BACKGROUND After the failure of second-line standard therapy,effective treatment options for metastatic colorectal cancer are limited,and the duration of remission cannot meet clinical needs.In addition,associated dru...BACKGROUND After the failure of second-line standard therapy,effective treatment options for metastatic colorectal cancer are limited,and the duration of remission cannot meet clinical needs.In addition,associated drug toxicity may lead to treatment interruption that may affect patient outcomes.Therefore,more safe,effective and convenient treatments are urgently needed.CASE SUMMARY Here,we describe a patient with advanced colorectal cancer with multiple metastases in both lungs.Oxaliplatin combined with 5-fluorouracil or capecitabine was given as the first-line treatment,and bevacizumab combined with irinotecan was given as the second-line treatment after disease progression.However,treatment was interrupted due to recurrent grade 2 nausea and grade 1 diarrhea.He received targeted therapy with fruquintinib starting on August 26,2020 and responded well for 12 mo.After slow progression of the lung metastases,progression-free survival was again achieved over 13.5 mo by continued treatment of fruquintinib in combination with tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil potassium chemotherapy.Overall treatment duration was more than 25.5 mo.The treatments delayed tumor progression,reduced drug side effects,maintained a good quality of life,and further extended overall survival.CONCLUSION This case report detailed preliminary evidence showing that the combination of fruquintinib with tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil potassium chemotherapy double oral therapy may result in longer progression-free survival in patients with advanced colorectal cancer.展开更多
Objective To compare the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS)and conventional ultrasound(US)during radiofrequency ablation(RFA)for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)≥3.0 cm in diameter.Methods A to...Objective To compare the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS)and conventional ultrasound(US)during radiofrequency ablation(RFA)for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)≥3.0 cm in diameter.Methods A total of 149 HCC patients treated with RFA guided by either CEUS or conventional US between January 2012 and June 2013 were retrospectively analyzed.Patients were divided into different groups based on the type of ultrasound guidance(CEUS or conventional US)and tumor volume(diameter<3.0 or≥3.0 cm).The progressionfree survival(PFS)and complete ablation rates were compared between groups,and risk factors for the PFS were investigated.Results Seventy four patients received CEUS-guided RFA,and conventional US was performed in 75 patients.Among patients with a tumor<3.0 cm,the PFS and complete ablation rates were similar.However,for patients with a tumor≥3.0 cm,those treated with CEUS had a significantly longer PFS(17.3 vs.3.1 months,HR=2.73;95%CI,1.28~5.81;P=0.007)and higher complete ablation rates at 6-and 12-month post-treatment(87.5%vs.57.7%,P=0.042;75.0%vs.38.5%,P=0.009,respectively)than those treated with conventional US-guided RFA.The type of treatment(P=0.024)and maximum tumour size(P=0.011)were both found to be independent factors associated with the PFS.Conclusion Compared with conventional US,CEUS is more effective for guiding RFA in patients with HCC≥3.0 cm.CEUS-guided RFA could target HCC more accurately,and its ability to immediately detect any residual tumor during RFA might contribute to an increase in complete ablation rates and reduced progression.展开更多
Objective:To develop and validate a radiomics prognostic scoring system(RPSS)for prediction of progressionfree survival(PFS)in patients with stageⅣnon-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC)treated with platinum-based chemothe...Objective:To develop and validate a radiomics prognostic scoring system(RPSS)for prediction of progressionfree survival(PFS)in patients with stageⅣnon-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC)treated with platinum-based chemotherapy.Methods:In this retrospective study,four independent cohorts of stageⅣNSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy were included for model construction and validation(Discovery:n=159;Internal validation:n=156;External validation:n=81,Mutation validation:n=64).First,a total of 1,182 three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment computed tomography(CT)images of each patient.Then,a radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method(LASSO)penalized Cox regression analysis.Finally,an individualized prognostic scoring system incorporating radiomics signature and clinicopathologic risk factors was proposed for PFS prediction.Results:The established radiomics signature consisting of 16 features showed good discrimination for classifying patients with high-risk and low-risk progression to chemotherapy in all cohorts(All P<0.05).On the multivariable analysis,independent factors for PFS were radiomics signature,performance status(PS),and N stage,which were all selected into construction of RPSS.The RPSS showed significant prognostic performance for predicting PFS in discovery[C-index:0.772,95%confidence interval(95%CI):0.765-0.779],internal validation(C-index:0.738,95%CI:0.730-0.746),external validation(C-index:0.750,95%CI:0.734-0.765),and mutation validation(Cindex:0.739,95%CI:0.720-0.758).Decision curve analysis revealed that RPSS significantly outperformed the clinicopathologic-based model in terms of clinical usefulness(All P<0.05).Conclusions:This study established a radiomics prognostic scoring system as RPSS that can be conveniently used to achieve individualized prediction of PFS probability for stageⅣNSCLC patients treated with platinumbased chemotherapy,which holds promise for guiding personalized pre-therapy of stageⅣNSCLC.展开更多
Objective:Lung cancer is the most common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide.Somatic copy number alterations(SCNAs)have been used to predict responses to therapies in many cancers,including lung cancer.However,li...Objective:Lung cancer is the most common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide.Somatic copy number alterations(SCNAs)have been used to predict responses to therapies in many cancers,including lung cancer.However,little is known about whether they are predictive of radiotherapy outcomes.We aimed to understand the prognostic value and biological functions of SCNAs.Methods:We analyzed the correlation between SCNAs and clinical outcomes in The Cancer Genome Atlas data for 486 patients with non-small cell lung cancer who received radiotherapy.Gene set enrichment analyses were performed to investigate the potential mechanisms underlying the roles of SCNAs in the radiotherapy response.Our results were validated in 20 patients with lung adenocarcinoma(LUAD)receiving radiotherapy.Results:SCNAs were a better predictor of progression-free survival(PFS)in LUAD(P=0.024)than in lung squamous carcinoma(P=0.18)in patients treated with radiotherapy.Univariate and multivariate regression analyses revealed the superiority of SCNAs in predicting PFS in patients with LUAD.Patients with stage I cancer and low SCNA levels had longer PFS than those with high SCNA levels(P=0.022).Our prognostic nomogram also showed that combining SCNAs and tumor/node/metastasis provided a better model for predicting long-term PFS.Additionally,high SCNA may activate the cell cycle pathway and induce tumorigenesis.Conclusions:SCNAs may be used to predict PFS in patients with early-stage LUAD with radiotherapy,in combination with TNM,with the aim of predicting long-term PFS.Therefore,SCNAs are a novel predictive biomarker for radiotherapy in patients with LUAD.展开更多
Objective: Adjuvant chemotherapy(AC) after curative resection is known to improve the survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC); however, few studies have reported the correlation between the time to...Objective: Adjuvant chemotherapy(AC) after curative resection is known to improve the survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC); however, few studies have reported the correlation between the time to initiation of AC(TTAC) and survival in NSCLC patients.Methods: The clinical data of 925 NSCLC patients who received curative resection and post-operative AC at the Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences between 2003 and 2013 were retrospectively analyzed.TTAC was measured from the date of surgery to the initiation of AC. Disease-free survival(DFS) was defined as the duration from surgery to the time of tumor recurrence or last follow-up evaluation. The optimal cut-off value of TTAC was determined by maximally selected log-rank statistics. The DFS curve was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify risk factors independently associated with DFS. Propensity score matching(PSM) was performed for survival analysis using the match data.Results: The optimal discriminating cut-off value of TTAC was set at d 35 after curative resection based on which the patients were assigned into two groups: group A(≤35 d) and group B(>35 d). There was no significant difference in the DFS between the two groups(P=0.246), indicating that the TTAC is not an independent prognostic factor for DFS. A further comparison continued to show no significant difference in the DFS among 258 PSM pairs(P=0.283).Conclusions: There was no significant correlation between the TTAC and DFS in NSCLC patients. Studies with larger samples are needed to further verify this conclusion.展开更多
Background:There is no consensus regarding the influence of prophylactic no.10 lymph node(LN)dissection in patients with advanced gastric cancer(AGC).We aimed to evaluate whether patients with AGC could benefit from n...Background:There is no consensus regarding the influence of prophylactic no.10 lymph node(LN)dissection in patients with advanced gastric cancer(AGC).We aimed to evaluate whether patients with AGC could benefit from no.10 LN dissection and to explore the clinicopathological indicators of no.10 LN metastasis.Methods:We analyzed the data of 218 patients with AGC who underwent standard D2 lymphadenectomy(SD2;n=108)or modified D2 lymphadenectomy(MD2;n=110)between January 2017 and January 2021.In addition,we examined factors influencing no.10 LN metastasis in the SD2 group.Results:Differentiation,tumor location,and no.4 positive LNs were significantly correlated with no.10 LN metastasis(P<0.05).Borrmann classification,differentiation,depth of invasion,LN metastasis(N),and tumor size were found to correlate with survival in univariate analyses.Age,sex,extent of gastrectomy,tumor location,and extent of lymphadenectomy were not associated with survival(P>0.05).The median survival times were 72.23 and 68.56months for the SD2 andMD2 groups,respectively(P=0.635).Postoperative major morbidity and mortality rates were 37.96%and 3.70%in the SD2 group,and 23.64%and 1.82%in the MD2 group,respectively.Conclusions:Based on our findings,prophylactic no.10 lymphadenectomy may be recommended in patients with AGC who exhibit positive no.4 LN status,poor differentiation,and tumors located on the greater curvature.展开更多
Survival of HIV/AIDS patients is crucially dependent on comprehensive and targeted medical interventions such as supply of antiretroviral therapy and monitoring disease progression with CD4 T-cell counts. Statistical ...Survival of HIV/AIDS patients is crucially dependent on comprehensive and targeted medical interventions such as supply of antiretroviral therapy and monitoring disease progression with CD4 T-cell counts. Statistical modelling approaches are helpful towards this goal. This study aims at developing Bayesian joint models with assumed generalized error distribution (GED) for the longitudinal CD4 data and two accelerated failure time distributions, Lognormal and loglogistic, for the survival time of HIV/AIDS patients. Data are obtained from patients under antiretroviral therapy follow-up at Shashemene referral hospital during January 2006-January 2012 and at Bale Robe general hospital during January 2008-March 2015. The Bayesian joint models are defined through latent variables and association parameters and with specified non-informative prior distributions for the model parameters. Simulations are conducted using Gibbs sampler algorithm implemented in the WinBUGS software. The results of the analyses of the two different data sets show that distributions of measurement errors of the longitudinal CD4 variable follow the generalized error distribution with fatter tails than the normal distribution. The Bayesian joint GED loglogistic models fit better to the data sets compared to the lognormal cases. Findings reveal that patients’ health can be improved over time. Compared to the males, female patients gain more CD4 counts. Survival time of a patient is negatively affected by TB infection. Moreover, increase in number of opportunistic infection implies decline of CD4 counts. Patients’ age negatively affects the disease marker with no effects on survival time. Improving weight may improve survival time of patients. Bayesian joint models with GED and AFT distributions are found to be useful in modelling the longitudinal and survival processes. Thus we recommend the generalized error distributions for measurement errors of the longitudinal data under the Bayesian joint modelling. Further studies may investigate the models with various types of shared random effects and more covariates with predictions.展开更多
AIM: In this retrospective study of unresectable helatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we have investigated the efficacy of CTderived parameters, laboratory measurements, clinical assessment and associated transarterial emb...AIM: In this retrospective study of unresectable helatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we have investigated the efficacy of CTderived parameters, laboratory measurements, clinical assessment and associated transarterial embolization (TAE) as predictors of post-radiotherapy survival time.METHODS: Sixty-six patients diagnosed with unresectable HCC that had undergone radiotherapy at two medical university hospitals in Taipei were enrolled in the study.Using multivariant analysis, pre-treatment parameters including tumor number and CT confirmation of PVT and ascites were compared. Multivariant analysis was also used for comparison of the mean pretreatment values for laboratory measurements, including alpha-fetoprotein,direct/total bilirubin and GOT/GPT levels, and clinical history of chronic hepatitis across the three survival-time categories. The χ2 was used to test the significance of the relationship between survival time and TAE procedure.The Pvalues for the above tests were deemed statisticallysignificant where P<0.05.RESULTS: Portal vein thrombosis (P = 0.032) and ascites (P<0.05) were negative predictors of post-radiation survival time. Low-grade liver cirrhosis (A or B), lower tumor volume and low levels of AFT, GOT/GPT, and total bilirubin were predictors of longer post-radiation survival time (P<0.05).CONCLUSION: The CT and clinical and laboratory assessment provide a reference for, and enable estimation of, probable survival times in HCC patients after radiotherapy. Tumor volume, severity of liver cirrhosis,status with respect to portal vein thrombosis and ascites and AFT, GOT/GPT and total bilirubin values were significant predictors of survival in this study.展开更多
OBJECTIVE To examine the ultrastructure of gastric cancer cel s by the electron microscope,in order to assess the relationship between neuroendocrine differentiation and post-operative survival time. METHODS NSE,Syn a...OBJECTIVE To examine the ultrastructure of gastric cancer cel s by the electron microscope,in order to assess the relationship between neuroendocrine differentiation and post-operative survival time. METHODS NSE,Syn and CgA immunohistochemical labeling was conducted in 168 cases with a common-type of gastric cancer.Electron microscopy was performed in 80 cases with positive immunohistochemical labeling. These cases were fol owed-up for over 5 years and the post-operative survival data analyzed. RESULTS Neuroendocrine granules were found by electron microscopy in 39 cases.The rate of neuroendocrine differentiation found was 23% (39/168),using routine diagnostic criteria and electron microscopy(REM). The post-operative survival time of gastric cancer patients with neuroendocrine differentiation was significantly shorter(P=0.0032)compared to those without neuroendocrine differentiation. CONCLUSION It is of significant clinical importance to determine if the neuroendocrine cells are differentiated in gastric cancers.The gastric cancer patients with neuroendocrine differentiation have a shorter post-operative survival time and a poorer prognosis.Electron microscopy is a reliable method of providing a diagnosis.展开更多
AIM:To investigate the impact of lag time to metastasis and survival rates among patients with retinoblastoma.METHODS:This retrospective study was conducted with 52 patients from the Department of Ophthalmology and th...AIM:To investigate the impact of lag time to metastasis and survival rates among patients with retinoblastoma.METHODS:This retrospective study was conducted with 52 patients from the Department of Ophthalmology and the Department of Pediatrics of Dr.Sardjito General Hospital,between 1^(st) January 2014 and 31^(st) December 2020.Lag time was defined as the time delay between the first sign of retinoblastoma to the diagnosis of retinoblastoma.The subjects with lag time>one year were included in the case group,while the subjects with lag time<one year were included in the control group.RESULTS:The lag time was significantly correlated with American Joint Committee on Cancer and Intraocular Classification of Retinoblastoma staging of retinoblastoma(P=0.005 and P=0.006,respectively).The lag time was also significantly correlated with both metastasis event[odds ratio(OR):5.06,95%Cl:1.56-16.44,P=0.006]and mortality(OR:4.54,95%Cl:1.37-15.07,P=0.011).The follow-up was continued for 32 subjects for 3y after initial diagnoses.Survival analysis revealed a significant difference among these two groups(P=0.021).Furthermore,lag time was significantly correlated with survival of retinoblastoma(r=-0.53,P=0.046).CONCLUSION:The study highlights the importance of lag time between the onset of first symptoms and the time of retinoblastoma diagnosis which significantly contribute to metastasis and mortality of patients with retinoblastoma.Examinations for the early detection of retinoblastoma should be performed for individuals at-risk to minimize lag time and improve the outcomes.展开更多
Background: To those patients with advanced lung cancer, the ultimate objective is to improve the quality of life, and lung function is an important factor affecting quality of life. We detect lung function of patient...Background: To those patients with advanced lung cancer, the ultimate objective is to improve the quality of life, and lung function is an important factor affecting quality of life. We detect lung function of patients with lung cancer and study the correlation between lung function and the patients’ survival time, to provide reference for evaluation of disease progression and prognosis. Methods: Lung function was detected on 59 cases of lung cancer and 63 normal controls. The relationship between lung function indexes and survival time was analyzed. Results: There was significant difference in ventilation function and diffusing capacity between lung cancer group and control group. Vital capacity (VC), Forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), Forced vital capacity (FVC), peak expiratory flow (PEF), peak expiratory flow% (PEF%), Maximal ventilatory volume (MVV) were positively correlated to survival time in patients with advanced lung cancer (r = 0.28522064, 0.28053851, 0.28289252, 0.26908133, 0.26335034, 0.28409036, P 0.05), residual volume/total lung capacity was negatively correlated to survival time (r = ?0.30760097, P 0.05). Conclusions: The lung function decrease in the patients with lung cancer. Vital capacity (VC), Forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), Forced vital capacity (FVC), peak expiratory flow (PEF), peak expiratory flow% (PEF%), Maximal ventilatory volume (MVV), and residual volume/total lung capacity are correlated to survival time in patients with advanced lung cancer. The lung function indexes are important marker of prognosis of patients with lung cancer.展开更多
The Gompertz model is the long-time well-known mathematical model of exponential expression among mortality models in the literature that are used to describe mortality and survival data of a population. The death rat...The Gompertz model is the long-time well-known mathematical model of exponential expression among mortality models in the literature that are used to describe mortality and survival data of a population. The death rate of the “probacent” model developed by the author based on animal experiments, clinical applications and mathematical reasoning was applied to predict age-specific death rates in the US elderly population, 2001, and to express a relationship among dose rate, duration of exposure and mortality probability in total body irradiation in humans. The results of both studies revealed a remarkable agreement between “probacent”-formula-predicted and published-reported values of death rates in the US elderly population or mortality probabilities in total body irradiation in humans (p - value > 0.995 in χ2 test in each study). In this study, both the Gompertz and “probacent” models are applied to the Sacher’s comprehensive experimental data on survival times of mice daily exposed to various doses of total body irradiation until death occurs with an assumption that each of both models is applicable to the data. The purpose of this study is to construct general formulas expressing relationship between dose rate and survival time in total body irradiation in mice. In addition, it is attempted to test which model better fits the reported data. The results of the comparative study revealed that the “probacent” model not only fit the Sacher’s reported data but also remarkably better fit the reported data than the Gompertz model. The “probacent” model might be hopefully helpful in research in human tolerance to low dose rates for long durations of exposure in total body irradiation, and further in research in a variety of biomedical phenomena.展开更多
A standard approach for analyses of survival data is the Cox proportional hazards model. It assumes that covariate effects are constant over time, i.e. that the hazards are proportional. With longer follow-up times, t...A standard approach for analyses of survival data is the Cox proportional hazards model. It assumes that covariate effects are constant over time, i.e. that the hazards are proportional. With longer follow-up times, though, the effect of a variable often gets weaker and the proportional hazards (PH) assumption is violated. In the last years, several approaches have been proposed to detect and model such time-varying effects. However, comparison and evaluation of the various approaches is difficult. A suitable measure is needed that quantifies the difference between time-varying effects and enables judgement about which method is best, i.e. which estimate is closest to the true effect. In this paper we adapt a measure proposed for the area between smoothed curves of exposure to time-varying effects. This measure is based on the weighted area between curves of time-varying effects relative to the area under a reference function that represents the true effect. We introduce several weighting schemes and demonstrate the application and performance of this new measure in a real-life data set and a simulation study.展开更多
Crossover designs are well-known to have major advantages when comparing the effects of various non-curative treatments. We compare efficiencies of several crossover designs along with the Balaam’s design with that o...Crossover designs are well-known to have major advantages when comparing the effects of various non-curative treatments. We compare efficiencies of several crossover designs along with the Balaam’s design with that of a parallel group design pertaining to longitudinal studies where event time can only be measured in discrete time intervals. With equally sized sequences, the parallel group design results in the greater efficiency if the number of time periods is small. However, the crossover and Balaam’s designs tend to be more efficient as the study duration increases. The degree to which these designs add efficiency depends on the baseline hazard function and effect size. Additionally, we incorporate different cost considerations at the subject level when comparing the designs to determine the most cost-efficient design. Researchers might consider the crossover or Balaam’s design more efficient if the duration of the study is long enough, especially if the costs of applying the baseline treatment are higher.展开更多
Both the incidence a nd mortality of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC) have decreased in Hong Kong and Taiwan but not in China's Mainland. The goal of this study was to analyze trends in NPC patient survival between 1...Both the incidence a nd mortality of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC) have decreased in Hong Kong and Taiwan but not in China's Mainland. The goal of this study was to analyze trends in NPC patient survival between 1976 and 2005 in Sihui, an area of China's Mainland with a population at high risk for NPC. A total of 1,761 patients diagnosed with NPC between 1976 and 2005 according to the records of Sihui Cancer Registry were followed to the end of 2006. We determined their observed and relative survival rates and used Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to predict prognosis. Our results showed that the 5-year and 10-year observed survival rates of NPC patients in Sihui were 50.5% and 36.9% , respectively, and the median survival time was 5.1 years. The 5-year observed survival rate of NPC patients diagnosed after 2000 was 69.8%, significantly higher than that of patients diagnosed between 1976 and 1985 (42.5% ; P<0.001, relative risk=0.28). Similarly, the 5-year relative survival rate was 84.8% between 2000 and 2005 but 51.8% between 1976 and 1985. Besides date of diagnosis, other prognostic factors included patient sex and age and NPC clinical stage and histologic type. The relative risks of death from NPC were 0.76 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.65-0.90] for female comparing to male and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.00-1.64) for WHO type I comparing to WHO types II and III. For the eldest age group and the latest clinical stage group, the relative risks were 2.22 (95% CI: 1.73-2.84) and 3.41 (95% CI: 2.34-4.49), respectively. Our results indicate that the survival of NPC patients in Sihui has significantly increased in recent years and this increase is not influenced by patient's sex, age, histologic type, and clinical stage. A reduction in mortality rate is expected in coming years.展开更多
BACKGROUND Through analyzing the data from a single institution in Northeast China,this study revealed the possible clinicopathologic characteristics that influence the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer(GC).AI...BACKGROUND Through analyzing the data from a single institution in Northeast China,this study revealed the possible clinicopathologic characteristics that influence the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer(GC).AIM To evaluate the changing trends of clinicopathologic features and survival duration after surgery in patients with GC in Northeast China,which is a highprevalence area of GC.METHODS The study analyzed the difference in clinicopathologic features and survival duration after surgery of 5887 patients who were histologically diagnosed with GC at the Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital.The study mainly analyzed the data in three periods,2000 to 2004(Phase 1),2005 to 2009(Phase 2),and 2010 to 2014(Phase 3).RESULTS Over time,the postoperative survival rate significantly increased from 2000 to 2014.In the past 15 years,compared with Phases 1 and 2,the tumor size was smaller in Phase 3(P<0.001),but the proportion of high-medium differentiated tumors increased(P<0.001).The proportion of early GC gradually increased from 3.9%to 14.4%(P<0.001).A surprising improvement was observed in the mean number of retrieved lymph nodes,ranging from 11.4 to 27.5(P<0.001).The overall 5-year survival rate increased from 24%in Phase 1 to 43.8%in Phase 3.Through multivariate analysis,it was found that age,tumor size,histologic type,tumor-node-metastasis stage,depth of invasion,lymph node metastasis,surgical approach,local infiltration,radical extent,number of retrieved lymph nodes,and age group were independent risk factors that influenced the prognosis of patients with GC.CONCLUSION The clinical features of GC in Northeast China changed during the observation period.The increasing detection of early GC and more standardized surgical treatment effectively prolonged lifetimes.展开更多
BACKGROUND Nomograms for prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer patients are few,and prognostic indicators differ with age.AIM To construct a new nomogram survival prediction tool for middle-aged and elderly patien...BACKGROUND Nomograms for prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer patients are few,and prognostic indicators differ with age.AIM To construct a new nomogram survival prediction tool for middle-aged and elderly patients with stage III rectal adenocarcinoma.METHODS A total of 2773 eligible patients were divided into the training cohort(70%)and the validation cohort(30%).Optimal cutoff values were calculated using the X-tile software for continuous variables.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to determine overall survival(OS)and cancer-specific survival(CSS)-related prognostic factors.Two nomograms were successfully constructed.The discriminant and predictive ability and clinical usefulness of the model were also assessed by multiple methods of analysis.RESULTS The 95%CI in the training group was 0.719(0.690-0.749)and 0.733(0.702-0.74),while that in the validation group was 0.739(0.696-0.782)and 0.750(0.701-0.800)for the OS and CSS nomogram prediction models,respectively.In the validation group,the AUC of the three-year survival rate was 0.762 and 0.770,while the AUC of the five-year survival rate was 0.722 and 0.744 for the OS and CSS nomograms,respectively.The nomogram distinguishes all-cause mortality from cancer-specific mortality in patients with different risk grades.The time-dependent AUC and decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram had good clinical predictive ability and decision efficacy and was significantly better than the tumor-node-metastases staging system.CONCLUSION The survival prediction model constructed in this study is helpful in evaluating the prognosis of patients and can aid physicians in clinical diagnosis and treatment.展开更多
AIM To analyse clinical and long-term oncologic results after laparoscopic complete mesocolic excision(CME) for colonic cancer over a 10-year period.METHODS Consecutive patients who received laparoscopic CME at our ho...AIM To analyse clinical and long-term oncologic results after laparoscopic complete mesocolic excision(CME) for colonic cancer over a 10-year period.METHODS Consecutive patients who received laparoscopic CME at our hospital from 2007 to 2017 were prospectively registered and retrospectively analysed. In total, 341 patients were included with tumour-nodal-metastasis(TNM) stages 0-Ⅲ.RESULTS The mean age of the patients was 71.9 years. The median length of stay was 5 d. The mean lymph node harvest was 17.8. The mortality rate was 1.2%. Fifteen patients were reoperated on for anastomotic leaks. The local recurrence rate was 2.3%. Five-year TTR and cancer-specific survival CSS were 83.1% and 90.3%. The location of the tumour was not a significant variable for survival in unadjusted and adjusted survival analysis. TNM stage and anastomotic leaks were significant variables with respect to survival.CONCLUSION Laparoscopic CME results in acceptable complication rates and long-term oncologic results. It is important to avoid anastomotic leaks because of their negative effect on survival.展开更多
In the present study, we hypothesized that 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural could attenuate ischemic brain damage by reducing oxidative injury. Thus, mice were subjected to bilateral common carotid artery occlusion to estab...In the present study, we hypothesized that 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural could attenuate ischemic brain damage by reducing oxidative injury. Thus, mice were subjected to bilateral common carotid artery occlusion to establish a model of permanent forebrain ischemia. The mice were intraperitoneally injected with 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural 30 minutes before ischemia or 5 minutes after ischemia. The survival time of mice injected with 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural was longer compared with untreated mice. The mice subjected to ischemia for 30 minutes and reperfusion for 5 minutes were intraperitoneally injected with 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural 5 minutes prior to reperfusion, which increased superoxide dismutase content and reduced malondialdehyde content, similar to the effects of Edaravone, a hydroxyl radical scavenger used for the treatment of stroke. These findings indicate that intraperitoneal injection of 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural can prolong the survival of mice with permanent forebrain ischemia. This outcome may be mediated by its antioxidative effects.展开更多
文摘BACKGROUND After the failure of second-line standard therapy,effective treatment options for metastatic colorectal cancer are limited,and the duration of remission cannot meet clinical needs.In addition,associated drug toxicity may lead to treatment interruption that may affect patient outcomes.Therefore,more safe,effective and convenient treatments are urgently needed.CASE SUMMARY Here,we describe a patient with advanced colorectal cancer with multiple metastases in both lungs.Oxaliplatin combined with 5-fluorouracil or capecitabine was given as the first-line treatment,and bevacizumab combined with irinotecan was given as the second-line treatment after disease progression.However,treatment was interrupted due to recurrent grade 2 nausea and grade 1 diarrhea.He received targeted therapy with fruquintinib starting on August 26,2020 and responded well for 12 mo.After slow progression of the lung metastases,progression-free survival was again achieved over 13.5 mo by continued treatment of fruquintinib in combination with tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil potassium chemotherapy.Overall treatment duration was more than 25.5 mo.The treatments delayed tumor progression,reduced drug side effects,maintained a good quality of life,and further extended overall survival.CONCLUSION This case report detailed preliminary evidence showing that the combination of fruquintinib with tegafur-gimeracil-oteracil potassium chemotherapy double oral therapy may result in longer progression-free survival in patients with advanced colorectal cancer.
基金the Training Plan for Outstanding Young Teachers of Jilin University(No.419080500356).
文摘Objective To compare the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS)and conventional ultrasound(US)during radiofrequency ablation(RFA)for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)≥3.0 cm in diameter.Methods A total of 149 HCC patients treated with RFA guided by either CEUS or conventional US between January 2012 and June 2013 were retrospectively analyzed.Patients were divided into different groups based on the type of ultrasound guidance(CEUS or conventional US)and tumor volume(diameter<3.0 or≥3.0 cm).The progressionfree survival(PFS)and complete ablation rates were compared between groups,and risk factors for the PFS were investigated.Results Seventy four patients received CEUS-guided RFA,and conventional US was performed in 75 patients.Among patients with a tumor<3.0 cm,the PFS and complete ablation rates were similar.However,for patients with a tumor≥3.0 cm,those treated with CEUS had a significantly longer PFS(17.3 vs.3.1 months,HR=2.73;95%CI,1.28~5.81;P=0.007)and higher complete ablation rates at 6-and 12-month post-treatment(87.5%vs.57.7%,P=0.042;75.0%vs.38.5%,P=0.009,respectively)than those treated with conventional US-guided RFA.The type of treatment(P=0.024)and maximum tumour size(P=0.011)were both found to be independent factors associated with the PFS.Conclusion Compared with conventional US,CEUS is more effective for guiding RFA in patients with HCC≥3.0 cm.CEUS-guided RFA could target HCC more accurately,and its ability to immediately detect any residual tumor during RFA might contribute to an increase in complete ablation rates and reduced progression.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Plan of China(No.2017YFC1309100)the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars(No.81925023)the National Natural Scientific Foundation of China(No.81771912,81901910,82072090,and 82001986)。
文摘Objective:To develop and validate a radiomics prognostic scoring system(RPSS)for prediction of progressionfree survival(PFS)in patients with stageⅣnon-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC)treated with platinum-based chemotherapy.Methods:In this retrospective study,four independent cohorts of stageⅣNSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy were included for model construction and validation(Discovery:n=159;Internal validation:n=156;External validation:n=81,Mutation validation:n=64).First,a total of 1,182 three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment computed tomography(CT)images of each patient.Then,a radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method(LASSO)penalized Cox regression analysis.Finally,an individualized prognostic scoring system incorporating radiomics signature and clinicopathologic risk factors was proposed for PFS prediction.Results:The established radiomics signature consisting of 16 features showed good discrimination for classifying patients with high-risk and low-risk progression to chemotherapy in all cohorts(All P<0.05).On the multivariable analysis,independent factors for PFS were radiomics signature,performance status(PS),and N stage,which were all selected into construction of RPSS.The RPSS showed significant prognostic performance for predicting PFS in discovery[C-index:0.772,95%confidence interval(95%CI):0.765-0.779],internal validation(C-index:0.738,95%CI:0.730-0.746),external validation(C-index:0.750,95%CI:0.734-0.765),and mutation validation(Cindex:0.739,95%CI:0.720-0.758).Decision curve analysis revealed that RPSS significantly outperformed the clinicopathologic-based model in terms of clinical usefulness(All P<0.05).Conclusions:This study established a radiomics prognostic scoring system as RPSS that can be conveniently used to achieve individualized prediction of PFS probability for stageⅣNSCLC patients treated with platinumbased chemotherapy,which holds promise for guiding personalized pre-therapy of stageⅣNSCLC.
基金This work was supported by grants from the National Key Technology R&D Program(Grant No.2018YFC1313400)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.81974246)+1 种基金Scientific Research Program of Tianjin Education Commission(Grant No.2019KJ185)Tianjin Research Innovation Project(Grant No.2020YJSB164)for postgraduate students.
文摘Objective:Lung cancer is the most common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide.Somatic copy number alterations(SCNAs)have been used to predict responses to therapies in many cancers,including lung cancer.However,little is known about whether they are predictive of radiotherapy outcomes.We aimed to understand the prognostic value and biological functions of SCNAs.Methods:We analyzed the correlation between SCNAs and clinical outcomes in The Cancer Genome Atlas data for 486 patients with non-small cell lung cancer who received radiotherapy.Gene set enrichment analyses were performed to investigate the potential mechanisms underlying the roles of SCNAs in the radiotherapy response.Our results were validated in 20 patients with lung adenocarcinoma(LUAD)receiving radiotherapy.Results:SCNAs were a better predictor of progression-free survival(PFS)in LUAD(P=0.024)than in lung squamous carcinoma(P=0.18)in patients treated with radiotherapy.Univariate and multivariate regression analyses revealed the superiority of SCNAs in predicting PFS in patients with LUAD.Patients with stage I cancer and low SCNA levels had longer PFS than those with high SCNA levels(P=0.022).Our prognostic nomogram also showed that combining SCNAs and tumor/node/metastasis provided a better model for predicting long-term PFS.Additionally,high SCNA may activate the cell cycle pathway and induce tumorigenesis.Conclusions:SCNAs may be used to predict PFS in patients with early-stage LUAD with radiotherapy,in combination with TNM,with the aim of predicting long-term PFS.Therefore,SCNAs are a novel predictive biomarker for radiotherapy in patients with LUAD.
文摘Objective: Adjuvant chemotherapy(AC) after curative resection is known to improve the survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC); however, few studies have reported the correlation between the time to initiation of AC(TTAC) and survival in NSCLC patients.Methods: The clinical data of 925 NSCLC patients who received curative resection and post-operative AC at the Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences between 2003 and 2013 were retrospectively analyzed.TTAC was measured from the date of surgery to the initiation of AC. Disease-free survival(DFS) was defined as the duration from surgery to the time of tumor recurrence or last follow-up evaluation. The optimal cut-off value of TTAC was determined by maximally selected log-rank statistics. The DFS curve was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify risk factors independently associated with DFS. Propensity score matching(PSM) was performed for survival analysis using the match data.Results: The optimal discriminating cut-off value of TTAC was set at d 35 after curative resection based on which the patients were assigned into two groups: group A(≤35 d) and group B(>35 d). There was no significant difference in the DFS between the two groups(P=0.246), indicating that the TTAC is not an independent prognostic factor for DFS. A further comparison continued to show no significant difference in the DFS among 258 PSM pairs(P=0.283).Conclusions: There was no significant correlation between the TTAC and DFS in NSCLC patients. Studies with larger samples are needed to further verify this conclusion.
基金supported by the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery,Xuzhou Central Hospital,Xuzhou,China
文摘Background:There is no consensus regarding the influence of prophylactic no.10 lymph node(LN)dissection in patients with advanced gastric cancer(AGC).We aimed to evaluate whether patients with AGC could benefit from no.10 LN dissection and to explore the clinicopathological indicators of no.10 LN metastasis.Methods:We analyzed the data of 218 patients with AGC who underwent standard D2 lymphadenectomy(SD2;n=108)or modified D2 lymphadenectomy(MD2;n=110)between January 2017 and January 2021.In addition,we examined factors influencing no.10 LN metastasis in the SD2 group.Results:Differentiation,tumor location,and no.4 positive LNs were significantly correlated with no.10 LN metastasis(P<0.05).Borrmann classification,differentiation,depth of invasion,LN metastasis(N),and tumor size were found to correlate with survival in univariate analyses.Age,sex,extent of gastrectomy,tumor location,and extent of lymphadenectomy were not associated with survival(P>0.05).The median survival times were 72.23 and 68.56months for the SD2 andMD2 groups,respectively(P=0.635).Postoperative major morbidity and mortality rates were 37.96%and 3.70%in the SD2 group,and 23.64%and 1.82%in the MD2 group,respectively.Conclusions:Based on our findings,prophylactic no.10 lymphadenectomy may be recommended in patients with AGC who exhibit positive no.4 LN status,poor differentiation,and tumors located on the greater curvature.
文摘Survival of HIV/AIDS patients is crucially dependent on comprehensive and targeted medical interventions such as supply of antiretroviral therapy and monitoring disease progression with CD4 T-cell counts. Statistical modelling approaches are helpful towards this goal. This study aims at developing Bayesian joint models with assumed generalized error distribution (GED) for the longitudinal CD4 data and two accelerated failure time distributions, Lognormal and loglogistic, for the survival time of HIV/AIDS patients. Data are obtained from patients under antiretroviral therapy follow-up at Shashemene referral hospital during January 2006-January 2012 and at Bale Robe general hospital during January 2008-March 2015. The Bayesian joint models are defined through latent variables and association parameters and with specified non-informative prior distributions for the model parameters. Simulations are conducted using Gibbs sampler algorithm implemented in the WinBUGS software. The results of the analyses of the two different data sets show that distributions of measurement errors of the longitudinal CD4 variable follow the generalized error distribution with fatter tails than the normal distribution. The Bayesian joint GED loglogistic models fit better to the data sets compared to the lognormal cases. Findings reveal that patients’ health can be improved over time. Compared to the males, female patients gain more CD4 counts. Survival time of a patient is negatively affected by TB infection. Moreover, increase in number of opportunistic infection implies decline of CD4 counts. Patients’ age negatively affects the disease marker with no effects on survival time. Improving weight may improve survival time of patients. Bayesian joint models with GED and AFT distributions are found to be useful in modelling the longitudinal and survival processes. Thus we recommend the generalized error distributions for measurement errors of the longitudinal data under the Bayesian joint modelling. Further studies may investigate the models with various types of shared random effects and more covariates with predictions.
文摘AIM: In this retrospective study of unresectable helatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we have investigated the efficacy of CTderived parameters, laboratory measurements, clinical assessment and associated transarterial embolization (TAE) as predictors of post-radiotherapy survival time.METHODS: Sixty-six patients diagnosed with unresectable HCC that had undergone radiotherapy at two medical university hospitals in Taipei were enrolled in the study.Using multivariant analysis, pre-treatment parameters including tumor number and CT confirmation of PVT and ascites were compared. Multivariant analysis was also used for comparison of the mean pretreatment values for laboratory measurements, including alpha-fetoprotein,direct/total bilirubin and GOT/GPT levels, and clinical history of chronic hepatitis across the three survival-time categories. The χ2 was used to test the significance of the relationship between survival time and TAE procedure.The Pvalues for the above tests were deemed statisticallysignificant where P<0.05.RESULTS: Portal vein thrombosis (P = 0.032) and ascites (P<0.05) were negative predictors of post-radiation survival time. Low-grade liver cirrhosis (A or B), lower tumor volume and low levels of AFT, GOT/GPT, and total bilirubin were predictors of longer post-radiation survival time (P<0.05).CONCLUSION: The CT and clinical and laboratory assessment provide a reference for, and enable estimation of, probable survival times in HCC patients after radiotherapy. Tumor volume, severity of liver cirrhosis,status with respect to portal vein thrombosis and ascites and AFT, GOT/GPT and total bilirubin values were significant predictors of survival in this study.
基金This work was supported by a grant from theSocial Development and Scientific Programof the Nantong Municipal Government,Ji-angsu Province,China(No.S30062).
文摘OBJECTIVE To examine the ultrastructure of gastric cancer cel s by the electron microscope,in order to assess the relationship between neuroendocrine differentiation and post-operative survival time. METHODS NSE,Syn and CgA immunohistochemical labeling was conducted in 168 cases with a common-type of gastric cancer.Electron microscopy was performed in 80 cases with positive immunohistochemical labeling. These cases were fol owed-up for over 5 years and the post-operative survival data analyzed. RESULTS Neuroendocrine granules were found by electron microscopy in 39 cases.The rate of neuroendocrine differentiation found was 23% (39/168),using routine diagnostic criteria and electron microscopy(REM). The post-operative survival time of gastric cancer patients with neuroendocrine differentiation was significantly shorter(P=0.0032)compared to those without neuroendocrine differentiation. CONCLUSION It is of significant clinical importance to determine if the neuroendocrine cells are differentiated in gastric cancers.The gastric cancer patients with neuroendocrine differentiation have a shorter post-operative survival time and a poorer prognosis.Electron microscopy is a reliable method of providing a diagnosis.
基金Supported in part by funding from the the Teuku Jacobs Foundation Research Fellowship Program(No.#312)。
文摘AIM:To investigate the impact of lag time to metastasis and survival rates among patients with retinoblastoma.METHODS:This retrospective study was conducted with 52 patients from the Department of Ophthalmology and the Department of Pediatrics of Dr.Sardjito General Hospital,between 1^(st) January 2014 and 31^(st) December 2020.Lag time was defined as the time delay between the first sign of retinoblastoma to the diagnosis of retinoblastoma.The subjects with lag time>one year were included in the case group,while the subjects with lag time<one year were included in the control group.RESULTS:The lag time was significantly correlated with American Joint Committee on Cancer and Intraocular Classification of Retinoblastoma staging of retinoblastoma(P=0.005 and P=0.006,respectively).The lag time was also significantly correlated with both metastasis event[odds ratio(OR):5.06,95%Cl:1.56-16.44,P=0.006]and mortality(OR:4.54,95%Cl:1.37-15.07,P=0.011).The follow-up was continued for 32 subjects for 3y after initial diagnoses.Survival analysis revealed a significant difference among these two groups(P=0.021).Furthermore,lag time was significantly correlated with survival of retinoblastoma(r=-0.53,P=0.046).CONCLUSION:The study highlights the importance of lag time between the onset of first symptoms and the time of retinoblastoma diagnosis which significantly contribute to metastasis and mortality of patients with retinoblastoma.Examinations for the early detection of retinoblastoma should be performed for individuals at-risk to minimize lag time and improve the outcomes.
文摘Background: To those patients with advanced lung cancer, the ultimate objective is to improve the quality of life, and lung function is an important factor affecting quality of life. We detect lung function of patients with lung cancer and study the correlation between lung function and the patients’ survival time, to provide reference for evaluation of disease progression and prognosis. Methods: Lung function was detected on 59 cases of lung cancer and 63 normal controls. The relationship between lung function indexes and survival time was analyzed. Results: There was significant difference in ventilation function and diffusing capacity between lung cancer group and control group. Vital capacity (VC), Forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), Forced vital capacity (FVC), peak expiratory flow (PEF), peak expiratory flow% (PEF%), Maximal ventilatory volume (MVV) were positively correlated to survival time in patients with advanced lung cancer (r = 0.28522064, 0.28053851, 0.28289252, 0.26908133, 0.26335034, 0.28409036, P 0.05), residual volume/total lung capacity was negatively correlated to survival time (r = ?0.30760097, P 0.05). Conclusions: The lung function decrease in the patients with lung cancer. Vital capacity (VC), Forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), Forced vital capacity (FVC), peak expiratory flow (PEF), peak expiratory flow% (PEF%), Maximal ventilatory volume (MVV), and residual volume/total lung capacity are correlated to survival time in patients with advanced lung cancer. The lung function indexes are important marker of prognosis of patients with lung cancer.
文摘The Gompertz model is the long-time well-known mathematical model of exponential expression among mortality models in the literature that are used to describe mortality and survival data of a population. The death rate of the “probacent” model developed by the author based on animal experiments, clinical applications and mathematical reasoning was applied to predict age-specific death rates in the US elderly population, 2001, and to express a relationship among dose rate, duration of exposure and mortality probability in total body irradiation in humans. The results of both studies revealed a remarkable agreement between “probacent”-formula-predicted and published-reported values of death rates in the US elderly population or mortality probabilities in total body irradiation in humans (p - value > 0.995 in χ2 test in each study). In this study, both the Gompertz and “probacent” models are applied to the Sacher’s comprehensive experimental data on survival times of mice daily exposed to various doses of total body irradiation until death occurs with an assumption that each of both models is applicable to the data. The purpose of this study is to construct general formulas expressing relationship between dose rate and survival time in total body irradiation in mice. In addition, it is attempted to test which model better fits the reported data. The results of the comparative study revealed that the “probacent” model not only fit the Sacher’s reported data but also remarkably better fit the reported data than the Gompertz model. The “probacent” model might be hopefully helpful in research in human tolerance to low dose rates for long durations of exposure in total body irradiation, and further in research in a variety of biomedical phenomena.
文摘A standard approach for analyses of survival data is the Cox proportional hazards model. It assumes that covariate effects are constant over time, i.e. that the hazards are proportional. With longer follow-up times, though, the effect of a variable often gets weaker and the proportional hazards (PH) assumption is violated. In the last years, several approaches have been proposed to detect and model such time-varying effects. However, comparison and evaluation of the various approaches is difficult. A suitable measure is needed that quantifies the difference between time-varying effects and enables judgement about which method is best, i.e. which estimate is closest to the true effect. In this paper we adapt a measure proposed for the area between smoothed curves of exposure to time-varying effects. This measure is based on the weighted area between curves of time-varying effects relative to the area under a reference function that represents the true effect. We introduce several weighting schemes and demonstrate the application and performance of this new measure in a real-life data set and a simulation study.
文摘Crossover designs are well-known to have major advantages when comparing the effects of various non-curative treatments. We compare efficiencies of several crossover designs along with the Balaam’s design with that of a parallel group design pertaining to longitudinal studies where event time can only be measured in discrete time intervals. With equally sized sequences, the parallel group design results in the greater efficiency if the number of time periods is small. However, the crossover and Balaam’s designs tend to be more efficient as the study duration increases. The degree to which these designs add efficiency depends on the baseline hazard function and effect size. Additionally, we incorporate different cost considerations at the subject level when comparing the designs to determine the most cost-efficient design. Researchers might consider the crossover or Balaam’s design more efficient if the duration of the study is long enough, especially if the costs of applying the baseline treatment are higher.
基金supported by a grant from the 11th National Science and Technology Support Program of China(No.2006BA102A11)
文摘Both the incidence a nd mortality of nasopharyngeal carcinoma(NPC) have decreased in Hong Kong and Taiwan but not in China's Mainland. The goal of this study was to analyze trends in NPC patient survival between 1976 and 2005 in Sihui, an area of China's Mainland with a population at high risk for NPC. A total of 1,761 patients diagnosed with NPC between 1976 and 2005 according to the records of Sihui Cancer Registry were followed to the end of 2006. We determined their observed and relative survival rates and used Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to predict prognosis. Our results showed that the 5-year and 10-year observed survival rates of NPC patients in Sihui were 50.5% and 36.9% , respectively, and the median survival time was 5.1 years. The 5-year observed survival rate of NPC patients diagnosed after 2000 was 69.8%, significantly higher than that of patients diagnosed between 1976 and 1985 (42.5% ; P<0.001, relative risk=0.28). Similarly, the 5-year relative survival rate was 84.8% between 2000 and 2005 but 51.8% between 1976 and 1985. Besides date of diagnosis, other prognostic factors included patient sex and age and NPC clinical stage and histologic type. The relative risks of death from NPC were 0.76 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.65-0.90] for female comparing to male and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.00-1.64) for WHO type I comparing to WHO types II and III. For the eldest age group and the latest clinical stage group, the relative risks were 2.22 (95% CI: 1.73-2.84) and 3.41 (95% CI: 2.34-4.49), respectively. Our results indicate that the survival of NPC patients in Sihui has significantly increased in recent years and this increase is not influenced by patient's sex, age, histologic type, and clinical stage. A reduction in mortality rate is expected in coming years.
基金Nn10 Program of Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital,China,No.Nn10 PY 2017-03.
文摘BACKGROUND Through analyzing the data from a single institution in Northeast China,this study revealed the possible clinicopathologic characteristics that influence the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer(GC).AIM To evaluate the changing trends of clinicopathologic features and survival duration after surgery in patients with GC in Northeast China,which is a highprevalence area of GC.METHODS The study analyzed the difference in clinicopathologic features and survival duration after surgery of 5887 patients who were histologically diagnosed with GC at the Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital.The study mainly analyzed the data in three periods,2000 to 2004(Phase 1),2005 to 2009(Phase 2),and 2010 to 2014(Phase 3).RESULTS Over time,the postoperative survival rate significantly increased from 2000 to 2014.In the past 15 years,compared with Phases 1 and 2,the tumor size was smaller in Phase 3(P<0.001),but the proportion of high-medium differentiated tumors increased(P<0.001).The proportion of early GC gradually increased from 3.9%to 14.4%(P<0.001).A surprising improvement was observed in the mean number of retrieved lymph nodes,ranging from 11.4 to 27.5(P<0.001).The overall 5-year survival rate increased from 24%in Phase 1 to 43.8%in Phase 3.Through multivariate analysis,it was found that age,tumor size,histologic type,tumor-node-metastasis stage,depth of invasion,lymph node metastasis,surgical approach,local infiltration,radical extent,number of retrieved lymph nodes,and age group were independent risk factors that influenced the prognosis of patients with GC.CONCLUSION The clinical features of GC in Northeast China changed during the observation period.The increasing detection of early GC and more standardized surgical treatment effectively prolonged lifetimes.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.81770631.
文摘BACKGROUND Nomograms for prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer patients are few,and prognostic indicators differ with age.AIM To construct a new nomogram survival prediction tool for middle-aged and elderly patients with stage III rectal adenocarcinoma.METHODS A total of 2773 eligible patients were divided into the training cohort(70%)and the validation cohort(30%).Optimal cutoff values were calculated using the X-tile software for continuous variables.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to determine overall survival(OS)and cancer-specific survival(CSS)-related prognostic factors.Two nomograms were successfully constructed.The discriminant and predictive ability and clinical usefulness of the model were also assessed by multiple methods of analysis.RESULTS The 95%CI in the training group was 0.719(0.690-0.749)and 0.733(0.702-0.74),while that in the validation group was 0.739(0.696-0.782)and 0.750(0.701-0.800)for the OS and CSS nomogram prediction models,respectively.In the validation group,the AUC of the three-year survival rate was 0.762 and 0.770,while the AUC of the five-year survival rate was 0.722 and 0.744 for the OS and CSS nomograms,respectively.The nomogram distinguishes all-cause mortality from cancer-specific mortality in patients with different risk grades.The time-dependent AUC and decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram had good clinical predictive ability and decision efficacy and was significantly better than the tumor-node-metastases staging system.CONCLUSION The survival prediction model constructed in this study is helpful in evaluating the prognosis of patients and can aid physicians in clinical diagnosis and treatment.
文摘AIM To analyse clinical and long-term oncologic results after laparoscopic complete mesocolic excision(CME) for colonic cancer over a 10-year period.METHODS Consecutive patients who received laparoscopic CME at our hospital from 2007 to 2017 were prospectively registered and retrospectively analysed. In total, 341 patients were included with tumour-nodal-metastasis(TNM) stages 0-Ⅲ.RESULTS The mean age of the patients was 71.9 years. The median length of stay was 5 d. The mean lymph node harvest was 17.8. The mortality rate was 1.2%. Fifteen patients were reoperated on for anastomotic leaks. The local recurrence rate was 2.3%. Five-year TTR and cancer-specific survival CSS were 83.1% and 90.3%. The location of the tumour was not a significant variable for survival in unadjusted and adjusted survival analysis. TNM stage and anastomotic leaks were significant variables with respect to survival.CONCLUSION Laparoscopic CME results in acceptable complication rates and long-term oncologic results. It is important to avoid anastomotic leaks because of their negative effect on survival.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program),No.2003CB517104the National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.30973513+3 种基金Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Program,No.D0206001043191the Natural Science Foundation of Beijing,No.7112061Beijing Key Foundation of Traditional Chinese Medicine,No.KJTS2011-04Beijing Health and Technical Personal of High-Level Plan,No.2009-3-66
文摘In the present study, we hypothesized that 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural could attenuate ischemic brain damage by reducing oxidative injury. Thus, mice were subjected to bilateral common carotid artery occlusion to establish a model of permanent forebrain ischemia. The mice were intraperitoneally injected with 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural 30 minutes before ischemia or 5 minutes after ischemia. The survival time of mice injected with 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural was longer compared with untreated mice. The mice subjected to ischemia for 30 minutes and reperfusion for 5 minutes were intraperitoneally injected with 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural 5 minutes prior to reperfusion, which increased superoxide dismutase content and reduced malondialdehyde content, similar to the effects of Edaravone, a hydroxyl radical scavenger used for the treatment of stroke. These findings indicate that intraperitoneal injection of 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural can prolong the survival of mice with permanent forebrain ischemia. This outcome may be mediated by its antioxidative effects.