Using the measured data to analyze the change rule of water increase and decrease in the coastal waters of Tanggu station.The water increase caused by the temperate cyclone in winter accounts for a higher frequency in...Using the measured data to analyze the change rule of water increase and decrease in the coastal waters of Tanggu station.The water increase caused by the temperate cyclone in winter accounts for a higher frequency in the whole year,and the water increase caused by the tropical cyclone in summer is larger,which brings serious storm surge disasters.This paper determines the maximum tropical cyclone parameters through statistics of historical typhoon processes,establishes a numerical model of storm water increase and decrease,and calculates the maximum possible water increase caused by typhoons in this sea area,and the water increase value is 3.6 m.A gale sensitivity experiment was constructed,and the maximum possible increase or decrease of water in the gale was calculated.展开更多
In the DGM(1, 1) model modeling process, the influencing factors are uncertain. But the solution of DGM(1, 1) model with uncertain information is unique, which conflicts with the nonuniqueness principle of solution in...In the DGM(1, 1) model modeling process, the influencing factors are uncertain. But the solution of DGM(1, 1) model with uncertain information is unique, which conflicts with the nonuniqueness principle of solution in grey theory. In view of this situation, this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the meaning of grey action quantity β_(2) in DGM(1, 1) model and regards β_(2) as an interval grey number. The maximum possibility whitenization value is given to estimate the kernel of grey number,and the typical possibility function is constructed to describe the possibility of grey number taking different values. A new DGM(1, 1) model with a grey parameter is then proposed, whose simulation results are interval grey numbers. The proposed model is compatible with the DGM(1, 1) model in model structure and simulation results. Finally, the practical example results show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed model.展开更多
文摘Using the measured data to analyze the change rule of water increase and decrease in the coastal waters of Tanggu station.The water increase caused by the temperate cyclone in winter accounts for a higher frequency in the whole year,and the water increase caused by the tropical cyclone in summer is larger,which brings serious storm surge disasters.This paper determines the maximum tropical cyclone parameters through statistics of historical typhoon processes,establishes a numerical model of storm water increase and decrease,and calculates the maximum possible water increase caused by typhoons in this sea area,and the water increase value is 3.6 m.A gale sensitivity experiment was constructed,and the maximum possible increase or decrease of water in the gale was calculated.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11771172)。
文摘In the DGM(1, 1) model modeling process, the influencing factors are uncertain. But the solution of DGM(1, 1) model with uncertain information is unique, which conflicts with the nonuniqueness principle of solution in grey theory. In view of this situation, this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the meaning of grey action quantity β_(2) in DGM(1, 1) model and regards β_(2) as an interval grey number. The maximum possibility whitenization value is given to estimate the kernel of grey number,and the typical possibility function is constructed to describe the possibility of grey number taking different values. A new DGM(1, 1) model with a grey parameter is then proposed, whose simulation results are interval grey numbers. The proposed model is compatible with the DGM(1, 1) model in model structure and simulation results. Finally, the practical example results show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed model.
