Purpose-The purpose of this paper is to eliminate the fluctuations in train arrival and departure times caused by skewed distributions in interval operation times.These fluctuations arise from random origin and proces...Purpose-The purpose of this paper is to eliminate the fluctuations in train arrival and departure times caused by skewed distributions in interval operation times.These fluctuations arise from random origin and process factors during interval operations and can accumulate over multiple intervals.The aim is to enhance the robustness of high-speed rail station arrival and departure track utilization schemes.Design/methodologylapproach-To achieve this objective,the paper simulates actual train operations,incorporating the fluctuations in interval operation times into the utilization of arrival and departure tracks at the station.The Monte Carlo simulation method is adopted to solve this problem.This approach transforms a nonlinear model,which includes constraints from probability distribution functions and is difficult to solve directly,into a linear programming model that is easier to handle.The method then linearly weights two objectives to optimize the solution.Findings-Through the application of Monte Carlo simulation,the study successfully converts the complex nonlinear model with probability distribution function constraints into a manageable linear programming model.By continuously adjusting the weighting coefficients of the linear objectives,the method is able to optimize the Pareto solution.Notably,this approach does not require extensive scene data to obtain a satisfactory Pareto solution set.Originality/value-The paper contributes to the field by introducing a novel method for optimizing high-speed rail station arrival and departure track utilization in the presence of fluctuations in interval operation times.The use of Monte Carlo simulation to transform the problem into a tractable linear programming model represents a significant advancement.Furthermore,the method's ability to produce satisfactory Pareto solutions without relying on extensive data sets adds to its practical value and applicability in real-world scenarios.展开更多
Based on probability and statistic, a design method of precision cam profileconcerning the influence of random processing errors is advanced. Combining the design with theprocess, which can be used to predict that cam...Based on probability and statistic, a design method of precision cam profileconcerning the influence of random processing errors is advanced. Combining the design with theprocess, which can be used to predict that cam profiles will be successfully processed or not in thedesign stage, design of the cam can be done by balancing the economization and reliability. Inaddition, an fuzzy deduction method based on Bayers formula is advanced to estimate processingreasonable of the designed precision cam profile, and it take few samples.展开更多
The concepts of Markov process in random environment, q-matrix in random environment, and q-process in random environment are introduced. The minimal q-process in random environment is constructed and the necessary an...The concepts of Markov process in random environment, q-matrix in random environment, and q-process in random environment are introduced. The minimal q-process in random environment is constructed and the necessary and sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of q-process in random environment are given.展开更多
In this paper, we investigate Galton-Watson branching processes in random environments. In the case where the environmental process is a Markov chain which is positive recurrent or has a transition matrix Q (θ,α) su...In this paper, we investigate Galton-Watson branching processes in random environments. In the case where the environmental process is a Markov chain which is positive recurrent or has a transition matrix Q (θ,α) such that sup_θ Q (θ,α)> 0 for some α, we prove that the model has the asymptotic behavior being similar to that of Galton-Watson branching processes. In other case where the environments are non-stationary independent, the sufficient conditions are obtained for certain extinction and uncertain extinction for the model.展开更多
This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary condition...This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for compact sets to be polar for the random string process. Moreover, we also determine the smallest Hausdorff dimensions of non-polar sets by constructing a Cantor-type set to connect its Hausdorff dimension and capacity.展开更多
This article is a continuation of[9].Based on the discussion of random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equations,for any given q-matrix in random environment, Q(θ)=(q(θ;x,y),x,y∈X),an infinite class of q-proces...This article is a continuation of[9].Based on the discussion of random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equations,for any given q-matrix in random environment, Q(θ)=(q(θ;x,y),x,y∈X),an infinite class of q-processes in random environments satisfying the random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equation is constructed.Moreover, under some conditions,all the q-processes in random environments satisfying the random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equation are constructed.展开更多
The concepts of bi-immigration birth and death density matrix in random environment and bi-immigration birth and death process in random environment are introduced. For any bi-immigration birth and death matrix in ran...The concepts of bi-immigration birth and death density matrix in random environment and bi-immigration birth and death process in random environment are introduced. For any bi-immigration birth and death matrix in random environment Q(θ) with birth rate λ 〈 death rate μ, the following results are proved, (1) there is an unique q-process in random environment, P^-(θ*(0);t) = (p^-(θ^*(0);t,i,j),i,j ≥ 0), which is ergodic, that is, lim t→∞(θ^*(0);t,i,j) = π^-(θ^*(0);j) ≥0 does not depend on i ≥ 0 and ∑j≥0π (θ*(0);j) = 1, (2) there is a bi-immigration birth and death process in random enjvironment (X^* = {X^*,t ≥ 0},ε^* = {εt,t ∈ (-∞, ∞)}) with random transition matrix P^-(θ^* (0);t) such that X^* is a strictly stationary process.展开更多
This paper introduces some concepts such as q- process in random environment, Laplace transformation, ergodic potential kernel, error function and some basic lemmas.We study the continuity and Laplace transformation o...This paper introduces some concepts such as q- process in random environment, Laplace transformation, ergodic potential kernel, error function and some basic lemmas.We study the continuity and Laplace transformation of random transition function. Finally, we give the sufficient condition for the existence of ergodic potential kernel for homogeneous q- processes in random environments.展开更多
When using the random process in soil profile modeling, the stationary and ergodicity of the soil properties in the profile must be tested. This paper describes a procedure for stationary and ergodicity testing. Numer...When using the random process in soil profile modeling, the stationary and ergodicity of the soil properties in the profile must be tested. This paper describes a procedure for stationary and ergodicity testing. Numerical examples were given for demonstration. A log-cosine function is suggested to simulate the correlation function, which has been proved to be good for soil profile modeling.展开更多
This work applies non-stationary random processes to resilience of power distribution under severe weather. Power distribution, the edge of the energy infrastructure, is susceptible to external hazards from severe wea...This work applies non-stationary random processes to resilience of power distribution under severe weather. Power distribution, the edge of the energy infrastructure, is susceptible to external hazards from severe weather. Large-scale power failures often occur, resulting in millions of people without electricity for days. However, the problem of large-scale power failure, recovery and resilience has not been formulated rigorously nor studied systematically. This work studies the resilience of power distribution from three aspects. First, we derive non-stationary random processes to model large-scale failures and recoveries. Transient Little’s Law then provides a simple approximation of the entire life cycle of failure and recovery through a queue at the network-level. Second, we define time-varying resilience based on the non-stationary model. The resilience metric characterizes the ability of power distribution to remain operational and recover rapidly upon failures. Third, we apply the non-stationary model and the resilience metric to large-scale power failures caused by Hurricane Ike. We use the real data from the electric grid to learn time-varying model parameters and the resilience metric. Our results show non-stationary evolution of failure rates and recovery times, and how the network resilience deviates from that of normal operation during the hurricane.展开更多
One of the important problems of stochastic process theory is to define the Laplace transforms for the distribution of semi-markov random processes. With this purpose, we will investigate the semimarkov random process...One of the important problems of stochastic process theory is to define the Laplace transforms for the distribution of semi-markov random processes. With this purpose, we will investigate the semimarkov random processes with positive tendency and negative jump in this article. The first passage of the zero level of the process will be included as a random variable. The Laplace transforms for the distribution of this random variable is defined. The parameters of the distribution will be calculated on the basis of the final results.展开更多
Due to the heavy congestion in HF bands, HF radars are restricted to operating within narrow frequency bands. To improve the system bandwidth and avoid heavy interference bands, a quasi-random step frequency signal wi...Due to the heavy congestion in HF bands, HF radars are restricted to operating within narrow frequency bands. To improve the system bandwidth and avoid heavy interference bands, a quasi-random step frequency signal with discontinuous bands is presented. A novel two-dimensional signal processing scheme for this signal is proposed on the basis of delicate signal analysis. Simulation results demonstrate that the scheme could successfully realize the resolutions by decoupling the range-Doppler ambiguity, and effectively suppress the maximal sidelobe. Moreover, the scheme is simple and has good numerical stability.展开更多
The finite data estimates of the complex fourth-order moments of a signal consisting of random harmonics are analyzed. Conditions for the fourth-order stationarity and ergodicity are obtained. Explicit formulas for th...The finite data estimates of the complex fourth-order moments of a signal consisting of random harmonics are analyzed. Conditions for the fourth-order stationarity and ergodicity are obtained. Explicit formulas for the estimation error and its variance, as well as their limiting large sample values are derived. Finally, a special case relevant to cubic phase coupling is considered, and these results are stated for this case, the variance is shown to comprise an ergodic and a nonergodic part.展开更多
This paper expounds the nitty-gritty of stock returns transitory, periodical behavior </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><...This paper expounds the nitty-gritty of stock returns transitory, periodical behavior </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">of </span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">its markets’ demands and cyclical-like tenure-changing of number of the stocks sold. Mingling of autoregressive random processes via Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions (Fréchet, Gumbel, and Weibull) error terms were designed, generalized and imitated to capture stylized traits of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">k-serial tenures (ability to handle cycles), Markov transitional mixing weights</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, switching of mingling autoregressive processes and full range shape changing </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">predictive distributions (multimodalities) that are usually caused by large fluctuation</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">s (outliers) and long-memory in stock returns. The Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions Mingled Autoregressive (PMA and EVDs) models were applied to a monthly number of stocks sold in Nigeria from 1960 to 2020. It was deduced that fitted Gumbel-MAR (2:1, 1) outstripped other linear models as well as best</span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:""> </span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">fitted among the Poisson and Extreme-Value-</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Distributions Mingled autoregressive models subjected to the discrete monthly</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> stocks sold series.展开更多
In previous papers, the stationary distributions of a class of discrete and continuoustime random graph processes with state space consisting of the simple and directed graphs on Nvenices were studied. In this paper, ...In previous papers, the stationary distributions of a class of discrete and continuoustime random graph processes with state space consisting of the simple and directed graphs on Nvenices were studied. In this paper, the random graph graph process is extended one impotent stepfurther by allowing interaction of edges. Similarly, We obtha the expressions of the stationarydistributions and prove that the process is ergodic under different editions.展开更多
In this paper,we prove some limsup results for increments and lag increments of G(t),which is a stable processe in random scenery.The proofs rely on the tail probability estimation of G(t).
For continuous-state branching processes in Lévy random environments, the recursion of n-moments and the equivalent condition for the existence of general f-moments are established, where f is a positive continuo...For continuous-state branching processes in Lévy random environments, the recursion of n-moments and the equivalent condition for the existence of general f-moments are established, where f is a positive continuous function satisfying some standard conditions.展开更多
The fuzzy static and dynamic random phenomena in an abstract separable Banach space is discussed in this paper. The representation theorems for fuzzy set valued random sets, fuzzy random elements and fuzzy set value...The fuzzy static and dynamic random phenomena in an abstract separable Banach space is discussed in this paper. The representation theorems for fuzzy set valued random sets, fuzzy random elements and fuzzy set valued stochastic processes are obtained.展开更多
This paper considers an eigenvalue problem containing small stochastic processes. For every fixed is, we can use the Prufer substitution to prove the existence of the random solutions lambda(n) and u(n) in the meaning...This paper considers an eigenvalue problem containing small stochastic processes. For every fixed is, we can use the Prufer substitution to prove the existence of the random solutions lambda(n) and u(n) in the meaning of large probability. These solutions can be expanded in epsilon regularly, and their correction terms can be obtained by solving some random linear differential equations.展开更多
文摘Purpose-The purpose of this paper is to eliminate the fluctuations in train arrival and departure times caused by skewed distributions in interval operation times.These fluctuations arise from random origin and process factors during interval operations and can accumulate over multiple intervals.The aim is to enhance the robustness of high-speed rail station arrival and departure track utilization schemes.Design/methodologylapproach-To achieve this objective,the paper simulates actual train operations,incorporating the fluctuations in interval operation times into the utilization of arrival and departure tracks at the station.The Monte Carlo simulation method is adopted to solve this problem.This approach transforms a nonlinear model,which includes constraints from probability distribution functions and is difficult to solve directly,into a linear programming model that is easier to handle.The method then linearly weights two objectives to optimize the solution.Findings-Through the application of Monte Carlo simulation,the study successfully converts the complex nonlinear model with probability distribution function constraints into a manageable linear programming model.By continuously adjusting the weighting coefficients of the linear objectives,the method is able to optimize the Pareto solution.Notably,this approach does not require extensive scene data to obtain a satisfactory Pareto solution set.Originality/value-The paper contributes to the field by introducing a novel method for optimizing high-speed rail station arrival and departure track utilization in the presence of fluctuations in interval operation times.The use of Monte Carlo simulation to transform the problem into a tractable linear programming model represents a significant advancement.Furthermore,the method's ability to produce satisfactory Pareto solutions without relying on extensive data sets adds to its practical value and applicability in real-world scenarios.
基金This project is supported by Significant Project Foundation of National 863 Program, China.
文摘Based on probability and statistic, a design method of precision cam profileconcerning the influence of random processing errors is advanced. Combining the design with theprocess, which can be used to predict that cam profiles will be successfully processed or not in thedesign stage, design of the cam can be done by balancing the economization and reliability. Inaddition, an fuzzy deduction method based on Bayers formula is advanced to estimate processingreasonable of the designed precision cam profile, and it take few samples.
文摘The concepts of Markov process in random environment, q-matrix in random environment, and q-process in random environment are introduced. The minimal q-process in random environment is constructed and the necessary and sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of q-process in random environment are given.
文摘In this paper, we investigate Galton-Watson branching processes in random environments. In the case where the environmental process is a Markov chain which is positive recurrent or has a transition matrix Q (θ,α) such that sup_θ Q (θ,α)> 0 for some α, we prove that the model has the asymptotic behavior being similar to that of Galton-Watson branching processes. In other case where the environments are non-stationary independent, the sufficient conditions are obtained for certain extinction and uncertain extinction for the model.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(Y6100663)
文摘This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for compact sets to be polar for the random string process. Moreover, we also determine the smallest Hausdorff dimensions of non-polar sets by constructing a Cantor-type set to connect its Hausdorff dimension and capacity.
基金the NNSF of China(10371092,10771185,10471148)the Foundation of Wuhan University
文摘This article is a continuation of[9].Based on the discussion of random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equations,for any given q-matrix in random environment, Q(θ)=(q(θ;x,y),x,y∈X),an infinite class of q-processes in random environments satisfying the random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equation is constructed.Moreover, under some conditions,all the q-processes in random environments satisfying the random Kolmogorov forward(backward)equation are constructed.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10871200)
文摘In this article, we obtain the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm for Galton-Watson processes in i.i.d, random environments.
基金Supported by the NNSF of China (10371092,10771185) the Foundation of Whuan University
文摘The concepts of bi-immigration birth and death density matrix in random environment and bi-immigration birth and death process in random environment are introduced. For any bi-immigration birth and death matrix in random environment Q(θ) with birth rate λ 〈 death rate μ, the following results are proved, (1) there is an unique q-process in random environment, P^-(θ*(0);t) = (p^-(θ^*(0);t,i,j),i,j ≥ 0), which is ergodic, that is, lim t→∞(θ^*(0);t,i,j) = π^-(θ^*(0);j) ≥0 does not depend on i ≥ 0 and ∑j≥0π (θ*(0);j) = 1, (2) there is a bi-immigration birth and death process in random enjvironment (X^* = {X^*,t ≥ 0},ε^* = {εt,t ∈ (-∞, ∞)}) with random transition matrix P^-(θ^* (0);t) such that X^* is a strictly stationary process.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10371092)
文摘This paper introduces some concepts such as q- process in random environment, Laplace transformation, ergodic potential kernel, error function and some basic lemmas.We study the continuity and Laplace transformation of random transition function. Finally, we give the sufficient condition for the existence of ergodic potential kernel for homogeneous q- processes in random environments.
文摘When using the random process in soil profile modeling, the stationary and ergodicity of the soil properties in the profile must be tested. This paper describes a procedure for stationary and ergodicity testing. Numerical examples were given for demonstration. A log-cosine function is suggested to simulate the correlation function, which has been proved to be good for soil profile modeling.
文摘This work applies non-stationary random processes to resilience of power distribution under severe weather. Power distribution, the edge of the energy infrastructure, is susceptible to external hazards from severe weather. Large-scale power failures often occur, resulting in millions of people without electricity for days. However, the problem of large-scale power failure, recovery and resilience has not been formulated rigorously nor studied systematically. This work studies the resilience of power distribution from three aspects. First, we derive non-stationary random processes to model large-scale failures and recoveries. Transient Little’s Law then provides a simple approximation of the entire life cycle of failure and recovery through a queue at the network-level. Second, we define time-varying resilience based on the non-stationary model. The resilience metric characterizes the ability of power distribution to remain operational and recover rapidly upon failures. Third, we apply the non-stationary model and the resilience metric to large-scale power failures caused by Hurricane Ike. We use the real data from the electric grid to learn time-varying model parameters and the resilience metric. Our results show non-stationary evolution of failure rates and recovery times, and how the network resilience deviates from that of normal operation during the hurricane.
文摘One of the important problems of stochastic process theory is to define the Laplace transforms for the distribution of semi-markov random processes. With this purpose, we will investigate the semimarkov random processes with positive tendency and negative jump in this article. The first passage of the zero level of the process will be included as a random variable. The Laplace transforms for the distribution of this random variable is defined. The parameters of the distribution will be calculated on the basis of the final results.
文摘Due to the heavy congestion in HF bands, HF radars are restricted to operating within narrow frequency bands. To improve the system bandwidth and avoid heavy interference bands, a quasi-random step frequency signal with discontinuous bands is presented. A novel two-dimensional signal processing scheme for this signal is proposed on the basis of delicate signal analysis. Simulation results demonstrate that the scheme could successfully realize the resolutions by decoupling the range-Doppler ambiguity, and effectively suppress the maximal sidelobe. Moreover, the scheme is simple and has good numerical stability.
文摘The finite data estimates of the complex fourth-order moments of a signal consisting of random harmonics are analyzed. Conditions for the fourth-order stationarity and ergodicity are obtained. Explicit formulas for the estimation error and its variance, as well as their limiting large sample values are derived. Finally, a special case relevant to cubic phase coupling is considered, and these results are stated for this case, the variance is shown to comprise an ergodic and a nonergodic part.
文摘This paper expounds the nitty-gritty of stock returns transitory, periodical behavior </span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;"><span style="font-family:Verdana;">of </span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">its markets’ demands and cyclical-like tenure-changing of number of the stocks sold. Mingling of autoregressive random processes via Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions (Fréchet, Gumbel, and Weibull) error terms were designed, generalized and imitated to capture stylized traits of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">k-serial tenures (ability to handle cycles), Markov transitional mixing weights</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, switching of mingling autoregressive processes and full range shape changing </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">predictive distributions (multimodalities) that are usually caused by large fluctuation</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">s (outliers) and long-memory in stock returns. The Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions Mingled Autoregressive (PMA and EVDs) models were applied to a monthly number of stocks sold in Nigeria from 1960 to 2020. It was deduced that fitted Gumbel-MAR (2:1, 1) outstripped other linear models as well as best</span></span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:""> </span></span></span><span><span><span style="font-family:""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">fitted among the Poisson and Extreme-Value-</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Distributions Mingled autoregressive models subjected to the discrete monthly</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> stocks sold series.
文摘In previous papers, the stationary distributions of a class of discrete and continuoustime random graph processes with state space consisting of the simple and directed graphs on Nvenices were studied. In this paper, the random graph graph process is extended one impotent stepfurther by allowing interaction of edges. Similarly, We obtha the expressions of the stationarydistributions and prove that the process is ergodic under different editions.
文摘In this paper,we prove some limsup results for increments and lag increments of G(t),which is a stable processe in random scenery.The proofs rely on the tail probability estimation of G(t).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11531001)
文摘For continuous-state branching processes in Lévy random environments, the recursion of n-moments and the equivalent condition for the existence of general f-moments are established, where f is a positive continuous function satisfying some standard conditions.
文摘The fuzzy static and dynamic random phenomena in an abstract separable Banach space is discussed in this paper. The representation theorems for fuzzy set valued random sets, fuzzy random elements and fuzzy set valued stochastic processes are obtained.
文摘This paper considers an eigenvalue problem containing small stochastic processes. For every fixed is, we can use the Prufer substitution to prove the existence of the random solutions lambda(n) and u(n) in the meaning of large probability. These solutions can be expanded in epsilon regularly, and their correction terms can be obtained by solving some random linear differential equations.