Based on the Barro classical growth model, this paper introduces capital account openness and exchange rate volatility to conduct an empirical analysis using the panel data of 182 countries(regions) during 1970-2013 t...Based on the Barro classical growth model, this paper introduces capital account openness and exchange rate volatility to conduct an empirical analysis using the panel data of 182 countries(regions) during 1970-2013 to examine the combined effects of capital account openness and exchange rate risks on economic growth. Our findings are as follows:(1) Without considering exchange rate volatility, capital account openness is subject to a threshold effect, i.e. capital account openness significantly promotes the economic growth of middle-and high-income countries but exerts the opposite effect on low-income countries; and(2) after exchange rate volatility is taken into account, the growth effect of capital account openness is reduced and the greater the exchange rate volatility is, the smaller the marginal effect of capital account openness will be; sample-specific results also proved the existence of the threshold effect. This paper offers the following implications:(1) The effect of capital account openness can be better examined based on risk factors;(2) moderately controlling exchange rate volatility is conducive to acquiring greater benefits from capital account openness; and(3) the threshold effect of capital account openness cannot be overlooked.展开更多
The People’s Bank of China promulgated andput in force days ago Regulation on Foreign Ex-change Accounts in China, according to which for-eign individuals or legal persons can open foreignexchange accounts to keep fo...The People’s Bank of China promulgated andput in force days ago Regulation on Foreign Ex-change Accounts in China, according to which for-eign individuals or legal persons can open foreignexchange accounts to keep foreign exchange fortrading B stock in China.As stipulated by the regulation, as to foreigncurrency stock accounts opened bydomestic insti-tutions with the income from issuing stocks, theirreceipt shall be income from issuing stocks anddisbursement shall be used for the purposes pro-vided for in the prospectus approved by securitiessupervising organs; as to foreign exchange ac-counts opened by foreign individuals or legal per-sons for trading B stocks in China.their receipt shallbe the income of trading stocks and foreign ex-change remitted or brought in from abroad, andtheir disbursement shall be used for buying andselling stocks.As provided in the regulation, for the purposeof opening B stock account to trade B stocks展开更多
Using data of newly opened stock trading accounts in China as a proxy of investor sentiment index, the authors employ the time-varying copula-GARCH model with Hansen＇s skewed Student-t innovations to investigate the ...Using data of newly opened stock trading accounts in China as a proxy of investor sentiment index, the authors employ the time-varying copula-GARCH model with Hansen＇s skewed Student-t innovations to investigate the dynamic dependence between investor sentiment and stock returns. The empirical findings show that shifts in investor sentiment are asymptotically positively correlated to stock returns in extreme value situations in both A shares market and B shares market in China, that is to say, stock prices will increase （decrease） more when investors become more bullish （bearish）. Also, results show that the dependence between investor sentiment and stock returns is time-varying, which means that the traditional Pearson＇s correlation based on normal distribution is not enough to describe the relationship between stock market behavior and investor behavior.展开更多
基金Key Project of the Social Sciences Foundation of China(Grant No.15ZDA014)Foundation for High-level Talents in Higher Education of Guangdong(Pearl River Scholar 1414003)Doctoral Start-Up Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong(2014A030310079)
文摘Based on the Barro classical growth model, this paper introduces capital account openness and exchange rate volatility to conduct an empirical analysis using the panel data of 182 countries(regions) during 1970-2013 to examine the combined effects of capital account openness and exchange rate risks on economic growth. Our findings are as follows:(1) Without considering exchange rate volatility, capital account openness is subject to a threshold effect, i.e. capital account openness significantly promotes the economic growth of middle-and high-income countries but exerts the opposite effect on low-income countries; and(2) after exchange rate volatility is taken into account, the growth effect of capital account openness is reduced and the greater the exchange rate volatility is, the smaller the marginal effect of capital account openness will be; sample-specific results also proved the existence of the threshold effect. This paper offers the following implications:(1) The effect of capital account openness can be better examined based on risk factors;(2) moderately controlling exchange rate volatility is conducive to acquiring greater benefits from capital account openness; and(3) the threshold effect of capital account openness cannot be overlooked.
文摘The People’s Bank of China promulgated andput in force days ago Regulation on Foreign Ex-change Accounts in China, according to which for-eign individuals or legal persons can open foreignexchange accounts to keep foreign exchange fortrading B stock in China.As stipulated by the regulation, as to foreigncurrency stock accounts opened bydomestic insti-tutions with the income from issuing stocks, theirreceipt shall be income from issuing stocks anddisbursement shall be used for the purposes pro-vided for in the prospectus approved by securitiessupervising organs; as to foreign exchange ac-counts opened by foreign individuals or legal per-sons for trading B stocks in China.their receipt shallbe the income of trading stocks and foreign ex-change remitted or brought in from abroad, andtheir disbursement shall be used for buying andselling stocks.As provided in the regulation, for the purposeof opening B stock account to trade B stocks
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.70821001
文摘Using data of newly opened stock trading accounts in China as a proxy of investor sentiment index, the authors employ the time-varying copula-GARCH model with Hansen＇s skewed Student-t innovations to investigate the dynamic dependence between investor sentiment and stock returns. The empirical findings show that shifts in investor sentiment are asymptotically positively correlated to stock returns in extreme value situations in both A shares market and B shares market in China, that is to say, stock prices will increase （decrease） more when investors become more bullish （bearish）. Also, results show that the dependence between investor sentiment and stock returns is time-varying, which means that the traditional Pearson＇s correlation based on normal distribution is not enough to describe the relationship between stock market behavior and investor behavior.
