Water inrush is one of the most serious geological hazards in underground engineering construction.In order to effectively prevent and control the occurrence of water inrush,a new attribute interval recognition theory...Water inrush is one of the most serious geological hazards in underground engineering construction.In order to effectively prevent and control the occurrence of water inrush,a new attribute interval recognition theory and method is proposed to systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.Its innovation mainly includes that the value of evaluation index is an interval rather than a certain value;the single-index attribute evaluation model is improved non-linearly based on the idea of normal distribution;the synthetic attribute interval analysis method based on improved intuitionistic fuzzy theory is proposed.The TFN-AHP method is proposed to analyze the weight of evaluation index.By analyzing geological factors and engineering factors in tunnel zone,a multi-grade hierarchical index system for tunnel water inrush risk assessment is established.The proposed method is applied to ventilation incline of Xiakou tunnel,and its rationality and practicability is verified by comparison with field situation and evaluation results of other methods.In addition,the results evaluated by this method,which considers that water inrush is a complex non-linear system and the geological conditions have spatial variability,are more accurate and reliable.And it has good applicability in solving the problem of certain and uncertain problem.展开更多
The thesis analyzes risk factors of enterprise＇s technology innovation, adopts the undetermined measuring model to evaluate technology innovation risk and testifies it through an example.
Purpose:This paper aims to examine how the adoption decision of the internet banking in North Cyprus would be affected based on the following dimensions;the technology features,the personal characteristics,the social ...Purpose:This paper aims to examine how the adoption decision of the internet banking in North Cyprus would be affected based on the following dimensions;the technology features,the personal characteristics,the social environment and the expected risk.Design/methodology/approach:A self-administered survey was conducted with 291 participants responded to it.The partial least square approach of the structural equation modeling(PLS-SEM)is employed to investigate the direct effects of the proposed factors on the adoption decision.Additionally,the mediation test is used to examine indirect effects.Findings:Results showed that even though the participants appreciated the benefits of the online banking as the perceived usefulness factor exerts the greatest direct effect,they would rather use clear and easy-to-use websites,adding to that their assessments of the usefulness of these services are significantly influenced by the surrounding people’s views and prior experience.This is demonstrated by the total effects of the perceived ease of use and the subjective norm factors,which are greater than the direct effect of the perceived usefulness factor since both of these factors have significant direct and indirect effects mediated by the perceived usefulness factor.The negative impact of the perceived risk factor is weak compared to the previous factors.While the personal innovativeness factor showed the weakest effect among the proposed factors.展开更多
Back propagation is employed to forecast the current of a storm with various characteristics of storm surge; the technique is thus important in disaster forecasting. One of the most fuzzy types of information in the p...Back propagation is employed to forecast the current of a storm with various characteristics of storm surge; the technique is thus important in disaster forecasting. One of the most fuzzy types of information in the prediction of geological calamity is handled employing the information diffusion method. First, a single-step prediction model and neural network prediction model are employed to collect influential information used to predict the extreme tide level. Second, information is obtained using the information diffusion method, which improves the precision of risk recognition when there is insufficient information. Experiments demonstrate that the method proposed in this paper is simple and effective and provides better forecast results than other methods. Future work will focus on a more precise forecast model.展开更多
极端冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸是激发大电网脆弱性、导致大面积停电的重要因素。覆冰闪络跳闸等现象的风险评估是建立冰灾防御体系的基础。基于电网层面,进行了冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸的风险状态识别与风险建模。根据覆冰闪络跳...极端冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸是激发大电网脆弱性、导致大面积停电的重要因素。覆冰闪络跳闸等现象的风险评估是建立冰灾防御体系的基础。基于电网层面,进行了冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸的风险状态识别与风险建模。根据覆冰闪络跳闸特性分析,界定了输电网绝缘系统的脆弱点,即覆冰期绝缘系统冰凌桥接、融冰期冰凌断流等临界点。进一步建立了覆冰闪络状态的划分原则与风险等级,并对预测冰况进行了模糊模式识别和风险评级,为运行人员提供了动态风险信息。针对数据的小样本、多输入等特点,采用统计学习理论结构风险最小化方法,构建了最小二乘支持向量机(least squares support vector machine,LSSVM)冰闪跳闸风险评估模型,依据贝叶斯(Bayesian)证据推理优化模型参数。通过与误差反向传播人工神经网络(artificial neural networkwith error back propagation,BP-ANN)算法对比,验证了该模型的有效性。最后通过脆弱性指标分析了网架结构破坏的严重性与电网绝缘系统的脆弱性。展开更多
基金Project(51722904)supported by the National Science Fund for Excellent Young Scholars,ChinaProject(51679131)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China+2 种基金Project(2019JZZY010601)supported by the Shandong Provincial Key Research and Development Program(Major Scientific and Technological Innovation Project),ChinaProject(KJ1712304)supported by the Science and Technology Research Program of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission,ChinaProject(2016XJQN13)supported by the Yangtze Normal University Research Project,China
文摘Water inrush is one of the most serious geological hazards in underground engineering construction.In order to effectively prevent and control the occurrence of water inrush,a new attribute interval recognition theory and method is proposed to systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.Its innovation mainly includes that the value of evaluation index is an interval rather than a certain value;the single-index attribute evaluation model is improved non-linearly based on the idea of normal distribution;the synthetic attribute interval analysis method based on improved intuitionistic fuzzy theory is proposed.The TFN-AHP method is proposed to analyze the weight of evaluation index.By analyzing geological factors and engineering factors in tunnel zone,a multi-grade hierarchical index system for tunnel water inrush risk assessment is established.The proposed method is applied to ventilation incline of Xiakou tunnel,and its rationality and practicability is verified by comparison with field situation and evaluation results of other methods.In addition,the results evaluated by this method,which considers that water inrush is a complex non-linear system and the geological conditions have spatial variability,are more accurate and reliable.And it has good applicability in solving the problem of certain and uncertain problem.
文摘The thesis analyzes risk factors of enterprise＇s technology innovation, adopts the undetermined measuring model to evaluate technology innovation risk and testifies it through an example.
文摘Purpose:This paper aims to examine how the adoption decision of the internet banking in North Cyprus would be affected based on the following dimensions;the technology features,the personal characteristics,the social environment and the expected risk.Design/methodology/approach:A self-administered survey was conducted with 291 participants responded to it.The partial least square approach of the structural equation modeling(PLS-SEM)is employed to investigate the direct effects of the proposed factors on the adoption decision.Additionally,the mediation test is used to examine indirect effects.Findings:Results showed that even though the participants appreciated the benefits of the online banking as the perceived usefulness factor exerts the greatest direct effect,they would rather use clear and easy-to-use websites,adding to that their assessments of the usefulness of these services are significantly influenced by the surrounding people’s views and prior experience.This is demonstrated by the total effects of the perceived ease of use and the subjective norm factors,which are greater than the direct effect of the perceived usefulness factor since both of these factors have significant direct and indirect effects mediated by the perceived usefulness factor.The negative impact of the perceived risk factor is weak compared to the previous factors.While the personal innovativeness factor showed the weakest effect among the proposed factors.
基金Supported by the MISSION 908 (Nos. 908-02-03-07, SD-908-02-08)
文摘Back propagation is employed to forecast the current of a storm with various characteristics of storm surge; the technique is thus important in disaster forecasting. One of the most fuzzy types of information in the prediction of geological calamity is handled employing the information diffusion method. First, a single-step prediction model and neural network prediction model are employed to collect influential information used to predict the extreme tide level. Second, information is obtained using the information diffusion method, which improves the precision of risk recognition when there is insufficient information. Experiments demonstrate that the method proposed in this paper is simple and effective and provides better forecast results than other methods. Future work will focus on a more precise forecast model.
文摘极端冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸是激发大电网脆弱性、导致大面积停电的重要因素。覆冰闪络跳闸等现象的风险评估是建立冰灾防御体系的基础。基于电网层面,进行了冰灾天气下线路覆冰闪络跳闸的风险状态识别与风险建模。根据覆冰闪络跳闸特性分析,界定了输电网绝缘系统的脆弱点,即覆冰期绝缘系统冰凌桥接、融冰期冰凌断流等临界点。进一步建立了覆冰闪络状态的划分原则与风险等级,并对预测冰况进行了模糊模式识别和风险评级,为运行人员提供了动态风险信息。针对数据的小样本、多输入等特点,采用统计学习理论结构风险最小化方法,构建了最小二乘支持向量机(least squares support vector machine,LSSVM)冰闪跳闸风险评估模型,依据贝叶斯(Bayesian)证据推理优化模型参数。通过与误差反向传播人工神经网络(artificial neural networkwith error back propagation,BP-ANN)算法对比,验证了该模型的有效性。最后通过脆弱性指标分析了网架结构破坏的严重性与电网绝缘系统的脆弱性。
