Traditional reliability evaluation method for corroded pipeline exists the problem of not considering the associated defects.We therefore propose a new calculation method considering the associated defects.In this pap...Traditional reliability evaluation method for corroded pipeline exists the problem of not considering the associated defects.We therefore propose a new calculation method considering the associated defects.In this paper,the traditional and new methods are respectively used to calculate and contrastively analyze the failure probability of corroded pipeline;we then perform the research of residual life prediction for the corroded pipeline,followed by the sensitivity calculation of all random evaluation parameters.And then the Monte Carlo method(MCS)is applied to verify the rationality of the new method.The research results show that:the method considering associated defect is more objective,and truly react corroded pipeline's dynamic reliability changes;obtain new method to predict residual life of corroded pipeline;corrosion depth,radial corrosion rate have a significant impact on reliability of corroded pipeline considering associated defects.The calculation results of the method are more accurate,more time-saving.展开更多
以某2MW风电轴承为例,给出四自由度载荷作用下圆柱滚子轴承疲劳寿命的数学模型,通过Romax软件分析结果验证所建模型的准确性.按轴承最小额定寿命建立极限状态方程,采用自适应克里金与蒙特卡罗模拟相结合(adaptive Kriging-Monte Carlo s...以某2MW风电轴承为例,给出四自由度载荷作用下圆柱滚子轴承疲劳寿命的数学模型,通过Romax软件分析结果验证所建模型的准确性.按轴承最小额定寿命建立极限状态方程,采用自适应克里金与蒙特卡罗模拟相结合(adaptive Kriging-Monte Carlo simulation,AK-MCS)进行轴承疲劳寿命可靠性灵敏度分析.结果表明:轴承游隙、弹性模量、密度增大,轴承失效概率增大;轴承节圆、滚子有限长度增大,轴承失效概率减小;游隙对可靠性的影响最为明显,弹性模量、密度、滚子有限长度次之,节圆影响最小.展开更多
文摘Traditional reliability evaluation method for corroded pipeline exists the problem of not considering the associated defects.We therefore propose a new calculation method considering the associated defects.In this paper,the traditional and new methods are respectively used to calculate and contrastively analyze the failure probability of corroded pipeline;we then perform the research of residual life prediction for the corroded pipeline,followed by the sensitivity calculation of all random evaluation parameters.And then the Monte Carlo method(MCS)is applied to verify the rationality of the new method.The research results show that:the method considering associated defect is more objective,and truly react corroded pipeline's dynamic reliability changes;obtain new method to predict residual life of corroded pipeline;corrosion depth,radial corrosion rate have a significant impact on reliability of corroded pipeline considering associated defects.The calculation results of the method are more accurate,more time-saving.
文摘以某2MW风电轴承为例,给出四自由度载荷作用下圆柱滚子轴承疲劳寿命的数学模型,通过Romax软件分析结果验证所建模型的准确性.按轴承最小额定寿命建立极限状态方程,采用自适应克里金与蒙特卡罗模拟相结合(adaptive Kriging-Monte Carlo simulation,AK-MCS)进行轴承疲劳寿命可靠性灵敏度分析.结果表明:轴承游隙、弹性模量、密度增大,轴承失效概率增大;轴承节圆、滚子有限长度增大,轴承失效概率减小;游隙对可靠性的影响最为明显,弹性模量、密度、滚子有限长度次之,节圆影响最小.
