基于logistics回归模型的山洪泥石流风险评估

山洪泥石流作为一种常见的自然灾害,其突发性和破坏性给人类社会的生产生活带来了巨大的威胁。在全球气候变暖的背景下,山洪泥石流的发生频率和破坏力呈现增加趋势。通过采用有序logistics回归模型,对四川省北川羌族自治县地区山洪泥石流危险性进行了定量化评估,选取流域切割密度、流域相对高差、主沟长度、50年一遇泥石流规模等多个关键因素,构建了logistics回归模型进行危险性评估。根据模型结果发现,主沟长度和50年一遇规模的影响最为显著。本文不仅对山洪泥石流风险进行了较为精确的定量化评估,同时也为防治措施的制定提供了科学依据。

普外科术中低体温发生情况Logistics回归分析及预测模型构建

目的探讨普外科术中低体温发生的风险因素,构建并验证术中低体温发生的风险预测模型。方法选取2020年12月至2022年12月在本院接受普外科手术的117例患者作为观察对象。收集患者临床资料,根据患者术中是否发生低体温将其分为发生低体温组(A组)和未发生低体温组(B组)。Logistic回归分析影响患者普外科术中发生低体温的危险因素,并建立风险预测模型,受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)检测该模型的预测效能。结果117例患者中发生低体温31例(26.49%),未发生低体温86例(73.50%)。两组患者在年龄、体重指数、手术方式、ASA分级、术中输液量、手术室温、手术时间等方面比较,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄≥65岁、术中输液量≥1000 mL、麻醉时间≥4 h、手术室温<23℃是普外科术中发生低体温的危险因素(P<0.05)。独立危险因素纳入Logistic回归分析并建立预测模型,模型预测概率P=1/[1+e(-1.020+0.874)×(年龄)+1.114×(术中输液量)+1.556×(手术室温)+1.453×(麻醉时间)]。ROC曲线检验该模型预测效能,结果显示ROC曲线下面积(AUC)=0.754(P<0.05);Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验显示,χ^(2)=1.001,P=0.998。结论患者年龄、术中输液量、麻醉时间、手术室温是普外科患者术中发生低体温的独立危险因素,Logistic风险预测模型拟合效度好,具有较高预测价值。

Using Improved Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Location Problem of Drone Logistics Hub

Drone logistics is a novel method of distribution that will become prevalent.The advantageous location of the logistics hub enables quicker customer deliveries and lower fuel consumption,resulting in cost savings for the company’s transportation operations.Logistics firms must discern the ideal location for establishing a logistics hub,which is challenging due to the simplicity of existing models and the intricate delivery factors.To simulate the drone logistics environment,this study presents a new mathematical model.The model not only retains the aspects of the current models,but also considers the degree of transportation difficulty from the logistics hub to the village,the capacity of drones for transportation,and the distribution of logistics hub locations.Moreover,this paper proposes an improved particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithm which is a diversity-based hybrid PSO(DHPSO)algorithm to solve this model.In DHPSO,the Gaussian random walk can enhance global search in the model space,while the bubble-net attacking strategy can speed convergence.Besides,Archimedes spiral strategy is employed to overcome the local optima trap in the model and improve the exploitation of the algorithm.DHPSO maintains a balance between exploration and exploitation while better defining the distribution of logistics hub locations Numerical experiments show that the newly proposed model always achieves better locations than the current model.Comparing DHPSO with other state-of-the-art intelligent algorithms,the efficiency of the scheme can be improved by 42.58%.This means that logistics companies can reduce distribution costs and consumers can enjoy a more enjoyable shopping experience by using DHPSO’s location selection.All the results show the location of the drone logistics hub is solved by DHPSO effectively.

A Proposed Feature Selection Particle Swarm Optimization Adaptation for Intelligent Logistics--A Supply Chain Backlog Elimination Framework

The diversity of data sources resulted in seeking effective manipulation and dissemination.The challenge that arises from the increasing dimensionality has a negative effect on the computation performance,efficiency,and stability of computing.One of the most successful optimization algorithms is Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)which has proved its effectiveness in exploring the highest influencing features in the search space based on its fast convergence and the ability to utilize a small set of parameters in the search task.This research proposes an effective enhancement of PSO that tackles the challenge of randomness search which directly enhances PSO performance.On the other hand,this research proposes a generic intelligent framework for early prediction of orders delay and eliminate orders backlogs which could be considered as an efficient potential solution for raising the supply chain performance.The proposed adapted algorithm has been applied to a supply chain dataset which minimized the features set from twenty-one features to ten significant features.To confirm the proposed algorithm results,the updated data has been examined by eight of the well-known classification algorithms which reached a minimum accuracy percentage equal to 94.3%for random forest and a maximum of 99.0 for Naïve Bayes.Moreover,the proposed algorithm adaptation has been compared with other proposed adaptations of PSO from the literature over different datasets.The proposed PSO adaptation reached a higher accuracy compared with the literature ranging from 97.8 to 99.36 which also proved the advancement of the current research.

Potential of Applying Artificial Intelligence to Hot Metal Logistics Management

The steel industry,known for its complexity and the need to reduce CO_(2)emissions,is adopting advanced digitalization tools to move towards a more sustainable,integrated,and agile operating model.Digital twins with artificial intelligence-based optimization and scheduling models can improve decision-making in logistics,refractory maintenance,and energy efficiency.By incorporating advanced AI algorithms into this decision support system,the hot metal route scenarios can be evaluated,resulting in minimized hot metal temperature losses and increased scrap utilization.This paper integrated digital twins with reinforcement learning algorithms to investigate the logistics of torpedoes and hot metal ladles.It considered important input parameters such as the ladles and torpedoes'thermal state and location,refractory thickness,hot metal volume and temperature,and crane availability.By incorporating advanced AI algorithms into this decision support system,energy-efficient scenarios can be evaluated,increasing scrap utilization and resulting in a possible reduction of 15°C in hot metal temperature losses.

ISO/TC 344 on innovative logistics set up in Qingdao

The 2024 International Standardization Conference on Logistics,the first of its kind in China,was held by China Federation of Logistics&Purchasing(CFLP)on May 29 in Qingdao,Shandong province,where ISO/TC 344,Innovative logistics,was officially set up.ISO President Sung Hwan Cho sent a congratulatory message via video.He Liming,Chair of CFLP,Zhao Shengcun,Deputy Mayor of Qingdao,officers from Standards Innovative Management Department of SAMR,and relevant leaders attended and addressed the meeting.Over 400 attendees participated in the conference,including representatives from the ISO Central Secretariat,members of ISO/TC 344,members of Asia-Pacific Logistics Federation(APLF),and representatives from national departments,industrial associations,research institutions,and logistics enterprises.ISO/TC 344 is responsible for the standardization of services,technological application,and management in the field of logistics.Its secretariat is held by China,the domestic counterpart of which is CFLP.

The heterogeneous impact of China-Europe railway express on the efficiency of logistics industry in node cities

Purpose-The spatiotemporal compression effect of China-Europe Railway Express(CR-Express)can reduce the filow costs of resources between China's node cities.Additionally,it can break through the limitations of low-added-value marine products,significantly impacting the logistics industry efficiency.However,there are few literature verifying and analyzing its heterogeneity.This study explores the impact of CR-Express on the efficiency of logistics industry in node cities and analyzes the heterogeneity.Design/methodology/approach-First,this study uses panel data to measure the efficiency of node city logistics industry.Secondiy,this study discusses the impact of the opening of CR-Express on the efficiency of logistics industry in node cities based on the multi-period differential model.Finally,according to the node city difference,the sample city experimental group is grouped for heterogeneity analysis.Findings-The results show that CR-Express can promote the urban logistics industry efficiency,with an average effect of 4.55%.According to the urban characteristics classification,the heterogeneity analysis shows that the efficiency improvement effect of logistics industry in inland cities is more obvious.The improvement effect of node cities and central cities in central and western China is stronger,especially in the sample of megacities and type I big cities.Compared with non-value chain industrial products,the CR-Express has significant promotion effects on the logistics efficiency of the cities where main goods are value chain products.Originality/value-Under the background of double cycle development,this paper can provide a scientific basis for the investment benefit evaluation of CR-Express construction and the follow-up route planning.

Logistics,Supply Chain Management,and Taiwan residents Immigration Assessed in Light of Globalization

Organizations regardless of size can take advantage of the market dynamics brought about by globalization.Supply chain management is crucial for large organizations,especially with regard to the costs,complexity,and risks of its large,often global,supply chains.From technology to risk management,learning what it takes to navigate transportation and logistics business management in today’s volatile world is critical.Human migration has accelerated in light of globalization and rapid advances in transportation(particularly aviation)technology.This study investigated the connection between logistics and supply chain management in the age of globalization;reviewed the migration,settlement,and naturalization of Taiwan residents immigrants along the West Coast of the United States;and theoretically analyzed the forces that have led to the construction of the Taiwan residents immigrant community.Taiwan residents immigrants and their settlement are affected by global forces,and factors such as their cross-cultural trade,the characteristics of diasporic communities,and their national identity can provide scholarly and pedagogical insights.

基于文本挖掘和二元Logistics回归的生物医药行业上市公司财务预警研究

本研究论文主要探讨了基于文本挖掘和二元logistics回归的生物医药行业上市公司财务预警研究。通过分析生物医药行业上市公司的财务数据和管理层讨论与分析(MD&A)文本,利用二元logistics回归模型和文本挖掘技术,研究构建了一套财务预警模型,以预测企业是否可能发生财务危机。研究选取了现金比率、现金流量负债比率、资产负债率、净资产收益率、营业毛利率、息税前营业利润率、总资产增长率、营业收入增长率、资本保值增率、每股经营活动产生的净流量增长率等财务指标,以及基于MD&A文本信息构建的语调指标作为模型的关键预警指标。这些指标涵盖了企业的多个财务维度,旨在全面评估公司的财务健康状况。模型在非ST公司的判断准确率达到了87.50%,在ST公司的判断准确率为80.00%,整体准确率为85.29%,显示了该模型对于早期识别财务风险具有一定的有效性。

Research on Smart Logistics Development Based on Blockchain Technology

Blockchain technology has been incorporated into the field of next-generation information infrastructure in China and is experiencing rapid development.Utilizing blockchain and other emerging technologies to develop intelligent logistics is essential for logistics enterprises to reduce costs,enhance efficiency,and improve quality.By analyzing and summarizing the issues within the development of China’s logistics industry,this paper discusses its growth from three perspectives:policy,technology,and industry.

Automobile Transportation Logistics Supply Chain Management Strategy

To enhance the management level and quality of the automobile transportation logistics supply chain and promote innovation and development in automobile transportation logistics enterprises,it is essential to strengthen the construction of the automobile transportation logistics supply chain management model.This can be achieved through the gradual improvement of the automobile transportation logistics management process,ensuring that the management of the automobile transportation logistics supply chain proceeds in an orderly manner.The aim is to improve automobile transportation and logistics service levels while meeting the changing market supply needs.This will enable automobile transportation and logistics enterprises to maintain steady economic benefits and enhance their core competitiveness in the market.Therefore,this paper has conducted a comprehensive exploration and research on managing the automobile transportation logistics supply chain.Corresponding management strategies are proposed as a starting point to achieve the aforementioned goals.

Research on the Application of Blockchain Technology in Cold Chain Logistics for Agricultural Products

With the continuous advancement of science and technology and the advent of the digital era,blockchain technology is increasingly demonstrating its great potential across various industries due to its unique features of decentralization,transparency,and immutability.In particular,in the cold chain logistics of agricultural products,the application of blockchain technology can not only enhance logistics efficiency but also ensure food safety and boost consumer trust[1].This paper first outlines the advantages of blockchain technology in cold chain logistics for agricultural products,and then clarifies the application pathways of blockchain technology in this field,providing a reference for relevant researchers.

Suggestions on the Good Development of Pharmaceutical Cold Chain Logistics in China

Objective To study the characteristics and problems of the development of cold chain logistics in pharmaceutical industry,and to provide a reference for the development of China’s drug logistics.Methods Literature analysis was used to investigate the development of drug cold chain logistics,relevant laws and regulations,and policies in China.Then,the problems of industry development were summarized and some suggestions were put forward by referring to the mature concept of international drug cold chain logistics system.Results and Conclusion China’s cold chain logistics in pharmaceutical field is growing,but it is still in the development stage.By increasing government support,scientific research investment and professional training,the comprehensive strength of drug cold chain logistics can be improved to a certain extent,and the safety of drugs can be guaranteed for the people.

基于logistics回归分析的互助养老意愿影响因素研究

人口老龄化是我国今后较长一个时期的基本国情。为探究安徽省某市城镇居民参加社区互助养老服务的意愿影响因素,本文从个人、家庭、社会三个层面出发,构建互助养老服务意愿判别模型。结果显示,性别、婚姻状况、子女融洽程度、社区邻里关系等因素通过卡方检验。由二元logistics回归模型可知,家庭因素和社会支持因素影响居民参加互助养老意愿。因此,本文提出要加强互助养老服务的宣传,形成社会、社区和家庭的三合一互助养老体系。

基于多元logistics回归法探究绿色食品消费行为影响因素研究

绿色食品消费是实现双碳目标的重要途径之一。选择环保、健康的绿色食品,减少过度包装与消费,不仅降低碳排放,更呵护我们的环境。此举契合我国绿色发展战略,助力经济社会可持续发展。因此,倡导并推广绿色食品消费,对实现2030碳达峰、2060碳中和至关重要。成都市作为中国西南经济文化重镇,绿色食品发展成绩斐然。然而,挑战依旧严峻,消费者认知度低、产品质量参差不齐。深度研究成都市绿色食品市场至关重要,不仅增进消费者和企业了解,更为行业可持续发展提供新策略。本次调研深入成都市,通过问卷和实地调查收集消费者绿色食品购买行为数据。成功回收1246份有效问卷,回收率高达95.2%。数据经检验显示问卷设计合理,为分析提供了可靠依据。采用多元logistics回归模型,深入分析了个人特征、绿色食品认知、低碳发展认知及网络舆情感知等因素对绿色食品消费行为及频率的影响。

Development status and prospect of cold chain logistics of fruits,vegetables,and agricultural products based on intelligent technology

The cold chain in the production area of fruits and vegetables is the primary link to reduce product loss and improve product quality,but it is also a weak link.With the application of big data technology in cold chain logistics,intelligent devices,and technologies have become important carriers for improving the efficiency of cold chain logistics in fruit and vegetable production areas,extending the shelf life of fruits and vegetables,and reducing fruit and vegetable losses.They have many advantages in fruit and vegetable pre-cooling,sorting and packaging,testing,warehousing,transportation,and other aspects.This article summarizes the rapidly developing and widely used intelligent technologies at home and abroad in recent years,including automated guided vehicle intelligent handling based on electromagnetic or optical technology,intelligent sorting based on sensors,electronic optics,and other technologies,intelligent detection based on computer vision technology,intelligent transportation based on perspective imaging technology,etc.It analyses and studies the innovative research and achievements of various scholars in applying intelligent technology in fruit and vegetable cold chain storage,sorting,detection,transportation,and other links,and improves the efficiency of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics.However,applying intelligent technology in fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics also faces many problems.The challenges of high cost,difficulty in technological integration,and talent shortages have limited the development of intelligent technology in the field of fruit and vegetable cold chains.To solve the current problems,it is proposed that costs be controlled through independent research and development,technological innovation,and other means to lower the entry threshold for small enterprises.Strengthen integrating intelligent technology and cold chain logistics systems to improve data security and system compatibility.At the same time,the government should introduce relevant policies,provide necessary financial support,and establish talent training mechanisms.Accelerate the development and improvement of intelligent technology standards in the field of cold chain logistics.Through technological innovation,cost control,talent cultivation,and policy guidance,we aim to promote the upgrading of the agricultural industry and provide ideas for improving the quality and efficiency of fruit and vegetable cold chain logistics.

基于逐步Logistics回归的高铁列车上座率影响因素分析

分析高铁列车上座率的影响因素,对于优化列车运行方案及提高铁路公司经济效益均具有重要意义。以京沪高铁2015年11月份的上座率数据为例,构建了基于逐步Logistics回归的高铁列车上座率影响因素分析框架;运用逐步回归策略筛选出对列车上座率有显著影响的因素;再应用Logistic回归模型分析了列车上座率与其影响因素之间的定量关系;最后分别采用Wald统计量和HL指标检验回归系数的显著性和模型的拟合优度。研究结果表明:列车跨线与否、列车类型、列车始发时间、列车终到时间和票价是影响影响京沪高铁列车上座率的主要因素。

决策树和Logistic回归模型对体外受精-胚胎移植患者妊娠结局的预测价值比较

目的:比较决策树和Logistic回归模型对体外受精-胚胎移植(in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer,IVF-ET)患者妊娠结局的预测价值。方法:纳入2021年1月至2022年10月在长治医学院附属和平医院接受IVF-ET的患者350例为研究对象,根据妊娠结局分为妊娠成功组(215例)和妊娠失败组(135例)。收集患者临床资料,建立IVF-ET患者妊娠结局Logistic回归和决策树预测模型,并在是否基于Logistic回归结果条件下建立决策树分析模型(决策树1和决策树2),采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线对模型预测效果进行评价。结果:350例患者中,妊娠成功患者占61.43%,妊娠失败者占38.57%。妊娠失败组年龄≥35岁、不孕年限≥5年、周期次数≥1次、有心理精神障碍的患者比例及HCG日血清孕酮水平均高于妊娠成功组,获卵数≥10枚、受精率≥75%的患者比例及HCG日子宫内膜厚度、优质胚胎数小于妊娠成功组(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄、HCG日血清孕酮水平、优质胚胎数及心理精神障碍均是IVF-ET患者妊娠结局的影响因素(P<0.05)。决策树模型显示,年龄、HCG日血清孕酮水平、优质胚胎数为IVF-ET患者妊娠结局的影响因素。Logistic回归模型曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为0.832,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为87.3%、71.4%、83.5%;决策树1的AUC为0.859,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为85.1%、76.8%、85.6%;决策树2的AUC为0.820,预测敏感度、特异度和准确度分别为83.7%、73.2%、82.4%。决策树1的AUC大于决策树2(P<0.05),但与Logistic回归模型的AUC比较差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论:Logistic回归模型和决策树模型对于IVF-ET患者妊娠结局均有一定的预测价值。

大学生“慢就业”现象及其影响因素——基于二元Logistic回归模型的实证研究

通过对32所高校调研分析发现,大学生“慢就业”现象呈现上升态势。研究表明:个人最高学历、职业规划清晰程度、就业主动性、父母对于子女选择“慢就业”的态度、是否为独生子女、家庭人均年收入、学校层次、学校就业指导服务质量等因素均显著影响大学生对于“慢就业”行为的认知与选择。为此,必须结合大学生“慢就业”行为选择的影响因素,开展“广谱式”的职业生涯规划教育、构建家校联合的就业指导机制、形成具有强针对性的就业指导体系。

105例不孕症患者子宫输卵管造影结果影响因素的Logistic回归分析

目的探讨不孕症患者子宫输卵管造影结果发生异常的影响因素。方法选取2021年1月至2023年5月在湖南中医药大学第二附属医院妇科门诊就诊并接受X线子宫输卵管造影(X-ray hysterosalpingography,X-HSG)检查的105例不孕症患者,收集患者临床资料包括年龄、月经周期、不孕症类型、支原体感染史、衣原体感染史、淋病奈瑟球菌感染史、盆腔炎相关病史、输卵管相关病史等,并填写《中医体质调查问卷表》,采用Logistic回归方程分析不孕症患者X-HSG结果的影响因素。结果X-HSG结果异常与盆腔炎相关病史、输卵管相关病史、年龄、气郁质及湿热质呈正相关(P<0.05),与不孕症类型、月经周期规律与否无相关性(P>0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示:不孕症类型、月经周期、气郁质、湿热质是HSG发生异常的危险因素(OR>1),年龄、盆腔炎相关病史、输卵管相关病史是HSG发生异常的保护因素(OR<1)。结论适龄生育、减少盆腔炎相关病史、减少输卵管相关病史、调畅情志、忌食肥甘厚味对于减少输卵管病理损伤引起的不孕症至关重要。