This paper presents the framework of probabilistic power system planning.The basic concepts,criteria,procedure,analysis techniques and tasks of probabilistic power system planning are discussed.Probabilistic reliabili...This paper presents the framework of probabilistic power system planning.The basic concepts,criteria,procedure,analysis techniques and tasks of probabilistic power system planning are discussed.Probabilistic reliability evaluation and probabilistic economic assessment are two key steps.It should also be recognized that probabilistic system planning has a wider coverage than these two aspects.An actual example using a utility system is given to demonstrate an application of probabilistic transmission development planning.展开更多
基金supported in part by the National 111 Project of China(B08036).
文摘This paper presents the framework of probabilistic power system planning.The basic concepts,criteria,procedure,analysis techniques and tasks of probabilistic power system planning are discussed.Probabilistic reliability evaluation and probabilistic economic assessment are two key steps.It should also be recognized that probabilistic system planning has a wider coverage than these two aspects.An actual example using a utility system is given to demonstrate an application of probabilistic transmission development planning.