[Objective] Effects of climate change on agriculture production were studied in order to provide basis for developing agriculture and adjusting agricultural structure.[Method] The conventional mathematical statistics ...[Objective] Effects of climate change on agriculture production were studied in order to provide basis for developing agriculture and adjusting agricultural structure.[Method] The conventional mathematical statistics method was adopted to analyze climate characteristics and change trends.[Result] Compared with the agricultural resources census in 1980,annual average sunshine hours and annual precipitation reduced by 257 h and 77 mm,respectively,while annual average temperature increased by 1.2 ℃.In recent 50 years,annual sunshine hours trend decreased by 482 h,and annual mean temperature trend rose by 2.55 ℃,while annual precipitation reduced by 185 mm.[Conclusion] The reduction of sunshine hours had great effect on agricultural facilities,and temperature increase could extend crop growth period and improve biomass yield,providing growth conditions for pests and germs,while the frequency of drought disaster was increased due to the decrease of precipitation.展开更多
Following the 1973 oil crisis, Japan ＇s economic growth slowed down substantially and its asset prices overshot their long-term trend. The economic performance of this episode of the Japanese history has been dubbed ...Following the 1973 oil crisis, Japan ＇s economic growth slowed down substantially and its asset prices overshot their long-term trend. The economic performance of this episode of the Japanese history has been dubbed the ＂Japan syndrome.＂ China has followed Japan＇s export-led growth model and the the world economy following the oil crisis current worm economy very much resembles It is then a legitimate question to ask whether China is likely to follow in Japan＇s steps and experience a major slowdown in its growth. The present paper shows that China can do a better job than Japan primarily because its large size allows the country to benefit from internal convergence. Based on the estimation of a growth equation using cross-country panel data, the paper forecasts that under reasonable assumptions about the growth rate of the worm economy and China ＇s investment rate, China could maintain reasonably high growth rates in the next 10 years.展开更多
文摘[Objective] Effects of climate change on agriculture production were studied in order to provide basis for developing agriculture and adjusting agricultural structure.[Method] The conventional mathematical statistics method was adopted to analyze climate characteristics and change trends.[Result] Compared with the agricultural resources census in 1980,annual average sunshine hours and annual precipitation reduced by 257 h and 77 mm,respectively,while annual average temperature increased by 1.2 ℃.In recent 50 years,annual sunshine hours trend decreased by 482 h,and annual mean temperature trend rose by 2.55 ℃,while annual precipitation reduced by 185 mm.[Conclusion] The reduction of sunshine hours had great effect on agricultural facilities,and temperature increase could extend crop growth period and improve biomass yield,providing growth conditions for pests and germs,while the frequency of drought disaster was increased due to the decrease of precipitation.
文摘Following the 1973 oil crisis, Japan ＇s economic growth slowed down substantially and its asset prices overshot their long-term trend. The economic performance of this episode of the Japanese history has been dubbed the ＂Japan syndrome.＂ China has followed Japan＇s export-led growth model and the the world economy following the oil crisis current worm economy very much resembles It is then a legitimate question to ask whether China is likely to follow in Japan＇s steps and experience a major slowdown in its growth. The present paper shows that China can do a better job than Japan primarily because its large size allows the country to benefit from internal convergence. Based on the estimation of a growth equation using cross-country panel data, the paper forecasts that under reasonable assumptions about the growth rate of the worm economy and China ＇s investment rate, China could maintain reasonably high growth rates in the next 10 years.
