state solution.Finally,the asymptotic profiles of the positive steady state solution as individuals disperse at small and large rates are investigated.Furthermore,as an application of theoretical analysis,a numerical example involving the spread of influenza is discussed.Based on the numerical simulations,we find that the increase of transmission rate and spatial heterogeneity can enhance the risk of influenza propagation,and the increase of diffusion rate,saturation incidence for susceptible and recovery rate can reduce the risk of influenza propagation.Therefore,we propose to reduce the flow of people to lower the effect of spatial hetero-geneity,increase the transfer of infected individuals to hospitals in surrounding areas to increase the diffusion rate,and increase the construction of public medical resources to increase the recovery rate for controlling influenza propagation.

Complex dynamics of a discrete-time SIR model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates

In this paper,a discrete-time SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and recovery rates is obtained by using the forward Euler’s method.The existence and stability of fixed points in this model are well studied.The center manifold theorem and bifurcation theory are applied to analyze the bifurcation properties by using the discrete time step and the intervention level as control parameters.We discuss in detail some codimension-one bifurcations such as transcritical,period-doubling and Neimark–Sacker bifurcations,and a codimension-two bifurcation with 1:2 resonance.In addition,the phase portraits,bifurcation diagrams and maximum Lyapunov exponent diagrams are drawn to verify the correctness of our theoretical analysis.It is found that the numerical results are consistent with the theoretical analysis.More interestingly,we also found other bifurcations in the model during the numerical simulation,such as codimension-two bifurcations with 1:1 resonance,1:3 resonance and 1:4 resonance,generalized period-doubling and fold-flip bifurcations.The results show that the dynamics of the discrete-time model are richer than that of the continuous-time SIR epidemic model.Such a discrete-time model may not only be widely used to detect the pathogenesis of infectious diseases,but also make a great contribution to the prevention and control of infectious diseases.

A stochastic switched SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and vaccination:Stationary distribution and extinction

In this paper,a stochastic epidemic system with both switching noise and white noise is proposed to research the dynamics of the diseases.Nonlinear incidence and vaccination strategies are also considered in the proposed model.By using the method of stochastic analysis,we point out the key parameters that determine the persistence and extinction of the diseases.Specifically,if R0^s is greater than 0,the stochastic system has a unique ergodic stationary distribution;while if R ^* is less than 0,the diseases will be extinct at an exponential rate.

An age-structured epidemic model with waning immunity and general nonlinear incidence rate

In this paper, a susceptible-vazcinated-exposed-infectious-recovered epidemic model with waning immunity and continuous age structures in vaccinated, exposed and infectious classes has been formulated. By using the Fluctuation lemma and the approach of Lyapunov functionals, we establish a threshold dynamics completely determined by the basic reproduction number. When the basic reproduction number is less than one, the disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable, and otherwise the endemic steady state is globally asymptotically stable.

Global dynamics of a heroin epidemic model with age structure and nonlinear incidence

A heroin model with nonlinear incidence rate and age structure is investigated. The basic reproduction number is determined whether or not a heroin epidemic breaks out. By employing the Lyapunov functionals, the drug-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 ≤1; while the drug spread equilibrium is also globally asymptotically stable if R0≤ 1. Our results imply that improving detected rates and drawing up the efficient prevention play more important role than increasing the treatment for drug users.

Dynamical analysis of a reaction-diffusion SEI epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate

In this paper,a reaction-diffusion SEI epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate is proposed.The well-posedness of solutions is studied,including the existence of positive and unique classical solution and the existence and the ultimate boundedness of global solutions.The basic reproduction numbers are given in both heterogeneous and homogeneous environments.For spatially heterogeneous environment,by the comparison principle of the diffusion system,the infection-free steady state is proved to be globally asymptotically stable if R_(0)<1,if R_(0)>1,the system will be persistent and admit at least one positive steady state.For spatially homogenous environment,by constructing a Lyapunov function,the infect ion-free steady state is proved to be globally asymptotically stable if,R_(0)<1,and then the unique positive steady state is achieved and is proved to be globally asymptotically stable if R_(0)>1.Finally,two examples are given via numerical simulations,and then some control strategies are also presented by the sensitive analysis.

A note on an age-of-infection SVIR model with nonlinear incidence

In this paper, nonlinear incidence rate is incorporated into an age-of-infection SVIR epidemiological model. By the method of Lyapunov functionals, it is shown that the basic reproduction number R0 of the model is a threshold parameter in the sense that if R0 〈 1, the disease dies out, while if R0〉1, the disease persists.

Global Dynamics Analysis of a Cholera Transmission Model with General Incidence and Multiple Modes of Infection

This paper develops an SIBR cholera transmission model with general incidence rate. Necessary and sufficient conditions for local and global asymptotic stability of the equilibria are established by Routh Hurwitz criterium, Lyapunov function, and the second additive composite matrix theorem. What is more, exploiting the DED is cover simulation tool, the parameter values of the model are estimated with the 1998-2021 cholera case data in China. Finally, we perform sensitivity analysis for the basic reproduction number to seek for effective interventions for cholera control. .

Deterministic and Stochastic Analysis of a New Rumor Propagation Model with Nonlinear Propagation Rate in Social Network

This paper presents a study on a new rumor propagation model with nonlinear propagation rate and secondary propagation rate. We divide the total population into three groups, the ignorant, the spreader and the aware. The nonlinear incidence rate describes the psychological impact of certain serious rumors on social groups when the number of individuals spreading rumors becomes larger. The main contributions of this work are the development of a new rumor propagation model and some results of deterministic and stochastic analysis of the rumor propagation model. The results show the influence of nonlinear propagation rate and stochastic fluctuation on the dynamic behavior of the rumor propagation model by using Lyapunov function method and stochastic related knowledge. Numerical examples and simulation results are given to illustrate the results obtained.

Stability of a Delayed Stochastic Epidemic COVID-19 Model with Vaccination and with Differential Susceptibility

In this paper, we treat the spread of COVID-19 using a delayed stochastic SVIRS (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered, Susceptible) epidemic model with a general incidence rate and differential susceptibility. We start with a deterministic model, then add random perturbations on the contact rate using white noise to obtain a stochastic model. We first show that the delayed stochastic differential equation that describes the model has a unique global positive solution for any positive initial value. Under the condition R0 ≤ 1, we prove the almost sure asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the model.

A nonlinear relapse model with disaggregated contact rates:Analysis of a forward-backward bifurcation

Throughout the progress of epidemic scenarios,individuals in different health classes are expected to have different average daily contact behavior.This contact heterogeneity has been studied in recent adaptive models and allows us to capture the inherent differences across health statuses better.Diseases with reinfection bring out more complex scenarios and offer an important application to consider contact disaggregation.Therefore,we developed a nonlinear differential equation model to explore the dynamics of relapse phenomena and contact differences across health statuses.Our incidence rate function is formulated,taking inspiration from recent adaptive algorithms.It incorporates contact behavior for individuals in each health class.We use constant contact rates at each health status for our analytical results and prove conditions for different forward-backward bifurcation scenarios.The relationship between the different contact rates heavily in-fluences these conditions.Numerical examples highlight the effect of temporarily recov-ered individuals and initial conditions on infected population persistence.