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Analysis of PM2.5 concentrations in Heilongjiang Province associated with forest cover and other factors 被引量:6
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作者 Yu Zheng San Li +2 位作者 Chuanshan Zou Xiaojian Ma Guocai Zhang 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第1期269-276,共8页
Atmospheric particulate matter(PM2.5) seriously influences air quality. It is considered one of the main environmental triggers for lung and heart diseases. Air pollutants can be adsorbed by forest. In this study we i... Atmospheric particulate matter(PM2.5) seriously influences air quality. It is considered one of the main environmental triggers for lung and heart diseases. Air pollutants can be adsorbed by forest. In this study we investigated the effect of forest cover on urban PM2.5 concentrations in 12 cities in Heilongjiang Province,China. The forest cover in each city was constant throughout the study period. The average daily concentration of PM2.5 in 12 cities was below 75 lg/m^3 during the non-heating period but exceeded this level during heating period. Furthermore, there were more moderate pollution days in six cities. This indicated that forests had the ability to reduce the concentration of PM2.5 but the main cause of air pollution was excessive human interference and artificial heating in winter. We classified the 12 cities according to the average PM2.5 concentrations. The relationship between PM2.5 concentrations and forest cover was obtained by integrating forest cover, land area,heated areas and number of vehicles in cities. Finally,considering the complexity of PM2.5 formation and based on the theory of random forestry, we selected six cities and analyzed their meteorological and air pollutant data. The main factors affecting PM2.5 concentrations were PM10,NO_2, CO and SO_2 in air pollutants while meteorological factors were secondary. 展开更多
关键词 FOREST COVER Heilongjiang PROVINCE Influencing factor pm2.5 concentrations RANDOM FOREST
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A New Model Using Multiple Feature Clustering and Neural Networks for Forecasting Hourly PM2.5 Concentrations,and Its Applications in China 被引量:4
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作者 Hui Liu Zhihao Long +1 位作者 Zhu Duan Huipeng Shi 《Engineering》 SCIE EI 2020年第8期944-956,共13页
Particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter no greater than 2.5 lm(PM2.5)concentration forecasting is desirable for air pollution early warning.This study proposes an improved hybrid model,named multi-feature clus... Particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter no greater than 2.5 lm(PM2.5)concentration forecasting is desirable for air pollution early warning.This study proposes an improved hybrid model,named multi-feature clustering decomposition(MCD)–echo state network(ESN)–particle swarm optimization(PSO),for multi-step PM2.5 concentration forecasting.The proposed model includes decomposition and optimized forecasting components.In the decomposition component,an MCD method consisting of rough sets attribute reduction(RSAR),k-means clustering(KC),and the empirical wavelet transform(EWT)is proposed for feature selection and data classification.Within the MCD,the RSAR algorithm is adopted to select significant air pollutant variables,which are then clustered by the KC algorithm.The clustered results of the PM2.5 concentration series are decomposed into several sublayers by the EWT algorithm.In the optimized forecasting component,an ESN-based predictor is built for each decomposed sublayer to complete the multi-step forecasting computation.The PSO algorithm is utilized to optimize the initial parameters of the ESN-based predictor.Real PM2.5 concentration data from four cities located in different zones in China are utilized to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model.The experimental results indicate that the proposed forecasting model is suitable for the multi-step high-precision forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations and has better performance than the benchmark models. 展开更多
关键词 pm2.5 concentrations forecasting pm2.5 concentrations clustering Empirical wavelet transform Multi-step forecasting
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A Hybrid Deep Learning Approach for PM2.5 Concentration Prediction in Smart Environmental Monitoring
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作者 Minh Thanh Vo Anh HVo +1 位作者 Huong Bui Tuong Le 《Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing》 SCIE 2023年第6期3029-3041,共13页
Nowadays,air pollution is a big environmental problem in develop-ing countries.In this problem,particulate matter 2.5(PM2.5)in the air is an air pollutant.When its concentration in the air is high in developing countr... Nowadays,air pollution is a big environmental problem in develop-ing countries.In this problem,particulate matter 2.5(PM2.5)in the air is an air pollutant.When its concentration in the air is high in developing countries like Vietnam,it will harm everyone’s health.Accurate prediction of PM2.5 concentrations can help to make the correct decision in protecting the health of the citizen.This study develops a hybrid deep learning approach named PM25-CBL model for PM2.5 concentration prediction in Ho Chi Minh City,Vietnam.Firstly,this study analyzes the effects of variables on PM2.5 concentrations in Air Quality HCMC dataset.Only variables that affect the results will be selected for PM2.5 concentration prediction.Secondly,an efficient PM25-CBL model that integrates a convolutional neural network(CNN)andBidirectionalLongShort-TermMemory(Bi-LSTM)isdeveloped.This model consists of three following modules:CNN,Bi-LSTM,and Fully connected modules.Finally,this study conducts the experiment to compare the performance of our approach and several state-of-the-art deep learning models for time series prediction such as LSTM,Bi-LSTM,the combination of CNN and LSTM(CNN-LSTM),and ARIMA.The empirical results confirm that PM25-CBL model outperforms other methods for Air Quality HCMC dataset in terms of several metrics including Mean Squared Error(MSE),Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE),and Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE). 展开更多
关键词 Time series prediction pm2.5 concentration prediction CNN Bi-LSTM network
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贵阳市秋冬季PM2.5中重金属污染特征、来源解析及健康风险评估 被引量:27
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作者 郑灿利 范雪璐 +2 位作者 董娴 仇广乐 陈卓 《环境科学研究》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第6期1376-1383,共8页
为掌握贵阳市大气PM 2.5中重金属的污染特征、潜在来源和健康危害,于2017年10月—2018年2月白天(08:00—19:00)、夜间(20:00—翌日07:00)连续采集秋、冬两季大气颗粒物PM 2.5样品(n=202),采用电感耦合等离子体质谱(ICP-MS)法,检测样品... 为掌握贵阳市大气PM 2.5中重金属的污染特征、潜在来源和健康危害,于2017年10月—2018年2月白天(08:00—19:00)、夜间(20:00—翌日07:00)连续采集秋、冬两季大气颗粒物PM 2.5样品(n=202),采用电感耦合等离子体质谱(ICP-MS)法,检测样品中10种重金属(Pb、Cd、Cr、As、Zn、Mn、Co、Ni、Cu和V)含量,分析其昼夜质量浓度特征及变化规律,运用PMF(正定矩阵因子分析)模型和HMHR(健康风险评价模型)分别探讨其来源及健康风险.结果表明:①秋、冬两季大气颗粒物ρ(PM 2.5)日均值分别为(53±18)(62±20)μg/m^3,均低于GB 3095—2012《环境空气质量标准》二级标准(75μg/m^3);ρ(As)、ρ(Zn)和ρ(Mn)均呈冬季高于秋季的特征,其他元素变化不明显.②白天ρ(PM 2.5)为(61±20)μg/m^3,稍高于夜间〔(58±24)μg/m^3〕;ρ(Pb)白天低于夜间,ρ(Ni)、ρ(Mn)、ρ(Zn)和ρ(Cu)则白天高于夜间,其他元素昼夜质量浓度无明显差异.③PMF模型分析表明,交通污染、燃煤、工业冶金和土壤扬尘是采样期间10种重金属的主要来源,其贡献率分别为39%、37%、14%、10%.④HMHR结果表明,Cd和Mn对儿童存在非致癌风险,其他重金属元素对人群无非致癌风险.致癌元素As、Cr和Cd的致癌风险值介于4.3×10^-6~4.4×10^-5之间,对人群可能存在致癌风险;而Ni和Co的致癌风险值均低于可接受水平(10^-6).研究显示,贵阳市秋、冬两季PM 2.5中重金属污染水平整体较低,交通污染和煤炭燃烧是其主要来源,重金属元素中Cd、Mn、As和Cr对人群存在一定的健康风险. 展开更多
关键词 pm2.5 重金属元素 昼夜浓度变化 来源解析 风险评估
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基于地面监测站的慈溪PM2.5动态分布特征研究
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作者 阮芳芳 《宁波工程学院学报》 2017年第4期16-20,共5页
PM2.5己成为当前我国大中城市的首要空气污染物,是造成灰霾天气的主要原因。通过对慈溪的环保大楼、实验小学2个监测站点进行监测,获得2014年6月1日至2017年4月30日的PM2.5日平均浓度数据。利用统计学方法,定量分析慈溪PM2.5的污染程度... PM2.5己成为当前我国大中城市的首要空气污染物,是造成灰霾天气的主要原因。通过对慈溪的环保大楼、实验小学2个监测站点进行监测,获得2014年6月1日至2017年4月30日的PM2.5日平均浓度数据。利用统计学方法,定量分析慈溪PM2.5的污染程度和时空分布特征,并简要探讨影响PM2.5污染的因素。结果表明,慈溪PM2.5污染逐年下降;PM2.5浓度季节变化和月变化规律明显,均呈"U"型分布;两个监测站点PM2.5浓度分布特征基本一致,具有空间相似性。 展开更多
关键词 PM2 5浓度 分布特征 慈溪
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基于卫星遥感和气象再分析资料的北京市PM2.5浓度反演研究 被引量:17
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作者 邵琦 陈云浩 李京 《地理与地理信息科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2018年第3期32-38,共7页
为获取城市尺度空间连续准确的PM_(2.5)浓度,该文以北京市为研究区,充分考虑气溶胶光学厚度和气象因素的影响,利用2017年MODIS 3km AOD产品和ECMWF-ERA5气象再分析资料,结合空气质量监测站点的PM_(2.5)数据,分别基于随机森林、多元线性... 为获取城市尺度空间连续准确的PM_(2.5)浓度,该文以北京市为研究区,充分考虑气溶胶光学厚度和气象因素的影响,利用2017年MODIS 3km AOD产品和ECMWF-ERA5气象再分析资料,结合空气质量监测站点的PM_(2.5)数据,分别基于随机森林、多元线性回归、支持向量机和神经网络方法反演近地面的PM_(2.5)浓度,结果表明:随机森林的反演精度最高、效果最好,其平均绝对误差(MAE)为12.08μg/m^3、均方根误差(RMSE)为18.42μg/m^3;对自变量进行重要性分析,气溶胶光学厚度对PM_(2.5)反演模型的影响最大,其次为相对湿度、边界层高度和2m气温。利用随机森林模型反演非采暖期(4-11月)的PM_(2.5)浓度,并进行时空分析,结果表明:PM_(2.5)月均浓度差异显著;空间分布呈现出中部、南部和东部较高,北部、东北部和西南部较低的特点;变化幅度呈现出中部和南部较大,西北部和西南部较小的分布特点。 展开更多
关键词 pm2.5 卫星遥感 气象再分析资料 机器学习 时空分析
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VARIATION CHARACTERISTICS OF THE PLANETARY BOUNDARY LAYER HEIGHT AND ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH PM2.5 CONCENTRATION OVER CHINA 被引量:5
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作者 WANG Yin-jun XU Xiang-de +1 位作者 ZHAO Yang WANG Min-zhong 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2018年第3期385-394,共10页
The planetary boundary layer height(PBLH) was calculated using the radiosonde sounding data, including120 L-band operational sites and 8 GPS sites in China. The diurnal and seasonal variations of PBLH were analyzed us... The planetary boundary layer height(PBLH) was calculated using the radiosonde sounding data, including120 L-band operational sites and 8 GPS sites in China. The diurnal and seasonal variations of PBLH were analyzed using radiosonde sounding(OBS-PBLH) and ERA data(ERA-PBLH). Based on comparison and error analyses, we discussed the main error sources in these data. The frequency distributions of PBLH variations under different regimes(the convective boundary layer, the neutral residual layer, and the stable boundary layer) can be well fitted by a Gamma distribution and the shape parameter k and scale parameter s values were obtained for different regions of China. The variation characteristics of PBLH were found in summer under these three regimes for different regions. The relationships between PBLH and PM_(2.5) concentration generally follow a power law under very low or no precipitation conditions in the region of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei in summer. The results usually deviated from this power distribution only under strong precipitation or high relative humidity conditions because of the effects of hygroscopic growth of aerosols or wet deposition. The OBS-PBLH provided a reasonable spatial distribution relative to ERA-PBLH.This indicates that OBS-PBLH has the potential for identifying the variation of PM_(2.5) concentration. 展开更多
关键词 L-band and GPS sounding planetary boundary layer height pm2.5 concentration
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猪舍NH3对大气PM2.5浓度影响机理分析 被引量:2
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作者 张辰 耿红 +5 位作者 智建辉 付玉玲 潘佳音 李志平 岳建伟 徐敏 《环境生态学》 2019年第2期53-58,65,共7页
农业源NH 3排放对大气PM 2.5和灰霾形成有重要影响。为探索畜禽养殖场NH 3排放对大气PM 2.5浓度和化学成分的作用机理,选择山西省太原市尖草坪区一育肥猪场为研究地点,使用固定式NH 3在线检测仪和大气PM 2.5实时监测仪于2017年7月13日~1... 农业源NH 3排放对大气PM 2.5和灰霾形成有重要影响。为探索畜禽养殖场NH 3排放对大气PM 2.5浓度和化学成分的作用机理,选择山西省太原市尖草坪区一育肥猪场为研究地点,使用固定式NH 3在线检测仪和大气PM 2.5实时监测仪于2017年7月13日~19日连续测量猪舍内外NH 3和PM 2.5质量浓度,同时记录气温和相对湿度;使用中流量大气PM 2.5采样器采集细颗粒样品并用离子色谱仪测量样品中NH+4、NO-3和SO 2-4含量,结果显示:(1)猪舍外和猪舍内NH 3 24 h平均浓度分别为5.37±0.35 mg/m 3和7.49±0.37 mg/m 3,它们的小时浓度变化趋势一致,白天NH 3平均浓度低于夜间;(2)猪舍外和猪舍内大气PM 2.5浓度24h平均值分别为93±18μg/m 3和81±6μg/m 3,它们白天的波动范围相似,但夜间猪舍外大气PM 2.5浓度显著增大;(3)猪舍内外大气PM 2.5中NH+4含量与NO-3、SO 2-4以及空气中NH 3浓度显著相关,表明猪舍内NH 3对大气PM 2.5中二次气溶胶的形成有一定贡献,可以增大养殖场周围大气PM 2.5质量浓度。由于猪舍内外NH 3浓度变化与空气中PM 2.5浓度呈相反关系,且NH 3和PM 2.5质量浓度均为夜间大于白天,NH 3/NH+4比值与温湿度也存在较好的相关性,说明光照、气温、相对湿度等对NH 3转化为二次气溶胶影响很大,养殖场NH 3排放对大气PM 2.5质量浓度的作用机理仍需深入探索。 展开更多
关键词 猪场 NH 3排放 大气PM 2.5 质量浓度 作用机理
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Analysis on Thermal Environment of Underlying Surface and PM2.5 Concentration in Community Park of Beijing in Winter 被引量:3
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作者 PENG Li XU Zhenghou CHEN Heming 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2020年第6期41-46,共6页
Community park is one of the most important landscape spaces for urban people to live outdoors,and people’s perception of environmental microclimate is a direct factor affecting the use frequency and experience of co... Community park is one of the most important landscape spaces for urban people to live outdoors,and people’s perception of environmental microclimate is a direct factor affecting the use frequency and experience of community parks.In this paper,Shijingshan Sculpture Park of Beijing was taken as experimental object.Using the method of fi eld measurement,9-d winter test for 3 months was conducted in three kinds of landscape architecture spaces,including waterfront plaza,open green space and square under the forest.Via regression analysis method,the measured air temperature(Ta),relative humidity of air(RH),particulate matter(PM2.5)were analyzed.It is found that winter sunshine is main infl uence factor of garden microclimate,and there is a negative correlation between local temperature and humidity;local temperature and humidity can regulate the local PM2.5 concentration,and temperature shows negative correlation with PM2.5 concentration,while humidity shows positive correlation with PM2.5 concentration.Meanwhile,via comparative analysis of temperature,humidity and PM2.5 concentration in different types of garden spaces,the infl uence of different space forms,planting forms and materials on thermal environment of underlying surface and PM2.5 concentration was summarized,and design strategy was optimized,to be as benefi cial reference of reconstruction design of community parks. 展开更多
关键词 Garden microclimate Community park Thermal environment of underlying surface pm2.5 concentration WINTER
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克拉玛依市PM2.5质量浓度分布及其影响因素分析 被引量:3
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作者 郭凤娟 李春花 窦春苓 《气象与环境学报》 2020年第4期52-58,共7页
利用2015年1月至2017年12月中国环境监测总站全国城市空气质量实时发布平台中公布的克拉玛依5个监测点数据和同时期克拉玛依国家基本气象站的观测数据,分别研究了克拉玛依市4个行政区的PM 2.5浓度的时空变化特征以及气象条件对克拉玛依P... 利用2015年1月至2017年12月中国环境监测总站全国城市空气质量实时发布平台中公布的克拉玛依5个监测点数据和同时期克拉玛依国家基本气象站的观测数据,分别研究了克拉玛依市4个行政区的PM 2.5浓度的时空变化特征以及气象条件对克拉玛依PM 2.5浓度变化的影响。结果表明:从月份上看,克拉玛依每年的1月、2月、12月PM 2.5浓度最高,3月、11月PM 2.5浓度较高,其中,独山子每年2月的PM 2.5浓度均最高,2016年2月独山子PM 2.5平均浓度最高,达到134μg·m^-3,超过国家一级标准值的2.8倍,属于中度污染,从季节上看,克拉玛依四季PM 2.5浓度变化呈现波峰波谷变化趋势,表现为冬季最高,春季次之,夏季、秋季各区变化不一的特点,采暖期的PM 2.5浓度高于非采暖期的PM 2.5浓度;克拉玛依PM 2.5浓度在空间上的总体分布为:独山子区>白碱滩区>克拉玛依区>乌尔禾区;从风向、风速、气温、气压和相对湿度等气象要素与PM 2.5浓度的相关性来看,气压、相对湿度与PM 2.5浓度呈显著正相关,气温、风速、风向与PM 2.5浓度呈负相关,其中气温、风向与PM 2.5浓度呈显著负相关。 展开更多
关键词 pm2.5浓度 时空变化 气象条件
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不同出行方式大气PM2.5个体暴露分析 被引量:1
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作者 罗利萍 李友平 +2 位作者 郭佳灵 郭俊江 周恣羽 《四川环境》 2019年第3期77-82,共6页
于2017年7月在南充市城区固定线路,分别用粉尘测定仪和激光粒子计数器连续6d对步行、出租车、公交车、摩托车、私家车、自行车6种出行方式大气PM2.5个体暴露质量浓度、数浓度进行监测,分析不同出行方式大气PM2.5个体暴露质量浓度和数浓... 于2017年7月在南充市城区固定线路,分别用粉尘测定仪和激光粒子计数器连续6d对步行、出租车、公交车、摩托车、私家车、自行车6种出行方式大气PM2.5个体暴露质量浓度、数浓度进行监测,分析不同出行方式大气PM2.5个体暴露质量浓度和数浓度。结果表明,不同出行方式质量浓度最高和最低分别为自行车(68.0±32.2)μg/m^3和出租车(35.6±21.5)μg/m^3;数浓度最高和最低分别为步行(1.93×10^8)N/m3和私家车(2.49×10^4)N/m^3。质量浓度和数浓度的暴露量最高分别为自行车(76.6±3.8)μg和自行车(2.25×10^8)N;两种浓度下出租车和私家车比较结果相差不大,而其他四种出行方式呈现完全不同的结果。 展开更多
关键词 pm2.5 个体暴露 质量浓度 数浓度 出行方式
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Identification of Major Sources of PM2.5 in St. Louis Missouri USA
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作者 WANG Guanlan HOPKE Philipt FU Gang 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS 2009年第2期101-110,共10页
The objective of this study is to examine the use of the conditional probability function(CPF) and nonparametric regression(NPR) to identify the relationship between wind direction and concentration of PM2.5(particula... The objective of this study is to examine the use of the conditional probability function(CPF) and nonparametric regression(NPR) to identify the relationship between wind direction and concentration of PM2.5(particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm). Twenty four-hour integrated PM2.5 mass and species concentrations were measured at the St. Louis-Midwest Supersite in East St. Louis,Illinois,USA in the periods of 22-28 June 2001,7-13 November 2001,and 19-25 March 2002. Wind directions were measured on site. The concentrations of 15 elements and ions,i.e. Al,As,Cd,Cr,Cu,Fe,Mn,Ni,Pb,Se,Zn,OC,EC,SO4,and NO3 were calculated using the CPF and NPR. The comparison between the results obtained from the CPF and NPR demonstrated that they both agreed well with the locations of the known local point sources. The CPF was simpler and easier to calculate than NPR. In contrast,NPR provided PM2.5 concentrations but with some uncertainties. This study indicates that both methods can be utilized to promote the source apportionment study of ambient PM2.5. 展开更多
关键词 conditional probability function nonparametric regression wind direction pm2.5 concentration.
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Geographical Analysis of Lung Cancer Mortality Rate and PM2.5 Using Global Annual Average PM2.5 Grids from MODIS and MISR Aerosol Optical Depth
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作者 Zhiyong Hu Ethan Baker 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2017年第6期183-197,共15页
Exposure to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) may increase risk of lung cancer. The repetitive and broad-area coverage of satellites may allow atmospheric remote sensing to o... Exposure to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) may increase risk of lung cancer. The repetitive and broad-area coverage of satellites may allow atmospheric remote sensing to offer a unique opportunity to monitor air quality and help fill air pollution data gaps that hinder efforts to study air pollution and protect public health. This geographical study explores if there is an association between PM2.5 and lung cancer mortality rate in the conterminous USA. Lung cancer (ICD-10 codes C34- C34) death count and population at risk by county were extracted for the period from 2001 to 2010 from the U.S. CDC WONDER online database. The 2001-2010 Global Annual Average PM2.5 Grids from MODIS and MISR Aerosol Optical Depth dataset was used to calculate a 10 year average PM2.5 pollution. Exploratory spatial data analyses, spatial regression (a spatial lag and a spatial error model), and spatially extended Bayesian Monte Carlo Markov Chain simulation found that there is a significant positive association between lung cancer mortality rate and PM2.5. The association would justify the need of further toxicological investigation of the biological mechanism of the adverse effect of the PM2.5 pollution on lung cancer. The Global Annual Average PM2.5 Grids from MODIS and MISR Aerosol Optical Depth dataset provides a continuous surface of concentrations of PM2.5 and is a useful data source for environmental health research. 展开更多
关键词 LUNG Cancer pm2.5 Remote Sensing GIS EXPLORATORY SPATIAL data Analysis SPATIAL Regression Bayesian MCMC Simulation
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Multi-Scale Variation Prediction of PM2.5 Concentration Based on a Monte Carlo Method
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作者 Chen Ding Guizhi Wang Qi Liu 《Journal on Big Data》 2019年第2期55-69,共15页
Haze concentration prediction,especially PM2.5,has always been a significant focus of air quality research,which is necessary to start a deep study.Aimed at predicting the monthly average concentration of PM2.5 in Bei... Haze concentration prediction,especially PM2.5,has always been a significant focus of air quality research,which is necessary to start a deep study.Aimed at predicting the monthly average concentration of PM2.5 in Beijing,a novel method based on Monte Carlo model is conducted.In order to fully exploit the value of PM2.5 data,we take logarithmic processing of the original PM2.5 data and propose two different scales of the daily concentration and the daily chain development speed of PM2.5 respectively.The results show that these data are both approximately normal distribution.On the basis of the results,a Monte Carlo method can be applied to establish a probability model of normal distribution based on two different variables and random sampling numbers can also be generated by computer.Through a large number of simulation experiments,the average monthly concentration of PM2.5 in Beijing and the general trend of PM2.5 can be obtained.By comparing the errors between the real data and the predicted data,the Monte Carlo method is reliable in predicting the PM2.5 monthly mean concentration in the area.This study also provides a feasible method that may be applied in other studies to predict other pollutants with large scale time series data. 展开更多
关键词 Monte Carlo method random sampling pm2.5 concentration chain development speed trend prediction
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地理加权回归建模结果不确定性度量与约束方法 被引量:1
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作者 刘宁 邹滨 张鸿辉 《测绘学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第2期307-317,共11页
作为一种经典局部加权最小二乘方法,地理加权回归建模一直受样本空间稀疏及预测变量局部共线性等因素困扰,导致建模结果不确定性呈现空间异质。通过协方差传播定律构建后验标准差精度评价指标,本文提出了一种地理加权回归建模结果不确... 作为一种经典局部加权最小二乘方法,地理加权回归建模一直受样本空间稀疏及预测变量局部共线性等因素困扰,导致建模结果不确定性呈现空间异质。通过协方差传播定律构建后验标准差精度评价指标,本文提出了一种地理加权回归建模结果不确定性度量与约束方法,并基于地表PM 2.5浓度遥感制图实例开展了验证。试验结果表明:不确定性约束后,不同参数下地理加权回归模型的拟合精度、基于样本/站点/区域的十折交叉验证精度均有改善;局部共线性导致的模型回归系数符号偏差问题得到了改正;模型预测结果奇异值及负值能被有效甄别,有效提升了地表PM 2.5浓度制图结果的可靠性。该不确定性度量与约束方法可有效保证地理加权回归模型估算结果的稳定性和有效性。 展开更多
关键词 地理加权回归模型 不确定性度量 PM 2.5浓度 遥感制图
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相干测风激光雷达探测效能评估研究
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作者 吴俊杰 徐足音 +2 位作者 王耀辉 杨传军 陈明 《激光技术》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第5期716-722,共7页
为了评估相干测风激光雷达在不同扫描模式下探测效能与气象要素之间的联系,使用2020-08~2021-07期间广汉机场相干测风激光雷达探测数据进行了分析验证。结果表明,方位角测量模式扫描方式下,探测距离在3 km之后,探测效能线性下降,90°... 为了评估相干测风激光雷达在不同扫描模式下探测效能与气象要素之间的联系,使用2020-08~2021-07期间广汉机场相干测风激光雷达探测数据进行了分析验证。结果表明,方位角测量模式扫描方式下,探测距离在3 km之后,探测效能线性下降,90°扫描时,500 m后探测效能开始线性下降;总体探测效能在11月最高,7月最低;11月至次年7月呈下降趋势,7~11月呈上升趋势;在日落后至日出前的探测效能较低,在午间探测效能最高;夏秋季节,激光雷达探测效能与PM 2.5质量浓度呈现正相关,与降雨量的对数呈负相关。该研究为机场激光雷达识别低空风切变准确度提供了重要的基础保障。 展开更多
关键词 激光技术 探测效能 相干测风激光雷达 PM 2.5质量浓度 降雨量
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Research on PM_(2.5) Concentration Prediction Algorithm Based on Temporal and Spatial Features
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作者 Song Yu Chen Wang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第6期5555-5571,共17页
PM2.5 has a non-negligible impact on visibility and air quality as an important component of haze and can affect cloud formation and rainfall and thus change the climate,and it is an evaluation indicator of air pollut... PM2.5 has a non-negligible impact on visibility and air quality as an important component of haze and can affect cloud formation and rainfall and thus change the climate,and it is an evaluation indicator of air pollution level.Achieving PM2.5 concentration prediction based on relevant historical data mining can effectively improve air pollution forecasting ability and guide air pollution prevention and control.The past methods neglected the impact caused by PM2.5 flow between cities when analyzing the impact of inter-city PM2.5 concentrations,making it difficult to further improve the prediction accuracy.However,factors including geographical information such as altitude and distance and meteorological information such as wind speed and wind direction affect the flow of PM2.5 between cities,leading to the change of PM2.5 concentration in cities.So a PM2.5 directed flow graph is constructed in this paper.Geographic and meteorological data is introduced into the graph structure to simulate the spatial PM2.5 flow transmission relationship between cities.The introduction of meteorological factors like wind direction depicts the unequal flow relationship of PM2.5 between cities.Based on this,a PM2.5 concentration prediction method integrating spatial-temporal factors is proposed in this paper.A spatial feature extraction method based on weight aggregation graph attention network(WGAT)is proposed to extract the spatial correlation features of PM2.5 in the flow graph,and a multi-step PM2.5 prediction method based on attention gate control loop unit(AGRU)is proposed.The PM2.5 concentration prediction model WGAT-AGRU with fused spatiotemporal features is constructed by combining the two methods to achieve multi-step PM2.5 concentration prediction.Finally,accuracy and validity experiments are conducted on the KnowAir dataset,and the results show that the WGAT-AGRU model proposed in the paper has good performance in terms of prediction accuracy and validates the effectiveness of the model. 展开更多
关键词 Spatiotemporal fusion pm2.5 concentration prediction graph neural network recurrent neural network attention mechanism
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北京区域环境气象数值预报系统及PM_(2.5)预报检验 被引量:42
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作者 赵秀娟 徐敬 +3 位作者 张自银 张小玲 范水勇 苏捷 《应用气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第2期160-172,共13页
基于北京地区快速更新循环同化预报系统(BJ-RUC)、WRF-Chem模式和优选的能见度参数化方案,建立了北京区域环境气象数值预报系统。对2014年全年PM_(2.5)浓度、能见度和APEC(Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation)期间预报效果检验结果表明... 基于北京地区快速更新循环同化预报系统(BJ-RUC)、WRF-Chem模式和优选的能见度参数化方案,建立了北京区域环境气象数值预报系统。对2014年全年PM_(2.5)浓度、能见度和APEC(Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation)期间预报效果检验结果表明:该系统对京津冀及周边地区PM_(2.5)浓度的预报效果较好,大部分站点的相关系数在0.6以上,特别足北京的部分站点可达0.8以上,预报结果相比观测总体偏低,随着预报时效的延长,24 h之后预报效果略有下降。相比人工观测,能见度预报结果与自动观测能见度更加接近,对持续性低能见度过程预报与实况吻合较好,对于小时能见度低于10 km的分级检验显示,预报准确率从77%左右逐级下降,2 km以下在40%左右。2014年APEC期间,系统很好地预报出北京地区空气质量指数、PM_(2.5)浓度和能见度的时空演变特征,为APEC期间环境气象预报服务提供了有力的技术支撑。 展开更多
关键词 环境气象 PM(2.5)浓度 能见度 预报检验
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气象参数对基于BP神经网络的PM_(2.5)日均值预报模型的影响 被引量:6
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作者 姚达文 刘永红 +3 位作者 丁卉 黄晶 詹鹃铭 徐伟嘉 《安全与环境学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第6期324-328,共5页
建立了基于BP神经网络的PM_(2.5)质量浓度预报模型,对广州市5个监测点2012年6月—2013年5月的PM_(2.5)质量浓度日均值进行预报,分析了总体预报误差、不同风速和降雨量下的预报误差,以及天气预报误差对PM_(2.5)质量浓度预报误差的影响。... 建立了基于BP神经网络的PM_(2.5)质量浓度预报模型,对广州市5个监测点2012年6月—2013年5月的PM_(2.5)质量浓度日均值进行预报,分析了总体预报误差、不同风速和降雨量下的预报误差,以及天气预报误差对PM_(2.5)质量浓度预报误差的影响。结果表明,BP神经网络模型对5个站点的PM_(2.5)预报结果稳定,平均相对误差为29.71%。在有利于PM_(2.5)扩散的气象条件下预报误差较大,风速较大时与风速较小时预报误差的差异高达15%,而不同降雨量情况下的预报误差较相近。修正天气预报后,各站点的预报误差平均降低了4.67%。这表明可从空气质量数据质量等方面入手改进模型。 展开更多
关键词 环境学 pm2.5日均值预报 BP神经网络 气象参数 预报误差
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新型现代有轨电车内PM 2.5浓度实时监测系统设计 被引量:4
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作者 王迪 陈光武 《传感器与微系统》 CSCD 2017年第4期87-89,93,共4页
设计了一种新型的基于GPRS的现代有轨电车内PM 2.5浓度实时监测系统。系统包括车载硬件终端和中心平台,车载硬件终端实现对电车内PM 2.5浓度数据采集;中心平台以TCP协议的Socket通信为基础,采用Visual Basic软件设计,能实时显示和记录车... 设计了一种新型的基于GPRS的现代有轨电车内PM 2.5浓度实时监测系统。系统包括车载硬件终端和中心平台,车载硬件终端实现对电车内PM 2.5浓度数据采集;中心平台以TCP协议的Socket通信为基础,采用Visual Basic软件设计,能实时显示和记录车内PM 2.5浓度的动态曲线以及历史数据。车载硬件终端与中心平台间采用GPRS网络模块SIM900A通信。该系统通过与车内空气净化器组合使用,可提高车内空气质量。 展开更多
关键词 有轨电车 pm2.5浓度监测 通用分组无线业务 空气净化
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