In this paper, the author proposed a methodology to reveal expected seismic activation places for coming years by a complex of forecasting parameters of a seismic mode. Areas in Uzbekistan where currently observed ano...In this paper, the author proposed a methodology to reveal expected seismic activation places for coming years by a complex of forecasting parameters of a seismic mode. Areas in Uzbekistan where currently observed anomalies in various parameters of a seismic mode has been revealed. By number of displayed abnormal signs the areas has been ranked based on probability of occurrence of strong earthquakes there. It has prepared schemes of the synoptic forecast of expected seismic activation places in case of occurrence of strong earthquakes in the Central-Asian region.展开更多
Multiple equilibria of a forced, dissipative atmosphere system studied by Charney andothers have provided a new insight into the dynamics of the atmospheric circulation. But thetheoretical results remain some uncertai...Multiple equilibria of a forced, dissipative atmosphere system studied by Charney andothers have provided a new insight into the dynamics of the atmospheric circulation. But thetheoretical results remain some uncertainty for different approaches. Charney and Devore (1979) obtained two stable equilibria for certain range of externalforcing in the barotropic model, one of which is a high--index circulation, and the other alow--index for a blocking state. However Charney and Straus (1980) found that only thelow--index (blocking) state is stable and there do not exist multiple equilibria in the baroclinicmodel.展开更多
文摘In this paper, the author proposed a methodology to reveal expected seismic activation places for coming years by a complex of forecasting parameters of a seismic mode. Areas in Uzbekistan where currently observed anomalies in various parameters of a seismic mode has been revealed. By number of displayed abnormal signs the areas has been ranked based on probability of occurrence of strong earthquakes there. It has prepared schemes of the synoptic forecast of expected seismic activation places in case of occurrence of strong earthquakes in the Central-Asian region.
文摘Multiple equilibria of a forced, dissipative atmosphere system studied by Charney andothers have provided a new insight into the dynamics of the atmospheric circulation. But thetheoretical results remain some uncertainty for different approaches. Charney and Devore (1979) obtained two stable equilibria for certain range of externalforcing in the barotropic model, one of which is a high--index circulation, and the other alow--index for a blocking state. However Charney and Straus (1980) found that only thelow--index (blocking) state is stable and there do not exist multiple equilibria in the baroclinicmodel.
