Case Studies of the Microphysical and Kinematic Structure of Summer Mesoscale Precipitation Clouds over the Eastern Tibetan Plateau

Three cases of microphysical characteristics and kinematic structures in the negative temperature region of summer mesoscale cloud systems over the eastern Tibetan Plateau(TP)were investigated using X-band dual-polarization radar.The time-height series of radar physical variables and mesoscale horizontal divergence δderived by quasi-vertical profiles(QVPs)indicated that the dendritic growth layer(DGL,-20°C to-10°C)was ubiquitous,with large-value zones of K_(DP)(specific differential phase),Z_(DR)(differential reflectivity),or both,and corresponded to various dynamic fields(ascent or descent).Ascents in the DGL of cloud systems with vigorous vertical development were coincident with large-value zones of Z_(DR),signifying ice crystals with a large axis ratio,but with no obvious large values of K_(DP),which differs from previous findings.It is speculated that ascent in the DGL promoted ice crystals to undergo further growth before sinking.If there was descent in the DGL,a high echo top corresponded to large values of K_(DP),denoting a large number concentration of ice crystals;but with the echo top descending,small values of K_(DP) formed.This is similar to previous results and reveals that a high echo top is conducive to the generation of ice crystals.When ice particles fall to low levels(-10℃ to 0℃),they grow through riming,aggregation,or deposition,and may not be related to the kinematic structure.It is important to note that this study was only based on a limited number of cases and that further research is therefore needed.

An Imbalanced Data Classification Method Based on Hybrid Resampling and Fine Cost Sensitive Support Vector Machine

When building a classification model,the scenario where the samples of one class are significantly more than those of the other class is called data imbalance.Data imbalance causes the trained classification model to be in favor of the majority class(usually defined as the negative class),which may do harm to the accuracy of the minority class(usually defined as the positive class),and then lead to poor overall performance of the model.A method called MSHR-FCSSVM for solving imbalanced data classification is proposed in this article,which is based on a new hybrid resampling approach(MSHR)and a new fine cost-sensitive support vector machine(CS-SVM)classifier(FCSSVM).The MSHR measures the separability of each negative sample through its Silhouette value calculated by Mahalanobis distance between samples,based on which,the so-called pseudo-negative samples are screened out to generate new positive samples(over-sampling step)through linear interpolation and are deleted finally(under-sampling step).This approach replaces pseudo-negative samples with generated new positive samples one by one to clear up the inter-class overlap on the borderline,without changing the overall scale of the dataset.The FCSSVM is an improved version of the traditional CS-SVM.It considers influences of both the imbalance of sample number and the class distribution on classification simultaneously,and through finely tuning the class cost weights by using the efficient optimization algorithm based on the physical phenomenon of rime-ice(RIME)algorithm with cross-validation accuracy as the fitness function to accurately adjust the classification borderline.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method,a series of experiments are carried out based on 20 imbalanced datasets including both mildly and extremely imbalanced datasets.The experimental results show that the MSHR-FCSSVM method performs better than the methods for comparison in most cases,and both the MSHR and the FCSSVM played significant roles.

建筑结构火灾下倒塌应急监测技术研究

建筑火灾已经成为威胁城市公众安全的主要灾害之一。为了保护消防救援人员的人身安全,综合运用红外热成像、测量机器人和近景摄影测量等技术构建了一种建筑结构火灾下倒塌应急监测方法,对火灾下建筑的温度场和形变场进行监测,辅助开展建筑倒塌风险分析。该方法采用红外热成像技术获取建筑火灾的温度场数据;利用测量机器人和近景摄影测量技术分别获取关键点位高精度形变数据和多方位立体形变数据;建立了雾凇优化算法(Rime Optimization Algorithm,RIME)与极限学习机(Extreme Learning Machine,ELM)相结合的协同校正模型RIME-ELM,利用关键点位高精度形变数据对近景摄影测量的监测结果进行校正,提高立体形变监测数据的精度。为了验证该方法的有效性,搭建建筑结构实体模型,模拟开展火灾应急监测。结果表明,该方法所获取的火场温度和形变数据符合建筑火灾一般规律,利用RIME-ELM模型所获取的形变校正结果与ELM模型相比,平均相对误差明显降低。这验证了该方法的有效性和可行性,能够为消防应急救援提供全面、可靠的数据支撑。

RIME模型在医学生临床实践评价中的应用

如何对教学质量进行有效评价仍然是目前医学教育的难点。“汇报者—解读者—管理者—教育者(RIME)”模型是一种有效的医学教育评价方法。但RIME模型目前在我国知晓度不高,相关研究很少,因此对其由来及发展,在临床医学实践评价中的应用进展,优缺点及应用前景等进行综述,以期为临床教学评价提供一种新的方法和途径。

考虑季节变化对负荷特征影响的电力系统短期负荷预测

随着微电网用电设备的复杂化,产生的环保、经济效益问题日益突出,电力负荷的短期预测对于区域的精细化调度至关重要。当前的负荷预测方法缺乏对不同区域季节性变化因素的表征,导致预测精度较低。提出了一种基于改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解一霜冰优化算法——双向循环神经网络(ICEEMDAN-RIME-BiGRU)考虑季节差异的短期负荷预测方法。首先,采用ICEEMDAN方法对四季的电力负荷进行分解;其次,结合RIME算法的软霜搜索策略、硬霜穿刺机制和正向贪婪选择机制,分别学习不同季节下电力负荷的分量特征,实现对BiGRU模型的参数寻优,并将特征分量输入网络模型,所得结果相加得到时间序列预测值;最后,以某地区微电网的负荷数据为例进行算例分析。结果显示,所提出的方法相较于其他3种典型相关预测方法,对于区域季节性差异对负荷的影响具有显著的表征能力,可以提升负荷预测精度。

Evaluation of the Predicted Particle Properties (P3) Microphysics Scheme in Simulations of Stratiform Clouds with Embedded Convection

To evaluate the ability of the Predicted Particle Properties(P3)scheme in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model,we simulated a stratiform rainfall event over northern China on 22 May 2017.WRF simulations with two P3 versions,P3-nc and P3-2ice,were evaluated against rain gauge,radar,and aircraft observations.A series of sensitivity experiments were conducted with different collection efficiencies between ice and cloud droplets.The comparison of the precipitation evolution between P3-nc and P3-2ice suggested that both P3 versions overpredicted surface precipitation along the Taihang Mountains but underpredicted precipitation in the localized region on the leeward side.P3-2ice had slightly lower peak precipitation rates and smaller total precipitation amounts than P3-nc,which were closer to the observations.P3-2ice also more realistically reproduced the overall reflectivity structures than P3-nc.A comparison of ice concentrations with observations indicated that P3-nc underestimated aggregation,whereas P3-2ice produced more active aggregation from the self-collection of ice and ice-ice collisions between categories.Efficient aggregation in P3-2ice resulted in lower ice concentrations at heights between 4 and 6 km,which was closer to the observations.In this case,the total precipitation and precipitation pattern were not sensitive to riming.Riming was important in reproducing the location and strength of the embedded convective region through its impact on ice mass flux above the melting level.

PREDICTION OF RIME ICE ACCRETION AND RESULTING EFFECT ON AIRFOIL PERFORMANCE

The roughness effect based on the wall function method is introduced into the numerical simulation of the rime ice accretion and the resulting effect on the aerodynamic performance of the airfoil. Incorporating the two-phase model of air/super-cooled droplets in the Eulerian coordinate system, this paper presents the simulation of the rime ice accretion on the NACA 0012 airfoil. The predicted rime ice shape is compared with those results of measurements and simulations by other icing codes. Also the resulting effects of rime ice on airfoil aerodynamic performance are discussed. Results indicate that the rime ice accretion leads to the loss of the maximum lift coefficient by 26%, the decrease of the stall angle by about 3° and the considerable increase of the drag coefficient.

Simulations of Microphysics and Precipitation in a Stratiform Cloud Case over Northern China:Comparison of Two Microphysics Schemes

Using the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model with two different microphysics schemes,the Predicted Particle Properties(P3)and the Morrison double-moment parameterizations,we simulated a stratiform rainfall event on 20–21 April 2010.The simulation output was compared with precipitation and aircraft observations.The aircraft-observed moderate-rimed dendrites and plates indicated that riming contributed significantly to ice particle growth at the mature precipitation stage.Observations of dendrite aggregation and capped columns suggested that aggregation coexisted with deposition or riming and played an important role in producing many large particles.The domain-averaged values of the 24-h surface precipitation accumulation from the two schemes were quite close to each other.However,differences existed in the temporal and spatial evolutions of the precipitation distribution.An analysis of the surface precipitation temporal evolution indicated faster precipitation in Morrison,while P3 indicated slower rainfall by shifting the precipitation pattern eastward toward what was observed.The differences in precipitation values between the two schemes were related to the cloud water content distribution and fall speeds of rimed particles.P3 simulated the stratiform precipitation event better as it captured the gradual transition in the mass-weighted fall speeds and densities from unrimed to rimed particles.

VB.NET中Time控件的应用

在计算机系统中有三种定时器控件。当前线程启动事件forms.timer,临时线程处理事件timers.timer,临时线程中调用指定的回调函数threading.timer。本文主要主要探讨了timers.timer计时器的应用场合和使用技巧。

Surface Snow, Firn and Ice Core Composition in Polar Areas in Relation to Atmospheric Aerosol and Gas Concentrations: Critical Aspects

The paper addresses some of the problems surrounding the relation between ice core chemical signals and atmospheric chemical composition in polar areas. The topic is important as the reconstruction of past climate and past atmospheric chemical composition is based on the assumption that chemical concentrations in the air, snow, firn and ice core are correlated. Ice core interpretation of aerosol is more straightforward than that of reactive gases. The transfer functions of gaseous species strongly interacting with ice are complex and additional field and laboratory experiments are required. Ice core chemical signals depend on the chemical composition of precipitations, which are related to the physics of precipitation formation, the chemical composition of the atmosphere, and post-depositional processes. Published papers reporting data on the chemical composition of snow seldom consider the fact that crystal formation and growth in cloud (rimed or unrimed) or near the ground (clear-sky precipitations), hoar-frost formation and surface riming determine different chemical concentrations, even assuming constant background concentration in the atmosphere. This paper discusses the physical and chemical processes affecting the formation of precipitations in polar areas, and the process of scavenging gases from non-growing and growing crystals. Attention is mainly focused on the processes involving nitrate anion in snow, hoar frost and firn. Knowledge of the chemical relationship between surface snow and atmospheric chemical concentration could be enhanced by considering specific events, such as snow falling from cloud, clear sky precipitation, and surface hoar or riming surface, with simultaneous air sampling. In conclusion, field and laboratory experiments are still required to study the scavenging processes during crystal formation.

Numerical Simulation of Icing on Nrel 5-MW Reference Offshore Wind Turbine Blades Under Different Icing Conditions

Offshore wind energy resources are operational in cold regions,while offshore wind turbines will face the threat of icing.Therefore,it is necessary to study icing of offshore wind turbines under different icing conditions.In this study,icing sensitivity of offshore wind turbine blades are performed using a combination of FLUENT and FENSAP-ICE software,and the effects of liquid water content(LWC),medium volume diameter(MVD),wind speed and air temperature on blade icing shape are analyzed by two types of ice,namely rime ice and glaze ice.The results show that the increase of LWC and MVD will increase the amount of ice that forms on the blade surface for either glaze ice or rime ice,and an increase of MVD will expand the adhesion surface between ice and blade.Before reaching the rated wind speed of 11.4 m/s,it does not directly affect the icing shape.However,after reaching the rated wind speed,the attack angle of the incoming flow decreases obviously,and the amount of ice increases markedly.When the ambient air temperature meets the icing conditions of glaze ice(i.e.,−5℃ to 0℃),the lower the temperature,the more glaze ice freezes,whereas air temperature has no impact on the icing of rime ice.Compared with onshore wind turbines,offshore wind turbines might face extreme meteorological conditions,and the wind speed has no impact on the amount of ice that forms on the blade surface for most wind speeds.

The Images in The Rime of the Ancient Mariner

The paper mainly talks about the background of S. T. Coleridge and the images of The Rime of the AncientMariner. As for the images, the wind, the albatross and the snake will be thoroughly discussed. There are manydifferent images which also have different meanings and connotations in the context. What＇s more, the poemexpresses the theme of the metabolic relationships between men and nature： harmony, conflict or compromise.

Correlation of icing events with meteorological variables,and two statistical models to discriminate freezing days

In this paper, the characteristics of meteorological variables are statistically correlated with icing events （i.e., glaze and rime） in China, using daily observations of air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and weather phenomena from 700 stations in China from 1954 to 2008. The weather conditions most favorable for icing events are investigated and two statistical models are developed to discriminate potential freezing days. Low air temperature, high relative humidity, and low wind speed are shown to be important conditions for occurrence of icing events; also, the favorable daily mean air temperature is shown to have a decreasing trend from north to south in China, while the favorable relative humidity and wind speed varies little across the country. The statistical model developed with the daily mean temperature combined with precipitation, fog, and mist weather phenomena proved to be well able to determine the possible occurrence of freezing days. The accuracy of model outputs is well above 60% for northwestem Yun- nan, Guizhou, northern Guangxi, southern Hunan, and southern Jiangxi, among other regions where icing events are more fre- quent, and the average false alarms are few. Using observations or forecast products of conventional meteorological variables, this model has high performance and is practical and applicable for early warning and monitoring of icing events.

The Wind in"The Rime of the Ancient Mariner

Generally, Coleridge’s poems are mainly divided into two groups:one is to use common Language to depict commom things and common people; the other is to use unique imagination to describe supernatural things. "The Rime of the Ancient Mariner"belongs to the second group. Some critics blame Coleridge for his lack of morals in this poem, but in fact,this poem contains lots of morals, as Coleridge himself said.Coleridge succeeds in exploring the theme of sin and punishment by his rich imagination and by the depicting of supernatural things. In "The Rime of the Ancient Mariner", Coleridge intentionally built a symbolic world of the supernatural wind, the bird, the sun, the moon ,the ship and the sea. All these symbols serve to develop the theme of Fall and Redemption, and play so important a part in the poem that we even can take it as a symbolic poem. In the following pages, I am going to devote to the functions of the supernatural wind in particular. Coleridge bestows the wind with a great deal of

Exams, NEWSWEEK, and Rime

(1997/11/20) It is 9: 30 in the evening. I have just finished the final exam of Macroeconomics.It is scheduled from 7 p. m. to 10 p. m. It is not that difficult. But it takes me abouttwo hours to finish, because we need to write a lot and there is some computution to do.