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Effects of China’s VAT system transition on firms’investment and employment——Empirical evidence from the national tax surveys of 2008-2009
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作者 Mao Jie Zhao Jing Huang Chunyuan 《China Finance and Economic Review》 2015年第4期23-38,共16页
Based on a theoretical analysis,this paper empirically studies the effects of China’s VAT system transition in 2009 on the Chinese firms’fixed capital investment and employee recruitment by using the data of Nationa... Based on a theoretical analysis,this paper empirically studies the effects of China’s VAT system transition in 2009 on the Chinese firms’fixed capital investment and employee recruitment by using the data of National Tax Survey from 2008 to 2009 for the first time.The main findings are as follows.(1)The transition stimulates investment in some industries like Petrochemical,Electricity,and Equipment Manufacturing,but Automotive Industry and Extractive Industry are exceptional.(2)The transition impedes the growth of employment in the Processing Industry for Agricultural Products and the Petrochemical Industry,but has improved the employment situation in Electricity and Automotive industries.The prosperity and marketization degree of industries are key factors that determine the effects.Our findings show that the effects of China’s VAT system transition vary amongst different industries,which imply that when implementing the VAT-related reforms like the reform program to replace business tax with VAT,the Chinese government should design relevant institutions with regard to the macroeconomic environment and differences in industries,and gradually put reform measures into practice. 展开更多
关键词 overall transition of the VAT system fixed capital investment employment producing propensity score matching
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