ON DESIGN METHOD OF THE PRECISION CAM PROFILE WITH RANDOM PROCESSING ERRORS

Based on probability and statistic, a design method of precision cam profileconcerning the influence of random processing errors is advanced. Combining the design with theprocess, which can be used to predict that cam profiles will be successfully processed or not in thedesign stage, design of the cam can be done by balancing the economization and reliability. Inaddition, an fuzzy deduction method based on Bayers formula is advanced to estimate processingreasonable of the designed precision cam profile, and it take few samples.

Application of Random Process in Soil Profile Modeling

When using the random process in soil profile modeling, the stationary and ergodicity of the soil properties in the profile must be tested. This paper describes a procedure for stationary and ergodicity testing. Numerical examples were given for demonstration. A log-cosine function is suggested to simulate the correlation function, which has been proved to be good for soil profile modeling.

Non-Stationary Random Process for Large-Scale Failure and Recovery of Power Distribution

This work applies non-stationary random processes to resilience of power distribution under severe weather. Power distribution, the edge of the energy infrastructure, is susceptible to external hazards from severe weather. Large-scale power failures often occur, resulting in millions of people without electricity for days. However, the problem of large-scale power failure, recovery and resilience has not been formulated rigorously nor studied systematically. This work studies the resilience of power distribution from three aspects. First, we derive non-stationary random processes to model large-scale failures and recoveries. Transient Little’s Law then provides a simple approximation of the entire life cycle of failure and recovery through a queue at the network-level. Second, we define time-varying resilience based on the non-stationary model. The resilience metric characterizes the ability of power distribution to remain operational and recover rapidly upon failures. Third, we apply the non-stationary model and the resilience metric to large-scale power failures caused by Hurricane Ike. We use the real data from the electric grid to learn time-varying model parameters and the resilience metric. Our results show non-stationary evolution of failure rates and recovery times, and how the network resilience deviates from that of normal operation during the hurricane.

Bull and Bear Dynamics of the Nigeria Stock Returns Transitory via Mingled Autoregressive Random Processes

This paper expounds the nitty-gritty of stock returns transitory, periodical behavior of its markets’ demands and cyclical-like tenure-changing of number of the stocks sold. Mingling of autoregressive random processes via Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions (Fréchet, Gumbel, and Weibull) error terms were designed, generalized and imitated to capture stylized traits of k-serial tenures (ability to handle cycles), Markov transitional mixing weights, switching of mingling autoregressive processes and full range shape changing predictive distributions (multimodalities) that are usually caused by large fluctuations (outliers) and long-memory in stock returns. The Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions Mingled Autoregressive (PMA and EVDs) models were applied to a monthly number of stocks sold in Nigeria from 1960 to 2020. It was deduced that fitted Gumbel-MAR (2:1, 1) outstripped other linear models as well as best fitted among the Poisson and Extreme-Value-Distributions Mingled autoregressive models subjected to the discrete monthly stocks sold series.

Definition of Laplace Transforms for Distribution of the First Passage of Zero Level of the Semi-Markov Random Process with Positive Tendency and Negative Jump

One of the important problems of stochastic process theory is to define the Laplace transforms for the distribution of semi-markov random processes. With this purpose, we will investigate the semimarkov random processes with positive tendency and negative jump in this article. The first passage of the zero level of the process will be included as a random variable. The Laplace transforms for the distribution of this random variable is defined. The parameters of the distribution will be calculated on the basis of the final results.

CONDITIONS FOR FOURTH-ORDER STATIONARITY AND ERGODICITY OF A HARMONIC RANDOM PROCESS

The finite data estimates of the complex fourth-order moments of a signal consisting of random harmonics are analyzed. Conditions for the fourth-order stationarity and ergodicity are obtained. Explicit formulas for the estimation error and its variance, as well as their limiting large sample values are derived. Finally, a special case relevant to cubic phase coupling is considered, and these results are stated for this case, the variance is shown to comprise an ergodic and a nonergodic part.

基于Random Forest和层次分析法的混凝土连续梁桥耐久性评估

为了准确快速地评估混凝土连续梁桥的耐久性,避免造成结构耐久性评估结果受桥梁技术人员因对规范不熟悉的主观因素影响,基于层次分析法建立适用于混凝土连续梁桥的耐久性评估指标体系,构建随机森林耐久性评估模型。经过参数调优获得随机森林模型最优参数组合为105、10、2、2。结果表明:使用随机森林耐久性评估模型的精确率、召回率、F1值均大于87%;主梁裂缝、重载率、下部结构保护层厚度安全系数等对混凝土连续梁桥耐久性的影响依次递减。将评估结果与桥检报告技术状况等级、课题软件结果对比,验证了模型的可靠性。

Asymptotic Results for Random Processes

In this paper we establish asymptotic results and a generalized uniform law of the iterated logarithm （LIL） for the increments of a strictly stationary random process, whose results are proved by separating linearly positive quadrant dependent （LPQD） random process and linearly negative quadrant dependent （LNQD） one, respectively.

Approximation of Spatio-Temporal Random Processes Using Tensor Decomposition

A new representation of spatio-temporal random processes is proposed in this work.In practical applications,such processes are used to model velocity fields,temperature distributions,response of vibrating systems,to name a few.Finding an efficient representation for any random process leads to encapsulation of information which makes it more convenient for a practical implementations,for instance,in a computational mechanics problem.For a single-parameter process such as spatial or temporal process,the eigenvalue decomposition of the covariance matrix leads to the well-known Karhunen-Lo`eve(KL)decomposition.However,for multiparameter processes such as a spatio-temporal process,the covariance function itself can be defined in multiple ways.Here the process is assumed to be measured at a finite set of spatial locations and a finite number of time instants.Then the spatial covariance matrix at different time instants are considered to define the covariance of the process.This set of square,symmetric,positive semi-definite matrices is then represented as a thirdorder tensor.A suitable decomposition of this tensor can identify the dominant components of the process,and these components are then used to define a closed-form representation of the process.The procedure is analogous to the KL decomposition for a single-parameter process,however,the decompositions and interpretations vary significantly.The tensor decompositions are successfully applied on(i)a heat conduction problem,(ii)a vibration problem,and(iii)a covariance function taken from the literature that was fitted to model a measured wind velocity data.It is observed that the proposed representation provides an efficient approximation to some processes.Furthermore,a comparison with KL decomposition showed that the proposed method is computationally cheaper than the KL,both in terms of computer memory and execution time.

THE CONSTRUCTION OF DENUMERABLE q-PROCESSES IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENTS-THE EXISTENCE AND UNIQUENESS

The concepts of Markov process in random environment, q-matrix in random environment, and q-process in random environment are introduced. The minimal q-process in random environment is constructed and the necessary and sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of q-process in random environment are given.

FRACTAL PROPERTIES OF POLAR SETS OF RANDOM STRING PROCESSES

This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for compact sets to be polar for the random string process. Moreover, we also determine the smallest Hausdorff dimensions of non-polar sets by constructing a Cantor-type set to connect its Hausdorff dimension and capacity.

THE CONSTRUCTION OF DENUMERABLE q-PROCESSES IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENTS SATISFYING (F) OR (B)

This article is a continuation of[9].Based on the discussion of random Kolmogorov forward（backward）equations,for any given q-matrix in random environment, Q（θ）=（q（θ;x,y）,x,y∈X）,an infinite class of q-processes in random environments satisfying the random Kolmogorov forward（backward）equation is constructed.Moreover, under some conditions,all the q-processes in random environments satisfying the random Kolmogorov forward（backward）equation are constructed.

LIMIT THEOREMS FOR A GALTON-WATSON PROCESS IN THE I.I.D. RANDOM ENVIRONMENT

In this article, we obtain the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm for Galton-Watson processes in i.i.d, random environments.

THE ERGODICITY FOR BI-IMMIGRATION BIRTH AND DEATH PROCESSES IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENT

The concepts of bi-immigration birth and death density matrix in random environment and bi-immigration birth and death process in random environment are introduced. For any bi-immigration birth and death matrix in random environment Q（θ） with birth rate λ 〈 death rate μ, the following results are proved, （1） there is an unique q-process in random environment, P^-（θ＊（0）;t） = （p^-（θ^＊（0）;t,i,j）,i,j ≥ 0）, which is ergodic, that is, lim t→∞（θ^＊（0）;t,i,j） = π^-（θ^＊（0）;j） ≥0 does not depend on i ≥ 0 and ∑j≥0π （θ＊（0）;j） = 1, （2） there is a bi-immigration birth and death process in random enjvironment （X^＊ = {X^＊,t ≥ 0},ε^＊ = {εt,t ∈ （-∞, ∞）}） with random transition matrix P^-（θ^＊ （0）;t） such that X^＊ is a strictly stationary process.

Remaining useful life estimation based on Wiener degradation processes with random failure threshold

Remaining useful life(RUL) estimation based on condition monitoring data is central to condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the Wiener process based RUL estimation, the randomness of the failure threshold has not been studied thoroughly. In this work, by using the truncated normal distribution to model random failure threshold(RFT), an analytical and closed-form RUL distribution based on the current observed data was derived considering the posterior distribution of the drift parameter. Then, the Bayesian method was used to update the prior estimation of failure threshold. To solve the uncertainty of the censored in situ data of failure threshold, the expectation maximization(EM) algorithm is used to calculate the posteriori estimation of failure threshold. Numerical examples show that considering the randomness of the failure threshold and updating the prior information of RFT could improve the accuracy of real time RUL estimation.

Laplace Transformation and Ergodic Potential Kernel for q-Process in Random Environment

This paper introduces some concepts such as q- process in random environment, Laplace transformation, ergodic potential kernel, error function and some basic lemmas.We study the continuity and Laplace transformation of random transition function. Finally, we give the sufficient condition for the existence of ergodic potential kernel for homogeneous q- processes in random environments.

MINIMUM ENTROPY DECONVOLUTION OF ONE-AND MULTI-DIMENSIONAL NON-GAUSSIAN LINEAR RANDOM PROCESSES

The minimum entropy deconvolution is considered as one of the methods for decomposing non-Gaussian linear processes. The concept of peakedness of a system response sequence is presented and its properties are studied. With the aid of the peakedness, the convergence theory of the minimum entropy deconvolution is established. The problem of the minimum entropy deconvolution of multi-dimensional non-Gaussian linear random processes is first investigated and the corresponding theory is given. In addition, the relation between the minimum entropy deconvolution and parameter method is discussed.

A Novel 2-D Signal Processing Scheme for Quasi-Random Step Frequency Signal

Due to the heavy congestion in HF bands, HF radars are restricted to operating within narrow frequency bands. To improve the system bandwidth and avoid heavy interference bands, a quasi-random step frequency signal with discontinuous bands is presented. A novel two-dimensional signal processing scheme for this signal is proposed on the basis of delicate signal analysis. Simulation results demonstrate that the scheme could successfully realize the resolutions by decoupling the range-Doppler ambiguity, and effectively suppress the maximal sidelobe. Moreover, the scheme is simple and has good numerical stability.

THE STATIONARY DISTRIBUTION OF A CONTINUOUS－TIME RANDOM GRAPH PROCESS WITH INTERACTING EDGES

In previous papers, the stationary distributions of a class of discrete and continuoustime random graph processes with state space consisting of the simple and directed graphs on Nvenices were studied. In this paper, the random graph graph process is extended one impotent stepfurther by allowing interaction of edges. Similarly, We obtha the expressions of the stationarydistributions and prove that the process is ergodic under different editions.

MOMENTS OF CONTINUOUS-STATE BRANCHING PROCESSES IN LéVY RANDOM ENVIRONMENTS

For continuous-state branching processes in Levy random environments, the recursion of n-moments and the equivalent condition for the existence of general f-moments are established, where f is a positive continuous function satisfying some standard conditions.