RS-SVM forecasting model and power supply-demand forecast

A support vector machine (SVM) forecasting model based on rough set (RS) data preprocess was proposed by combining the rough set attribute reduction and the support vector machine regression algorithm, because there are strong complementarities between two models. Firstly, the rough set was used to reduce the condition attributes, then to eliminate the attributes that were redundant for the forecast, Secondly, it adopted the minimum condition attributes obtained by reduction and the corresponding original data to re-form a new training sample, which only kept the important attributes affecting the forecast accuracy. Finally, it studied and trained the SVM with the training samples after reduction, inputted the test samples re-formed by the minimum condition attributes and the corresponding original data, and then got the mapping relationship model between condition attributes and forecast variables after testing it. This model was used to forecast the power supply and demand. The results show that the average absolute error rate of power consumption of the whole society and yearly maximum load are 14.21% and 13.23%, respectively, which indicates that the RS-SVM forecast model has a higher degree of accuracy.

Some Views about Recent Electric Power Supply Shortage in Shenzhen

Since the beginning of the year 2000, the power demands in Guangdong, Zhejiang provinces and Beijing Tianjin-Tangshan district have been increasing dramatically, power supply shortages have appeared again. This paper analyzes the reasons for the current power supply shortages in Shenzhen district and the problems existing presently in Shenzhen power system. It indicates that, to strengthen power demand forecast, to speed up power construction steps and with ’to develop power ahead of the rest’ as a fundamental target, are the precondition to the long term, steady development of power industry.

Analysis on the Situation of Power Supply and Demand in Shandong

In the first half of 2007, the power industry in Shandongprovince continued to maintain a rapid growth momentum.The gross electricity consumption amounted to 121.25 TWh,14.4% higher over that in the same period of last year. The totalinstalled capacity reached 53.29 GW. It was expected that bythe end of 2007, the gross electricity consumption in Shan-dong would reach 260 TWh, increasing by 14.4% on ayear-on-year basis; the maximum load would reach 40.

A Study of Power Sources Optimization in Guangdong

The main problem existing in Guangdong electric power sources is analyzed in this paper. Based on theanalysis on energy-supply features, power demand and the technical and economic performances of various powersources in Guangdong, the power sources construction scale and its structure are studied and analyzed in detail byusing Generation Expansion Software Package (GESP). The future development of Guangdong electric power sourcesunder the new situation of "Power from West to East" is studied as well.[

Operation Analysis of Electric Power Industry in the First Quarter 2001

The supply and demand features of China electric power market are elaborated in this paper, based on the data of power production and demand in the first quarter 2001, and the present situation on power supply and demand is analyzed from multi aspects.

Power Market Analyses on 2001 and Demand Forecast for 2002

Based on the analysis on economic situation in China in 2001, the paperdiscusses power supply and demand features nationwide and by regions andprovinces, present estimation of power supply and demand in 2002. In conclusion,the paper presents suggestions to overcome difficulties on capital funds andtechniques.[

Carbon neutrality policy and interconnection scenario according to the perspective of Republic of Korea

The future energy policy,long-term energy supply plan,and necessity of power system interconnection are discussed considering the climate change agreement and national carbon neutrality policy.Although several studies have been conducted on power system interconnection related projects,a few reviews have been performed related to the Greenhouse Gas Convention in North-East Asian(NEA)regions.Therefore,the future directions and possible scenarios on power system interconnection are studied by combining the issues by comprehensively considering carbon neutrality policy according to the perspective of Korea.

A Concept Discussion on Northeast Asia Power Grid Interconnection

Northeast Asia is one of world’s major economic and energy consumption centers.Countries in this region are undergoing rapid economic and social development,and energy security and greenhouse gas emission reduction have become prominent issues.In this region,clean energy resources including hydro,wind,and solar are concentrated in Russia,Mongolia,and Northeast China,whilst electricity load centers are in East China,Korea and Japan.Currently,an energy and electricity model has been developed to project electricity demand through 2030 for each country.Based on the idea of a Global Energy Interconnection,this article proposes to establish a Northeast Asia Grid Interconnection(NEAG),connecting Mongolia,China,Korea,Japan,and Russia with large volumes of transmission lines,in an effort to facilitate optimized resource allocation.The NEAG would be accomplished step by step along with identification of key interconnectors.China is set to play an important role in establishing the NEAG by providing a strong sending grid and necessary technological equipment.Tremendous economic,environmental,and social benefits are expected to be generated by the NEAG.

Analysis of value of flexibility in Japan’s power system with increased VRE

The growth of renewable energy has accelerated globally toward a low-carbon economy since the Paris Agreement entered into force in 2016.As a result of the increase of variable renewable energy(VRE),namely solar PV and wind,power systems require more flexibility from conventional power plants with less power generation to regulate increased variability.There are sources of flexibility other than conventional power plants,including enhanced power networks,storage capacity and demand response.To maximize economic utilization of VRE power generation,it is necessary to use the flexibility potential from all these sources.In Japan,the share of VRE has increased since the introduction of a feed-in tariff(FIT)and,in parallel,power market reform is underway.Japan has a unique power system of nine grids connected like a fish bone,making the uptake of an increasing share of VRE challenging.This paper assesses the value of flexibility by source in Japan’s power system in 2030.An analysis of different VRE scenarios is undertaken based on a newly developed production cost model.The result of the simulation shows the quantitative impact of each source of flexibility to the generation cost and VRE curtailment and demonstrates the mechanism by which flexibility works to impact VRE curtailment.