Road networks are classified as critical infrastructure systems.Their loss of functionality not only hinders residential and commercial activities,but also compromises evacuation and rescue after disasters.Dealing wit...Road networks are classified as critical infrastructure systems.Their loss of functionality not only hinders residential and commercial activities,but also compromises evacuation and rescue after disasters.Dealing with risks to key strategic objectives is not new to asset management,and risk management is considered one of the core elements of asset management.Risk analysis has recently focused on understanding and designing strategies for resilience,especially in the case of seismic events that present a significant hazard to highway transportation networks.Following a review of risk and resilience concepts and metrics,an innovative methodology to stochastically assess the economic resources needed to restore damaged infrastructures,one that is a relevant and complementary element within a wider resilience-based framework,is proposed.The original methodology is based on collecting and analyzing ex post reconstruction and hazard data and was calibrated on data measured during the earthquake that struck central Italy in 2016 and collected in the following recovery phase.Although further improvements are needed,the proposed approach can be used effectively by road managers to provide useful information in developing seismic retrofitting plans.展开更多
为提高高速公路路面小修保养费用决策水平,采用阶层回归分析方法,进行小修保养费用影响因素量化研究.通过定性分析将影响因素界定为地区因素、通车年限、特大桥梁比例、长与特长隧道比例和交通因素,其中交通因素分为5种情况;通过对变量...为提高高速公路路面小修保养费用决策水平,采用阶层回归分析方法,进行小修保养费用影响因素量化研究.通过定性分析将影响因素界定为地区因素、通车年限、特大桥梁比例、长与特长隧道比例和交通因素,其中交通因素分为5种情况;通过对变量进行预处理,基于16条高速公路的历史数据进行量化研究.结果表明,在控制地区变量的条件下,各区组对模型的整体解释力均较显著,其中通车年限的增量解释力和在各区组的统计意义最为显著;同等条件下特大桥比例的标准化回归系数(β系数)远大于长与特长隧道比例的β系数,AADT(annual average daily traffic)和重车流量区组的β系数较其他交通因素区组的数值大.因此,路面资产小修保养费用受到地区因素、通车年限、大于1000m的桥梁比例、AADT和重车流量的影响.展开更多
文摘Road networks are classified as critical infrastructure systems.Their loss of functionality not only hinders residential and commercial activities,but also compromises evacuation and rescue after disasters.Dealing with risks to key strategic objectives is not new to asset management,and risk management is considered one of the core elements of asset management.Risk analysis has recently focused on understanding and designing strategies for resilience,especially in the case of seismic events that present a significant hazard to highway transportation networks.Following a review of risk and resilience concepts and metrics,an innovative methodology to stochastically assess the economic resources needed to restore damaged infrastructures,one that is a relevant and complementary element within a wider resilience-based framework,is proposed.The original methodology is based on collecting and analyzing ex post reconstruction and hazard data and was calibrated on data measured during the earthquake that struck central Italy in 2016 and collected in the following recovery phase.Although further improvements are needed,the proposed approach can be used effectively by road managers to provide useful information in developing seismic retrofitting plans.
文摘为提高高速公路路面小修保养费用决策水平,采用阶层回归分析方法,进行小修保养费用影响因素量化研究.通过定性分析将影响因素界定为地区因素、通车年限、特大桥梁比例、长与特长隧道比例和交通因素,其中交通因素分为5种情况;通过对变量进行预处理,基于16条高速公路的历史数据进行量化研究.结果表明,在控制地区变量的条件下,各区组对模型的整体解释力均较显著,其中通车年限的增量解释力和在各区组的统计意义最为显著;同等条件下特大桥比例的标准化回归系数(β系数)远大于长与特长隧道比例的β系数,AADT(annual average daily traffic)和重车流量区组的β系数较其他交通因素区组的数值大.因此,路面资产小修保养费用受到地区因素、通车年限、大于1000m的桥梁比例、AADT和重车流量的影响.
