The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability in China:Experiment Design and Preliminary Results of CSEP2.0

Since the inaugural international collaboration under the framework of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability(CSEP)in 2007,numerous forecast models have been developed and operated for earthquake forecasting experiments across CSEP testing centers(Schorlemmer et al.,2018).Over more than a decade,efforts to compare forecasts with observed earthquakes using numerous statistical test methods and insights into earthquake predictability,which have become a highlight of the CSEP platform.

Diagnosis related group grouping study of senile cataract patients based on E-CHAID algorithm

AIM： To figure out the contributed factors of the hospitalization expenses of senile cataract patients（HECP） and build up an area-specified senile cataract diagnosis related group（DRG） of Shanghai thereby formulating the reference range of HECP and providing scientific basis for the fair use and supervision of the health care insurance fund.METHODS： The data was collected from the first page of the medical records of 22 097 hospitalized patients from tertiary hospitals in Shanghai from 2010 to 2012 whose major diagnosis were senile cataract. Firstly, we analyzed the influence factors of HECP using univariate and multivariate analysis. DRG grouping was conducted according to the exhaustive Chi-squared automatic interaction detector（E-CHAID） model, using HECP as target variable. Finally we evaluated the grouping results using non-parametric test such as Kruskal-Wallis H test, RIV, CV, etc.RESULTS： The 6 DRGs were established as well as criterion of HECP, using age, sex, type of surgery and whether complications/comorbidities occurred as the key variables of classification node of senile cataract cases.CONCLUSION： The grouping of senile cataract cases based on E-CHAID algorithm is reasonable. And the criterion of HECP based on DRG can provide a feasible way of management in the fair use and supervision of medical insurance fund.

Operational Evaluation of the Quantitative Precipitation Estimation by a CINRAD-SA Dual Polarization Radar System

In this paper,a quantitative precipitation estimation based on the hydrometeor classification(HCA-QPE)algorithm was proposed for the first operational S band dual-polarization radar upgraded from the CINRAD/SA radar of China.The HCA-QPE algorithm,localized Colorado State University-Hydrometeor Identification of Rainfall(CSUHIDRO)algorithm,the Joint Polarization Experiment(JPOLE)algorithm,and the dynamic Z-R relationships based on variational correction QPE(DRVC-QPE)algorithm were evaluated with the rainfall events from March 1 to October 30,2017 in Guangdong Province.The results indicated that even though the HCA-QPE algorithm did not use the observed rainfall data for correction,its estimation accuracy was better than that of the DRVC-QPE algorithm when the rainfall rate was greater than 5 mm h-1;and the stronger the rainfall intensity,the greater the QPE improvement.Besides,the HCA-QPE algorithm worked better than the localized CSU-HIDRO and JPOLE algorithms.This study preliminarily evaluated the improved accuracy of QPE by a dual-polarization radar system modified from CINRAD-SA radar.

Deep learning-based intelligent management for sewage treatment plants

It is generally believed that intelligent management for sewage treatment plants(STPs) is essential to the sustainable engineering of future smart cities.The core of management lies in the precise prediction of daily volumes of sewage.The generation of sewage is the result of multiple factors from the whole social system.Characterized by strong process abstraction ability,data mining techniques have been viewed as promising prediction methods to realize intelligent STP management.However,existing data mining-based methods for this purpose just focus on a single factor such as an economical or meteorological factor and ignore their collaborative effects.To address this challenge,a deep learning-based intelligent management mechanism for STPs is proposed,to predict business volume.Specifically,the grey relation algorithm(GRA) and gated recursive unit network(GRU) are combined into a prediction model(GRAGRU).The GRA is utilized to select the factors that have a significant impact on the sewage business volume,and the GRU is set up to output the prediction results.We conducted a large number of experiments to verify the efficiency of the proposed GRA-GRU model.

HTTP-sCAN:Detecting HTTP-Flooding Attack by Modeling Multi-Features of Web Browsing Behavior from Noisy Web-Logs

HTTP-flooding attack disables the victimized web server by sending a large number of HTTP Get requests.Recent research tends to detect HTTP-flooding with the anomaly-based approaches,which detect the HTTP-flooding by modeling the behavior of normal web surfers.However,most of the existing anomaly-based detection approaches usually cannot filter the web-crawling traces from unknown searching bots mixed in normal web browsing logs.These web-crawling traces can bias the base-line profile of anomaly-based schemes in their training phase,and further degrade their detection performance.This paper proposes a novel web-crawling tracestolerated method to build baseline profile,and designs a new anomaly-based HTTP-flooding detection scheme(abbr.HTTP-sCAN).The simulation results show that HTTP-sCAN is immune to the interferences of unknown webcrawling traces,and can detect all HTTPflooding attacks.

Strong Earthquakes in the Yunnan-Sichuan Region: Evaluation of a Forward Long-to-intermediate-term PI Forecast

Since the initial international cooperation in the framework of Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability(CSEP)in 2007,a lot of forecast models have been developed and served for the earthquake forecasting experiment in different CSEP testing centers(Schorlemmer et al.,2018).

Dynamic Evaluation Model and Application Methods for Engineering Machine Maintenance Quality

It is an important content of equipment management to keep the engineering machine well. Based on the theory of component technology and grey related algorithm arithmetic, the requirements and procedures of engineering machine maintenance predicting process are analyzed, and a support object evaluation system is provided. The qualitative and quantitative indexes of evaluating process are fully taken into consideration to provide scientific methods and ways for proper evaluation and decision.

THE CRITERION ALGORITHM OF RELATION OF IMPLICATION BETWEEN PERIODIC ORBITS(Ⅰ)

In recent years, there is a wide interest in Sarkovskii's theorem ami the related study. According to Sarkovskii's theoren if the continuous self-mapf of the closed interval has a 3-pcriodic orbit, then fmust has an n-pcriodic orbit for any positive integer n. But f can not has all n-periodic orbits for some n.For example, letEvidently, f has only one kind of 3-periodic orbit in the two kinds of 3-periodic orbits. This explains that it isn't far enough to uncover the relation between periodic orbits by information which Sarkovskii's theorem has offered. In this paper, we raise the concept of type of periodic orbits, and give a feasible algorithm which decides the relation of implication between two periodic orbits.

An Efficient Algorithm for Processing Multi-Relation Queries in Relational Databases

After a relation scheme R is decomposed into the set of schemes ρ={R_1,...,R_n},we may pose queries as if R existed in the database,taking a join of R_i's,when it is necessary to implement the query.Suppose a query involves a set of attributes S(?)R,we want to find the smallest subset of ρ whose union includes S.We prove that the problem is NP-complete and present a polynomial-bounded approximation algorithm.A subset of ρ whose union includes S and has a decomposition into 3NF with a lossless join and preservation of dependencies is given in the paper.