The application of neural networks to comprehensive prediction by seismology prediction method

BP neural networks is used to mid-term earthquake prediction in this paper. Some usual prediction parameters of seismology are used as the import units of neural networks. And the export units of neural networks is called as the character parameter W_0 describing enhancement of seismicity. We applied this method to space scanning of North China. The result shows that the mid-term anomalous zone of W_0-value usually appeared obviously around the future epicenter 1~3 years before earthquake. It is effective to mid-term prediction.

Development of PREDAC-H1pdm to model the antigenic evolution of influenza A/(H1N1)pdm09 viruses

The Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus caused a global pandemic in 2009 and has circulated seasonally ever since.As the continual genetic evolution of hemagglutinin in this virus leads to antigenic drift,rapid identification of antigenic variants and characterization of the antigenic evolution are needed.In this study,we developed PREDAC-H1pdm,a model to predict antigenic relationships between H1N1pdm viruses and identify antigenic clusters for post-2009 pandemic H1N1 strains.Our model performed well in predicting antigenic variants,which was helpful in influenza surveillance.By mapping the antigenic clusters for H1N1pdm,we found that substitutions on the Sa epitope were common for H1N1pdm,whereas for the former seasonal H1N1,substitutions on the Sb epitope were more common in antigenic evolution.Additionally,the localized epidemic pattern of H1N1pdm was more obvious than that of the former seasonal H1N1,which could make vaccine recommendation more sophisticated.Overall,the antigenic relationship prediction model we developed provides a rapid determination method for identifying antigenic variants,and the further analysis of evolutionary and epidemic characteristics can facilitate vaccine recommendations and influenza surveillance for H1N1pdm.

Meta-Path-Based Search and Mining in Heterogeneous Information Networks

Information networks that can be extracted from many domains are widely studied recently. Different functions for mining these networks are proposed and developed, such as ranking, community detection, and link prediction. Most existing network studies are on homogeneous networks, where nodes and links are assumed from one single type. In reality, however, heterogeneous information networks can better model the real-world systems, which are typically semi-structured and typed, following a network schema. In order to mine these heterogeneous information networks directly, we propose to explore the meta structure of the information network, i.e., the network schema. The concepts of meta-paths are proposed to systematically capture numerous semantic relationships across multiple types of objects, which are defined as a path over the graph of network schema. Meta-paths can provide guidance for search and mining of the network and help analyze and understand the semantic meaning of the objects and relations in the network. Under this framework, similarity search and other mining tasks such as relationship prediction and clustering can be addressed by systematic exploration of the network meta structure. Moreover, with user＇s guidance or feedback, we can select the best meta-path or their weighted combination for a specific mining task.