Spatio-temporal Evolution of Marine Fishery Industry Ecosystem Vulnerability in the Bohai Rim Region

The building of the ocean power strategy and the implementation of the blue agriculture plan urgently need to strengthen the sustainable development of marine fishery.Taking vulnerability as the starting point, this paper constructs the vulnerability index system of marine fishery industry ecosystem from the aspects of sensitivity and response capacity, and combines the entropy method with the Topsis to comprehensively analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of vulnerability of marine fishery industry ecosystem in the Bohai Rim Region from 2001 to 2015.The results show that: 1) In the time dimension, from 2001 to 2015, the vulnerability of the marine fishery industry ecosystem in the Bohai Rim Region shows a fluctuant and degressive trend;2) In the spatial dimension, the spatial distribution of the marine fishery industry ecosystem vulnerability in the Bohai Rim Region presents the gradient characteristics which shows high vulnerability in the east and low vulnerability in the west.According to the evolution track of the system’s vulnerability level, the vulnerability of the marine fishery industry ecosystem is divided into ‘declining’ and ‘stable’ types of evolutionary structures;3) The development of marine fishery in the Bohai Rim Region needs to be derived from the marine fishery’s ecological environment and the industrial development mode and structure, which can improve the marine environment remediation efforts, optimize the marine fishery industry structure, vigorously focus on pelagic fishery, and enhance the introduction of marine fishery’s science and technology talents, etc.Then, the marine fishery’s development in the Bohai Rim Region will be moving in the green, circular and sustainable direction.

Influencing factors and evaluation application of regional crustal stability in the Bohai Strait

Due to the extremely complex geological conditions in the Bohai Strait, active faults is very developed and earthquake activity occurs frequently. It is of great importance to evaluate the regional crustal stability for the planning and construction of the Trans-straits Passage. In this study, the authors carry out the evaluation by means of buffer analysis, topology analysis and overlay analysis based on ArcGIS software. The evaluation mainly analyzed six assessment factors of Bohai Strait including neotectonic activity, active faults distribution, seismicity, tectonic stress fields, Bouguer gravity anomaly and geological disasters. In brief, the crustal stability of the eastern North Yellow Sea Basin is best, while that of the Bohai Basin and southwest Bohai Strait is poor. Meanwhile, small and frequent earthquakes in the southern Strait and geological disasters developed in the northern and central Strait such as tidal ridge and shallow gas which may adversely impact on the Trans-straits Passage construction.

MESOZOIC-CENOZOIC VOLCANISM AND THE SIGNIFICANCE OF DEEP PROCESSES IN THE BOHAI REGION

Based on data from petrochemistry, trace element geochemistry and isotopic compositions of Mesozoic-Cenozoic volcanic rocks in three basins in the Bohai region, some conclusions can be drawn. In the region. there are three major voIcanic eruption stages with corresponding volcanic rocks in the Mesozoic-Cenozoic. i. e., early Mesozoic dacite (228. 8~ 226. 9 Ma). late Mesozoic basaltic-trachy-andesite, lamprophyre and rhyolite (136. 0~90. 9 Ma). and Cenozoic basa1t (61.0~29. 7 Ma). All the volcanics have undergone different fractional crystallization. Trace elements and isotopic compositions characteristics of the Cenozoic volcanics suggest that they are derived from the asthenosphere, and those of the Mesozoic volcanics show that they are derived from the enriched lithosphere. A model is proposed indicating that the lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary was uplifted, then fell back in the Mesozoic-Cenozoic with the thinning of lithosphere.

Regional carrying capacity: case studies of Bohai Rim area

Carrying capacity research has been carried out for a long time. However, synthesized carrying capacity researches based on systematic views began only in the 1970s. There is even less work done in China. This paper tries to address both synthesized carrying capacity research and its utilization in China. State spaces method from the systematic science was borrowed to construct the conceptual model of regional carrying capacity. Based on the conceptual model and the surveys in the Bohai Rim area, we construct a representative indicators system for quantifying regional carrying capacity in the Bohai Rim. While employing system dynamic models we simulated the evolving trend of both the regional carrying states and regional carrying capacity from 1999 to 2015. The results proved the statement that Bohai Rim is overall over-capacity for a long time and will be over-capacity in the foreseeable future. Among all the restriction factors, water shortage and environmental pollution stand out to be the two primary obstacles for Bohai Rims sustainable development. Regional differentiation analysis further indicates that coastal areas of the Bohai Rim burden more than its overall level. However, Shandong province shows some good signs in addressing the regional carrying capacity issues. The research is successful in addressing the quantification of regional carrying capacity issues, but nonetheless it needs further refinery and more information.

A model to assess fundamental and realized carrying capacities of island ecosystem:A case study in the southern Miaodao Archipelago of China

Research on carrying capacity, aiming at maintaining the limited ability of the Earth＇s life supporting system to sustain human development, requires a comprehensive and ecosystem-based approach to monitor and assess the localized sustainability of coupled social and ecological systems. A definition termed the ecosystem-based carrying capacity of island（EBCCI） was developed in this paper of which the indices of fundamental and realized carrying capacities of island（FCCI and RCCI） were highlighted to emphasize the inter-dependencies between social systems and ecological systems. In order to avoid the difficulties and uncertainties of direct assessment, the related assessment model was established on the basis of synthetic evaluation of inherent and external factors affecting the EBCCI. The southern Miaodao Archipelago（SMA） located in the intersection of the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea, China, was taken as a typical example to acquire integrated recognition of the island ecosystem and its carrying capacity so as to discuss its sustainable development. The index scores of FCCI and RCCI in the SMA were 0.818 5 and 0.712 9 out of 1.0, respectively, with acceptable uncertainties. The results showed a relatively well capacity to sustain progress and relatively well realization of the carrying capacity of island ecosystem, owing to a well capacity of ecologically regulating, general performance of both ecologically supporting and resource provisioning, and a relatively high level of social supporting system. The study implied that it was critical to optimize the inter-dependencies and to sustain the relative balance between social systems and ecological systems so as to improve the RCCI and further facilitate the sustainability of SMA. The approach proposed in this paper provides a powerful tool which is well applicative to the regional level of an oceanic island or archipelago to study the sustainable development and can be further popularized to the coastal zone.

Winter sea ice albedo variations in the Bohai Sea of China

Sea ice conditions in the Bohai Sea of China are sensitive to large-scale climatic variations. On the basis of CLARA-A1-SAL data, the albedo variations are examined in space and time in the winter（December, January and February） from 1992 to 2008 in the Bohai Sea sea ice region. Time series data of the sea ice concentration（SIC）, the sea ice extent（SIE） and the sea surface temperature（SST） are used to analyze their relationship with the albedo. The sea ice albedo changed in volatility appears along with time, the trend is not obvious and increases very slightly during the study period at a rate of 0.388% per decade over the Bohai Sea sea ice region.The interannual variation is between 9.93% and 14.50%, and the average albedo is 11.79%. The sea ice albedo in years with heavy sea ice coverage, 1999, 2000 and 2005, is significantly higher than that in other years; in years with light sea ice coverage, 1994, 1998, 2001 and 2006, has low values. For the monthly albedo, the increasing trend（at a rate of 0.988% per decade） in December is distinctly higher than that in January and February. The mean albedo in January（12.90%） is also distinctly higher than that in the other two months. The albedo is significantly positively correlated with the SIC and is significantly negatively correlated with the SST（significance level 90%）.

Influencing Factors of Total Factor Energy Efficiency in Bohai Rim Region Based on DEA-Tobit Model

Bohai Rim region is an important economic development area and a large carbon emission area in China.It is of great significance to explore the total factor energy efficiency and its influencing factors for the low carbon transformation and high-quality development of the Bohai Rim region.Based on the total factor energy efficiency framework,the DDF-DEA model was used to calculate the total factor energy efficiency,and the internal and external differences of the total factor energy efficiency were further analyzed.The internal and external influencing factors were determined by ML index method and classical endogenous growth theory,and then the Tobit panel model was used to empirically analyze the action mechanism of all influencing factors of total factor energy efficiency in the Bohai Rim region.The results show that the pure technical efficiency,scale efficiency and technological progress among the internal influencing factors contribute to the improvement of energy efficiency in the Bohai Rim region.Industrial structure,industrial internal structure and ownership structure inhibit the improvement of energy efficiency.Energy consumption structure and energy endowment also have a negative impact on energy efficiency.Therefore,measures such as promoting technological progress,adjusting economic structure and optimizing energy structure will effectively improve total factor energy efficiency in the Bohai Rim region.

Formation conditions and exploration direction of large natural gas reservoirs in the oil-prone Bohai Bay Basin, East China

The Bohai Bay Basin is a typical oil-prone basin, in which natural gas geological reserves have a small proportion. In this basin, the gas source rock is largely medium-deep lake mudstone with oil-prone type Ⅱ2-Ⅱ1 kerogens, and natural gas preservation conditions are poor due to active late tectonic movements. The formation conditions of large natural gas fields in the Bohai Bay Basin have been elusive. Based on the exploration results of Bohai Bay Basin and comparison with large gas fields in China and abroad, the formation conditions of conventional large-scale natural gas reservoirs in the Bohai Bay Basin were examined from accumulation dynamics, structure and sedimentation. The results show that the formation conditions of conventional large natural gas reservoirs in Bohai Bay Basin mainly include one core element and two key elements. The core factor is the strong sealing of Paleogene "quilt-like" overpressure mudstone. The two key factors include the rapid maturation and high-intensity gas generation of source rock in the late stage and large scale reservoir. On this basis, large-scale nature gas accumulation models in the Bohai Bay Basin have been worked out, including regional overpressure mudstone enriching model, local overpressure mudstone depleting model, sand-rich sedimentary subsag depleting model and late strongly-developed fault depleting model. It is found that Bozhong sag, northern Liaozhong sag and Banqiao sag have favorable conditions for the formation of large-scale natural gas reservoirs, and are worth exploring. The study results have important guidance for exploration of large scale natural gas reservoirs in the Bohai Bay Basin.

Clarifying the relationship between PM2.5 and ozone complex pollution and synoptic patterns in a typical petrochemical city in the Bohai Rim region of China:Implications for air pollution forecasting and control

Meteorological conditions are vital to PM_(2.5)and ozone(O_(3))complex pollution.Herein,the T-mode principal com-ponent analysis method was employed to objectively classify the 925-hPa geopotential height field of Dongying from 2017 to 2022.Synoptic patterns associated with four pollution types-namely,PM_(2.5)-only pollution,O_(3)-only pollution,Co-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution,Non-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution-were characterized at different time scales.The results indicated that synoptic classes conducive to PM_(2.5)-only pollution were“high-pressure top front”,“offshore high-pressure rear”,and“high-pressure inside”,while those conducive to O_(3)-only pollution were“offshore high-pressure rear”,“subtropical high”,and“high and low systems”.The Co-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution were influenced by high pressure,and the Non-occurring of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)pollution were linked to precipitation and strong northerly winds.The variation in dominant synoptic patterns is crucial in the frequency changes of the four pollution types,which was further validated through the analysis of typical cases.Under the favorable meteorological conditions of high-pressure control with strong northerly winds or a subtropical high and inverted trough both with strong precipitation,there is potential to achieve coordinated control of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)in Dongying.Additionally,measures like artificially manipulating local humidity could be adopted to alleviate pollution levels.This study reveals the importance of comprehending the meteorological factors contributing to the formation of PM_(2.5)and O_(3)complex pollution for the improvement of urban air quality in the Bohai Rim region of China when emissions are high and the concentration of air pollutants exhibits high meteorological sensitivity.

Bohaidina(沟鞭藻)古口之新见

在光学显微镜及扫描电镜下对采自辽河断陷西部拗陷的61块岩芯样品中的沟鞭藻Bohaidlna进行了观察,在相当数量的化石囊孢上发现了保存较完好的古口。大量标本的仔细观察和比较研究表明,虽然多数Bohaidina的囊孢上不见古口构造,但确有一定数量的囊孢具前间式古口,2a或3I型。对古口的新认识将有可能导致Bohaidina这类囊孢的重新分类。

渤海海峡跨海通道工程区海域三维地应力测试

跨渤海通道海域缺乏实测地应力基础数据,而海域钻探原位实测又承担着巨大风险与重重困难,为取得工程区现今地应力场特征第一手资料,利用以水压致裂地应力测量为主,以空心包体、非弹性应变恢复、差应变、声波各向异性法为辅的综合地应力测量技术,对研究区海域开展三维地应力测试与研究,建立了线性回归方程,得到了回归拟合曲线。结果表明,渤海海峡最大水平主应力σH、最小水平主应力σh与垂直主应力σv均随测试深度的增加呈线性增大规律;海峡南部地应力状态存在σH>σh>σv的关系,处于逆冲应力状态,应力场方向为NE,最大水平主应力大于垂直主应力,区域内构造力处于主导地位;海峡北部应力状态为σH>σv>σh,有利于走滑断层活动,应力场方向为NE,区域内构造力处于主导地位;整个工程区内地应力各分量值之间相差不大,远远小于区内断层活动应力值的下限,表明研究区目前处于稳定状态。研究结果符合一般地应力测量规律,测试流程符合地应力测试要求,测试数据可用于分析区域地应力状态。

环渤海传统民居谱系研究思路与方法

环渤海地区在人文地理、自然气候以及社会经济等方面具有典型特征,以往有关该区域的民居研究多针对内陆或分散展开,缺乏对民居文化挖掘及其现代传承的系统研究。本文从环渤海整体视角展开,提出环渤海传统民居谱系的概念,采用建筑类型学、文化地理学、方言语系分区以及数据统计分析等定量、定性方法,结合课题研究进展与阶段成果,从民居谱系区划特征与关联机制、地域民居体系等方面,探讨了环渤海传统民居谱系研究的整体性技术框架及其实现途径,以期指导相关研究。所取得阶段成果有助于推进、深化研究内容,进而形成整体性成果,以弥补传统分散研究的缺憾,并为地域文化保护、传承和乡村人居环境提升提供技术支撑。

环渤海地区空气质量时空变化特征及动态预测

基于环渤海地区2017—2021年各城市空气质量指数(AQI)、污染物浓度与社会经济数据,利用数理统计、克里金插值法对环渤海地区AQI与污染物浓度的时空变化特征进行分析,运用皮尔逊相关性分析方法探讨AQI与污染物浓度、社会经济因素的相关关系,采用时间序列预测模型对2022年6月—2023年12月空气质量及污染物浓度进行预测。结果表明:环渤海地区AQI及污染物浓度大致呈逐年降低的趋势。AQI的逐月变化呈“W”形,O_(3)浓度的年内变化呈倒“V”形,其余污染物则呈现与O_(3)相反的变化趋势。AQI大致呈现西南高、东北低的空间分布特点,而污染物浓度分布具有明显的空间差异。环渤海地区5个代表性城市的AQI类别以良好为主,冬季首要污染物主要为PM_(2.5)、PM10,夏季首要污染物以O_(3)为主。人口数量是影响AQI的主要因素,城市园林绿地面积对AQI具有一定影响。预测结果显示,未来环渤海地区AQI、主要污染物浓度(O_(3)除外)均呈现出随时间的推移逐渐下降的变化趋势。

减污降碳协同效应空间关联关系及驱动因素研究

剖析减污降碳协同效应的空间关联特征及成因是引导区域协同共治的前提,对推动新质生产力发展具有重要意义。基于耦合协调模型测度2011-2021年环渤海地区43个城市的减污降碳协同效应,应用社会网络分析法和二次指派程序探究其空间关联网络特征及驱动因素。结果表明:①研究期间,环渤海地区减污降碳协同效应的最高值为0.43,尚未进入高质量协调发展阶段,超过80%的城市处于降碳滞后型失调阶段。②减污降碳协同效应空间关联网络呈以天津市为主核心的“局部集聚”和“全局关联”并存特征,个体中心性差异突出,网络结构稳定性亟待提升。③各板块内部成员相对较为稳定,板块间存在更为显著的溢出效应。④地理邻近、产业结构合理化、能源利用、经济发展、节能环保、技术水平的差异对减污降碳协同效应空间关联关系的形成发挥促进作用,而通风系数的差异起抑制作用。研究显示,环渤海地区减污降碳协同效应的空间关联程度较低,建议通过强化核心主体的稳定作用、实施社团差异化的减排措施、拓展区域合作等路径推进减污降碳协同增效。

渤海湾盆地石臼坨凸起秦皇岛27-3大型油田发现与地质新认识

渤海湾盆地石臼坨凸起历经50余年勘探,在凸起高部位背斜区发现了3个浅层亿吨级大油田,而低部位斜坡区浅层由于构造圈闭不发育,勘探程度较低,近10年无规模性发现。随着渤海海域勘探程度提高,现已全面进入岩性勘探阶段,针对石臼坨凸起东段顺向断裂斜坡区浅层油气运移、岩性圈闭刻画和油气成藏规律等展开了深入系统研究。研究认为:(1)研究区南北两侧被富生烃凹陷夹持,凸起边界大断层晚期强烈活动和陡坡带近源扇体普遍发育使凸起区成为规模性油气运聚的最终指向区;(2)凸起边界大断层在馆陶组开启系数最小,馆陶组含砾砂岩输导层是石臼坨凸起之上主要的油气横向运移通道;(3)馆陶组输导脊坡度和切脊断层组合控制顺向斜坡区油气的垂向输导,当坡度小于1°且断层长度大于2.50 km、成藏期断距大于40 m时斜坡区可产生规模性的油气垂向运移,突破顺向断裂斜坡区“过路不留”的传统认识;(4)在凸起斜坡区,与构造脊方向斜交的砂体有利于油气保存,同时,提出井约束谱蓝化整形高分辨率处理技术,实现了对斜坡区岩性圈闭有效刻画,优选出保存条件较好的斜向砂体开展钻探部署。基于上述新认识、新技术,2023年在石臼坨凸起东段顺向斜坡区成功评价了秦皇岛27-3亿吨级油田,实现了勘探老区浅层挖潜的重大突破,为渤海湾盆地高成熟探区持续油气发现提供了借鉴。

环渤海地区环境规制强度与土地利用净碳排放量耦合协调的时空格局演化分析

环渤海地区是我国减排降碳的重点区域。基于2005—2020年环渤海地区3省2市共43个城市土地利用与城市面板数据,分析环境规制强度与土地利用净碳排放的时空格局演变特征及其耦合协调情况,并进一步探究影响该地区净碳排放的主要驱动因素。结果表明:(1)环渤海地区环境规制与净碳排放量耦合程度不高,环境规制的增强滞后于区域净碳排放量的增长,环境规制对地区净碳排放的约束性不强。(2)净碳排放量与环境规制强度均呈现中部高、北部低的空间分布格局,这与各城市职能定位相符,北部地区作为重要的“生态长城”,高能耗高污染企业鲜有分布。(3)环境规制有效地遏制环渤海地区净碳排放,通过分析发现,环境规制强度、经济活动、能源消耗强度、产业结构与科技投入是影响环渤海地区净碳排放量差异的主要驱动因素。

Process and cause of urban-rural development transformation in the Bohai Rim Region, China

China＇s reform and opening-up policy has brought the country a great development opportunity. The high-speed growth of the economy not only led China to a period of industrialization, urbanization, informatization and agricultural modernization, but also exacerbated the situation of the urban–rural dual structure. Based on the review of current studies, we first used the analytic hierarchy process（AHP） method to evaluate the urban–rural development and transformation level by population transformation index, land transformation index, industrial transformation index and social transformation index between 1996 and 2012 around the Bohai Rim Region. Then, based on the results of each index, we used the exploratory spatial data analysis（ESDA） method to investigate the spatial autocorrelation of the change in the urban–rural development transformation index during the 16-year period using Global Moran＇s I index and Local Moran＇s I index. Finally, we investigated the mechanism of change of the urban–rural development transformation index at county level, summarizing five main factors：（1） the radiation from the surrounding big cities,（2） the acceleration of the urbanization process,（3） the upgrading of the industrial structure,（4） the publishing and implementation of a macro development strategy and regional policy, and（5） natural factors such as topology.

以银杏古树为节点的环渤海地区国家森林步道建设构想

银杏古树是中国历史文化的重要标识,以银杏古树作为节点建设森林步道可能具有重要的生态、经济和文化意义。文中以环渤海地区为研究对象,调查区域内银杏古树128处161株,评价其区域适宜性、旅游适宜性、建设适宜性,认为总体上银杏古树适宜作为环渤海森林步道的节点。从综合评价来看,适宜作为步道节点的银杏古树,共计100处117株,其中32株古树重点推荐作为途经节点。初步设计了以银杏古树为节点的环渤海地区森林步道选线方案,由6条线路构成,即大连—丹东—迁安线、北京北线、北京南线、易县—肥城线、肥城—淄博—海阳线、肥城—莒县—荣成线,途经银杏古树79处96株,总里程约为7352 km。在此基础上,根据环渤海森林步道以银杏古树为节点这一特色,提出优化建设机制、加强银杏古树原真性保护、加强步道生态保护、强化资金保障、推进步道使用、加强代表性景观的宣传等建议。

黑龙江舞蹈的历史传承与融合探究——以唐渤海国时期、金代早期、清朝初期为例

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