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Trends in major and minor meteorological variables and their influence on reference evapotranspiration for mid Himalayan region at east Sikkim, India 被引量:1
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作者 Shweta YADAV Proloy DEB +2 位作者 Sonu KUMAR Vanita PANDEY Pankaj Kumar PANDEY 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第2期302-315,共14页
Abstract: Estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) for mountain ecosystem is of absolute importance since it serves as an important component in balancing the hydrologic cycle. The present study evaluates the performa... Abstract: Estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) for mountain ecosystem is of absolute importance since it serves as an important component in balancing the hydrologic cycle. The present study evaluates the performance of original and location specific calibrated Hargreaves equation (HARG) with the estimates of Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) Penman Monteith (PM) method for higher altitudes in East Sikkim, India. The results show that the uncalibrated HARG model underestimates ET0 by 0.35 mm day^-1 whereas the results are significantly improved by regional calibration of the model. In addition, this paper also presents the variability in the trajectory associated with the climatic variables with the changing climate in the study site. Non- parametric Mann-Kendall (MK) test was used to investigate and understand the mean monthly trend of eight climatic parameters including reference evapotranspiration (ET0) for the period of 1985 - 2009. Trend of ET0 was estimated for the calculations done by FAO PM equation. The outcomes of the trend analysis show significant increasing (p ≤ 0.05) trend represented by higher Z-values, through MK test, for net radiation (Rn), maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Train), especially in the first months of the year. Whereas, significant (0.01 ≥ p ≤0.05) decreasing trend in vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and precipitation (P) is observed throughout the year. Declining trend in sunshine duration, VPD and ET0 is found in spring (March - May) and monsoon (June - November) season. The result displays significant (0.01≤ p ≤0.05) decreasing ET0 trend between (June - December) except in July, exhibiting the positive relation with VPD followed by sunshine duration at the station. Overall, the study emphasizes the importance of trend analysis of ET0 and other climatic variables for efficient planning and managing the agricultural practices, in identifying the changes in the meteorological parameters and to accurately assess the hydrologic water balance of the hilly regions. 展开更多
关键词 Reference evapotranspiration (et0) Climatic variables Trend analysis Mann-Kendall's test Monthly variation East Sikkim hilly region
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Analysis and prediction of reference evapotranspiration with climate change in Xiangjiang River Basin, China 被引量:5
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作者 Xin-e Tao Hua Chen +2 位作者 Chong-yu Xu Yu-kun Hou Meng-xuan Jie 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2015年第4期273-281,共9页
Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is often used to estimate actual evapotranspiration in water balance studies. In this study, the present and future spatial distributions and temporal trends of ETo in the Xiangjia... Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is often used to estimate actual evapotranspiration in water balance studies. In this study, the present and future spatial distributions and temporal trends of ETo in the Xiangjiang River Basin (XJRB) in China were analyzed. ETo during the period from 1961 to 2010 was calculated with historical meteorological data using the FAO Penman-Monteith (FAO P-M) method, while ETo during the period from 2011 to 2100 was downscaled from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) outputs under two emission scenarios, representative concentration pathway 4.5 and representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP45 and RCP85), using the statistical downscaling model (SDSM). The spatial distribution and temporal trend of ETo were interpreted with the inverse distance weighted (IDW) method and Mann-Kendall test method, respectively. Results show that: (1) the mean annual ETo of the XJRB is 1 006.3 mm during the period from 1961 to 2010, and the lowest and highest values are found in the northeast and northwest parts due to the high latitude and spatial distribution of climatic factors, respectively; (2) the SDSM performs well in simulating the present ETo and can be used to predict the future ETo in the XJRB; and (3) CMIP5 predicts upward trends in annual ETo under the RCP45 and RCP85 scenarios during the period from 2011 to 2100. Compared with the reference period (1961-1990), ETo increases by 9.8%, 12.6%, and 15.6% under the RCP45 scenario and 10.2%, 19.1%, and 27.3% under the RCP85 scenario during the periods from 2011 to 2040, from 2041 to 2070, and from 2071 to 2100, respectively. The predicted increasing ETo under the RCP85 scenario is greater than that under the RCP45 scenario during the period from 2011 to 2100. 展开更多
关键词 Reference evapotranspiration (et0) Spatial-temporal variation Climate change Statistical downscaling Xiangjiang River Basin
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Identification of Dominant Climate Variables on Spatiotemporal Variation in Reference Evapotranspiration on the Loess Plateau,China
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作者 LI Xiaofei LIANG Wei +6 位作者 JIAO Lei YAN Jianwu ZHANG Weibin WANG Fengjiao GOU Fen WANG Chengxi SHAO Quanqin 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第4期620-642,共23页
Reference evapotranspiration(ET_(0))is a vital component in hydrometeorological research and is widely applied to various aspects,such as water resource management,hydrological modeling,irrigation deployment,and under... Reference evapotranspiration(ET_(0))is a vital component in hydrometeorological research and is widely applied to various aspects,such as water resource management,hydrological modeling,irrigation deployment,and understanding and predicting the influence of hydrologic cycle variations on future climate and land use changes.Quantifying the influence of various meteorological variables on ET_(0) is not only helpful for predicting actual evapotranspiration but also has important implications for understanding the impact of global climate change on regional water resources.Based on daily data from 69 meteorological stations,the present study analyzed the spatiotemporal pattern of ET_(0) and major contributing meteorological variables to ET_(0) from 1960 to 2017 by the segmented re-gression model,Mann-Kendall test,wavelet analysis,generalized linear model,and detrending method.The results showed that the annual ET_(0) declined slightly because of the combined effects of the reduction in solar radiation and wind speed and the increase in vapor pressure deficit(VPD)and average air temperature in the Loess Plateau(LP)during the past 58 yr.Four change points were detected in 1972,1990,1999,and 2010,and the annual ET_(0) showed a zigzag change trend of‘increasing-decreasing-increasing-decreasing-increasing’.Wind speed and VPD played a leading role in the ET_(0) changes from 1960 to 1990 and from 1991 to 2017,respectively.This study confirms that the dominant meteorological factors affecting ET_(0) had undergone significant changes due to global climate change and vegetation greening in the past 58 years,and VPD had become the major factor controlling the ET_(0) changes on the LP.The data presented herein will contribute to increasing the accuracy of predictions on future changes in ET_(0). 展开更多
关键词 reference evapotranspiration(et0) change points generalized linear model dominant factors vapor pressure deficit(VPD) Loess Plateau(LP)
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云贵地区参考作物蒸散量模型适用性评价
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作者 范梦颖 吴宗俊 +3 位作者 崔宁博 王智慧 毛华艳 胡静仪 《排灌机械工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第9期928-937,共10页
根据地貌特征及行政区划将云贵两省分为5个区域,使用当地15个气象站点共56 a的逐日气象资料计算了18种参考作物蒸散量模型的模拟值,并以FAO56 Penman-Monteith法为标准对各模型模拟值进行了精度对比及误差成因分析.结果表明:同一模型在... 根据地貌特征及行政区划将云贵两省分为5个区域,使用当地15个气象站点共56 a的逐日气象资料计算了18种参考作物蒸散量模型的模拟值,并以FAO56 Penman-Monteith法为标准对各模型模拟值进行了精度对比及误差成因分析.结果表明:同一模型在不同云贵分区间的模拟效果差异不大,R^(2)的平均变异系数为8.81%,模型精度主要影响因素为辐射能量项,次要因素为空气动力项;综合法模型模拟精度最高,R^(2)为0.81~0.99,辐射法次之,R^(2)为0.84~0.98,温度法和水汽压法较差,R^(2)为0.24~0.83;这4种方法中,各类型最优模型分别为FAO 24 Penman(全区整体评价指标GPI为0.506,排位1),Inmark(GPI为0.142,排位4),Hargreaves-Samani(GPI为-0.022,排位12)和Romanenko(GPI为-0.072,排位13).综上,经验模型FAO 24 Penman和Inmark模型适用于亚热带季风气候云贵地区参考作物蒸散量的简化计算. 展开更多
关键词 参考作物蒸散量模型 Penman-Monteith模型 云贵地区 反距离插值 适用性评价
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潜在蒸散发量计算公式在贵州省适用性分析 被引量:31
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作者 秦年秀 陈喜 +2 位作者 薛显武 凌敏华 张志才 《水科学进展》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第3期357-363,共7页
利用贵州省18个气象站1961-2001年逐日气象资料,采用Penman-Monteith方程计算潜在蒸散发量,对以辐射和气温为基础的简化公式参数进行率定,对比分析不同计算公式推求的潜在蒸散发量之间的差异以及用于气候变化情景下预测适用程度。结果表... 利用贵州省18个气象站1961-2001年逐日气象资料,采用Penman-Monteith方程计算潜在蒸散发量,对以辐射和气温为基础的简化公式参数进行率定,对比分析不同计算公式推求的潜在蒸散发量之间的差异以及用于气候变化情景下预测适用程度。结果表明,各种潜在蒸散发量公式经参数率定后计算的多年平均蒸散发量相近,但变化趋势存在较大差异。与考虑综合气象因子对潜在蒸散发影响的Penman-Monteith公式计算结果相比,以辐射为基础的蒸散发公式在该地区的适用性较好,以气温为基础的蒸散发公式用于气候变化情景下潜在蒸散发量预测,结果偏大。 展开更多
关键词 潜在蒸散发量(et) PENMAN-MONTEITH公式 温度估计法 辐射能量法 适用性 贵州省
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关中地区灌溉农业发展对区域蒸发的影响研究 被引量:8
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作者 粟晓玲 曹红霞 康绍忠 《灌溉排水学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2004年第3期24-27,共4页
主要从分析参考作物蒸发蒸腾量(ET0)的变化趋势来反映气候变化对蒸发的影响,从灌区实测水面蒸发量的变化趋势来分析灌溉农业发展对区域蒸发的影响。用改进后的Penman公式计算关中地区1961~2001年系列5个气象站的ET0,结果显示:80年代前... 主要从分析参考作物蒸发蒸腾量(ET0)的变化趋势来反映气候变化对蒸发的影响,从灌区实测水面蒸发量的变化趋势来分析灌溉农业发展对区域蒸发的影响。用改进后的Penman公式计算关中地区1961~2001年系列5个气象站的ET0,结果显示:80年代前后气候对关中地区年ET0值的影响有明显区别,80年代以后关中地区年ET0值增长趋势加大,受气候影响明显大于80年代以前。多年平均年内分布表明连续最大3月即6~8月占全年的比例为46%~48%,但80年代以后年内分布6~8月ET0所占比例有降低趋势;从泾惠渠灌区灌溉试验站实测水面蒸发资料分析,显示明显的逐年减少的趋势,年内分布表明6~8月水面蒸发量所占比例有降低趋势。说明灌溉农业发展引起农田小气候的变化,减少了夏季潜在的蒸发和实际蒸发量。 展开更多
关键词 关中地区 灌溉农业 区域蒸发 水面蒸发 农田小气候
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黔中地区潜在蒸散发的时空变化及对土地利用变化的响应 被引量:4
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作者 杨铭珂 贺中华 +1 位作者 任荣仪 张浪 《水资源与水工程学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第3期106-117,共12页
土地利用变化对潜在蒸散发的影响是水文等相关领域研究的热点问题。基于黔中地区1995-2015年气象数据,应用Penman-Monteith公式估算潜在蒸散发(ET 0),同时利用1995-2015年5期土地利用数据,分析近20年该地区ET 0的时空变化特征以及不同... 土地利用变化对潜在蒸散发的影响是水文等相关领域研究的热点问题。基于黔中地区1995-2015年气象数据,应用Penman-Monteith公式估算潜在蒸散发(ET 0),同时利用1995-2015年5期土地利用数据,分析近20年该地区ET 0的时空变化特征以及不同土地利用类型对ET 0的影响。结果表明:1995-2015年黔中地区ET 0总体呈增大趋势,空间分布规律较为明显,即自东南向西北整体呈递减趋势;黔中地区近20年土地利用结构变化明显,林地及建设用地面积的变化趋势以增大为主,草地及耕地则以减少趋势为主;不同土地利用类型的ET 0不同,以林地为最大,其次为耕地、草地、水域以及建设用地,未利用地为最小,草地以及耕地向林地转移面积会使ET 0增大,林地、草地以及耕地向建设用地、未利用地转移面积会使ET 0减小。这表明土地利用变化明显时,ET 0也会随着产生较大的变化。蒸散发研究对反映区域水文过程以及科学管理水资源均十分重要。 展开更多
关键词 潜在蒸散发 时空特征 土地利用 PENMAN-MONTEITH公式 黔中地区
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Radial profile of sap flow velocity in mature Xinjiang poplar(Populus alba L. var. pyramidalis) in Northwest China 被引量:10
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作者 HongZhong DANG TianShan ZHA +2 位作者 JinSong ZHANG Wei LI ShiZeng LIU 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第5期612-627,共16页
Estimation of the transpiration rate for a tree is generally based on sap flow measurements within the hydro-active stem xylem. In this study, radial variation of sap flow velocity(Js) was investigated at five depth... Estimation of the transpiration rate for a tree is generally based on sap flow measurements within the hydro-active stem xylem. In this study, radial variation of sap flow velocity(Js) was investigated at five depths of the xylem(1, 2, 3, 5 and 8 cm under the cambium) in three mature Xinjiang poplar(Populus alba L. var. pyramidalis) trees grown at the Gansu Minqin National Studies Station for Desert Steppe Ecosystem from May to October 2011. Thermal dissipation probes of various lengths manufactured according to the Granier's design were installed into each tree for simultaneous observation of the radial patterns of Js through the xylem. The radial patterns were found to fit the four-parameter GaussAmp equation. The peak Js was about 27.02±0.95 kg/(dm2?d) at approximately 3 to 5 cm deep from the cambium of the three trees,and the lowest Js appeared at 1 cm deep in most of the time. Approximately 50% of the total sap flow in Xinjiang poplar occurred within one-third of the xylem from its outer radius, whereas 90% of the total sap flow occurred within two-fifth of the xylem. In addition, the innermost point of the xylem(at 8-cm depth), which appeared as the penultimate sap flow in most cases during the study period, was hydro-active with Js,8 of 7.55±3.83 kg/(dm2?d). The radial pattern of Js was found to be steeper in midday than in other time of the day, and steeper diurnal fluctuations were recorded in June, July and August(the mid-growing season). Maximum differences between the lowest Js(Js,1 or Js,8) and the highest Js(Js,3 or Js,5) from May through October were 12.41, 17.35, 16.30, 18.52, 12.60 and 16.04 g/(cm2?h), respectively. The time-dependent changes of Js along the radial profile(except at 1-cm depth) were strongly related to the reference evapotranspiration(ET0). Due to significant radial variability of Js, the mean daily sap flow at the whole-tree level could be over-estimated by up to 29.69% when only a single probe at depth of 2 cm was used. However, the accuracy of the estimation of sap flow in Xinjiang poplar could be significantly improved using a correction coefficient of 0.885. 展开更多
关键词 sap flow radial pattern Populus alba L.var.pyramidalis reference evapotranspiration(et0) Granier method
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一种矩形网域的曲面公式拟合及应用
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作者 傅骅 《云南工业大学学报》 1997年第1期30-32,共3页
本文以可能最大日平均日照N值的曲面公式拟合为例,介绍了一种矩形网域的曲面的公式拟合方法和应注意的问题,便于科研、设计工作的计算机程序化.
关键词 矩形网域 曲面拟合 作物 潜在需水量 二维表格
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基于卷积神经网络算法估算苏东沿海农作物潜在蒸散量研究
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作者 谭成宇 《水资源开发与管理》 2021年第8期49-54,共6页
为提高农作物潜在蒸散量的估算能力、测试深度学习方法在潜在蒸散量预报中的可行性,提出了基于卷积神经网络(CNN)深度学习算法的潜在蒸散量(ET 0)估算方法并对其性能进行评价。分别采用Penman-Monteith公式和Hargreaves模型对江苏省东... 为提高农作物潜在蒸散量的估算能力、测试深度学习方法在潜在蒸散量预报中的可行性,提出了基于卷积神经网络(CNN)深度学习算法的潜在蒸散量(ET 0)估算方法并对其性能进行评价。分别采用Penman-Monteith公式和Hargreaves模型对江苏省东部沿海地区4个站点1984年1月1日至2019年12月31日间的逐日ET 0进行了计算和对比。结果显示,相对于传统的Hargreaves方法,CNN方法可以将其估算误差降低约50%,显著地提高ET 0估算性能,因此具有较好的推广前景。 展开更多
关键词 江苏省 潜在蒸散量 et 0 卷积神经网络 深度学习
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