Approach to the Reserve against Deposit System and the Sustainable Development of Chinese Commercial Banks

Since the establishment of the reserve against deposit system in China, theorists have different views about it. After analyzing some of those views, this essay proposes that presently, it is inappropriate to cancel that system, and the rate of the required reserve should be reduced instead of being removed. With the analysis, the author points out the defects of that system, and makes a further study of that system's influence on the sustainable development of the commercial banks in China. In the last part, from several aspects, namely, the institutional environment, the rate of required reserve, the structure, and the mode of calculating and drawing money, the author offers some suggestions for the perfection of China's reserve against deposit system, and the acceleration of the sustainable development of commercial banks.

Ensemble Wind Power Prediction Interval with Optimal Reserve Requirement

Wind power prediction interval(WPPI)models in the literature have predominantly been developed for and tested on specific case studies.However,wind behavior and characteristics can vary significantly across regions.Thus,a prediction model that performs well in one case might underperform in another.To address this shortcoming,this paper proposes an ensemble WPPI framework that integrates multiple WPPI models with distinct characteristics to improve robustness.Another important and often overlooked factor is the role of probabilistic wind power prediction(WPP)in quantifying wind power uncertainty,which should be handled by operating reserve.Operating reserve in WPPI frameworks enhances the efficacy of WPP.In this regard,the proposed framework employs a novel bi-layer optimization approach that takes both WPPI quality and reserve requirements into account.Comprehensive analysis with different real-world datasets and various benchmark models validates the quality of the obtained WPPIs while resulting in more optimal reserve requirements.

Does access to credit reduce SMEs’tax avoidance?Evidence from a regression discontinuity design

This study investigates the effect of targeted reserve requirement ratio cuts(TRRRCs)on tax avoidance among small and micro enterprises(SMEs)with operating revenues below specific cutoffs in China.Using a regression discontinuity design,we causally show that,by increasing loan availability,TRRRCs significantly alleviate the financial constraints and cash dependence of SMEs and consequently reduce tax avoidance.This is especially the case among firms with lower market power and higher entertainment and travel costs.Our findings provide evidence for the real effect of TRRRCs on corporate tax avoidance and show the inclusive effect of TRRRCs on SMEs.In doing so,we indirectly reveal a rent-seeking channel underlying bank lending,thus offering clear policy implications for regulators.

China＇s Monetary Policy Instruments （2001-2010）： Paradox, Analysis and Suggestions

Through a systematic analysis of China＇s monetary policy instruments adopted between 2001 and 2010, the author argues that raising required reserve ratios （or RRRs） cannot reduce the overall supply of funds, while raising the deposit and loan interest rate expands credit. Compared with the above two approaches, controlling incremental loan scale is more effective. During the 12th Five-Year Plan period （2011-2015）, China should improve its monetary policy system in five aspects： the balance sheet structure of The People＇s Bank of China （PBOC）, the intermediary objective and operation instruments, market orientation of the deposit and loan interest rate, ultimate objective of monetary policies and establishment of a systemframeworkforprudent macrofinancial management.

Inflation, Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirement Ratio Adjustments in China

This study examines the relationship between inflation rate and reserve requirement ratio in China. Our findings show that there is a long-term relationship between reserve requirement ratio and inflation rate. In the short-run, the central bank adjusts the reserve requirement ratio upwards faster than they adjust them downwards. The asymmetric adjustment reflects the fact the Chinese economy was overheating over the past few years as a result of the stimulus package implemented after the onset of the global financial crisis and inflation was threatening the stability of the society.