Problems involving wax deposition threaten seriously crude pipelines both economically and operationally. Wax deposition in oil pipelines is a complicated problem having a number of uncertainties and indeterminations....Problems involving wax deposition threaten seriously crude pipelines both economically and operationally. Wax deposition in oil pipelines is a complicated problem having a number of uncertainties and indeterminations. The Grey System Theory is a suitable theory for coping with systems in which some information is clear and some is not, so it is an adequate model for studying the process of wax deposition. In order to predict accurately wax deposition along a pipeline, the Grey Model was applied to fit the data of wax deposition rate and the thickness of the deposited wax layer on the pipe-wall, and to give accurate forecast on wax deposition in oil pipelines. The results showed that the average residential error of the Grey Prediction Model is smaller than 2%. They further showed that this model exhibited high prediction accuracy. Our investigation proved that the Grey Model is a viable means for forecasting wax deposition. These findings offer valuable references for the oil industry and for firms dealing with wax cleaning in oil pipelines.展开更多
The radial basis function neural network is a popular supervised learning tool based on machinery learning technology.Its high precision having been proven,the radial basis function neural network has been applied in ...The radial basis function neural network is a popular supervised learning tool based on machinery learning technology.Its high precision having been proven,the radial basis function neural network has been applied in many areas.The accumulation of deposited materials in the pipeline may lead to the need for increased pumping power,a decreased flow rate or even to the total blockage of the line,with losses of production and capital investment,so research on predicting the wax deposition rate is significant for the safe and economical operation of an oil pipeline.This paper adopts the radial basis function neural network to predict the wax deposition rate by considering four main influencing factors,the pipe wall temperature gradient,pipe wall wax crystal solubility coefficient,pipe wall shear stress and crude oil viscosity,by the gray correlational analysis method.MATLAB software is employed to establish the RBF neural network.Compared with the previous literature,favorable consistency exists between the predicted outcomes and the experimental results,with a relative error of 1.5%.It can be concluded that the prediction method of wax deposition rate based on the RBF neural network is feasible.展开更多
基金Financially supported by Sinopec Corp (2001101).
文摘Problems involving wax deposition threaten seriously crude pipelines both economically and operationally. Wax deposition in oil pipelines is a complicated problem having a number of uncertainties and indeterminations. The Grey System Theory is a suitable theory for coping with systems in which some information is clear and some is not, so it is an adequate model for studying the process of wax deposition. In order to predict accurately wax deposition along a pipeline, the Grey Model was applied to fit the data of wax deposition rate and the thickness of the deposited wax layer on the pipe-wall, and to give accurate forecast on wax deposition in oil pipelines. The results showed that the average residential error of the Grey Prediction Model is smaller than 2%. They further showed that this model exhibited high prediction accuracy. Our investigation proved that the Grey Model is a viable means for forecasting wax deposition. These findings offer valuable references for the oil industry and for firms dealing with wax cleaning in oil pipelines.
文摘The radial basis function neural network is a popular supervised learning tool based on machinery learning technology.Its high precision having been proven,the radial basis function neural network has been applied in many areas.The accumulation of deposited materials in the pipeline may lead to the need for increased pumping power,a decreased flow rate or even to the total blockage of the line,with losses of production and capital investment,so research on predicting the wax deposition rate is significant for the safe and economical operation of an oil pipeline.This paper adopts the radial basis function neural network to predict the wax deposition rate by considering four main influencing factors,the pipe wall temperature gradient,pipe wall wax crystal solubility coefficient,pipe wall shear stress and crude oil viscosity,by the gray correlational analysis method.MATLAB software is employed to establish the RBF neural network.Compared with the previous literature,favorable consistency exists between the predicted outcomes and the experimental results,with a relative error of 1.5%.It can be concluded that the prediction method of wax deposition rate based on the RBF neural network is feasible.
