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Stock profiling using time–frequency‑varying systematic risk measure
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作者 Roman Mestre 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期1525-1553,共29页
This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time–frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model(CAPM)framework.The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate... This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time–frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model(CAPM)framework.The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate stock risk-profile robustness.Furthermore,we emphasize the effect of an investor’s investment horizon on the robustness of portfolio characteristics.We use a daily panel of French stocks from 2012 to 2022.Results show that varying systematic risk varies in time and frequency,and that its short and long-run evolutions differ.We observe differences in short and long dynamics,indicating that a stock’s betas differently fluctuate to early announcements or signs of events.However,short-run and long-run betas exhibit similar dynamics during persistent shocks.Betas are more volatile during times of crisis,resulting in greater or lesser robustness of risk profiles.Significant differences exist in short-run and longrun risk profiles,implying a different asset allocation.We conclude that the standard CAPM assumes short-run investment.Then,investors should consider time–frequency CAPM to perform systematic risk analysis and portfolio allocation. 展开更多
关键词 Maximal overlap discrete wavelets transform TIME frequency-varying beta TIME frequency rolling window Risk-profile Systematic risk
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