Since leaks in high-pressure pipelines transporting crude oil can cause severe economic losses,a reliable leak risk assessment can assist in developing an effective pipeline maintenance plan and avoiding unexpected in...Since leaks in high-pressure pipelines transporting crude oil can cause severe economic losses,a reliable leak risk assessment can assist in developing an effective pipeline maintenance plan and avoiding unexpected incidents.The fast and accurate leak detection methods are essential for maintaining pipeline safety in pipeline reliability engineering.Current oil pipeline leakage signals are insufficient for feature extraction,while the training time for traditional leakage prediction models is too long.A new leak detection method is proposed based on time-frequency features and the Genetic Algorithm-Levenberg Marquardt(GA-LM)classification model for predicting the leakage status of oil pipelines.The signal that has been processed is transformed to the time and frequency domain,allowing full expression of the original signal.The traditional Back Propagation(BP)neural network is optimized by the Genetic Algorithm(GA)and Levenberg Marquardt(LM)algorithms.The results show that the recognition effect of a combined feature parameter is superior to that of a single feature parameter.The Accuracy,Precision,Recall,and F1score of the GA-LM model is 95%,93.5%,96.7%,and 95.1%,respectively,which proves that the GA-LM model has a good predictive effect and excellent stability for positive and negative samples.The proposed GA-LM model can obviously reduce training time and improve recognition efficiency.In addition,considering that a large number of samples are required for model training,a wavelet threshold method is proposed to generate sample data with higher reliability.The research results can provide an effective theoretical and technical reference for the leakage risk assessment of the actual oil pipelines.展开更多
Joint time–frequency analysis is an emerging method for interpreting the underlying physics in fuel cells,batteries,and supercapacitors.To increase the reliability of time–frequency analysis,a theoretical correlatio...Joint time–frequency analysis is an emerging method for interpreting the underlying physics in fuel cells,batteries,and supercapacitors.To increase the reliability of time–frequency analysis,a theoretical correlation between frequency-domain stationary analysis and time-domain transient analysis is urgently required.The present work formularizes a thorough model reduction of fractional impedance spectra for electrochemical energy devices involving not only the model reduction from fractional-order models to integer-order models and from high-to low-order RC circuits but also insight into the evolution of the characteristic time constants during the whole reduction process.The following work has been carried out:(i)the model-reduction theory is addressed for typical Warburg elements and RC circuits based on the continued fraction expansion theory and the response error minimization technique,respectively;(ii)the order effect on the model reduction of typical Warburg elements is quantitatively evaluated by time–frequency analysis;(iii)the results of time–frequency analysis are confirmed to be useful to determine the reduction order in terms of the kinetic information needed to be captured;and(iv)the results of time–frequency analysis are validated for the model reduction of fractional impedance spectra for lithium-ion batteries,supercapacitors,and solid oxide fuel cells.In turn,the numerical validation has demonstrated the powerful function of the joint time–frequency analysis.The thorough model reduction of fractional impedance spectra addressed in the present work not only clarifies the relationship between time-domain transient analysis and frequency-domain stationary analysis but also enhances the reliability of the joint time–frequency analysis for electrochemical energy devices.展开更多
A number of statistical tests are proposed for the purpose of change-point detection in a general nonparametric regression model under mild conditions. New proofs are given to prove the weak convergence of the underly...A number of statistical tests are proposed for the purpose of change-point detection in a general nonparametric regression model under mild conditions. New proofs are given to prove the weak convergence of the underlying processes which assume remove the stringent condition of bounded total variation of the regression function and need only second moments. Since many quantities, such as the regression function, the distribution of the covariates and the distribution of the errors, are unspecified, the results are not distribution-free. A weighted bootstrap approach is proposed to approximate the limiting distributions. Results of a simulation study for this paper show good performance for moderate samples sizes.展开更多
The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. T...The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established. The proposed methods are applied to the lung cancer data. Extensive simulations are reported, showing that the proposed method works well in practical settings.展开更多
In this paper, by using some inequalities of negatively orthant dependent(NOD,in short) random variables and the truncated method of random variables, we investigate the nonparametric regression model. The complete co...In this paper, by using some inequalities of negatively orthant dependent(NOD,in short) random variables and the truncated method of random variables, we investigate the nonparametric regression model. The complete consistency result for the estimator of g(x) is presented.展开更多
It is well known that spline smoothing estimator relates to the Bayesian estimate under partially informative normal prior. In this paper, we derive the conditions for the pro- priety of the posterior in the nonparame...It is well known that spline smoothing estimator relates to the Bayesian estimate under partially informative normal prior. In this paper, we derive the conditions for the pro- priety of the posterior in the nonparametric mixed effects model under this class of partially informative normal prior for fixed effect with inverse gamma priors on the variance compo- nents and hierarchical priors for covariance matrix of random effect, then we explore the Gibbs sampling procedure.展开更多
The assumption of homoscedasticity has received much attention in classical analysis of regression. Heteroscedasticity tests have been well studied in parametric and nonparametric regressions. The aim of this paper is...The assumption of homoscedasticity has received much attention in classical analysis of regression. Heteroscedasticity tests have been well studied in parametric and nonparametric regressions. The aim of this paper is to present a test of heteroscedasticity for nonlinear semiparametric regression models with nonparametric variance function. The validity of the proposed test is illustrated by two simulated examples and a real data example.展开更多
A taxonomy of software reliability models is developed that the models are classified as parametric and nonparametric models, and the nonparametric models are classified according to the mathematical methods they used...A taxonomy of software reliability models is developed that the models are classified as parametric and nonparametric models, and the nonparametric models are classified according to the mathematical methods they used. Then, a practical appraising index system for nonparametric software reliability models are put forward. The nonparametric software reliability models are classified into 5 classes, that is time series analysis models, grey theo- ry forecasting models, artificial neural network models, wavelet analysis models and kernel estimation models, and they are evaluated by the practical index system.展开更多
In this paper, we investigate the nonparametric regression model based on ρ-mixing errors, which are stochastically dominated by a nonnegative random variable. Weobtain the convergence rate for the weighted estimator...In this paper, we investigate the nonparametric regression model based on ρ-mixing errors, which are stochastically dominated by a nonnegative random variable. Weobtain the convergence rate for the weighted estimator of unknown function g(x) in pth-mean, which yields the convergence rate in probability. Moreover, an example of the nearestneighbor estimator is also illustrated and the convergence rates of estimator are presented.展开更多
To estimate the sea state bias(SSB) for radar altimeter, two nonparametric models, including a Nadaraya-Watson(NW) kernel estimator and a local linear regression(LLR) estimator, are studied based on the Jason-2 ...To estimate the sea state bias(SSB) for radar altimeter, two nonparametric models, including a Nadaraya-Watson(NW) kernel estimator and a local linear regression(LLR) estimator, are studied based on the Jason-2 altimeter data. Selecting from different combinations of the Gaussian kernel function, spherical Epanechnikov kernel function, a fixed bandwidth and a local adjustable bandwidth, it is observed that the LLR method with the spherical Epanechnikov kernel function and the local adjustable bandwidth is the optimal nonparametric model for the SSB estimation. The comparisons between the nonparametric and parametric models are conducted and the results show that the nonparametric model performs relatively better at high-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. This method has been applied to the HY-2A altimeter as well and the same conclusion can be obtained.展开更多
This paper studies evolutionary mechanism of parameter selection in the construction of weight function for Nearest Neighbour Estimate in nonparametric regression. Construct an algorithm which adaptively evolves fine ...This paper studies evolutionary mechanism of parameter selection in the construction of weight function for Nearest Neighbour Estimate in nonparametric regression. Construct an algorithm which adaptively evolves fine weight and makes good prediction about unknown points. The numerical experiments indicate that this method is effective. It is a meaningful discussion about practicability of nonparametric regression and methodology of adaptive model-building.展开更多
The time-varying autoregressive (TVAR) modeling of a non-stationary signal is studied. In the proposed method, time-varying parametric identification of a non-stationary signal can be translated into a linear time-i...The time-varying autoregressive (TVAR) modeling of a non-stationary signal is studied. In the proposed method, time-varying parametric identification of a non-stationary signal can be translated into a linear time-invariant problem by introducing a set of basic functions. Then, the parameters are estimated by using a recursive least square algorithm with a forgetting factor and an adaptive time-frequency distribution is achieved. The simulation results show that the proposed approach is superior to the short-time Fourier transform and Wigner distribution. And finally, the proposed method is applied to the fault diagnosis of a bearing , and the experiment result shows that the proposed method is effective in feature extraction.展开更多
Dependent competing risks model is a practical model in the analysis of lifetime and failure modes.The dependence can be captured using a statistical tool to explore the re-lationship among failure causes.In this pape...Dependent competing risks model is a practical model in the analysis of lifetime and failure modes.The dependence can be captured using a statistical tool to explore the re-lationship among failure causes.In this paper,an Archimedean copula is chosen to describe the dependence in a constant-stress accelerated life test.We study the Archimedean copula based dependent competing risks model using parametric and nonparametric methods.The parametric likelihood inference is presented by deriving the general expression of likelihood function based on assumed survival Archimedean copula associated with the model parameter estimation.Combining the nonparametric estimation with progressive censoring and the non-parametric copula estimation,we introduce a nonparametric reliability estimation method given competing risks data.A simulation study and a real data analysis are conducted to show the performance of the estimation methods.展开更多
基金The National Key Research and Development Program of China:Design and Key Technology Research of Non-metallic Flexible Risers for Deep Sea Mining(2022YFC2803701)The General Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(52071336,52374022).
文摘Since leaks in high-pressure pipelines transporting crude oil can cause severe economic losses,a reliable leak risk assessment can assist in developing an effective pipeline maintenance plan and avoiding unexpected incidents.The fast and accurate leak detection methods are essential for maintaining pipeline safety in pipeline reliability engineering.Current oil pipeline leakage signals are insufficient for feature extraction,while the training time for traditional leakage prediction models is too long.A new leak detection method is proposed based on time-frequency features and the Genetic Algorithm-Levenberg Marquardt(GA-LM)classification model for predicting the leakage status of oil pipelines.The signal that has been processed is transformed to the time and frequency domain,allowing full expression of the original signal.The traditional Back Propagation(BP)neural network is optimized by the Genetic Algorithm(GA)and Levenberg Marquardt(LM)algorithms.The results show that the recognition effect of a combined feature parameter is superior to that of a single feature parameter.The Accuracy,Precision,Recall,and F1score of the GA-LM model is 95%,93.5%,96.7%,and 95.1%,respectively,which proves that the GA-LM model has a good predictive effect and excellent stability for positive and negative samples.The proposed GA-LM model can obviously reduce training time and improve recognition efficiency.In addition,considering that a large number of samples are required for model training,a wavelet threshold method is proposed to generate sample data with higher reliability.The research results can provide an effective theoretical and technical reference for the leakage risk assessment of the actual oil pipelines.
基金support from the National Science Foundation of China(22078190)the National Key R&D Plan of China(2020YFB1505802).
文摘Joint time–frequency analysis is an emerging method for interpreting the underlying physics in fuel cells,batteries,and supercapacitors.To increase the reliability of time–frequency analysis,a theoretical correlation between frequency-domain stationary analysis and time-domain transient analysis is urgently required.The present work formularizes a thorough model reduction of fractional impedance spectra for electrochemical energy devices involving not only the model reduction from fractional-order models to integer-order models and from high-to low-order RC circuits but also insight into the evolution of the characteristic time constants during the whole reduction process.The following work has been carried out:(i)the model-reduction theory is addressed for typical Warburg elements and RC circuits based on the continued fraction expansion theory and the response error minimization technique,respectively;(ii)the order effect on the model reduction of typical Warburg elements is quantitatively evaluated by time–frequency analysis;(iii)the results of time–frequency analysis are confirmed to be useful to determine the reduction order in terms of the kinetic information needed to be captured;and(iv)the results of time–frequency analysis are validated for the model reduction of fractional impedance spectra for lithium-ion batteries,supercapacitors,and solid oxide fuel cells.In turn,the numerical validation has demonstrated the powerful function of the joint time–frequency analysis.The thorough model reduction of fractional impedance spectra addressed in the present work not only clarifies the relationship between time-domain transient analysis and frequency-domain stationary analysis but also enhances the reliability of the joint time–frequency analysis for electrochemical energy devices.
文摘A number of statistical tests are proposed for the purpose of change-point detection in a general nonparametric regression model under mild conditions. New proofs are given to prove the weak convergence of the underlying processes which assume remove the stringent condition of bounded total variation of the regression function and need only second moments. Since many quantities, such as the regression function, the distribution of the covariates and the distribution of the errors, are unspecified, the results are not distribution-free. A weighted bootstrap approach is proposed to approximate the limiting distributions. Results of a simulation study for this paper show good performance for moderate samples sizes.
文摘The composite quantile regression should provide estimation efficiency gain over a single quantile regression. In this paper, we extend composite quantile regression to nonparametric model with random censored data. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established. The proposed methods are applied to the lung cancer data. Extensive simulations are reported, showing that the proposed method works well in practical settings.
基金Supported by the Research Teaching Model Curriculum of Anhui University(xjyjkc1407)Supported by the Students Innovative Training Project of Anhui University(201310357004,201410357117,201410357249)Supported by the Quality Improvement Projects for Undergraduate Education of Anhui University(ZLTS2015035)
文摘In this paper, by using some inequalities of negatively orthant dependent(NOD,in short) random variables and the truncated method of random variables, we investigate the nonparametric regression model. The complete consistency result for the estimator of g(x) is presented.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(11201345,11271136)
文摘It is well known that spline smoothing estimator relates to the Bayesian estimate under partially informative normal prior. In this paper, we derive the conditions for the pro- priety of the posterior in the nonparametric mixed effects model under this class of partially informative normal prior for fixed effect with inverse gamma priors on the variance compo- nents and hierarchical priors for covariance matrix of random effect, then we explore the Gibbs sampling procedure.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK2008284)
文摘The assumption of homoscedasticity has received much attention in classical analysis of regression. Heteroscedasticity tests have been well studied in parametric and nonparametric regressions. The aim of this paper is to present a test of heteroscedasticity for nonlinear semiparametric regression models with nonparametric variance function. The validity of the proposed test is illustrated by two simulated examples and a real data example.
文摘A taxonomy of software reliability models is developed that the models are classified as parametric and nonparametric models, and the nonparametric models are classified according to the mathematical methods they used. Then, a practical appraising index system for nonparametric software reliability models are put forward. The nonparametric software reliability models are classified into 5 classes, that is time series analysis models, grey theo- ry forecasting models, artificial neural network models, wavelet analysis models and kernel estimation models, and they are evaluated by the practical index system.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(11426032,11501005)Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province(1408085QA02,1508085QA01,1508085J06)+5 种基金Provincial Natural Science Research Project of Anhui Colleges(KJ2014A010,KJ2014A020,KJ2015A065)Higher Education Talent Revitalization Project of Anhui Province(2013SQRL005ZD)Quality Engineering Project of Anhui Province(2015jyxm054,2015jyxm057)Students Science Research Training Program of Anhui University(KYXL2014016,KYXL2014013)Applied Teaching Model Curriculum of Anhui University(XJYYKC1401,ZLTS2015052,ZLTS2015053)Doctoral Research Start-up Funds Projects of Anhui University
文摘In this paper, we investigate the nonparametric regression model based on ρ-mixing errors, which are stochastically dominated by a nonnegative random variable. Weobtain the convergence rate for the weighted estimator of unknown function g(x) in pth-mean, which yields the convergence rate in probability. Moreover, an example of the nearestneighbor estimator is also illustrated and the convergence rates of estimator are presented.
基金The National Key R&D Program of China under contract No.2016YFC1401004the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 41406207,41176157 and 41406197
文摘To estimate the sea state bias(SSB) for radar altimeter, two nonparametric models, including a Nadaraya-Watson(NW) kernel estimator and a local linear regression(LLR) estimator, are studied based on the Jason-2 altimeter data. Selecting from different combinations of the Gaussian kernel function, spherical Epanechnikov kernel function, a fixed bandwidth and a local adjustable bandwidth, it is observed that the LLR method with the spherical Epanechnikov kernel function and the local adjustable bandwidth is the optimal nonparametric model for the SSB estimation. The comparisons between the nonparametric and parametric models are conducted and the results show that the nonparametric model performs relatively better at high-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. This method has been applied to the HY-2A altimeter as well and the same conclusion can be obtained.
文摘This paper studies evolutionary mechanism of parameter selection in the construction of weight function for Nearest Neighbour Estimate in nonparametric regression. Construct an algorithm which adaptively evolves fine weight and makes good prediction about unknown points. The numerical experiments indicate that this method is effective. It is a meaningful discussion about practicability of nonparametric regression and methodology of adaptive model-building.
基金This paper is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.50675209 InnovationFund for Outstanding Scholar of Henan Province under Grant No. 0621000500
文摘The time-varying autoregressive (TVAR) modeling of a non-stationary signal is studied. In the proposed method, time-varying parametric identification of a non-stationary signal can be translated into a linear time-invariant problem by introducing a set of basic functions. Then, the parameters are estimated by using a recursive least square algorithm with a forgetting factor and an adaptive time-frequency distribution is achieved. The simulation results show that the proposed approach is superior to the short-time Fourier transform and Wigner distribution. And finally, the proposed method is applied to the fault diagnosis of a bearing , and the experiment result shows that the proposed method is effective in feature extraction.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12101476,12061091,11901134)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(ZYTS23054,QTZX22054)+1 种基金the Yunnan Funda-mental Research Projects(202101AT070103)the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province(2020JQ-285).
文摘Dependent competing risks model is a practical model in the analysis of lifetime and failure modes.The dependence can be captured using a statistical tool to explore the re-lationship among failure causes.In this paper,an Archimedean copula is chosen to describe the dependence in a constant-stress accelerated life test.We study the Archimedean copula based dependent competing risks model using parametric and nonparametric methods.The parametric likelihood inference is presented by deriving the general expression of likelihood function based on assumed survival Archimedean copula associated with the model parameter estimation.Combining the nonparametric estimation with progressive censoring and the non-parametric copula estimation,we introduce a nonparametric reliability estimation method given competing risks data.A simulation study and a real data analysis are conducted to show the performance of the estimation methods.