＂Input-output＂ table which was designed for solution of mutual relation （impact） problem is a widely applied tool in the world for conducting economic analysis and forecasting. One of the most important problem of...＂Input-output＂ table which was designed for solution of mutual relation （impact） problem is a widely applied tool in the world for conducting economic analysis and forecasting. One of the most important problem of today＇s world is to prevent financial-economic crises in several countries of the world and especially in Eurozone countries where it is still ongoing. Input-output balance tables were prepared by modifying input-output table based on relevant economic indicators of the biggest countries of economy in the world as well as simulations were conducted by designing several balance models （mutual impact of GDP and change in general output of countries, mutual impact of added value and prices, mutual impact of GDP and work places）. Level of coverage of relevant indicators used in analysis on the countries of the world were tested on the basis of statistic methods and assessed. It was identified that, level of confidence of the coverage in designed model on world economy is higher than 95%. These models enable to analyze and forecast possible changes in world economy caused by changes which took place in economic conjecture of other big countries of the world, especially in USA, Japan, Germany, and China. It should be noted that, model＇s system was automatized in EXCEL system with the purpose of simplifying simulations and conducting analysis and increasing efficiency on the usage of models.展开更多
Under the global value chain, a country extensively employs foreign intermediate inputs in manufacturing its export products, which may not employ entirely local technology. Science-based measurement of technology con...Under the global value chain, a country extensively employs foreign intermediate inputs in manufacturing its export products, which may not employ entirely local technology. Science-based measurement of technology content in and structure of exports should be conducted using production process data. Using world input-output tables(WIOTs) of 1995-2011, this paper developed a new method for measuring the export technology content of China and other major countries. Our research findings suggest that, since 1995, there has been some technology upgrade of Chinese exports. China's overall and sector-specific technology contents, and domestic technology contents and indexes all increased and demonstrated a weak convergence towards the average level of developed countries. Judging by the relative rankings of sector-specific technology levels, China is almost locked at the lowest level in the world, and cannot challenge the technological superiority of developed countries like the U.S. and Japan.展开更多
文摘＂Input-output＂ table which was designed for solution of mutual relation （impact） problem is a widely applied tool in the world for conducting economic analysis and forecasting. One of the most important problem of today＇s world is to prevent financial-economic crises in several countries of the world and especially in Eurozone countries where it is still ongoing. Input-output balance tables were prepared by modifying input-output table based on relevant economic indicators of the biggest countries of economy in the world as well as simulations were conducted by designing several balance models （mutual impact of GDP and change in general output of countries, mutual impact of added value and prices, mutual impact of GDP and work places）. Level of coverage of relevant indicators used in analysis on the countries of the world were tested on the basis of statistic methods and assessed. It was identified that, level of confidence of the coverage in designed model on world economy is higher than 95%. These models enable to analyze and forecast possible changes in world economy caused by changes which took place in economic conjecture of other big countries of the world, especially in USA, Japan, Germany, and China. It should be noted that, model＇s system was automatized in EXCEL system with the purpose of simplifying simulations and conducting analysis and increasing efficiency on the usage of models.
文摘Under the global value chain, a country extensively employs foreign intermediate inputs in manufacturing its export products, which may not employ entirely local technology. Science-based measurement of technology content in and structure of exports should be conducted using production process data. Using world input-output tables(WIOTs) of 1995-2011, this paper developed a new method for measuring the export technology content of China and other major countries. Our research findings suggest that, since 1995, there has been some technology upgrade of Chinese exports. China's overall and sector-specific technology contents, and domestic technology contents and indexes all increased and demonstrated a weak convergence towards the average level of developed countries. Judging by the relative rankings of sector-specific technology levels, China is almost locked at the lowest level in the world, and cannot challenge the technological superiority of developed countries like the U.S. and Japan.
