The South Asian Highs (SAHs) at 100 hPa over China in the three reanalysis datasets NCEP1, NCEP2, and ERA-40 are evaluated by using station observation data. The results demonstrate a substantial discrepancy even betw...The South Asian Highs (SAHs) at 100 hPa over China in the three reanalysis datasets NCEP1, NCEP2, and ERA-40 are evaluated by using station observation data. The results demonstrate a substantial discrepancy even between the reanalyses. First, the data of the three reanalyses generally underestimate the intensity of the SAH in the China domain. Second, there are interdecadal changes in the SAH, with highs in the 1960s and 1980s and lows in the 1970s, 1990s, and 2000s. This interdecadal variation of the SAH can be well depicted with NCEP1 data, but the high in the 1980s is missed by ERA-40. The NCEP2 corresponds well with NCEP 1 and captures the decreasing trend after 1979. Furthermore, the NCEP1 reanalysis overestimates the interdecadal changes of SAH, while ERA-40 underestimates the interdecadal changes. This work suggests that much caution should be exerted when the reanalysis datasets are adopted to study the interdecadal variability of SAH.展开更多
The full fluxes and associated air-sea variables based on three months of operational buoy observations in the East China Sea(ECS)in summer 2020 were analyzed for the first time.The surface net heat flux(Q_(net))was p...The full fluxes and associated air-sea variables based on three months of operational buoy observations in the East China Sea(ECS)in summer 2020 were analyzed for the first time.The surface net heat flux(Q_(net))was positive(139.7±77.7 W/m^(2))and was dominated by the combined eff ects of solar shortwave radiation(SW)and latent heat fluxes(LH).The mean heat flux components of 4 reanalysis datasets(NCEP2,MERRA-2,CFSR,and ERA5)and buoy data were compared to assess the mean ability of the modeling/reanalysis simulation.Among the four components of air-sea flux,SW was the best simulated,while LH was the worst simulated.The longwave radiation(LW)and LH values from reanalysis were higher than those from buoy data,especially LH.The high LH resulted in low Q_(net).Furthermore,the 4 reanalysis datasets were compared with the buoy dataset.Among all flux products,the difference in radiation flux was the smallest,while that in the turbulent flux was the greatest.The observed variables related to turbulent flux were analyzed to help determine the cause of the flux discrepancies.High wind speeds were the main cause of this difference.Using the variables provided by the reanalysis data and the same bulk formulas of the Coupled Ocean-Atmospheric Response Experiment(COARE 3.0),we found that the recalculated sensible heat flux(SH)and LH were closer to the observed heat fluxes than the direct model outputs.The signifi cant diff erences between these methods could account for the discrepancies among diff erent data.Among all air-sea flux products,the air-sea flux in ERA5 was closer to the in-situ observations than the other products.The comparison results of reanalysis data provide an important reference for more accurate studies of the summer heat flux in the ECS at the synoptic and climatic scales.展开更多
Tropical cyclones constitute a major risk for coastal communities.To assess their damage potential,accurate predictions of their intensification are needed,which requires a detailed understanding of the evolution of t...Tropical cyclones constitute a major risk for coastal communities.To assess their damage potential,accurate predictions of their intensification are needed,which requires a detailed understanding of the evolution of turbulent heat flux(THF).By combining multiple buoy observations along the south north storm track,we investigated the THF anomalies associated with tropical storm Danas(2019)in the East China Sea(ECS)during its complete life cycle from the intensification stage to the mature stage and finally to its dissipation on land.The storm passage is characterized by strong winds of 10-20 m/s and a sea level pressure below 1000 hPa,resulting in a substantial enhancement of THF.Latent heat(LH)fluxes are most strongly affected by wind speed,with a gradually increasing contribution of humidity along the trajectory.The relative contributions of wind speed and temperature anomalies to sensible heat(SH)depend on the stability of the boundary layer.Under stable conditions,SH variations are driven by wind speed,while under near-neutral conditions,SH variations are driven by temperature.A comparison of the observed THF and associated variables with outputs from the ERA 5 and MERRA 2 reanalysis products reveals that the reanalysis products can reproduce the basic evolution and composition of the observed THF.However,under extreme weather conditions,temperature and humidity variations are poorly captured by ERA 5 and MERRA 2,leading to large LH and SH errors.The differences in the observed and reproduced LH and SH during the passage of Danas amount to 26.1 and 6.6 W/m^(2) for ERA 5,respectively,and to 39.4 and 12.5 W/m^(2) for MERRA 2,respectively.These results demonstrate the need to improve the representation of tropical cyclones in reanalysis products to better predict their intensification process and reduce their damage.展开更多
基于经过非均一性检验及订正前后1979-2003年中国东部地区130个气象台站的日平均、最高和最低温度常规观测资料,利用研究区域内气象台站常规观测资料和NCEP/NCAR(The NationalCenters for Atmospheric Prediction and the National Cent...基于经过非均一性检验及订正前后1979-2003年中国东部地区130个气象台站的日平均、最高和最低温度常规观测资料,利用研究区域内气象台站常规观测资料和NCEP/NCAR(The NationalCenters for Atmospheric Prediction and the National Center for Atmosphetic Research)再分析资料温度变化趋势的差值,本文定量考察了研究区域内城市化及土地利用类型改变对区域温度气候趋势的贡献.研究结果显示,经过订正后的台站观测数据具有一定的可信度,比订正前更具合理性.城市化及土地利用类型的改变造成了研究区域内城镇气象站点日平均、最高和最低温度的上升,其中日最低温度的上升程度大于日最高温度,从而导致了日较差温度的下降.进一步研究表明,从1980年代后期开始,城镇气象站点的日平均和最低温度明显上升.从不同季节来看,冬季是区域温度变化趋势最为明显的季节,但却是城市化及土地利用类型改变对区域温度气候趋势贡献最小的季节,对研究区域温度气候趋势贡献最大的季节为夏季.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40775053)the Ministry of Finance/Ministry of Science and Technology special funds for scientific research on public causes (Grant No GYHY200906018)
文摘The South Asian Highs (SAHs) at 100 hPa over China in the three reanalysis datasets NCEP1, NCEP2, and ERA-40 are evaluated by using station observation data. The results demonstrate a substantial discrepancy even between the reanalyses. First, the data of the three reanalyses generally underestimate the intensity of the SAH in the China domain. Second, there are interdecadal changes in the SAH, with highs in the 1960s and 1980s and lows in the 1970s, 1990s, and 2000s. This interdecadal variation of the SAH can be well depicted with NCEP1 data, but the high in the 1980s is missed by ERA-40. The NCEP2 corresponds well with NCEP 1 and captures the decreasing trend after 1979. Furthermore, the NCEP1 reanalysis overestimates the interdecadal changes of SAH, while ERA-40 underestimates the interdecadal changes. This work suggests that much caution should be exerted when the reanalysis datasets are adopted to study the interdecadal variability of SAH.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42076016,41876224)。
文摘The full fluxes and associated air-sea variables based on three months of operational buoy observations in the East China Sea(ECS)in summer 2020 were analyzed for the first time.The surface net heat flux(Q_(net))was positive(139.7±77.7 W/m^(2))and was dominated by the combined eff ects of solar shortwave radiation(SW)and latent heat fluxes(LH).The mean heat flux components of 4 reanalysis datasets(NCEP2,MERRA-2,CFSR,and ERA5)and buoy data were compared to assess the mean ability of the modeling/reanalysis simulation.Among the four components of air-sea flux,SW was the best simulated,while LH was the worst simulated.The longwave radiation(LW)and LH values from reanalysis were higher than those from buoy data,especially LH.The high LH resulted in low Q_(net).Furthermore,the 4 reanalysis datasets were compared with the buoy dataset.Among all flux products,the difference in radiation flux was the smallest,while that in the turbulent flux was the greatest.The observed variables related to turbulent flux were analyzed to help determine the cause of the flux discrepancies.High wind speeds were the main cause of this difference.Using the variables provided by the reanalysis data and the same bulk formulas of the Coupled Ocean-Atmospheric Response Experiment(COARE 3.0),we found that the recalculated sensible heat flux(SH)and LH were closer to the observed heat fluxes than the direct model outputs.The signifi cant diff erences between these methods could account for the discrepancies among diff erent data.Among all air-sea flux products,the air-sea flux in ERA5 was closer to the in-situ observations than the other products.The comparison results of reanalysis data provide an important reference for more accurate studies of the summer heat flux in the ECS at the synoptic and climatic scales.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42122040,42076016)。
文摘Tropical cyclones constitute a major risk for coastal communities.To assess their damage potential,accurate predictions of their intensification are needed,which requires a detailed understanding of the evolution of turbulent heat flux(THF).By combining multiple buoy observations along the south north storm track,we investigated the THF anomalies associated with tropical storm Danas(2019)in the East China Sea(ECS)during its complete life cycle from the intensification stage to the mature stage and finally to its dissipation on land.The storm passage is characterized by strong winds of 10-20 m/s and a sea level pressure below 1000 hPa,resulting in a substantial enhancement of THF.Latent heat(LH)fluxes are most strongly affected by wind speed,with a gradually increasing contribution of humidity along the trajectory.The relative contributions of wind speed and temperature anomalies to sensible heat(SH)depend on the stability of the boundary layer.Under stable conditions,SH variations are driven by wind speed,while under near-neutral conditions,SH variations are driven by temperature.A comparison of the observed THF and associated variables with outputs from the ERA 5 and MERRA 2 reanalysis products reveals that the reanalysis products can reproduce the basic evolution and composition of the observed THF.However,under extreme weather conditions,temperature and humidity variations are poorly captured by ERA 5 and MERRA 2,leading to large LH and SH errors.The differences in the observed and reproduced LH and SH during the passage of Danas amount to 26.1 and 6.6 W/m^(2) for ERA 5,respectively,and to 39.4 and 12.5 W/m^(2) for MERRA 2,respectively.These results demonstrate the need to improve the representation of tropical cyclones in reanalysis products to better predict their intensification process and reduce their damage.
文摘基于经过非均一性检验及订正前后1979-2003年中国东部地区130个气象台站的日平均、最高和最低温度常规观测资料,利用研究区域内气象台站常规观测资料和NCEP/NCAR(The NationalCenters for Atmospheric Prediction and the National Center for Atmosphetic Research)再分析资料温度变化趋势的差值,本文定量考察了研究区域内城市化及土地利用类型改变对区域温度气候趋势的贡献.研究结果显示,经过订正后的台站观测数据具有一定的可信度,比订正前更具合理性.城市化及土地利用类型的改变造成了研究区域内城镇气象站点日平均、最高和最低温度的上升,其中日最低温度的上升程度大于日最高温度,从而导致了日较差温度的下降.进一步研究表明,从1980年代后期开始,城镇气象站点的日平均和最低温度明显上升.从不同季节来看,冬季是区域温度变化趋势最为明显的季节,但却是城市化及土地利用类型改变对区域温度气候趋势贡献最小的季节,对研究区域温度气候趋势贡献最大的季节为夏季.
