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High resolution oxygen isotope and grayscale records of a medieval fossil giant clam(Tridacna gigas) in the South China Sea: physiological and paleoclimatic implications 被引量:3
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作者 YAN Hong WANG Yuhong SUN Liguang 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第8期18-25,共8页
Mollusks are well known for their detailed recording of paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic changes in their carbonate shells. In this study, we constructed 18-year blue color intensity and oxygen isotope profiles of... Mollusks are well known for their detailed recording of paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic changes in their carbonate shells. In this study, we constructed 18-year blue color intensity and oxygen isotope profiles of a14C dated (AD 990±40) fossil giant clam,Tridacna gigas, from Shidao Island, South China Sea. Theδ18O profile of theT. gigas specimen displayed regular annual cycles and was probably controlled by seasonal variations of the climatic parameters. The blue color intensity profile showed good agreement with theδ18O series, and both had 18 clear annual cycles in accordance with the 18 visually identified annual growth bands. The annual shell growth rate determined from the blue color intensity and oxygen isotope profiles indicated that the annual shell increment of theTridacna specimen was stable after the onset of sexual ma-turity. Spectral analysis of theδ18O and blue color intensity time series suggested that the El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) period observed in the instrumental temperature and precipitation records of the South China Sea during the past 50 years also existed in medieval times. Our results showed that fossil giant clams could provide a good archive of historical intra-seasonal to decadal climate variations. 展开更多
关键词 Tridacna gigas oxygen isotope blue color intensity Medieval Warm Period sea surface temperature El Ni?o–Southern Oscillation
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Characteristics of Temperature Change in China over the Last 2000 years and Spatial Patterns of Dryness/Wetness during Cold and Warm Periods 被引量:10
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作者 Quansheng GE Haolong LIU +2 位作者 Xiang MA Jingyun ZHENG Zhixin HAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第8期941-951,共11页
This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation ... This paper presents new high-resolution proxies and paleoclimatic reconstructions for studying climate changes in China for the past 2000 years. Multi-proxy synthesized reconstructions show that temperature variation in China has exhibited significant 50–70-yr, 100–120-yr, and 200–250-yr cycles. Results also show that the amplitudes of decadal and centennial temperature variation were 1.3℃ and 0.7℃, respectively, with the latter significantly correlated with long-term changes in solar radiation, especially cold periods, which correspond approximately to sunspot minima. The most rapid warming in China occurred over AD 1870–2000, at a rate of 0.56°± 0.42℃(100 yr)^(-1); however, temperatures recorded in the 20 th century may not be unprecedented for the last 2000 years, as data show records for the periods AD 981–1100 and AD1201–70 are comparable to the present. The ensemble means of dryness/wetness spatial patterns in eastern China across all centennial warm periods illustrate a tripole pattern: dry south of 25°N, wet from 25°–30°N, and dry to the north of 30°N. However, for all centennial cold periods, this spatial pattern also exhibits a meridional distribution. The increase in precipitation over the monsoonal regions of China associated with the 20 th century warming can primarily be attributed to a mega El Nino–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. In addition, a significant association between increasing numbers of locusts and dry/cold conditions is found in eastern China. Plague intensity also generally increases in concert with wetness in northern China, while more precipitation is likely to have a negative effect in southern China. 展开更多
关键词 temperature change dry-wet spatial pattern cold and warm periods last 2000 years China
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An East Asian Monsoon in the Mid-Pliocene 被引量:2
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作者 YAN Qing ZHANG Zhong-Shi GAO Yong-Qi 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2012年第6期449-454,共6页
In this study, the authors simulate the East Asian climate changes in the mid-Pliocene (~3.3 to 3.0 Ma BP) with the Community Atmosphere Model version 3.1 (CAM3.1) and compare the simulated East Asian monsoon with pa... In this study, the authors simulate the East Asian climate changes in the mid-Pliocene (~3.3 to 3.0 Ma BP) with the Community Atmosphere Model version 3.1 (CAM3.1) and compare the simulated East Asian monsoon with paleoclimate data. The simulations show an obvious warming pattern in East Asia in the mid-Pliocene compared with the pre-industrial climate, with surface air temperature increasing by 0.5 4.0°C. In the warm mid-Pliocene simulation, the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) becomes stronger, while the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) is similar relative to the pre-industrial climate. Compared with the paleoclimate data, our simulations depict the intensified EASM well but cannot reproduce the weakened EAWM. This model-data discrepancy may be attributed to the uncertainty in the reconstructed mid-Pliocene sea surface temperature. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian monsoon mid-Pliocene warm period paleoclimate data
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Middle Holocene warm period and sea level high in coastal areas,North China 被引量:1
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作者 孟广兰 韩有松 王少青 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第2期252-258,共7页
Relevant geological, geographical, archaeological data were collected to study the characteristics of middle Holocene warm period and sea level high on North China coast. Middle Holocene climate and sea level change o... Relevant geological, geographical, archaeological data were collected to study the characteristics of middle Holocene warm period and sea level high on North China coast. Middle Holocene climate and sea level change on North China coast were correlated to warm marine environment events in about 8–3 ka B.P. The sea level in about 8 ka B.P. was higher than present mean sea level, then fluctuated for 5 000 years and after that it became even in 3 ka B.P. The highest sea level occurred in about 6–5 ka B.P.; the maximum was about 2–3 m and minimum was about 1–2 m. 展开更多
关键词 warm period sea level high middle Holocene North China coast
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Coastal environment of the past millennium recorded by a coastal dune in Fujian,China 被引量:3
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作者 JIN Jianhui LI Zhizhong +3 位作者 JIANG Feng deng tao HU Fan'gen LING Zhiyong 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第5期707-721,共15页
Coastal dune is a common aeolian geomorphology in a sandy coast,which records the evolution process of the aeolian landscape system and reflects the complex interaction among land surface,atmosphere and ocean.Coast is... Coastal dune is a common aeolian geomorphology in a sandy coast,which records the evolution process of the aeolian landscape system and reflects the complex interaction among land surface,atmosphere and ocean.Coast is a sensitive area to global climate change.Restricted by chronology,most previous researches in China focused only on the cause of formation of coastal dunes.In recent years,the development of optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating provides a good method and acts as a carrier for coastal dunes to paleoclimate and paleoenvironmental studies.In this study,we selected an aeolian dune at the Anshan archaeological site,Fujian,China as the research object based on field observations.For determining their sedimentary stages and the primary influencing factors,we used the OSL dating method to construct a chronological framework for the aeolian dune.In addition,the sizes of grains were analyzed for identifying factors influencing the winter monsoon during the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and the Little Ice Age (LIA) in this area.The results showed that the deposition of the aeolian dune was closely related to variations in the winter monsoon intensity.The changes of the winter monsoon were similar to the tendency of the East Asian winter monsoon,although there were several sub-fluctuations.From an overall perspective,the winter monsoon was strengthened during the MWP (1050–1300) .The results of a power spectrum analysis showed that the intensity of the East Asian winter monsoon is correlated with sunspot activity. 展开更多
关键词 coastal dune Optically Stimulated Luminescence Medieval Warm Period Little Ice Age winter monsoon
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Heat budget analysis in three typical warm periods simulated by FGOALS-s2
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作者 LUAN Yi-Hua YU Yong-Qiang ZHENG Wei-Peng 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2016年第2期83-89,共7页
This study compared basic warming patterns among three typical warm periods — the midHolocene(MH), Medieval Warm Period(MWP), and the twentieth century warming(20CW) — and carried out a comprehensive heat budg... This study compared basic warming patterns among three typical warm periods — the midHolocene(MH), Medieval Warm Period(MWP), and the twentieth century warming(20CW) — and carried out a comprehensive heat budget analysis using four experiments simulated by the Flexible Global Ocean–Atmosphere–Land System model, Spectral Version 2(FGOALS-s2). The model simulates similar spatial warming patterns in all three warm periods, e.g. stronger warming appears in the high latitudes. However, changes in surface air temperature(SAT) over the tropical regions are different: a significant warming occurs in the 20 CW and MWP but a significant cooling in the MH. The heat budget analysis suggested that SAT changes are mainly induced by the heat flux. In the MH, the insolation and positive snow and ice feedback are responsible for the warming in the Southern Ocean but the wind anomalies and decreased downward longwave radiation(DLR) induce the cooling in the tropics. In the 20 CW, the decreased shortwave radiation and increased sea surface temperature dependency of evaporation dampen the warming in the tropics. In the MWP, the shortwave radiation induces the Southern Ocean warming, but the DLR and wind anomalies warm the SAT in the tropics. The simulated ocean temperature and ocean heat content anomalies are different in the upper ocean(above 1500 m), which are mainly induced by the wind stress changes, but similar in the deep ocean in all three warm periods. 展开更多
关键词 Surface air temperature heat flux MID-HOLOCENE Medieval warm period twentieth century warming
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Multi-scale analysis on last millennium climate variations in Greenland by its ice core oxygen isotope
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作者 MingTong Yu ZhenShan Lin +1 位作者 JianLi Du ZhenZhen Zhang 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 2010年第2期123-128,共6页
The empirical mode decomposition method is used for analyzing the paleoclimate proxy δ18O from Greenland GISP2 ice core.The results show that millennium climate change trends in Greenland record the Medieval Warm Per... The empirical mode decomposition method is used for analyzing the paleoclimate proxy δ18O from Greenland GISP2 ice core.The results show that millennium climate change trends in Greenland record the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) from 860AD-1350AD lasting for about 490 years,and the Little Ice Age (LIA) from 1350AD-1920AD lasting about 570 years.During these events,sub cooling-warming variations occurred.Its multi-scale oscillations changed with quasi-period of 3-year,6.5-year,12-year,24-year,49-year,96-year,213-year and 468-year,and are not only affected by ENSO but also by solar activity.The oscillation of intrinsic mode function IMF7,IMF8 and their tendency obviously appear in 1350AD which is considered as the key stage of transformation between MWP and LIA.The results give more detailed changes and their stages of millennium climate change in high latitude areas of the Northern Hemisphere. 展开更多
关键词 empirical mode decomposition medieval warm period and little ice age quasi-period of millennium climate oscillation
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Transformation and mechanisms of climate wet/dry change on the northern Tibetan Plateau under global warming:A perspective from paleoclimatology
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作者 Yu LI Zhansen ZHANG +5 位作者 Xueru ZHOU Minjun GAO Junjie DUAN Yaxin XUE Hao SHANG Shiyu LIU 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第6期1932-1951,共20页
The northern Tibetan Plateau is a climatically sensitive zone influenced by monsoon and westerly winds.In summer,water vapor transport can reach Qinghai Lake and the eastern section of the Qilian Mountains;in winter,w... The northern Tibetan Plateau is a climatically sensitive zone influenced by monsoon and westerly winds.In summer,water vapor transport can reach Qinghai Lake and the eastern section of the Qilian Mountains;in winter,westerly winds mainly control the climate.This article compares the wet/dry changes in the region during the mid-Holocene(MH)warm period,the medieval climate anomaly(MCA),the current warm period(CWP),and the future warm period from the perspective of paleoclimate.We found that the MH warm period was mainly affected by the orbit-controlled East Asian summer monsoon,and the region showed warm and humid climate characteristics.The MCA was mainly controlled by solar radiation,and there was a warm and dry phenomenon.The CWP and the future warm period are mainly controlled by the rise in temperature caused by the increase in greenhouse gases,and the climate is becoming more arid.The wet/dry patterns in the CWP and the future warm period in the next century on the northern Tibetan Plateau are similar to those in the MCA.Continued warming will lead to the expansion of the westerly belt and a gradually humid climate.The future wet/dry changes will be more similar to the MH warm period. 展开更多
关键词 Northern Tibetan Plateau Wet/dry change Warm period similarity Driving mechanism Future assessment
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Climate warming shifts the time interval between flowering and leaf unfolding depending on the warming period 被引量:3
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作者 Shuxin Wang Zhaofei Wu +5 位作者 Yufeng Gong Shubiao Wang Wei Zhang Shanshan Zhang Hans J.De Boeck Yongshuo H.Fu 《Science China(Life Sciences)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2022年第11期2316-2324,共9页
The timing of flowering(FL)and leaf unfolding(LU)determine plants’reproduction and vegetative growth.Global warming has substantially advanced FL and LU of temperate and boreal plants,but their responses to warming d... The timing of flowering(FL)and leaf unfolding(LU)determine plants’reproduction and vegetative growth.Global warming has substantially advanced FL and LU of temperate and boreal plants,but their responses to warming differ,which may influence the time interval between FL and LU(ΔLU-FL),thereby impacting plant fitness and intraspecific physiological processes.Based on twigs collected from two flowering-first tree species,Populus tomentosa and Amygdalus triloba,we conducted a manipulative experiment to investigate the effects of winter chilling,spring warming and photoperiod on theΔLU-FL.We found that photoperiod did not affect theΔLU-FL of Amygdalus triloba,but shortenedΔLU-FL by 5.1 d of Populus tomentosa.Interestingly,spring warming and winter chilling oppositely affected theΔLU-FL of both species.Specifically,low chilling accumulation extended theΔLU-FL by 3.8 and 9.4 d for Populus tomentosa and Amygdalus triloba,but spring warming shortened theΔLU-FL by 4.1 and 0.2 d℃^(-1).Our results indicate that climate warming will decrease or increase theΔLU-FL depending on the warming periods,i.e.,spring or winter.The shifted time interval between flowering and leaf unfolding may have ecological effects including affecting pollen transfer efficiency and alter the structure and functioning of terrestrial ecosystem. 展开更多
关键词 CHILLING FLOWERING leaf unfolding PHOTOPERIOD spring phenology time interval warming period
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Responses of the Leading Mode of Coldwave Intensity in China to a Warming Climate 被引量:2
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作者 马婷婷 江志红 吴志伟 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2013年第5期673-683,共11页
Regional extreme cold events have changed notably with recent global warming.Understanding how these cold extremes change in China is an urgent issue.This study examines the responses of the dominant mode of China col... Regional extreme cold events have changed notably with recent global warming.Understanding how these cold extremes change in China is an urgent issue.This study examines the responses of the dominant mode of China coldwave intensity (CWI) to global warming by comparing observations with simulations from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4).The leading modes of the CWI derived from empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis have different features in different epochs.During the cold period (1957-1979),the leading mode is characterized by centers of extreme values of CWI in northern China; while during the warm period (1980-2009),the leading mode features two maximum loading centers over northern and southern China.The southward extension of the extreme value center is associated with an increase in the intensity of coldwave variations in southern China relative to previous decades.A multi-model ensemble of seven state-of-the-art climate models shows an extension of the maximum loading of the CWI leading mode into southern China by the end of the 21st century (2080-2099) under the A1B global warming scenario (atmospheric CO2 concentration of 720 ppm).These results indicate that the primary response of the leading mode of CWI to global warming might be a southward extension of the extreme value center.This response may be associated with the southward shift of the storm track observed during recent decades.A significant change in the baroclinic growth rates around 40°N is accompanied by a consistent change in synoptic eddies in the troposphere,which may indicate a shift in the preferred latitude for the growth of eddies.As a result,the storm track tends to move southward,suggesting that southern China may experience increased storminess due to increased baroclinic instability in the troposphere. 展开更多
关键词 coldwave intensity southward extension warm period cold period
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Palaeo-sea-ice changes on the North Icelandic shelf during the last millennium:Evidence from diatom records 被引量:3
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作者 SHA LongBin JIANG Hui +4 位作者 LIU YanGuang ZHAO MeiXun LI DongLing CHEN ZhenLou ZHAO Yun 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第6期962-970,共9页
A high resolution record of sea-ice concentration on the North Icelandic shelf during the last millennium has been reconstructed using a diatom-based sea-ice transfer function. The reconstructed sea-ice record for the... A high resolution record of sea-ice concentration on the North Icelandic shelf during the last millennium has been reconstructed using a diatom-based sea-ice transfer function. The reconstructed sea-ice record for the top of sediment core MD99–2275 exhibits a slightly increasing trend over the last 1000 years. Prior to AD 1300 sea-ice abundance was generally below the mean value, suggesting the strong influence of warm waters from the Irminger Current during the Medieval Warm Period. A marked increase of sea-ice concentration indicates an abrupt change to colder conditions after AD 1300, corresponding to the onset of the Little Ice Age. The agreement between the reconstructed sea-ice concentration and IP25 data obtained from the same core, as well as with historical records of Icelandic sea ice, suggests that diatoms may provide a valuable tool for future quantitative reconstructions of past sea-ice variability. In addition, agreement between changes in the reconstructed sea-ice record and variations in the abundance of the major diatom components indicates that sea-ice conditions on the North Icelandic shelf are generally strongly influenced by changes in the strength of two different water masses, the cold Polar water periodically derived from the East Greenland Current and the warm Irminger Current derived from the North Atlantic Current. Our proxy evidence also indicates that variations in solar activity have a considerable impact on ocean dynamics, which in turn affects sea-ice abundance. 展开更多
关键词 palaeo-sea-ice changes North Icelandic shelf Medieval Warm Period Little Ice Age
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Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Anomalies for 30-yr Warm Periods in China During the Past 2000 Years 被引量:3
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作者 郝志新 郑景云 +1 位作者 葛全胜 张学珍 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2012年第3期278-288,共11页
The spatial patterns of precipitation anomalies during five 30-yr warm periods of 691-720, 1231-1260, 1741-1770, 1921-1950, and 1981-2000 were investigated using a dryness/wetness grading dataset covering 48 stations ... The spatial patterns of precipitation anomalies during five 30-yr warm periods of 691-720, 1231-1260, 1741-1770, 1921-1950, and 1981-2000 were investigated using a dryness/wetness grading dataset covering 48 stations from Chinese historical documents and 22 precipitation proxy series from natural archives. It was found that the North China Plain (approximately 35^-40~N, east of 105~E) was dry in four warm periods within the centennial warm epochs of 600-750, the Medieval Warm Period (about 900-1300) and after 1900. A wet condition prevailed over most of China during 1741-1770, a 30-yr warm peak that occurred during the Little Ice Age (about 1650-1850). The spatial pattern of the precipitation anomaly in 1981-2000 over East China (25^-40~N, east of 105~E) is roughly consistent with that in 1231 1260, but a difference in the precipitation anomaly appeared over the Tibetan Plateau. The spatial patterns of the precipitation anomalies over China varied between all five 30-yr warm periods, which implies that the matching pattern between temperature and precipitation change is multiform, and the precipitation anomaly could be positive or negative when a decadal warm climate occurs in different climate epochs. This result may provide a primary reference for the mechanism detection and climate simulation of the precipitation anomaly of the future warm climate. 展开更多
关键词 spatial patterns precipitation anomalies 30-yr warm periods past 2000 years China
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Temperature variations along the Silk Road over the past 2000 years:Integration and perspectives 被引量:1
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作者 Jianhui CHEN Haipeng WANG +2 位作者 Yan LIU Shuai MA Wei HUANG 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第7期1468-1477,共10页
Reconstructing temperature changes along the Silk Road(SR)over the last two millennia can provide insights into past global changes and their impact on the rise and fall of ancient civilizations in this region.Numerou... Reconstructing temperature changes along the Silk Road(SR)over the last two millennia can provide insights into past global changes and their impact on the rise and fall of ancient civilizations in this region.Numerous high-quality single-site paleotemperature records have been produced for the eastern part of the SR(mainly for the Xinjiang region and its surrounding areas),which provide the data basis for a comprehensive synthesis.In this study,we used objective criteria to select 10 highquality ones from 30 temperature reconstructions derived from various geological archives including lacustrine sediments,ice cores,and tree rings in this region.Our aims are to summarize the pattern of temperature change over the past 2000 years,to provide a long-term viewpoint on the present warming,and to evaluate the impact of climate change on civilizations along the SR.The principal results are as follows:(1)The temperature variations over the last millennium are mutually consistent within these records.The study area experienced typical climate anomalies during the Medieval Warm Period(MWP,AD 1000-1250),the Little Ice Age(LIA,AD 1450-1850),and the Current Warm Period(CWP,AD 1850 to present);however,contrary to previous knowledge,the amplitude of climatic warming during the CWP did not exceed that during the MWP.(2)Fewer temperature records were available for the interval AD 1–1000,and there were large differences between them.For example,the reconstructed climate during both the Han Dynasty and the Sui-Tang Dynasties was either warm or cold,without prevailing consensus.(3)The warming during the MWP favored the rapid development of the SR route along the northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains,and the cooling during the LIA contributed to the decline of the SR marked by the closure of the Jiayuguan Pass.Notably,the scarcity of temperature records and the discrepancies between them during AD 1-1000 in the eastern part of the SR have hindered our understanding of the hydroclimatic changes and their influence on the development of civilizations along the SR.Thus,it is important to obtain an increased number of high-quality reliable records spanning the past 2000 year,and to examine the occurrence of local signals of temperature changes during the period of AD 1-1000.On the other hand,the paleotemperature investigation on the western part of the SR over the last two millennia is wholly insufficient,and thus more high-quality single-site and integrated studies are needed,to facilitate more comprehensive insights into the coupled relationship between climate change and the rise and fall of civilizations along the entire length of the Silk Road. 展开更多
关键词 Silk Road Medieval Warm Period Little Ice Age Current Warm Period Rise and fall of civilizations
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Human activity and climate change triggered the expansion of rocky desertification in the karst areas of Southwestern China 被引量:1
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作者 Chaojun CHEN Daoxian YUAN +11 位作者 Hai CHENG Tsailuen YU Chuanchou SHEN RLawrence EDWARDS Yao WU Siya XIAO Jian ZHANG Tao WANG Ran HUANG Ziqi LIU Tingyong LI Junyun LI 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第10期1761-1773,共13页
It is conducive to the sustainable development of human beings in karst regions to research the mechanism of karst rocky desertification(KRD)expansion.Whether the large-scale KRD in southwestern China is caused by cli... It is conducive to the sustainable development of human beings in karst regions to research the mechanism of karst rocky desertification(KRD)expansion.Whether the large-scale KRD in southwestern China is caused by climate change or human activities is still controversial.In this study,the evolution of the KRD in southwestern China over the past 2000 years was reconstructed through the high-precisionδ^(13)C record of stalagmites from Shijiangjun(SJJ)Cave,Guizhou Province,China.Theδ^(13)C of the stalagmites from SJJ Cave exhibited heavy values from the Medieval Warm Period(MWP)to the Little Ice Age(LIA).Furthermore,theδ^(13)C records of other stalagmites and tufa from southwestern China also showed the same significant heavy trend.Because the stalagmiteδ^(13)C could record the change of ecological environment,it indicated that the consistent change of the stalagmitesδ^(13)C may record the process of KRD expansion in the karst regions of southwestern China.During the MWP,the stronger Asian summer monsoon and the northward movement of the rain belt led to a dry period in southwestern China and a wet period in northern China.In contrast,it was wet in southwestern China and dry in northern China during the LIA.In addition,after the Jing-Kang event(JK event,AD1127)occurred at the end of the Northern Song dynasty,the political and economic center of China migrated to southern China for the first time,which changed the population distribution pattern of larger population in the north and smaller population in the south.Therefore,the expansion of KRD in southwestern China was exacerbated in the MWP due to the change of climate in southwestern China,the migration of a large number of people,wars,the large-scale reclamation of arable land,and the cultivation of large areas of crops. 展开更多
关键词 Karst rocky desertification Jing-Kang event Stalagmiteδ13C record Medieval Warm Period Little Ice Age
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Quantitative attribution of Northern Hemisphere temperatures over the past 2000 years
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作者 Feng SHI Mingfang TING Zhengtang GUO 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第2期632-641,共10页
Quantitative assessment of natural internal variability and externally forced responses of Northern Hemisphere(NH)temperatures is necessary for understanding and attributing climate change signals during past warm and... Quantitative assessment of natural internal variability and externally forced responses of Northern Hemisphere(NH)temperatures is necessary for understanding and attributing climate change signals during past warm and cold periods.However,it remains a challenge to distinguish the robust internally generated variability from the observed variability.Here,largeensemble(70 member)simulations,Energy Balance Model simulation,temperature ensemble reconstruction,and three dominant external forcings(volcanic,solar,and greenhouse gas)were combined to estimate the internal variability of NH summer(June–August)temperatures over the past 2000 years(1–2000 CE).Results indicate that the Medieval Climate Anomaly was predominantly attributed to centennial-scale internal oscillation,accounting for an estimated 104%of the warming anomaly.In contrast,the Current Warm Period is influenced mainly by external forcing,contributing up to 90%of the warming anomaly.Internal temperature variability offsets cooling by volcanic eruptions during the Late Antique Little Ice Age.These findings have important implications for the attribution of past climate variability and improvement of future climate projections. 展开更多
关键词 Common Era Internal variability Dark Ages Cold Period Medieval Climate Anomaly Current Warm Period
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