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Estimation of Probability of Swarming Pedestrians' Violation at Signalized Intersections in Developing Cities
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作者 李迎峰 史忠科 周致纳 《Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University(English Edition)》 2009年第1期80-85,共6页
We made an on-site investigation about pedestrian violation of traffic signals at a signalized intersection in Xi'an, Shaanxi province, China. Based on it, we studied the impact of pedestrian's waiting time on viola... We made an on-site investigation about pedestrian violation of traffic signals at a signalized intersection in Xi'an, Shaanxi province, China. Based on it, we studied the impact of pedestrian's waiting time on violation decision and the impact of the number of pedestrians in colony on the probability of swarming pedestrians' violation. The result revealed that the probability of pedestrian violation rose with the waiting time for the pedestrians' green signal. Then we developed a Monte Carlo model for simulating mixed vehicles and pedestrians and used the on-site investigation data to validate the model. When traffic volume is fight, the error between the simulated values and the measured ones is 2.67%. When traffic volume is heavy, the error is 3.38%. 展开更多
关键词 pedestrian violation Population effect Signalized intersection Developing cities Monte Carlo method
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