Integration of Ideological and Political Education into the Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics Course:A Teaching Design Based on Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

With the rapid development of higher education in China,colleges and universities are facing new challenges and impacts in talent training.Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics is one of the important courses in higher education for science and engineering majors and economics and management majors.Its critical role in cultivating students’thinking skills and improving their problem-solving skills is self-evident.Course ideological and political education construction is an important link in college talent training work.Combining ideological and political education with course teaching can help students establish correct value concepts and play a certain role in improving their comprehensive ability and quality.At present,the construction of ideological and political education in the Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course still faces some problems,mainly manifested in the lack of attention paid by teachers to course ideological and political education,insufficient exploitation of ideological and political elements,and the simplification of ideological and political education implementation methods.In order to comprehensively deepen the construction of course ideological and political education in line with the actual needs of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course teaching,we should strengthen the construction of teacher teams,improve teachers’ability to carry out course ideological and political education,integrate educational resources,develop educational resources for ideological and political education,and innovate teaching methods to improve the overall effect of ideological and political education integration.

Hypothetical Dark Matter Explains the Origin of Subatomic Universe: FEP-Theory

Although the standard model provides a suitable pattern based on observable experimental data, it cannot explain dark matter, gravitation, the structural nature of the fundamental particles, and charges. In this paper, a new theory about the nature of charges, particles and proposed structures for atoms were presented. This theory explains how an ideal quantum fluid (IQF) including hypothetical dark matter or fundamental elementary particles (FEPs) can produce the building blocks of matter. This theory describes quadruple blocks with two types of independent charges that can create different characteristics for these building blocks. Quadruple blocks have similarities and differences with the fundamental particles in standard model. This theory also explains the possible mechanism of creation the next generation of particles such as protons and neutrons.

Nonequilibrium Statistical Theory of Fracture

Nonequilibrium statistical theory of fracture is a theory of fracture that macromechanical quantities can be derived from the microscopic atomic mechanism of microcrack(or microvoid)evolution kinetcs by means of nonequilibrium statistical physical concepts and methods. The microcrack evolution equation is the central equation in the theory.The coefficents of the equation, the microcrack growth rate and the microcrack nucleation rate,come from microscopic atomic mechanism.The solution of the equation connects with macromechanical quantities by the model of the weakest chain. All the other formulas and quantities, for instance, distribution function,fracture probability, reliability, failure rate and macromechanical quantities such as strength, toughness, life etc. and their statistical distribution function and statistical fluctuation are derived in a unified fashion and expressed by a few physical parameters. This theory can be widely applied to various kinds of fracture, such as the brittle, fatigue, delayed and environmental fracture of metals and structural ceramics. The theoretical framework of this theory is given in this paper.

Correlation of ^1H NMR Chemical Shift for Aqueous Solutions by Statistical Associating Fluid Theory Association Model

1H NMR chemical shifts of binary aqueous mixtures of acylamide, alcohol, dimethyl sulphoxide (DMSO), and acetone are correlated by statistical associating fluid theory (SAFT) association model. The comparison between SAPT association model and Wilson equation shows that the former is better for dealing with aqueous solutions. Finally, the specialties of both models are discussed.

Construction of a Comprehensive Soundscape Evaluation System in Forest Parks Based on Grey Statistical Theory

Based on collection and arrangement of evaluation indicators of soundscape in a forest park,24 primary evaluation indicators are chosen by grey statistical theory.The results show that there are 5 main factors influencing soundscape in a forest park,including water soundscape,wind soundscape,animal soundscape,recreation soundscape,and artificial soundscape,which contain 13 evaluation indicators.Among these factors,natural sound elements account for 84.6%.Thus a comprehensive evaluation indicator system of soundscape(including natural and unnatural soundscape) in a forest park is constructed by the selected evaluation indicators,and it is expected to provide a reference for scientific and systematic construction and development of forest parks in future.

A Measurement Theoretical Foundation of Statistics

It is a matter of course that Kolmogorov’s probability theory is a very useful mathematical tool for the analysis of statistics. However, this fact never means that statistics is based on Kolmogorov’s probability theory, since it is not guaranteed that mathematics and our world are connected. In order that mathematics asserts some statements concerning our world, a certain theory (so called “world view”) mediates between mathematics and our world. Recently we propose measurement theory (i.e., the theory of the quantum mechanical world view), which is characterized as the linguistic turn of quantum mechanics. In this paper, we assert that statistics is based on measurement theory. And, for example, we show, from the pure theoretical point of view (i.e., from the measurement theoretical point of view), that regression analysis can not be justified without Bayes’ theorem. This may imply that even the conventional classification of (Fisher’s) statistics and Bayesian statistics should be reconsidered.

Statistical Theory of Turbulence by the Late Lamented Dr. Shunichi TsugéCase Study on Flow through a Grid in Wind Tunnel

This paper is concerned with statistical theory of turbulence by the late lamented Dr. Shunichi Tsugé.? The theory has been applied to the primary flow through a grid fixed vertically with respect to the horizontal axis of the wind tunnel.?The first analytical solution has been obtained and explained the well-known “the inverse-linear decay law” of the turbulent intensity.? It is believed that the present result is the first exact solution in the theory of turbulence.

Non-equilibrium statistical theory about microscopic fatigue cracks of metal in magnetic field

This paper develops the non-equilibrium statistical fatigue damage theory to study the statistical behaviour of micro-crack for metals in magnetic field. The one-dimensional homogeneous crack system is chosen for study. To investigate the effect caused by magnetic field on the statistical distribution of micro-crack in the system, the theoretical analysis on microcrack evolution equation, the average length of micro-crack, density distribution function of microcrack and fatigue fracture probability have been performed. The derived results relate the changes of some quantities, such as average length, density distribution function and fatigue fracture probability, to the applied magnetic field, the magnetic and mechanical properties of metals. It gives a theoretical explanation on the change of fatigue damage due to magnetic fields observed by experiments, and presents an analytic approach on studying the fatigue damage of metal in magnetic field.

Incomplete nonextensive statistics and the zeroth law of thermodynamics

On the basis of the entropy of incomplete statistics （IS） and the joint probability factorization condition, two controversial problems existing in IS are investigated： one is what expression of the internal energy is reasonable for a composite system and the other is whether the traditional zeroth law of thermodynamics is suitable for IS. Some new equivalent expressions of the internal energy of a composite system are derived through accurate mathematical calculation. Moreover, a self-consistent calculation is used to expound that the zeroth law of thermodynamics is also suitable for IS, but it cannot be proven theoretically. Finally, it is pointed out that the generalized zeroth law of thermodynamics for incomplete nonextensive statistics is unnecessary and the nonextensive assumptions for the composite internal energy will lead to mathematical contradiction.

SOME ISSUES OF TURBULENCE STATISTICS

The issue of dropping the random force f(i) and the arbitrariness of choosing the basic variable in the variational approach to turbulence closure problem, pointed out recently by the Russian scientists Bazdenkov and Kukharkin, are discussed. According to the mean-square estimation method, the random force f(i) should be dropped in the error expression of the LFP (Langevin-Fokker-Planck) model. However, f(i) is not neglected, its effect has been taken into account by the variational approach. In order to optimize the perturbation solution of the Liouville equation, the LFP model requires that the basic variable is as near to Gaussian as possible. Hence, the velocity, instead of the vorticity, should be chosen as the basic variable in the three-dimensional turbulence. Although the LFP model and the zero-order Gaussian term of PDF (probability density function) imply whiteness assumption (zero correlation time of f(i)), the higher-order non-Gaussian terms of PDF correspond to the nonwhiteness of turbulence dynamics, the variational approach does calculate the nonwhiteness effect properly.

Oscillating Statistics of Transitive Dynamics

We prove that topologically generic orbits of C0 , transitive and non-uniquely ergodic dynamical systems, exhibit an extremely oscillating asymptotical statistics. Precisely, the minimum weak* compact set of invariant probabilities that describes the asymptotical statistics of each orbit of a residual set contains all the ergodic probabilities. If besides f is ergodic with respect to the Lebesgue measure, then also Lebesgue-almost all the orbits exhibit that kind of extremely oscillating statistics.

Calculation of the Canonical Rate Constant for the Nonadiabatic Trapping Model Based on Unified Statistical Theory:A Test on The Exchange Reaction H_2+H

A new approach was employed to calculate the canonical (thermal) rate constant basedon unified statistical theory. All information for the calculation was obtained from ab initio meth-ods. The flux integral for any point of reaction coordinate was calculated by counting the numberof quantum states and applied to determine the dividing surfaces along the intrinsic reaction coor-dinate (IRC). The classical exchange reaction H2+H, as an example, was investigated. The IRC forthe reaction has been traced and detailed information of IRC was carried out at the QCISD/6-311 G** level .The calculated rate constants are well consistent with the experimental results.

Statistical Gauge Theory for Relativistic Finite Density Problems

A relativistic quantum field theory is presented for finite density problems based on the principle of locality. It is shown that, in addition to the conventional ones, a local approach to the relativistic quantum field theories at both zero and finite densities consistent with the violation of Bell-like inequalities should contain and provide solutions to at least three additional problems, namely, i) the statistical gauge invariance; ii) the dark components of the local observables; and iii) the fermion statistical blocking effects, based upon an asymptotic nonthermal ensemble. An application to models is presented to show the importance of the discussions.

Quantum Statistics of Random Walks

The paper dealt with quantum canonical ensembles by random walks, where state transitions are triggered by the connections between labels, not by elements, which are transferred. The balance conditions of such walks lead to emission rates of the labels. The labels with emission rates definitely lower than 1 are like modes. For labels with emission rates very close to 1, the quantum numbers are concentrated around a mean value. As an application I consider the role of the zero label in a quantum gas in equilibrium.

A Statistical Rate Theory of Interface Concentration during Solution ZeoliteCrystal Growth

A theoretical model is developed using statistical rate theory to determine the rate of molecular transport across the interface of a growing spherical zeolite crystal. The model is expressed in terms of the interface concentration. Two model constants appear in the expression for the equilibrium exchange rate. In order to validate the model, zeolite crystallization is investigated for a system for which experimental data exist. The model constants were first established using the measured growth rates at a specific temperature. Then the model was used to predict the growth rate at other temperatures.

社会建构主义理论观照下统计人才培养模式设计与构建

随着越来越多的国内外高校开设统计专业,学者们对统计人才培养模式的研究不断深入。为了科学地支撑统计人才培养,需要借鉴国内外成熟的育人模式,并结合科学的教育理论。基于此,以社会建构主义为理论基础,结合统计专业教育特点和数字化社会职业需求,提出本科统计人才培养“1341”模式。该模式以“一个中心”为核心,聚焦于培养统计创新型应用人才,通过“价值、知识、能力”三个维度革新三大课程构造体系,以“四种融合”联通四个教学情境,并以“一个闭环系统”保障人才培养质量,旨在解决本科统计人才培养模式应然与实然之间的矛盾。

真实链位论与经济统计——前一轮全球化过程中国际竞争格局的一个分析框架

国势判断是高质量发展不可或缺的认知基础。本文提出真实链位论作为深入考察国际竞争格局的一个分析框架,意在从定位角度集中揭示国际经济、社会、文化和政治交往的内在关系,强调人们往往容易忽略的现象本质。本文基于经济统计视角分析全球化链条中的真实链位,进而论述真实链位论的基本内容以及真实链位论与国势学认知的内在逻辑。本文主要结论如下。第一,认清中国在全球化链条中的真实链位及其对产业关联弹性、刚性、态势的影响意义重大;第二,成本效益分析应特别关注正面事物的隐性成本和长期成本;第三,要注意国家作为基本利益单位和测度单位的属性;第四,注重事实与见解的辨析,尤其警惕以事实名义出现的见解;第五,在全球化发展的大背景下重构国势学确有必要;第六,全球供应链并非自由竞争的市场经济,国内生产总值(GDP)并不适于新兴国家用来判断国势。

基于统计损伤修正的冻结砂—黏混合土改进Duncan-Chang模型

为描述冻结砂—黏混合土的偏应力—应变关系,进行不同含砂量冻结砂—黏混合土的冻土三轴压缩试验。基于改进的Duncan-Chang模型(D-C模型),引入统计损伤理论,拟合三轴压缩试验结果,分别建立以Mises强度准则和应变发展为微元强度变量的统计损伤修正模型,对比计算结果与试验数据。结果表明:冻结砂—黏混合土偏应力峰值随含砂量的增加而增加,偏应力—应变曲线由应变硬化型逐渐过渡到应变软化型的临界含砂量为50%。当含砂量介于20%~60%时,基于统计损伤理论的修正改进D-C模型能有效拟合应变硬化型曲线和具有轻微应变软化现象的偏应力—应变曲线。当含砂量为90%时,基于应变发展的统计损伤修正模型的偏应力峰值与试验结果相差3%,具有较强适用性。该结果为不同微元强度变量的统计损伤修正模型提供参考。

“少教多学”理念下国家级一流课程概率论与数理统计本校化混合式教学实践研究

“少教多学”倡导“先学后教,以学定教”,体现以学生为中心的现代教育理念。在该理念的指导下,引入国家级一流线上课程概率论与数理统计资源,并进行适合该校学生特点的本校化课程改造使之可以更好地服务于课程教学。基于BOPPPS的混合式教学设计和实施,有效地提高该课程的过关率和学生的学习能力,促进学生思维的发展。

局部鲁棒预处理的DME干扰抑制方法

全球定位系统(Global Positioning System, GPS) L5/北斗B2/Galilea E5是全球卫星导航系统(Global Navigation Satellite System, GNSS)的重要组成部分,为民用航空提供与生命安全相关的应用服务.然而L5/B2/E5信号处于受保护的航空无线电导航服务(Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service, ARNS)频段内(962~1213 MHz),同时工作在该频段内的还有民用航空导航系统测距机(Distance Measuring Equipment, DME)等. DME发射的大功率脉冲信号会对L5/B2/E5等卫星导航信号造成干扰,使得接收机无法正常捕获卫星信号或导致跟踪环路失锁.传统的DME干扰抑制方法通过在干扰稀疏域,如时域、频域和时频混合域进行DME干扰置零,这会在抑制干扰的同时完全消除与干扰重叠的卫星信号.为了降低DME干扰抑制对卫星信号的损失,本文提出基于鲁棒统计理论的局部鲁棒预处理的DME干扰抑制方法,根据DME干扰所在的稀疏域特性提取出存在干扰的信号片段后,应用非高斯分布下的鲁棒统计理论对提取出的数据样本进行鲁棒预处理,从而在抑制干扰的同时降低对卫星信号的影响.实验结果表明本文所提出的稀疏域局部鲁棒预处理的DME干扰抑制方法的性能优于相应的传统稀疏域方法,输出捕获因子比传统稀疏域方法提高1~2 dB.