Better use of experience from other reservoirs for accurate production forecasting by learn-to-learn method

To assess whether a development strategy will be profitable enough,production forecasting is a crucial and difficult step in the process.The development history of other reservoirs in the same class tends to be studied to make predictions accurate.However,the permeability field,well patterns,and development regime must all be similar for two reservoirs to be considered in the same class.This results in very few available experiences from other reservoirs even though there is a lot of historical information on numerous reservoirs because it is difficult to find such similar reservoirs.This paper proposes a learn-to-learn method,which can better utilize a vast amount of historical data from various reservoirs.Intuitively,the proposed method first learns how to learn samples before directly learning rules in samples.Technically,by utilizing gradients from networks with independent parameters and copied structure in each class of reservoirs,the proposed network obtains the optimal shared initial parameters which are regarded as transferable information across different classes.Based on that,the network is able to predict future production indices for the target reservoir by only training with very limited samples collected from reservoirs in the same class.Two cases further demonstrate its superiority in accuracy to other widely-used network methods.

Effect of perforation density distribution on production of perforated horizontal wellbore

To address the issue of horizontal well production affected by the distribution of perforation density in the wellbore,a numerical model for simulating two-phase flow in a horizontal well is established under two perforation density distribution conditions(i.e.increasing the perforation density at inlet and outlet sections respectively).The simulation results are compared with experimental results to verify the reliability of the numerical simulation method.The behaviors of the total pressure drop,superficial velocity of air-water two-phase flow,void fraction,liquid film thickness,air production and liquid production that occur with various flow patterns are investigated under two perforation density distribution conditions based on the numerical model.The total pressure drop,superficial velocity of the mixture and void fraction increase with the air flow rate when the water flow rate is constant.The liquid film thickness decreases when the air flow rate increases.The liquid and air productions increase when the perforation density increases at the inlet section compared with increasing the perforation density at the outlet section of the perforated horizontal wellbore.It is noted that the air production increases with the air flow rate.Liquid production increases with the bubble flow and begins to decrease at the transition point of the slug-stratified flow,then increases through the stratified wave flow.The normalized liquid flux is higher when the perforation density increases at the inlet section,and increases with the radial air flow rate.

A New Elastoplastic 3D Sand Production Model for Fractured Gas Fields

Reservoirs characterized by high temperature,high-pressure,medium high cementation strength,low porosity,and low permeability,in general,are not affected by sand production issues.Since 2009,however,it is known that cases exists where sand is present and may represent a significant technical problem(e.g.,the the Dina II condensate gas field).In the present study,the main factors affecting sand production in this type of reservoir are considered(mechanical properties,stress fields,production system,completion method and gas flow pattern changes during the production process).On this basis,a new liquid-solid coupled porous elasto-plastic 3D sand production model is introduced and validated through comparison with effective sand production data.The related prediction errors are found to be within 15%,which represents the necessary prerequisite for the utilization of such a model for the elaboration of sand prevention measures.

Changes and Influencing Factors of Maize Production Pattern in China

Since the founding of new China,the maize production pattern took on characteristic of " northern expansion and western movement" : there were great changes in ranking of main producing provinces; southern planting area gradually shrank,while central and northern planting area gradually expanded; apart from traditional main producing regions such as northeastern,north China,and southwestern regions,Shanxi- Shaanxi region and northwest region are gradually forming. To further analyze factors promoting changes in maize production pattern,based on 1987- 2013 panel data,we carried our empirical study and obtained five influencing factors: resource endowment,economic environment,market environment,technical conditions,and policies. Per capita farmland,multiple cropping index,water conservancy and irrigation,and benefit cost ratio,and traffic and transportation policies exert positive effect,non-agricultural employment level exerts negative effect,and the significance of natural disasters,market price,and science and technology are inadequate.

Real-time generation of circular patterns in electron beam lithography

Electron beam lithography(EBL)involves the transfer of a pattern onto the surface of a substrate byfirst scanning a thin layer of organicfilm(called resist)on the surface by a tightly focused and precisely controlled electron beam(exposure)and then selectively removing the exposed or nonexposed regions of the resist in a solvent(developing).It is widely used for fabrication of integrated cir-cuits,mask manufacturing,photoelectric device processing,and otherfields.The key to drawing circular patterns by EBL is the graphics production and control.In an EBL system,an embedded processor calculates and generates the trajectory coordinates for movement of the electron beam,and outputs the corresponding voltage signal through a digital-to-analog converter(DAC)to control a deflector that changes the position of the electron beam.Through this procedure,it is possible to guarantee the accuracy and real-time con-trol of electron beam scanning deflection.Existing EBL systems mostly use the method of polygonal approximation to expose circles.A circle is divided into several polygons,and the smaller the segmentation,the higher is the precision of the splicing circle.However,owing to the need to generate and scan each polygon separately,an increase in the number of segments will lead to a decrease in the overall lithography speed.In this paper,based on Bresenham’s circle algorithm and exploiting the capabilities of afield-programmable gate array and DAC,an improved real-time circle-producing algorithm is designed for EBL.The algorithm can directly generate cir-cular graphics coordinates such as those for a single circle,solid circle,solid ring,or concentric ring,and is able to effectively realizes deflection and scanning of the electron beam for circular graphics lithography.Compared with the polygonal approximation method,the improved algorithm exhibits improved precision and speed.At the same time,the point generation strategy is optimized to solve the blank pixel and pseudo-pixel problems that arise with Bresenham’s circle algorithm.A complete electron beam deflection system is established to carry out lithography experiments,the results of which show that the error between the exposure results and the preset pat-terns is at the nanometer level,indicating that the improved algorithm meets the requirements for real-time control and high precision of EBL.

Analysis of the Southern China Tilapia Production and Economic Benefits of Different Breeding Patterns in 2018

Cost-benefit analysis and breakeven point were used to analyze the production cost and economic benefit of tilapia pond monoculture and polyculture.From the aspects of tilapia production and economic benefit,this paper summarized the current production status and the characteristics of tilapia industry development and analyzed its developing trend.The results indicated that feed cost,pond rates and labor cost are the main production costs,and the production cost of polyculture is significantly lower than that of monoculture.Through comparative analysis,it is proposed that the tilapia industry should be reasonably guided to the intensive,standardized and pollution-free direction.Specifically,it is necessary to improve the coverage of improved varieties,strengthen disease prevention and control and promote the healthy farming model of tilapia.We also should strengthen the training of tilapia production techniques and the quality and safety testing of tilapia products,and accelerate the development of tilapia industrialization,so as to promote the sustainable and healthy development of tilapia industry.

Light demand characteristics,production performance,and changes in the feeding patterns of broilers

Poultry is a light-sensitive animal and the light environment has an important influence on the growth and development of these animals.Previous studies have mainly focused on the effects of the light environment on various physiological indicators of poultry but seldom explored the light demand characteristics of broilers under free selection.This experiment mainly studied the light demand characteristics of broilers under a yellow LED light environment and the influence of different breeding densities[low-density(2.5 broilers/m^(2)),high-density(7.5 broilers/m^(2))]on the production performance and diet characteristics of broilers.Studies showed that the production performance indexes of low-density groups are higher than those of high-density groups.The feed and water consumption in the light area of the two experimental groups were significantly higher than those in the dark area,which means that the broilers showed a great preference for the light area.However,as the age of the broilers increased,the food and water consumption of the broilers decreased,indicating that broilers had a lower preference for light in the middle and late stages of growth.The statistical results for the residence frequency distribution characteristics showed that broiler chickens had different light requirements at different growth stages under the condition of active selection:1)low-density breeding environment:23.8L(light):0.2D(dark)for chicks and 22.3L:1.7D for adult broilers;2)high-density breeding environment:22.6L:1.4D for chicks and 15.0L:9.0D for adult broilers.This study will provide a reference for the optimization and control of light environment in broiler breeding.

The changing regional distribution of grain production in China in the 21st century

This paper examines the changing regional distribution of grain production in China. Based on the analysis of data from county statistics for the period 2000-2003, major differences in the main grain-output regions in China can be observed. The main grain-producing areas have shifted from the south to the north of China. New grain production regions have been also added to westem China since the late 1990s. The per capita grain consumption in one third of China＇s main grain-producing counties has fallen below 400 kg; most of these areas are located in southern China. In the new millennium, Northeast China, the central-south North China, and the add and semi-arid regions of Northwest China produced three quarters of the surplus grains. Most of these areas are located in regions susceptible to environmental change. The amount of grain production in these regions shows high fluctuations. It is argued here that fi.trther studies of recent environmental changes as well as a risk assessment of China＇s food security in main grain-output regions are needed.

Classification of carbonate gas condensate reservoirs using well test and production data analyses

Carbonate reservoir patterns play an important role in the production performance of oil and gas wells,and it is usually classified through static data analysis which cannot reflect the actual well performance.This paper takes the Tazhong No.1 gas field in the Tarim Basin,China as an example to investigate the classification of carbonate reservoirs.The classification method mainly combines well test analysis with production analysis—especially the Blasingame type curve method.Based on the characteristics of type curves for well test analysis and the Blasingame method,the relationship between the type curves and reservoir pattern was established.More than 20 wells were analyzed and the reservoirs were classified into 3 major patterns with 7 sub-classes.Furthermore,the classification results were validated by dynamic performance analysis of wells in the Tazhong No.1 gas field.On the basis of the classification results,well stimulation（i.e.water flooding in a single well） was carried out in three volatile-oil wells,and the oil recovery increased by up to 20%.

Improving remote sensing-based net primary production estimation in the grazed land with defoliation formulation model

Remote sensing(RS) technologies provide robust techniques for quantifying net primary productivity(NPP) which is a key component of ecosystem production management. Applying RS, the confounding effects of carbon consumed by livestock grazing were neglected by previous studies, which created uncertainties and underestimation of NPP for the grazed lands. The grasslands in Xinjiang were selected as a case study to improve the RS based NPP estimation. A defoliation formulation model(DFM) based on RS is developed to evaluate the extent of underestimated NPP between 1982 and 2011. The estimates were then used to examine the spatiotemporal patterns of the calculated NPP. Results show that average annual underestimated NPP was 55.74 gC·m^(-2)yr^(-1) over the time period understudied, accounting for 29.06% of the total NPP for the Xinjiang grasslands. The spatial distribution of underestimated NPP is related to both grazing intensity and time. Data for the Xinjiang grasslands show that the average annual NPP was 179.41 gC·m^(-2)yr^(-1), the annual NPP with an increasing trend was observed at a rate of 1.04 gC·m^(-2)yr^(-1) between 1982 and 2011. The spatial distribution of NPP reveals distinct variations from high to low encompassing the geolocations of the Tianshan Mountains, northern and southern Xinjiang Province and corresponding with mid-mountain meadow, typical grassland, desert grassland, alpine meadow, and saline meadow grassland types. This study contributes to improving RS-based NPP estimations for grazed land and provides a more accurate data to support the scientific management of fragile grassland ecosystems in Xinjiang.

Parametric Design Techniques Applied to Creative Hollow out Product Design with 3D Voronoi Patterns

The creation of hollow out art includes a variety of materials, techniques and categories, its content mostly emphasizes the ancient philosophy performance of the alternation of virtual and real, and Yin-Yang depends on the essence of Chinese culture deduction. If this feature is applied to product design, in addition to emphasizing functional orientation, this traditional arts integration with the new media, will give users a different visual inspire. This thesis is mainly in view of the importance of hollow out art in Chinese cultural heritage, and the 3D hollow out production craft has gradually lost. Therefore, the Delaunay triangle is constructed based on the Convex Hull interpolation algorithm, and the Voronoi Diagram feature is constructed based on the Divide and Conquer algorithm. And with Rhino modeling software as the main body, combined with the application of the parametric plug-in design program (GH), the 3D models of the parametric creative hollow pen holder and the parametric creative hollow lampshade were respectively completed. The traditional craftsmanship is integrated into the modern manufacturing process with innovative techniques, and the Chinese cultural spirit and beauty of nature are successfully connected.

Technology and Practice of Stabiliing Oil Production and Controlling Water Cut in Kalamkas Oilfield in Central Asia

In this paper, by in-depth geological research of Kalamkas Oilfield in Central Asia, the geological body has been re-ascertained; combined with fine study of reservoir engineering, based on the understanding of the distribution of remaining oil horizontal wells have been given full play to stabilizing oil production and controlling water cut, reducing the producing pressure drop, improving well productivity and other advantages, and the development and deployment has been optimized; horizontal wells have been applied to solve problems such as old well casing damages, shutting down wells, low-productivity and low- efficiency wells, and high water cut wells to improve the utilization rate of old wells; through separate layer system improved injection production pattern, adjustment wells have been optimized and deployed, and part measures wells have been preferably selected to tap the residual oil improve the degree of reserves control realize the stabilization of oil production and control of water cut in an old oilfield, and further improve the development effects.

Effect of Application of Vermicompost and Conventional Compost Derived from Different Residues on Pea Crop Production and Soil Faunal Diversity in Agricultural System in Garhwal Himalayas India

Sedentary crop-livestock mixed farming is the predominant agricultural land use in Central Himalaya upland and largely rainfed;agrochemicals are not used at all. Farmers focus on increasing yields with poor soil fertility management practices resulted in sharp decline in production of pea crop in the study site. Therefore in present study options are being looked into devising some conservation strategies that increase yields of pea while reducing harm to soil biodiversity at a local scale here. The present study explores the efficiency of P. excavatus as endemic earthworm species for vermicomposting, the potential utilization of Conventional oak based farmyard manure (FM-O);Conventional pine based farmyard manure(FM-P);Earthworm fed ? Cow dung + oak leaves based vermicompost (VC-O);Earthworm fed ? Cow dung + pine leaves based vermicompost (VC-P);freshly fallen leaf litter (LM) on pea crop productivity and soil faunal diversity in agricultural system, and if the changed soil faunal biodiversity scenario in any way affected the crop production. The higher uptake of nitrogen, higher germination percentage enhanced seedling growth, early emergence flower, increase number of pods, seed, husk , and root biomass was significantly higher in plants which received VC-O followed by VC-P as manure input treatments. The change in the diversity of soil micro arthropods in relation to quality change in organic residues input in experimental plots and expressed as the Simpsons diversity index showed that the diversity of soil fauna is related to improvements in soil conditions resulting from nutrient manipulations through vermicompost and conventional compost treatments. This response of soil biota to increased production most likely represents an increase in the availability of resources through addition of vermicompost when compared to other compost treatments. Alternatively, an increase in predators and therefore predation, could, increase the diversity of its prey, thereby decreasing dominant competitors and reducing the possibility of competitive exclusion, but this needs further studies. Chronosequence study during cropping season indicated that the composition and abundance of soil fauna in agricultural fields changed considerably with time under cultivation. This technology has now been adopted by the farmers in the area once again for growing the pea crop.

Spatio-temporal Pattern and Driving Forces of Comprehensive Agricultural Productivity in Jilin Province,China

Improving comprehensive agricultural productivity is an important measure to realize agricultural modernization.Based on the data from Jilin Statistical Yearbook,this study analyzed the spatial and temporal characteristics of comprehensive agricultural productivity discrepancy in the main agricultural production areas of Jilin Province,China.The comprehensive agricultural productivity of 25 county-level administrative units were evaluated by a comprehensive index system based on five aspects which included 20 indicators from 2004 to 2017.The pattern of the discrepancy was analyzed by the spatial differentiation indices and spatial convergence theory.The results were as follows:1) the overall comprehensive agricultural productivity was in a ’W-type’ rising trend;2) the discrepancy was in’inverted W-type’ trend;3) the spatial distribution characteristics were mainly discrete plaque and ’inverted V-type’;4) the formation of differences was forced by a combination of internal and external driving forces.Our study demonstrates the effectiveness of rising agricultural productivity and the level of economic and social developments in different counties in Jilin Province.

Optimization of integrated geological-engineering design of volume fracturing with fan-shaped well pattern

According to the variable toe-to-heel well spacing, combined with the dislocation theory, discrete lattice method, and finite-element-method(FEM) based fluid-solid coupling, an integrated geological-engineering method of volume fracturing for fan-shaped well pattern is proposed considering the geomechanical modeling, induced stress calculation, hydraulic fracturing simulation, and post-frac productivity evaluation. Besides, we propose the differential fracturing design for the conventional productivity-area and the potential production area for fan-shaped horizontal wells. After the fracturing of the conventional production area for H1 fan-shaped well platform, the research shows that the maximum reduction of the horizontal principal stress difference in the potential productivity-area is 0.2 MPa, which cannot cause the stress reversal, but this reduction is still conducive to the lateral propagation of hydraulic fractures. According to the optimized fracturing design, in zone-Ⅰ of the potential production area, only Well 2 is fractured, with a cluster spacing of 30 m and an injection rate of 12 m^(3)/min per stage;in zone-Ⅱ, Well 2 is fractured before Well 3, with a cluster spacing of 30 m and an injection rate of 12 m^(3)/min per stage. The swept area of the pore pressure drop in the potential production area is small, showing that the reservoir is not well developed. The hydraulic fracturing in the toe area can be improved by, for example, properly densifying the fractures and adjusting the fracture distribution, in order to enhance the swept volume and increase the reservoir utilization.

创新配置土地要素保障新质生产力发展:理论逻辑、基本模式与路径机制

研究目的:剖析土地要素保障新质生产力发展的理论逻辑,挖掘新质生产力发展对土地要素的需求,探讨创新配置土地要素保障新质生产力发展的实施路径与实现机制。研究方法:文献研究法,综合分析法。研究结果:(1)土地要素保障新质生产力发展遵循生产要素创新配置促进新质生产力发展的科技创新逻辑、新质生产力产业结构与用地结构相适应的结构演进逻辑、土地要素需求侧和供给侧结构性匹配的市场竞争逻辑、新质生产力需要适配新型生产关系的机制保障逻辑;(2)新质生产力发展可以具象化为4类基本模式,数字虚拟化生产模式需要数字产业支撑空间、特殊需求保障空间和宜居宜工复合空间,绿色低碳化生产模式需要循环利用生产空间、清洁能源供给空间和产业污染处理空间,智能制造化生产模式需要集约高效生产空间、灵活动态调整空间和多维功能融合空间,网络链接化生产模式需要物流仓储配送空间、自由功能组团空间和多元主体共享空间;(3)创新配置土地要素需要以数量精准保障新质生产力需求、以空间统筹协调新质生产力布局、以时序动态适应新质生产力变化,并以规划引导机制、市场决定机制和社会共治机制保障新质生产力发展。研究结论:创新配置土地要素是保障新质生产力在空间上落位的关键,更是优化新质生产力布局的重要手段。在发展新质生产力的过程中需要充分深化新质生产力的内涵认知,在复杂性、多变性和动态性发展过程中不断细化生产模式,精准识别不同生产模式的具体实际需求,才能持续优化创新配置土地要素的实施路径与实现机制,从而有效打通发展新质生产力的堵点卡点,推进新质生产力的蓬勃发展。

中国淡水池塘养殖发展的时空格局与前景展望

淡水池塘养殖是我国重要的渔业生产方式,解析其时空发展格局对于研判和把握未来的发展趋势十分必要。本研究以历年来中国渔业统计年鉴数据为基础,对近40年以来(1980-2020年,以5年为间隔;另有2021、2022年)全国31个省级行政单元淡水池塘养殖产量、面积、单产、占渔业总产量的比例进行了统计分析。结果表明:(1)养殖产量总体呈持续增加趋势,但增长率波动式放缓,1980-2020年增长率从181.9%下降至12.0%,2020-2022年均值为2348.3万吨,平均增长率为2.9%;(2)养殖面积亦呈持续增加趋势,但增长率波动式放缓,从53.1%下降至4.8%,2020-2022年均值261.8万hm^(2),平均增长率为0%;(3)单产总体呈波动式增长,但增长率从82.8%逐步下降至13.7%,2020-2022年均值604.7 kg/667 m^(2),平均增长率为2.4%;(4)各省淡水池塘养殖产量占渔业总产量比重的均值呈先上升后逐渐持平的趋势,1995-2022年波动持平变幅在44.6%~49.0%。受水土资源和环境保护刚性约束,当前淡水池塘养殖发展亟需从数量规模型向质量效益型转变,生态-经济合作型渔业综合体将是未来高质量发展的重要途径。

四川省大豆生产格局变化及驱动因素研究

四川省是我国13个粮食主产区之一,也是我国大豆种植的新兴地区和西南产区的重要组成,研究大豆生产格局对四川省落实粮食安全战略、推动西南地区大豆产业发展具有重大意义。文章基于2000—2020年四川省183个区市县的面板数据,运用空间基尼指数、地理集中度系数、空间转移系数、探索性空间数据分析、最优地理探测器分析了大豆生产的时空格局变化及驱动因素。研究结果发现:1)2000—2020年,四川省大豆产能波动上升,空间分布极不均衡,聚集水平逐步上升,并逐步向川中丘陵区集中;2)大豆生产存在较强的正向空间相关性,总体表现为高-高聚集和低-低聚集;3)资源要素、比较收益、地理气候、经济社会等因素对大豆生产格局变化的影响均高度显著,且呈现非线性增强、双因子增强的交互效应。资源要素投入、比较收益、海拔高程长期以来对大豆生产格局的影响较为显著且呈波动上升趋势,气温、乡村家庭规模的影响力提升较快,交通条件、地区GDP的影响力则总体呈下降趋势,耕作制度长期以来驱动力最弱。基于此,四川省大豆生产应着力破解耕地资源细碎化与劳动力短缺等资源环境约束,大力发展生产性服务业,全面提升大豆生产机械化水平。通过强化科技创新提升川豆单产,并进一步优化大豆生产、农机、服务、保险等环节的政策保障。同时,应重点关注气候变化引发的干旱等自然风险,健全农业领域自然灾害风险预警与防范机制,以进一步强化大豆产业的综合风险抵御能力。

“国潮”背景下文创产品的设计思路

目的分析“国潮”文化元素的特征,探究“国潮”文化元素在文创产品设计中的应用策略,为设计师提供更多的思路,从而提高文创产品设计水平,增强文化自信。方法采用文献资料法和案例法进行研究,在文化主题、形式风格和表现手法这三个方面探讨了“国潮”文化元素在文创产品设计中的应用,同时也论述了“国潮”应用的几点原则。结论文创产品设计师应该充分认识到传统文化的重要价值,在文化主题、形式风格和表现手法这三个方面借鉴“国潮”文化元素,并遵循实用性原则、时尚性原则和艺术性原则,从而提升文创产品的生命力。

形状文法审美下的七曲山文昌文化之纹样衍生设计研究

目的为促进七曲山景区文昌文化和景区自然资源的可持续性发展,提高景区文化宣传价值和经济价值,建立景区文化自信,提出一种基于形状文法的纹样衍生设计方案。该方案既包含形状文法的秩序之美,又融合景区的自然特征,可与景区相关产品设计进行有机融合,形成特色文创产品。方法筛选、整理、分析素材,形成感性词汇。结合文昌文化特征元素及关联传统纹样设计图元因子,并运用用户感知评价、层次分析矩阵等进行图元因子排序。随后,运用形状文法设计纹样创新图案,以相关文创产品进行设计验证。结论纹样方案包含七曲山景区特征,拓展了形状文法审美外延,形成秩序与自由的对比之美。该方案可有机融合于景区文创产品设计中,从而有效宣传景区文化,提高旅游和经济价值。