Flexible Load Participation in Peaking Shaving and Valley Filling Based on Dynamic Price Incentives

Considering the widening of the peak-valley difference in the power grid and the difficulty of the existing fixed time-of-use electricity price mechanism in meeting the energy demand of heterogeneous users at various moments or motivating users,the design of a reasonable dynamic pricing mechanism to actively engage users in demand response becomes imperative for power grid companies.For this purpose,a power grid-flexible load bilevel model is constructed based on dynamic pricing,where the leader is the dispatching center and the lower-level flexible load acts as the follower.Initially,an upper-level day-ahead dispatching model for the power grid is established,considering the lowest power grid dispatching cost as the objective function and incorporating the power grid-side constraints.Then,the lower level comprehensively considers the load characteristics of industrial load,energy storage,and data centers,and then establishes a lower-level flexible load operation model with the lowest user power-consuming cost as the objective function.Finally,the proposed method is validated using the IEEE-118 system,and the findings indicate that the dynamic pricing mechanism for peaking shaving and valley filling can effectively guide users to respond actively,thereby reducing the peak-valley difference and decreasing users’purchasing costs.

Hierarchical Mean-Field Type Control of Price Dynamics for Electricity in Smart Grid

This paper solves a mean-field type hierarchical optimal control problem in electricity market.The authors consider n-1 prosumers and one producer.The ith prosumer,for 1<i<n,is a leader of the(i-1)th prosumer and is a follower of the(i+1)th prosumer.The first player(agent)is the follower at the bottom whereas the nth is the leader at the top.The problem is described by a linear jump-diffusion system of conditional mean-field type,where the conditioning is with respect to common noise,and a quadratic cost functional involving,the square of the conditional expectation of the controls of the agents.The authors provide a semi-explicit solution of the corresponding meanfield-type hierarchical control problem with common noise.Finally,the authors illustrate the obtained result via a numerical example with two different scenarios.

Nonlinear delay difference equations for housing dynamics assuming heterogeneous backward-looking expectations

China＇s first interest rate hike during the last decade, aiming to cool down the seemingly overheated real estate market, had aroused more caution on housing market. This paper aims to analyze the housing price dynamics after an unanticipated economic shock, which was believed to have similar properties with the backward-looking expecta- tion models. The analysis of the housing price dynamics is based on the cobweb model with a simple user cost affected demand and a stock-flow supply assumption. Several nth- order delay rational difference equations are set up to illustrate the properties of housing dynamics phenomena, such as the equilibrium or oscillations, overshoot or undershoot and convergent or divergent, for a kind of heterogeneous backward-looking expectation models. The results show that demand elasticity is less than supply elasticity is not a necessary condition for the occurrence of oscillation. The housing price dynamics will vary substantially with the heterogeneous backward-looking expectation assumption and some other endogenous factors.

Research on Operation Optimization of Energy Storage Power Station and Integrated Energy Microgrid Alliance Based on Stackelberg Game

With the development of renewable energy technologies such as photovoltaics and wind power,it has become a research hotspot to improve the consumption rate of new energy and reduce energy costs through the deployment of energy storage.To solve the problem of the interests of different subjects in the operation of the energy storage power stations(ESS)and the integrated energy multi-microgrid alliance(IEMA),this paper proposes the optimization operation method of the energy storage power station and the IEMA based on the Stackelberg game.In the upper layer,ESS optimizes charging and discharging decisions through a dynamic pricing mechanism.In the lower layer,IEMA optimizes the output of various energy conversion coupled devices within the IEMA,as well as energy interaction and demand response(DR),based on the energy interaction prices provided by ESS.The results demonstrate that the optimization strategy proposed in this paper not only effectively balances the benefits of the IEMA and ESS but also enhances energy consumption rates and reduces IEMA energy costs.

EV Charging Station Load Prediction in Coupled Urban Transportation and Distribution Networks

The increasingly large number of electric vehicles(EVs)has resulted in a growing concern for EV charging station load prediction for the purpose of comprehensively evaluating the influence of the charging load on distribution networks.To address this issue,an EV charging station load predictionmethod is proposed in coupled urban transportation and distribution networks.Firstly,a finer dynamic urban transportation network model is formulated considering both nodal and path resistance.Then,a finer EV power consumption model is proposed by considering the influence of traffic congestion and ambient temperature.Thirdly,the Monte Carlo method is applied to predict the distribution of EVcharging station load based on the proposed dynamic urban transportation network model and finer EV power consumption model.Moreover,a dynamic charging pricing scheme for EVs is devised based on the EV charging station load requirements and the maximum thresholds to ensure the security operation of distribution networks.Finally,the validity of the proposed dynamic urban transportation model was verified by accurately estimating five sets of test data on travel time by contrast with the BPR model.The five groups of travel time prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors could be improved from 32.87%to 37.21%compared to the BPR model.Additionally,the effectiveness of the proposed EV charging station load prediction method was demonstrated by four case studies in which the prediction of EV charging load was improved from27.2 to 31.49MWh by considering the influence of ambient temperature and speed on power energy consumption.

Machine Learning: An Overview

Machine learning is an Artificial Intelligence (or AI) application, an idea that came into being by giving machines access to data and letting them learn by themselves. AI has been making headlines, especially since ChatGPT was introduced. Malaysia has taken many significant steps to embrace and integrate the technology into various sectors. These include encouraging large companies to build AI infrastructure, creating AI training opportunities (for example, the local media reported Microsoft and Google plan to invest USD 2.2 billion and USD 2 billion, respectively, in the said activities), and, as part of AI Talent Roadmap 2024-2030, establishing AI faculty in one of its public universities (i.e., “Universiti Teknologi Malaysia”) leading the way in the integration and teaching of AI throughout the country. This article introduces several products developed by the author (for the energy and transportation industries) and recommends their improvement by incorporating Machine learning.

Stability analysis of intermediate product dynamic price in two-level supply chain

In two cases that upstream and downstream firms have the decision power of intermediate product prices in a two-level supply chain,the dynamic pricing mechanism of intermediate products is studied.When a party who has the decision power of pricing gives prices of intermediate products,the other side will give the supply or demand quantity of intermediate products which maximizes its own profits,then the party who decides price has two pricing strategies.One uses the matching price which meets the other party's demand or supply needs according to the prices of intermediate products in the next cycle.The other uses the convex combinations of the current price and the matching price which satisfies the other party's demand or supply as the price of the intermediate product in the next cycle.No matter which side has the decision power of intermediate product prices between upstream and downstream firms,results show that in the first pricing strategy,only in one case of the pricing of intermediate products stable;but in the second pricing strategy,both of the cases of pricing of intermediate products are stable in a certain field of combined parameters.

Seeking for Passenger under Dynamic Prices: A Markov Decision Process Approach

In recent years, ride-on-demand (RoD) services such as Uber and Didi are becoming increasingly popular. Different from traditional taxi services, RoD services adopt dynamic pricing mechanisms to manipulate the supply and demand on the road, and such mechanisms improve service capacity and quality. Seeking route recommendation has been widely studied in taxi service. In RoD services, the dynamic price is a new and accurate indicator that represents the supply and demand condition, but it is yet rarely studied in providing clues for drivers to seek for passengers. In this paper, we proposed to incorporate the impacts of dynamic prices as a key factor in recommending seeking routes to drivers. We first showed the importance and need to do that by analyzing real service data. We then designed a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model based on passenger order and car GPS trajectories datasets, and took into account dynamic prices in designing rewards. Results show that our model not only guides drivers to locations with higher prices, but also significantly improves driver revenue. Compared with things with the drivers before using the model, the maximum yield after using it can be increased to 28%.

A heterogeneous boundedly rational expectation model for housing market

This research aims to test the housing price dynamics when considering heterogeneous boundedly rational expectations such as naive expectation, adaptive expectation and biased belief. The housing market is investigated as an evolutionary system with heterogeneous and competing expectations. The results show that the dynamics of the expected housing price varies substantially when heterogeneous expectations are considered together with some other endogenous factors. Simulation results explain some stylized phenomena such as equilibrium or oscillation, convergence or divergence, and over-shooting or under-shooting. Furthermore, the results suggest that variation of the proportion of groups of agents is basically dependent on the selected strategies. It also indicates that control policies should be chosen carefully in consistence with a unique real estate market during a unique period since certain parameter portfolio may increase or suppress oscillation.

Dynamic Pricing Research for Container Terminal Handling Charges based on Demand Forecast

A dynamic pricing model was established based on forecasting the demand for container handling of a specific shipping company to maximize terminal profits to solve terminal handling charges under the changing market environment.It assumes that container handling demand depends on the price and the unknown parameters in the demand model.The maximum quasi-likelihood estimation(MQLE)method is used to estimate the unknown parameters.Then an adaptive dynamic pricing policy algorithm is proposed.At the beginning of each period,through dynamic pricing,determining the optimal price relative to the estimation value of the current parameter and attach a constraint of differential price decision.Meanwhile,the accuracy of demand estimation and the optimality of price decisions are balanced.Finally,a case study is given based on the real data of Shanghai port.The results show that this pricing policy can make the handling price converge to the stable price and significantly increase this shipping company’s handling profit compared with the original“contractual pricing”mechanism.

Vehicle-to-grid power system services with electric and plug - in vehicles based on flexibility in unidirectional charging

With proper power scheduling and dynamic pricing,a unidirectional charger can provide benefits and regulation services to the electricity grid,at a level approaching that of bidirectional charging.Power scheduling and schedule flexibility of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles are addressed.The use of electric vehicles(EVs)as flexibility resources and associated unidirectional vehicle-to-grid benefits are investigated.Power can be scheduled with the EV charger in control of charging or via control by a utility or an aggregator.Charging cost functions suitable for charger-and utility-controlled power scheduling are presented.Ancillary service levels possible with unidirectional vehicle-to-grid are quantified using sample charging scenarios from published data.Impacts of various power schedules and vehicle participation as a flexibility resource on electricity locational prices are evaluated.These include benefits to both owners and load-serving entities.Frequency regulation is considered in the context of unidirectional charging.

A novel method to update dynamic pricing scheme for DiffServ

The discrete time model for a single link of Diffserv is considered in this paper. A novel algorithm is proposed to improve the robustness of the existing model. It allows the link price to fluctuate slightly around the equilibrium price. Simulations are performed to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm. This model solves the problem that the existing model can converge only under the strict condition.

Dynamic pricing by hopfield neural network

The increase in the number of shopbots users in e-commerce has triggered flexibility of sellers in their pricing strategies. Sellers see the importance of automated price setting which provides efficient services to a large number of buyers who are using shopbots. This paper studies the characteristic of decreasing energy with time in a continuous model of a Hopfield neural network that is the decreasing of errors in the network with respect to time. The characteristic shows that it is possible to use Hopfield neural network to get the main factor of dynamic pricing; the least variable cost, from production function principles. The least variable cost is obtained by reducing or increasing the input combination factors, and then making the comparison of the network output with the desired output, where the difference between the network output and desired output will be decreasing in the same manner as in the Hopfield neural network energy. Hopfield neural network will simplify the rapid change of prices in e-commerce during transaction that depends on the demand quantity for demand sensitive model of pricing.

Dynamic Pricing of Tropical Fruits in Hainan Based on Internet of Things Technology

In recent years,the Internet of Things(IoT)technology has been widely used in the production and sales of tropical fruits,with strong practicability and wide application prospects.The tropical fruit dynamic pricing model based on the IoT technology can promote the healthy development of the tropical fruit industry in Hainan and ensure the income of fruit farmers.Based on IoT technology,the quality grade of tropical fruits in Hainan is obtained.According to the dynamic pricing strategy of revenue management,a dynamic pricing model based on the quality of tropical fruits and a dynamic pricing model based on consumer segmentation are established to study the dynamic pricing problem under the condition of maximum profit for tropical fruit sellers.The research results show that for different fruit quality and consumer groups,different pricing models are required for pricing,in order to get the maximum profit from tropical fruit sales.Sellers must flexibly adopt different dynamic pricing models to price tropical fruits to enhance the competitiveness of the tropical fruit industry.

Temporal and Spatial Optimization for 5G Base Station Groups in Distribution Networks

With the large-scale connection of 5G base stations(BSs)to the distribution networks(DNs),5G BSs are utilized as flexible loads to participate in the peak load regulation,where the BSs can be divided into base station groups(BSGs)to realize inter-district energy transfer.A Stackelberg game-based optimization framework is proposed,where the distribution net-work operator(DNO)works as a leader with dynamic pricing for multi-BSGs;while BSGs serve as followers with the ability of demand response to adjust their charging and discharging strategies in temporal dimension and load migration strategy in spatial dimension.Subsequently,the presence and uniqueness of the Stackelberg equilibrium(SE)are provided.Moreover,differential evolution is adopted to reach the SE and the optimization problem in multi-BSGs is decomposed to solve the time-space coupling.Finally,through simulation of a practical system,the results show that the DNO operation profit is increased via cutting down the peak load and the operation costs for multi-BSGs are reduced,which reaches a winwin effect.

HVAC energy cost minimization in smart grids: A cloud-based demand side management approach with game theory optimization and deep learning

In this paper, we present a novel cloud-based demand side management (DSM) optimization approach for the cost reduction of energy usage in heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems in residential homes at the district level. The proposed approach achieves optimization through scheduling of HVAC energy usage within permissible bounds set by house users. House smart home energy management (SHEM) devices are connected to the utility/aggregator via a dedicated communication network that is used to enable DSM. Each house SHEM can predict its own HVAC energy usage for the next 24 h using minimalistic deep learning (DL) prediction models. These predictions are communicated to the aggregator, which will then do day ahead optimizations using the proposed game theory (GT) algorithm. The GT model captures the interaction between aggregator and customers and identifies a solution to the GT problem that translates into HVAC energy peak shifting and peak reduction achieved by rescheduling HVAC energy usage. The found solution is communicated by the aggregator to houses SHEM devices in the form of offers via DSM signals. If customers’ SHEM devices accept the offer, then energy cost reduction will be achieved. To validate the proposed algorithm, we conduct extensive simulations with a custom simulation tool based on GridLab-D tool, which is integrated with DL prediction models and optimization libraries. Results show that HVAC energy cost can be reduced by up to 36% while indirectly also reducing the peak-to-average (PAR) and the aggregated net load by up to 9.97%.

Impacts of multiple demand-side management strategies on microgrids planning:a literature survey

Demand-side management(DSM)schemes play a crucial role in managing renewable energy generation and load fluctuations by uti-lizing demand-response programmes(DRPs).This paper aims to provide a detailed overview of DRPs that help microgrid operators to keep costs and reliability within acceptable ranges.Additionally,this review paper provides a detailed economic load model for DRPs based on initial load,demand-response(DR)incentive,DR penalty and elasticity coefficients.This article also aims to guide researchers in identifying research gaps in DSM applications in microgrids by comparing various DSM schemes from different countries and regions in terms of DSM strategies,objective functions and optimization techniques.Furthermore,this study analyses the impact of DRPs on microgrid configuration from the perspective of utilities and customers,considering technical and economic performance metrics.As a result,it can be concluded that none of the studied cases provides models or guidelines for choosing appropriate DSM schemes that consider different consumer interests or load-type features.Furthermore,a few researchers have addressed the features of a modern price-based DR strategy,renewable generation-based dynamic pricing DR,which offers higher customer satisfaction than traditional DRPs.

Dynamic Pricing with Stochastic Reference Price Effect

We study a dynamic pricing problem of a firm facing stochastic reference price effect.Randomness is incorporated in the formation of reference prices to capture either consumers’heterogeneity or exogenous factors that affect consumers’memory processes.We apply the stochastic optimal control theory to the problem and derive an explicit expression for the optimal pricing strategy.The explicit expression allows us to obtain the distribution of the steady-state reference price.We compare the expected steadystate reference price to the steady-state reference price in a model with deterministic reference price effect,and we find that the former one is always higher.Our numerical study shows that the two steady-state reference prices can have opposite sensitivity to the problem parameters and the relative difference between the two can be very significant.

Managing Procurement and Production Outsourcing under Dynamic Prices

This paper proposes a procurement and production outsourcing model subject to a dynamic prices environment. Using the optimal control theory we obtain the necessary conditions of the optimal procurement and production policy. From the study of optimal control conditions, we derive qualitative properties of the optimal procurement and production decisions for a few exemplifying cases. Through these results we are able to provide some managerial implications for managers to make real decisions.

SIMULATION OF INVENTORY POLICY FOR PRODUCT WITH PRICE AND TIME-DEPENDENT DEMAND FOR DETERIORATING ITEM

In a declining market for goods,we optimize the net profit in business when inventory management allows change in the selling prices n times over time horizon.We are computing optimal number of changes in prices,respective optimal prices,and optimal profit in each of the cycle for a deteriorating product.This paper theoretically proves that for any business setup there exists an optimal number of price settings for obtaining maximum profit.Theoretical results are supported by numerical examples for different setups(data set)and it is found that for every setup the dynamic pricing policy out-performs the static pricing policy.In our model,the deterioration factor has been taken into consideration.The deteriorated units are determined by the recurrence method.Also we studied the effect of different parameters on optimal policy with simulation.For managerial purposes,we have provided some“suggested intervals”for choosing parameters depending upon initial demand,which help to predict the best prices and arrival of customers(demand).